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Bokern et al. Systematic Reviews (2022) 11:115
https://doi.org/10.1186/s13643-022-01975-8
PROTOCOL
Risk factors for asthma exacerbation
during pregnancy: protocol for a systematic
review and meta‑analysis
Marleen P. Bokern1†
, Annelies L. Robijn2,3,4†
, Megan E. Jensen2,3,4
, Daniel Barker3,4
, Katherine J. Baines2,3,4
and
Vanessa E. Murphy2,3,4*
  
Abstract
Background: Asthma is the most common medical condition to affect pregnancy. Asthma exacerbations occur in
up to 45% of pregnant women and have been associated with adverse perinatal and infant outcomes. Conflicting lit-
erature exists regarding the risk factors for exacerbations, and no synthesis of the literature currently exists. Therefore,
this systematic review and meta-analysis aims to determine risk factors for asthma exacerbations during pregnancy
among pregnant women with asthma.
Methods: This protocol has been reported according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and
Meta-Analysis protocols checklist. A systematic search will be conducted in the electronic MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL
and Cochrane Clinical Trials Register databases (from January 2000 onwards). Eligibility of each publication will be
determined based on predefined selection criteria. Prospective cohort studies, retrospective cohort studies, case-con-
trol studies and randomised controlled trials (RCTs) will be included. Quality of included studies will be determined
using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale and the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool. Pooled relative risk will be computed using
random-effects meta-analyses. Heterogeneity will be assessed using the chi-squared test and the I2
parameter. Publi-
cation bias will be assessed by inspecting a funnel plot for asymmetry and with the Egger’s test of analyses including
ten studies or more.
Discussion: The results of this systematic review and meta-analysis will discuss the potential risk factors for asthma
exacerbations during pregnancy. This may aid healthcare professionals in early identification of pregnant women
with asthma at risk of poor outcomes, providing the opportunity to implement early interventions in order to avoid
deterioration of asthma symptoms during pregnancy.
Systematic review registration: PROSPERO CRD42​02019​6190
Keywords: Asthma, Pregnancy, Risk factors
©The Author(s) 2022. Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which
permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the
original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made.The images or
other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line
to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory
regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder.To view a copy of this
licence, visit http://​creat​iveco​mmons.​org/​licen​ses/​by/4.​0/.The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://​creat​iveco​
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Background
Asthma is the most common medical condition in
pregnancy, affecting about 12% of pregnant women
in Australia. Pregnant women with asthma may
experience worsening or improving asthma or may have
no changes to their condition. Up to 45% of pregnant
women with asthma have an asthma exacerbation
requiring medical intervention during pregnancy
Open Access
†
Marleen P. Bokern and Annelies L. Robijn are equal first authors.
*Correspondence: Vanessa.Murphy@newcastle.edu.au
4
Hunter Medical Research Institute, University of Newcastle, Level 2 West
Wing, University Drive, Callaghan, NSW 2308, Australia
Full list of author information is available at the end of the article
Page 2 of 5
Bokern et al. Systematic Reviews (2022) 11:115
[1]. Uncontrolled asthma and asthma exacerbations
have been associated with increased risk of several
adverse perinatal outcomes, such as spontaneous
abortion [2], preeclampsia [3], and low birth weight [4].
Furthermore, uncontrolled asthma and exacerbations
have been associated with poor infant respiratory
health, including the development of asthma [3, 5, 6].
Several studies have identified patient-related risk
factors for asthma exacerbations during pregnancy,
such as maternal age [3, 7], smoking [2, 3, 8, 9], obesity
[9–11] and anxiety and/or depression [9, 12]. Other
studies have identified disease-related factors such as
increasing asthma severity [1, 9, 13–15], lung function
[14] and respiratory viral infections [1]. The risks of
these factors vary between studies and other studies
report no associations.
