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PAHO overview: Progress and barriers
towards HBV and HCV elimination targets
globally and in the Americas
Massimo Ghidinelli
5th International HIV/Viral Hepatitis Co-Infection Meeting:
Viral hepatitis elimination in Latin America and globally: How close are we?
July 2019, Mexico City
Outline
• Global goals and target: 2015 WHO GHSS for Viral Hepatitis
• WHO plans, tools and guidelines
• Baseline situation and progress to date
• The response in Latin America and the Caribbean
• Investment cases role in the elimination agenda
• Hepatitis B elimination through maternal and child health platform
• Challenges and barriers
WHO Global Health Sector Strategy:
Eliminate viral hepatitis as a major public health threat by 2030
Reduction in new infections by 90% Reduction in deaths by 65%
Programmatic targets
90%
of people infected are
diagnosed
80%
of people diagnosed
are treated
90%
coverage of vaccination
BD and B3 doses
(PAHO: 95%)
100%
of blood products are
safe
90%
of injections in health
facilites are safe
Impact targets
2015
 Elimination strategy and Regional Action Plans
 HBV Guidelines
2016
 Revised HCV Guidelines
 National plan manual
2017
 Baseline estimates: Global Hepatitis Report
 PAHO Region baseline estimates report
 HBV/HCV testing Guidelines
 Injection safety campaign
2018
 Global hepatitis reporting system
 HCV treatment Guidelines: Treat All
 Cost effectiveness calculators (HBV/HCV)
 PAHO: National investment cases (Colombia, Chile Brazil)
2019
 Consolidated strategic information guidelines (Feb 2019)
 HBV PMTCT recommendations on antiviral medicine use in pregnancy (2nd Sem)
WHO guidelines and tools to support national responses
Baseline status of Hepatitis B, 2015
Prevalence:
257 million people living with HBV
68% in Africa /Western Pacific
Incidence:
Chronic HBV infection in children under 5
reduced from 4.7% (pre-vaccination) to 1.3%
- 2030 target: 0.1%
Mortality:
~880,000 deaths each year
Prevalence:
71 million viraemic infections, all regions
Baseline status of Hepatitis C, 2015
Sources – WHO (Center for Disease Analysis )
Incidence:
1.75 million new infections / year
(Unsafe health care and injection drug use)
Mortality:
~400,000 deaths each year
Hepatitis mortality is increasing
Sources – WHO Global Health Estimates
96% hepatitis deaths from HBV and HCV (cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma)
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2000 2005 2010 2015
Millions
of
deaths
Year
Hepatitis
Tuberculosis
HIV
Malaria
1.34 million
deaths in 2015
Viral hepatitis deaths, by virus, 2015
0 20 40 60 80 100
HCV- Treatment
HBV- Treatment
HCV - Diagnosis
HBV - Diagnosis
Harm reduction
Injection safety
Blood safety
HBV- Vaccination (birth dose)
HBV- Vaccination (3D)
Coverage (%)
Prevention
Care
and
treatment
2015 BASELINE 2017 PROGRESS 2030 TARGETS
Global Elimination Strategy:
Core interventions with sufficient coverage would lead to elimination
Major gaps in HBV birth dose, harm reduction, testing and treatment
Progress of National viral hepatitis responses
As of February 2019, 124 countries had national
hepatitis plans (published + draft)
Source: Global Reporting System on Hepatitis
National Response, 2017
- 135 responding countries
- 84 reporting viral hepatitis national plan
- 62 reporting civil society engagement
Civil Society Engagement and National Response, 2017
Number of countries with national plan, 2012-2019
11
Coverage of third dose of hepatitis B vaccine, 2017
84% global coverage
12
Coverage of hepatitis B vaccine birth dose, 2017
From 38% in 2015 to 43% coverage in 2017
10% in AFR
13
Injection safety
New data from Demographic and Health Surveys:
3.9% Unsafe health care injections worldwide in 2010-2017
14
Harm reduction, low baseline, little progress
Of 179 countries with injection drug use:
• 93 (52%) with needle and syringe
distribution
• 87 (49%) with opioid substitution therapy
33
syringes/needle sets provided per PWIDs
per year in 2017
GHSS Target:
300
syringes/needle sets provided per PWIDs
per year in 2030
Some policy uptake, but… low coverage of interventions
Cascade of Care for HCV infection and DAA expansion, 2017
Number of people treated
with DAA, globally:
• 2014: < 200 000
• 2015: 1.1 million
• 2016: 1.7 million
• 2017: 2.1 million
• Total: ~5 million
0
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
70,000,000
80,000,000
Infected Diagnosed Started on
treatment
Cured
Number
of
persons
Western Pacific region
South East Asia Region
European region
Eastern Mediteranean region
Region of the Americas
African region
Cascade of Care for HCV infection by WHO region, 2017
• Source: Center for Disease Analysis/Polaris
2030 TARGET:
90% infected
diagnosed
2030 TARGET:
80% diagnosed
Treated*
Most treatment given
in about 10 champions
countries
Source: WHO based on Center for Disease Analysis/Polaris
Cascade of care for HBV infection, 2016
Number of people receiving
antiviral treatment, globally:
– 2015: 1.7 million
– 2016: 4.5 million
Measurement of progress on the
HBV treatment target is currently
limited by the absence of data on
the proportion of people who are
eligible
– On going study to better estimate
proportion of eligible
* Measurement of progress on the HBV treatment target is currently limited by
the absence of data on the proportion of people who are eligible
7
0.833 0.108 0.078
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Infected Diagnosed On treatment Suppressed
Number
of
people
(Millions)
Western Pacific
South-East Asia
European
Eastern Mediterranean
Americas
African
2030 TARGET:
90% infected
diagnosed 2030 TARGET:
80% diagnosed
Treated*
Cascade of Care for HBV infection by WHO region, 2016
17
Optimize the procurement of generic Direct Acting Antivirals
(DAAs) to cure HCV infection
• In reality, the price of a 3-month course of
generic DAA varies greatly by location
62% of people with HCV live in countries with access to
generic DAAs for as low as US$90 (in green)
PAHO Strategic Fund:
Sof+Velp (originator – “Access”): USD 900
Sof+Dac (generic – no patents): USD 129
Chronic Hepatitis C in the Americas, 2016
Source: Polaris Observatory (http://www.polarisobservatory.com/)
p
≤ 50,000
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
0.00 1.00
e a e c a de
Prevalence chronic HCV
Total infected
7.2 million people living with HCV in the Americas
88,000 deaths yearly are estimated to be due to HCV in the
Americas (2015)
In Latin America and the Caribbean:
4 million people living with HCV
65,000 new chronic HCV infections each year
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
Millions
4m
566 000
39 000
14%
~1%
Estimated Population
with chronic HCV
Diagnosed Treated
HCV cascade of care: Latin American & the Caribbean, 2016
Chronic hepatitis B in the Americas, 2016
• 3.9 (2.7-6.4) million people chronically infected
– 0.4% prevalence (0.3-0.6%) among general population
• 10,000 new chronic infections in 2016
– 56% perinatal transmission
– Prevalence among 5 years old: 0.04%-0.1%
• 31,000 deaths yearly are estimated to be due to HBV in the
Americas (2015)
0.00 6.00
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
HBsAg+ Prevalence (%)
Total number of infected
Source: Polaris Observatory (http://www.polarisobservatory.com/)
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
Millions
3.9m
923 000
136 000
23%
~3%
Estimated Population
with chronic HBV
Diagnosed On Treatment
HBV cascade of care: The Americas, 2016
No. of
Countries
Prevention Strategies for key pops
Treatment guidelines in line with WHO
recommendations
Celebrate World Hepatitis Day
Goal of Eliminating Perinatal HBV
National Strategy and/or Plan for prevention,
care and control of Viral Hepatitis, (2019)
Prevention Strategies for Healthcare Workers
Source: Hepatitis B and C in the Spotlight, PAHO 2016, 2017
15/33
__/22
32/38
14/27
12/28
18/37
84%
45%
55%
43%
48%
HBV: 86% (19/22)
HCV: 45% (10/22)
National Policies and Strategies for prevention and
control of viral hepatitis 2017
Public health and economic impact of hepatitis elimination
The investment case for hepatitis C in Brazil and the Elimination Plan, 2017
Hepatitis C Burden (2016): Total estimated chronically infected: 632,000 in 2016
Two scenarios: Baseline x WHO Elimination Targets:
• Treatment and diagnosis scale up increase direct costs, reducing below the base scenario by 2028
• Indirect costs will reduce as a result of earlier and expanded diagnosis and treatment.