A Danish study reported that clinically stable asthma,
no exacerbation history and no prescription of ICS were
associated with a decreased risk of exacerbations during
pregnancy [16]. Another Danish study utilising the same
study population reported excessive gestational weight
gain in the first trimester as an important risk factor
for asthma exacerbations [17]. The data on the impact
of foetal sex on asthma exacerbations in pregnancy is
conflicting with some studies indicating an increased risk
when carrying a female foetus [18–20], whereas other
studies report no association [3, 21, 22]. The majority of
studies reporting risk factors of asthma exacerbations
include relatively small study populations; therefore, it
is important to combine all available studies in meta-
analyses to determine pooled associations between the
risk factors and asthma exacerbations.
Given the association between asthma exacerbations
in pregnancy and adverse perinatal and infant health
outcomes, it is important to synthesise recent literature
to identify risk factors which may be modifiable or allow
early identification and additional monitoring of women
at risk. Therefore, the aim of this systematic review and
meta-analysis is to determine risk factors for asthma
exacerbations during pregnancy among pregnant women
with asthma.
Methods
This protocol has been registered with PROSPERO
international prospective register of systematic reviews
(registration number CRD42020196190) and has been
reported following the Preferred Reporting Items
for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis Protocol
(PRISMA-P) [23]. The final review will be reported
following the PRISMA statement [24] and the Meta-
Analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology
(MOOSE) guidelines [25].
Information sources and search strategy
We developed our search strategy with the support of a
research and scholarly communication advisor. A search
will be conducted of the electronic MEDLINE, Embase,
CINAHL and Cochrane Clinical Trials Register databases
to identify articles for possible inclusion. The search
terms with multipurpose indicators (asthma or wheeze)
and (pregnan* or perinat* or obstet*) and (exacerb* or
flare up or morbidit* or attack*) will be used to identify
all potential studies for inclusion. The search will be
limited to include studies conducted from 2000 to the
present time to keep the review relevant to contemporary
research. Only studies available as an English language
publication will be considered for inclusion, due to
limited resources for language translation. The reference
lists of included studies will be searched by hand to
identify cited articles not identified by the electronic
search (Additional file 1).
Study selection
Two independent reviewers will screen the abstracts of
all identified studies. Studies that are potential articles
for inclusion in the review will be obtained in full-text for
assessment by the same reviewers. Any disagreements
at either stage of study selection will be resolved by
consensus or referral to a third reviewer. Studies rejected
at each stage of the review will be recorded, along with
the reasons for their rejection at the full-text screening
stage. The selection of studies will be performed using
Covidence [26], a software designed for conducting
systematic reviews.
Eligibility
Studies will be selected based on the following criteria
of study population, exposure and outcome of interest.
Studies published in English from the year 2000 will be
included, to keep the review relevant to contemporary
research (20 years look back period from protocol
development time). Prospective cohort studies,
retrospective cohort studies, case-control studies and
randomised controlled trials (RCTs) will be included.
We will include studies that contain data from pregnant
women with a diagnosis of asthma. Maternal asthma
could be defined as physician-diagnosed (whether
confirmed or subject self-report) or database-coded
asthma diagnosis.
The main exposure to review will be patient
characteristics that may act as risk factors/predictors
for exacerbation. These could include, but are not
limited to, demographic characteristics (e.g. age, race/
ethnicity), characteristics relating to the patients’ asthma
(e.g. severity, history, medications), other health-related
Page 3 of 5
Bokern et al. Systematic Reviews (2022) 11:115
characteristics (e.g. smoking, body mass index (BMI),
mental health, co-morbidities, concomitant medication
use, genetics) or characteristics of the pregnancy (e.g.
foetal sex, antenatal care type, parity, gestational weight
gain).
The outcome will be asthma exacerbations, defined
as exacerbations requiring medical intervention such
as hospitalisations, emergency department (ED) visits,
unscheduled physician visits or oral corticosteroid (OCS)
courses for asthma during pregnancy.