• After 2028, the elimination scenario will cost less than the base scenario and after 2030 will require less than
0.2% of the total public health budget (estimate in US$53 billion in 2017)
Hepatitis B elimination through maternal and child health platform
• Leveraging on the EMTCT of HIV and syphilis
– Strong political commitment
– Public health approach
– EMTCT strengthening MCH
• Regional Frameworks: PAHO (2017) and WPRO (2018)
• EMTCT as a “milestone” for the elimination of HBV as a public
health problem by 2030, as proposed to WHA in 2016
• Building on established hepatitis B vaccination programme
• Additional interventions: antenatal screening, addressing long term health
of HBV-positive mother, potential use of maternal antiviral and hepatitis B
immunoglobulin for exposed infants
0.8% of children under 5 in 2017 worldwide had chronic HBV infection
All regions except for Africa reached the 2020 1% target
Source: London School of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene for WHO [systematic review by Cochrane centre,
with modelling inferences], schematic map of the WHO regions
 African
region: 2.34%
 Region of the
Americas: 0.07%
 European
Region : 0.21%
 Eastern
Mediterranean
Region : 0.69%
 Western
Pacific
Region : 0.38%
 South East
Asia: 0.26%
Hepatitis B Birth dose (HepB-BD) vaccination strategies in the national immunization
programme
Challenges and barriers
• The need for additional national civil society advocacy
• Expand timely birth doses of the hepatitis B vaccine, and adoption of additional interventions for
EMTCT
• Harm-reduction services and access to treatment for people who inject drugs are particularly lacking
• Injection safety: Recent HIV outbreaks as reminders of fragilities and vulnerabilities of many systems
• Need to massively expand access to diagnosis, and treatment – simplify algorithms
• Include hepatitis data in country health information systems: better understanding of the national
burden and regular monitoring/review of national targets and progress
• Drugs prices have declined over the past few years, but there are still barriers, particularly among
mid-income countries
• Chronic lack of funding for hepatitis programs, and the need for domestic investment
• Innovation: functional cure for hepatitis B; POC tests affordability and quality; HCV vaccine
Thank you

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PAHO overview of progress and barriers towards HBV and HCV elimination globally and in the Americas

  • 1. PAHO overview: Progress and barriers towards HBV and HCV elimination targets globally and in the Americas Massimo Ghidinelli 5th International HIV/Viral Hepatitis Co-Infection Meeting: Viral hepatitis elimination in Latin America and globally: How close are we? July 2019, Mexico City
  • 2. Outline • Global goals and target: 2015 WHO GHSS for Viral Hepatitis • WHO plans, tools and guidelines • Baseline situation and progress to date • The response in Latin America and the Caribbean • Investment cases role in the elimination agenda • Hepatitis B elimination through maternal and child health platform • Challenges and barriers
  • 3. WHO Global Health Sector Strategy: Eliminate viral hepatitis as a major public health threat by 2030 Reduction in new infections by 90% Reduction in deaths by 65% Programmatic targets 90% of people infected are diagnosed 80% of people diagnosed are treated 90% coverage of vaccination BD and B3 doses (PAHO: 95%) 100% of blood products are safe 90% of injections in health facilites are safe Impact targets
  • 4. 2015  Elimination strategy and Regional Action Plans  HBV Guidelines 2016  Revised HCV Guidelines  National plan manual 2017  Baseline estimates: Global Hepatitis Report  PAHO Region baseline estimates report  HBV/HCV testing Guidelines  Injection safety campaign 2018  Global hepatitis reporting system  HCV treatment Guidelines: Treat All  Cost effectiveness calculators (HBV/HCV)  PAHO: National investment cases (Colombia, Chile Brazil) 2019  Consolidated strategic information guidelines (Feb 2019)  HBV PMTCT recommendations on antiviral medicine use in pregnancy (2nd Sem) WHO guidelines and tools to support national responses
  • 5. Baseline status of Hepatitis B, 2015 Prevalence: 257 million people living with HBV 68% in Africa /Western Pacific Incidence: Chronic HBV infection in children under 5 reduced from 4.7% (pre-vaccination) to 1.3% - 2030 target: 0.1% Mortality: ~880,000 deaths each year