Data extraction
All studies that meet the inclusion criteria at the full-
text stage will have the following data extracted (where
available) and recorded in a standardised Microsoft Excel
form (Microsoft Corporation 2018):
• Study characteristics:
◦ Authors, year of publication, journal, country and
study design
◦ Inclusion and exclusion criteria
• Data source and time period of data collection
• Exacerbation definition
• Population characteristics by outcome status
◦ Maternal age
◦ BMI
◦ Smoking status
◦ Ethnicity
◦ Socio-economic status
◦ Comorbidities/co-medication (not including
asthma medication)
◦ Antenatal care
◦ Gestational age at recruitment
◦ Gestational weight gain
◦ Parity
◦ Singleton/multiple pregnancy
◦ Foetal sex
• Asthma characteristics by outcome status
◦ Pre-pregnancy asthma history (prior exacerbations)
◦ Asthma severity
◦ Asthma symptoms or control
◦ Asthma management skills
◦ Asthma medication
Data extraction will be performed by one reviewer
and checked by a second reviewer, a very thorough
process where every detail, including missed details,
is scrutinised, consistent with previously published
systematic reviews [27–30]. Discrepancies will be noted
and discussed by the reviewers until consensus is reached
or after discussion with a third reviewer.
Risk of bias assessment
Included studies will be assessed using the Newcastle
Ottawa Scale (NOS) [31] independently by two reviewers
for observational studies and the Cochrane Risk of Bias
(RoB) tool [32] will be used for RCTs. Quality scores
and RoB judgement will be recorded along with the
outcomes from data extraction. GRADE (Grading of
Recommendations, Assessment, Development and
Evaluations) will be used to determine certainty of the
meta-analysis results [33, 34].
Data synthesis and analysis
We will provide a narrative synthesis of the findings from
the included studies, structured around subject charac-
teristics and distribution of potential predictors and out-
comes. Meta-analyses will be conducted for risk factors
reported by two or more studies with comparable exacer-
bation definitions. The meta-analyses will follow standard
methodological guidelines to minimise inherent difficul-
ties caused by the diversity of individual studies based on
population characteristics, study designs and measured
outcomes. STATA 16.1 (StataCorp College Station, TX,
USA) will be used to calculate the relative risk of exacer-
bations for women with and without potential risk factors.
A random effects model will be used for dichotomous
outcomes to calculate relative risk with a 95% confidence
interval when greater than three studies are combined;
alternatively, a fixed effect model will be used. For con-
tinuous outcomes, mean difference will be calculated. For
studies reporting adjusted estimates, we will extract these
estimates along with the adjusting factors and, where pos-
sible, combine the adjusted estimates using the generic
inverse variance method.
Heterogeneity between studies will be assessed using
the chi-squared test (with P>0.1 indicating significant
heterogeneity), I2
parameter (where ­
I2
> 60% indicates
heterogeneity). Sub-analysis by active asthma man-
agement will be conducted for studies with significant
heterogeneity.
Publication bias will be assessed by inspecting a funnel
plot for asymmetry and with the Egger’s test for analyses
including ten studies or more. Potential publication bias
will be considered present if p<0.1.
Discussion
To our knowledge, this systematic review and meta-
analysis will be the first to synthesise the literature on
risk factors for asthma exacerbations during pregnancy.
The results of this review have the potential to improve
Page 4 of 5
Bokern et al. Systematic Reviews (2022) 11:115
antenatal asthma care for women with asthma who are
at risk of having an exacerbation during pregnancy, by
allowing early identification and increased monitoring or
management of asthma. Reducing the risk of these exac-
erbations may improve perinatal outcomes and infant
health.
This proposed review has a number of strengths.
Firstly, we will be using established guidelines and
bias assessment tools (PRISMA, MOOSE, NOS, the
Cochrane Risk of Bias tool and GRADE) to report our
findings and assess the quality of included studies. Sec-
ondly, we will primarily focus on clinically relevant risk
factors of asthma exacerbations such as obesity, smoking
status, mental health and asthma severity. Information
on these factors is routinely collected at antenatal visits;
therefore, the results of this review may assist healthcare
providers in identifying pregnant women with asthma
who are at risk of having an exacerbation without hav-
ing to collect additional information or perform any
additional tests. The results of this systematic review and
meta-analysis may inform future research into reducing
the risk of asthma exacerbations during pregnancy. This
review may form the basis of a clinical trial addressing a
treatable traits approach in order to reduce asthma exac-
erbations during pregnancy.