  • 6. Prevalence: 71 million viraemic infections, all regions Baseline status of Hepatitis C, 2015 Sources – WHO (Center for Disease Analysis ) Incidence: 1.75 million new infections / year (Unsafe health care and injection drug use) Mortality: ~400,000 deaths each year
  • 7. Hepatitis mortality is increasing Sources – WHO Global Health Estimates 96% hepatitis deaths from HBV and HCV (cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma) 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2000 2005 2010 2015 Millions of deaths Year Hepatitis Tuberculosis HIV Malaria 1.34 million deaths in 2015
  • 8. Viral hepatitis deaths, by virus, 2015
  • 9. 0 20 40 60 80 100 HCV- Treatment HBV- Treatment HCV - Diagnosis HBV - Diagnosis Harm reduction Injection safety Blood safety HBV- Vaccination (birth dose) HBV- Vaccination (3D) Coverage (%) Prevention Care and treatment 2015 BASELINE 2017 PROGRESS 2030 TARGETS Global Elimination Strategy: Core interventions with sufficient coverage would lead to elimination Major gaps in HBV birth dose, harm reduction, testing and treatment
  • 10. Progress of National viral hepatitis responses As of February 2019, 124 countries had national hepatitis plans (published + draft) Source: Global Reporting System on Hepatitis National Response, 2017 - 135 responding countries - 84 reporting viral hepatitis national plan - 62 reporting civil society engagement Civil Society Engagement and National Response, 2017 Number of countries with national plan, 2012-2019
  • 11. 11 Coverage of third dose of hepatitis B vaccine, 2017 84% global coverage
  • 12. 12 Coverage of hepatitis B vaccine birth dose, 2017 From 38% in 2015 to 43% coverage in 2017 10% in AFR
  • 13. 13 Injection safety New data from Demographic and Health Surveys: 3.9% Unsafe health care injections worldwide in 2010-2017
  • 14. 14 Harm reduction, low baseline, little progress Of 179 countries with injection drug use: • 93 (52%) with needle and syringe distribution • 87 (49%) with opioid substitution therapy 33 syringes/needle sets provided per PWIDs per year in 2017 GHSS Target: 300 syringes/needle sets provided per PWIDs per year in 2030 Some policy uptake, but… low coverage of interventions
  • 15. Cascade of Care for HCV infection and DAA expansion, 2017 Number of people treated with DAA, globally: • 2014: < 200 000 • 2015: 1.1 million • 2016: 1.7 million • 2017: 2.1 million • Total: ~5 million 0 10,000,000 20,000,000 30,000,000 40,000,000 50,000,000 60,000,000 70,000,000 80,000,000 Infected Diagnosed Started on treatment Cured Number of persons Western Pacific region South East Asia Region European region Eastern Mediteranean region Region of the Americas African region Cascade of Care for HCV infection by WHO region, 2017 • Source: Center for Disease Analysis/Polaris 2030 TARGET: 90% infected diagnosed 2030 TARGET: 80% diagnosed Treated* Most treatment given in about 10 champions countries
  • 16. Source: WHO based on Center for Disease Analysis/Polaris Cascade of care for HBV infection, 2016 Number of people receiving antiviral treatment, globally: – 2015: 1.7 million – 2016: 4.5 million Measurement of progress on the HBV treatment target is currently limited by the absence of data on the proportion of people who are eligible – On going study to better estimate proportion of eligible * Measurement of progress on the HBV treatment target is currently limited by the absence of data on the proportion of people who are eligible 7 0.833 0.108 0.078 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Infected Diagnosed On treatment Suppressed Number of people (Millions) Western Pacific South-East Asia European Eastern Mediterranean Americas African 2030 TARGET: 90% infected diagnosed 2030 TARGET: 80% diagnosed Treated* Cascade of Care for HBV infection by WHO region, 2016
  • 17. 17 Optimize the procurement of generic Direct Acting Antivirals (DAAs) to cure HCV infection • In reality, the price of a 3-month course of generic DAA varies greatly by location 62% of people with HCV live in countries with access to generic DAAs for as low as US$90 (in green) PAHO Strategic Fund: Sof+Velp (originator – “Access”): USD 900 Sof+Dac (generic – no patents): USD 129