There is potential for high heterogeneity as a result of
including all pregnant women with asthma regardless of
doctor diagnosis or severity from any country. Limiting
our search strategy to English language articles is a
potential limitation. However, a previous systematic
review [27] indicates that the amount of information
missed due to language is likely to be very low.
Results of this systematic review and meta-analysis will
be presented at conferences and published in a relevant,
peer-reviewed journal.
Abbreviations
BMI: Body mass index; ED: Emergency department; MOOSE: Meta-Analysis of
Observational Studies in Epidemiology; NOS: Newcastle Ottawa Scale; OCS:
Oral corticosteroids; PRISMA: Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews
and Meta-Analysis; RCT​
: Randomised controlled trials.
Supplementary Information
The online version contains supplementary material available at https://​doi.​
org/​10.​1186/​s13643-​022-​01975-8.
Additional file 1. Search strategy example.
Acknowledgements
Not applicable.
Authors’contributions
MB was the main writer of the PROSPERO protocol registration and
contributed to the writing of this manuscript. ALR was the main writer of this
manuscript. MEJ was a major contributor to the design of the project. DB
was the statistical advisor for this project. KB was a major contributor to the
design of the project. VEM designed the study and oversaw all stages of this
manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
Funding
MEJ is supported by a Peggy Lang Hunter Children’s Research Foundation
Early Career Fellowship. KJB is funded by an Australian Lung Foundation COPD
Research Fellowship and received funding from NHMRC (APP1104645 and
APP1144941), and the John Hunter Charitable Trust. VEM received a Career
Development Fellowship from the NHMRC (grant no. APP1084816), the Gladys
M. Brawn Memorial Career Development Fellowship from the University
of Newcastle and the Medical Research Futures Fund Investigator Grant
(application ID 1196252). The authors alone are responsible for the content of
this protocol. No funding was received for the development of this protocol.
Availability of data and materials
Not applicable.
Declarations
Ethics approval and consent to participate
Not applicable.
Consent for publication
Not applicable.
Competing interests
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
Author details
1
Department of Pharmaco‑Therapy, Epidemiology and Economics, Univer-
sity of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands. 2
Priority Research Centre
for Healthy Lungs, University of Newcastle, New Lambton Heights, NSW, Aus-
tralia. 3
School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Newcastle, Newcas-
tle, NSW, Australia. 4
Hunter Medical Research Institute, University of Newcastle,
Level 2 West Wing, University Drive, Callaghan, NSW 2308, Australia.
Received: 17 February 2021 Accepted: 6 May 2022
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population-based study. ERJ Open Res. 2020;6:00295–2020. https://​doi.​
org/​10.​1183/​23120​541.​00295-​2020.
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s13643-022-01975-8.pdf

  • 1. Bokern et al. Systematic Reviews (2022) 11:115 https://doi.org/10.1186/s13643-022-01975-8 PROTOCOL Risk factors for asthma exacerbation during pregnancy: protocol for a systematic review and meta‑analysis Marleen P. Bokern1† , Annelies L. Robijn2,3,4† , Megan E. Jensen2,3,4 , Daniel Barker3,4 , Katherine J. Baines2,3,4 and Vanessa E. Murphy2,3,4*    Abstract Background: Asthma is the most common medical condition to affect pregnancy. Asthma exacerbations occur in up to 45% of pregnant women and have been associated with adverse perinatal and infant outcomes. Conflicting lit- erature exists regarding the risk factors for exacerbations, and no synthesis of the literature currently exists. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis aims to determine risk factors for asthma exacerbations during pregnancy among pregnant women with asthma. Methods: This protocol has been reported according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis protocols checklist. A systematic search will be conducted in the electronic MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL and Cochrane Clinical Trials Register databases (from January 2000 onwards). Eligibility of each publication will be determined based on predefined selection criteria. Prospective cohort studies, retrospective cohort studies, case-con- trol studies and randomised controlled trials (RCTs) will be included. Quality of included studies will be determined using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale and the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool. Pooled relative risk will be computed using random-effects meta-analyses. Heterogeneity will be assessed using the chi-squared test and the I2 parameter. Publi- cation bias will be assessed by inspecting a funnel plot for asymmetry and with the Egger’s test of analyses including ten studies or more. Discussion: The results of this systematic review and meta-analysis will discuss the potential risk factors for asthma exacerbations during pregnancy. This may aid healthcare professionals in early identification of pregnant women with asthma at risk of poor outcomes, providing the opportunity to implement early interventions in order to avoid deterioration of asthma symptoms during pregnancy. Systematic review registration: PROSPERO CRD42​02019​6190 Keywords: Asthma, Pregnancy, Risk factors ©The Author(s) 2022. Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made.The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder.To view a copy of this licence, visit http://​creat​iveco​mmons.​org/​licen​ses/​by/4.​0/.The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://​creat​iveco​ mmons.​org/​publi​cdoma​in/​zero/1.​0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data. Background Asthma is the most common medical condition in pregnancy, affecting about 12% of pregnant women in Australia. Pregnant women with asthma may experience worsening or improving asthma or may have no changes to their condition. Up to 45% of pregnant women with asthma have an asthma exacerbation requiring medical intervention during pregnancy Open Access † Marleen P. Bokern and Annelies L. Robijn are equal first authors. *Correspondence: Vanessa.Murphy@newcastle.edu.au 4 Hunter Medical Research Institute, University of Newcastle, Level 2 West Wing, University Drive, Callaghan, NSW 2308, Australia Full list of author information is available at the end of the article
  • 2. Page 2 of 5 Bokern et al. Systematic Reviews (2022) 11:115 [1]. Uncontrolled asthma and asthma exacerbations have been associated with increased risk of several adverse perinatal outcomes, such as spontaneous abortion [2], preeclampsia [3], and low birth weight [4]. Furthermore, uncontrolled asthma and exacerbations have been associated with poor infant respiratory health, including the development of asthma [3, 5, 6]. Several studies have identified patient-related risk factors for asthma exacerbations during pregnancy, such as maternal age [3, 7], smoking [2, 3, 8, 9], obesity [9–11] and anxiety and/or depression [9, 12]. Other studies have identified disease-related factors such as increasing asthma severity [1, 9, 13–15], lung function [14] and respiratory viral infections [1]. The risks of these factors vary between studies and other studies report no associations. A Danish study reported that clinically stable asthma, no exacerbation history and no prescription of ICS were associated with a decreased risk of exacerbations during pregnancy [16]. Another Danish study utilising the same study population reported excessive gestational weight gain in the first trimester as an important risk factor for asthma exacerbations [17]. The data on the impact of foetal sex on asthma exacerbations in pregnancy is conflicting with some studies indicating an increased risk when carrying a female foetus [18–20], whereas other studies report no association [3, 21, 22]. The majority of studies reporting risk factors of asthma exacerbations include relatively small study populations; therefore, it is important to combine all available studies in meta- analyses to determine pooled associations between the risk factors and asthma exacerbations. Given the association between asthma exacerbations in pregnancy and