  • 18. Chronic Hepatitis C in the Americas, 2016 Source: Polaris Observatory (http://www.polarisobservatory.com/) p ≤ 50,000 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 0.00 1.00 e a e c a de Prevalence chronic HCV Total infected 7.2 million people living with HCV in the Americas 88,000 deaths yearly are estimated to be due to HCV in the Americas (2015) In Latin America and the Caribbean: 4 million people living with HCV 65,000 new chronic HCV infections each year 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 Millions 4m 566 000 39 000 14% ~1% Estimated Population with chronic HCV Diagnosed Treated HCV cascade of care: Latin American & the Caribbean, 2016
  • 19. Chronic hepatitis B in the Americas, 2016 • 3.9 (2.7-6.4) million people chronically infected – 0.4% prevalence (0.3-0.6%) among general population • 10,000 new chronic infections in 2016 – 56% perinatal transmission – Prevalence among 5 years old: 0.04%-0.1% • 31,000 deaths yearly are estimated to be due to HBV in the Americas (2015) 0.00 6.00 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 HBsAg+ Prevalence (%) Total number of infected Source: Polaris Observatory (http://www.polarisobservatory.com/) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 Millions 3.9m 923 000 136 000 23% ~3% Estimated Population with chronic HBV Diagnosed On Treatment HBV cascade of care: The Americas, 2016
  • 20. No. of Countries Prevention Strategies for key pops Treatment guidelines in line with WHO recommendations Celebrate World Hepatitis Day Goal of Eliminating Perinatal HBV National Strategy and/or Plan for prevention, care and control of Viral Hepatitis, (2019) Prevention Strategies for Healthcare Workers Source: Hepatitis B and C in the Spotlight, PAHO 2016, 2017 15/33 __/22 32/38 14/27 12/28 18/37 84% 45% 55% 43% 48% HBV: 86% (19/22) HCV: 45% (10/22) National Policies and Strategies for prevention and control of viral hepatitis 2017
  • 21. Public health and economic impact of hepatitis elimination The investment case for hepatitis C in Brazil and the Elimination Plan, 2017 Hepatitis C Burden (2016): Total estimated chronically infected: 632,000 in 2016 Two scenarios: Baseline x WHO Elimination Targets: • Treatment and diagnosis scale up increase direct costs, reducing below the base scenario by 2028 • Indirect costs will reduce as a result of earlier and expanded diagnosis and treatment. • After 2028, the elimination scenario will cost less than the base scenario and after 2030 will require less than 0.2% of the total public health budget (estimate in US$53 billion in 2017)
  • 22. Hepatitis B elimination through maternal and child health platform • Leveraging on the EMTCT of HIV and syphilis – Strong political commitment – Public health approach – EMTCT strengthening MCH • Regional Frameworks: PAHO (2017) and WPRO (2018) • EMTCT as a “milestone” for the elimination of HBV as a public health problem by 2030, as proposed to WHA in 2016 • Building on established hepatitis B vaccination programme • Additional interventions: antenatal screening, addressing long term health of HBV-positive mother, potential use of maternal antiviral and hepatitis B immunoglobulin for exposed infants
  • 23. 0.8% of children under 5 in 2017 worldwide had chronic HBV infection All regions except for Africa reached the 2020 1% target Source: London School of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene for WHO [systematic review by Cochrane centre, with modelling inferences], schematic map of the WHO regions  African region: 2.34%  Region of the Americas: 0.07%  European Region : 0.21%  Eastern Mediterranean Region : 0.69%  Western Pacific Region : 0.38%  South East Asia: 0.26%
  • 24. Hepatitis B Birth dose (HepB-BD) vaccination strategies in the national immunization programme
  • 25. Challenges and barriers • The need for additional national civil society advocacy • Expand timely birth doses of the hepatitis B vaccine, and adoption of additional interventions for EMTCT • Harm-reduction services and access to treatment for people who inject drugs are particularly lacking • Injection safety: Recent HIV outbreaks as reminders of fragilities and vulnerabilities of many systems • Need to massively expand access to diagnosis, and treatment – simplify algorithms • Include hepatitis data in country health information systems: better understanding of the national burden and regular monitoring/review of national targets and progress • Drugs prices have declined over the past few years, but there are still barriers, particularly among mid-income countries • Chronic lack of funding for hepatitis programs, and the need for domestic investment • Innovation: functional cure for hepatitis B; POC tests affordability and quality; HCV vaccine