adverse perinatal and infant health outcomes, it is important to synthesise recent literature to identify risk factors which may be modifiable or allow early identification and additional monitoring of women at risk. Therefore, the aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to determine risk factors for asthma exacerbations during pregnancy among pregnant women with asthma. Methods This protocol has been registered with PROSPERO international prospective register of systematic reviews (registration number CRD42020196190) and has been reported following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis Protocol (PRISMA-P) [23]. The final review will be reported following the PRISMA statement [24] and the Meta- Analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) guidelines [25]. Information sources and search strategy We developed our search strategy with the support of a research and scholarly communication advisor. A search will be conducted of the electronic MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL and Cochrane Clinical Trials Register databases to identify articles for possible inclusion. The search terms with multipurpose indicators (asthma or wheeze) and (pregnan* or perinat* or obstet*) and (exacerb* or flare up or morbidit* or attack*) will be used to identify all potential studies for inclusion. The search will be limited to include studies conducted from 2000 to the present time to keep the review relevant to contemporary research. Only studies available as an English language publication will be considered for inclusion, due to limited resources for language translation. The reference lists of included studies will be searched by hand to identify cited articles not identified by the electronic search (Additional file 1). Study selection Two independent reviewers will screen the abstracts of all identified studies. Studies that are potential articles for inclusion in the review will be obtained in full-text for assessment by the same reviewers. Any disagreements at either stage of study selection will be resolved by consensus or referral to a third reviewer. Studies rejected at each stage of the review will be recorded, along with the reasons for their rejection at the full-text screening stage. The selection of studies will be performed using Covidence [26], a software designed for conducting systematic reviews. Eligibility Studies will be selected based on the following criteria of study population, exposure and outcome of interest. Studies published in English from the year 2000 will be included, to keep the review relevant to contemporary research (20 years look back period from protocol development time). Prospective cohort studies, retrospective cohort studies, case-control studies and randomised controlled trials (RCTs) will be included. We will include studies that contain data from pregnant women with a diagnosis of asthma. Maternal asthma could be defined as physician-diagnosed (whether confirmed or subject self-report) or database-coded asthma diagnosis. The main exposure to review will be patient characteristics that may act as risk factors/predictors for exacerbation. These could include, but are not limited to, demographic characteristics (e.g. age, race/ ethnicity), characteristics relating to the patients’ asthma (e.g. severity, history, medications), other health-related
  • 3. Page 3 of 5 Bokern et al. Systematic Reviews (2022) 11:115 characteristics (e.g. smoking, body mass index (BMI), mental health, co-morbidities, concomitant medication use, genetics) or characteristics of the pregnancy (e.g. foetal sex, antenatal care type, parity, gestational weight gain). The outcome will be asthma exacerbations, defined as exacerbations requiring medical intervention such as hospitalisations, emergency department (ED) visits, unscheduled physician visits or oral corticosteroid (OCS) courses for asthma during pregnancy. Data extraction All studies that meet the inclusion criteria at the full- text stage will have the following data extracted (where available) and recorded in a standardised Microsoft Excel form (Microsoft Corporation 2018): • Study characteristics: ◦ Authors, year of publication, journal, country and study design ◦ Inclusion and exclusion criteria • Data source and time period of data collection • Exacerbation definition • Population characteristics by outcome status ◦ Maternal age ◦ BMI ◦ Smoking status ◦ Ethnicity ◦ Socio-economic status ◦ Comorbidities/co-medication (not including asthma medication) ◦ Antenatal care ◦ Gestational age at recruitment ◦ Gestational weight gain ◦ Parity ◦ Singleton/multiple pregnancy ◦ Foetal sex • Asthma characteristics by outcome status ◦ Pre-pregnancy asthma history (prior exacerbations) ◦ Asthma severity ◦ Asthma symptoms or control ◦ Asthma management skills ◦ Asthma medication Data extraction will be performed by one reviewer and checked by a second reviewer, a very thorough process where every detail, including missed details, is scrutinised, consistent with previously published systematic reviews [27–30]. Discrepancies will be noted and discussed by the reviewers until consensus is reached or after discussion with a third reviewer. Risk of bias assessment Included studies will be assessed using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale (NOS) [31] independently by two reviewers for observational studies and the Cochrane Risk of Bias (RoB) tool [32] will be used for RCTs. Quality scores and RoB judgement will be recorded along with the outcomes from data extraction. GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations) will be used to determine certainty of the meta-analysis results [33, 34]. Data synthesis and analysis We will provide a narrative synthesis of the findings from the included studies, structured around subject charac- teristics and distribution of potential predictors and out- comes. Meta-analyses will be conducted for risk factors reported by two or more studies with comparable exacer- bation definitions. The meta-analyses will follow standard methodological guidelines to minimise inherent difficul- ties caused by the diversity of individual studies based on population characteristics, study designs and measured outcomes. STATA 16.1 (StataCorp College Station, TX, USA) will be used to calculate the relative risk of exacer- bations for women with and without potential risk factors. A random effects model will be used for dichotomous outcomes to calculate relative risk with a 95% confidence interval when greater than three studies are combined; alternatively, a fixed effect model will be used. For con- tinuous outcomes, mean difference will be calculated. For studies reporting adjusted estimates, we will extract these estimates along with the adjusting factors and, where pos- sible, combine the adjusted estimates using the generic inverse variance method. Heterogeneity between studies will be assessed using the chi-squared test (with P>0.1 indicating significant heterogeneity), I2 parameter (where ­ I2 > 60% indicates heterogeneity). Sub-analysis by active asthma man- agement will be conducted for studies with significant heterogeneity. Publication bias will be assessed by inspecting a funnel plot for asymmetry and with the Egger’s test for analyses including ten studies or more. Potential publication bias will be considered present if p<0.1. Discussion To our knowledge, this systematic review and meta- analysis will be the first to synthesise the literature on risk factors for asthma exacerbations during pregnancy. The results of this review have the potential to improve
  • 4. Page 4 of 5 Bokern et al. Systematic Reviews (2022) 11:115 antenatal asthma care for women with asthma who are at risk of having an exacerbation during pregnancy, by allowing early identification and increased monitoring or management of asthma. Reducing the risk of these exac- erbations may improve perinatal outcomes and infant health. This proposed review has a number of strengths. Firstly, we will be using established guidelines and bias assessment tools (PRISMA, MOOSE, NOS, the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool and GRADE) to report our findings and assess the quality of included studies. Sec- ondly, we will primarily focus on clinically relevant risk factors of asthma exacerbations such as obesity, smoking status, mental health and asthma severity. Information on these factors is routinely collected at antenatal visits; therefore, the results of this review may assist healthcare providers in identifying pregnant women with asthma who are at risk of having an exacerbation without hav- ing to collect additional information or perform any additional tests. The results of this systematic review and meta-analysis may inform future research into reducing the risk of asthma exacerbations during pregnancy. This review may form the basis of a clinical trial addressing a treatable traits approach in order to reduce asthma exac- erbations during pregnancy. There is potential for high heterogeneity as a result of including all pregnant women with asthma regardless of doctor diagnosis or severity from any country. Limiting our search strategy to English language articles is a potential limitation. However, a previous systematic review [27] indicates that the amount of information missed due to language is likely to be very low. Results of this systematic review and meta-analysis will be presented at conferences and published in a relevant, peer-reviewed journal. Abbreviations BMI: Body mass index; ED: Emergency department; MOOSE: Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology; NOS: Newcastle Ottawa Scale; OCS: Oral corticosteroids; PRISMA: Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis; RCT​ : Randomised controlled trials. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at https://​doi.​ org/​10.​1186/​s13643-​022-​01975-8. Additional file 1. Search strategy example. Acknowledgements Not applicable. Authors’contributions MB was the main writer of the PROSPERO protocol registration and contributed to the writing of this manuscript. ALR was the main writer of this manuscript. MEJ was a major contributor to the design of the project. DB was the statistical advisor for this project. KB was a major contributor to the design of the project. VEM designed the study and oversaw all stages of this manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript. Funding MEJ is supported by a Peggy Lang Hunter Children’s Research Foundation Early Career Fellowship. KJB is funded by an Australian Lung Foundation COPD Research Fellowship and received funding from NHMRC (APP1104645 and APP1144941), and the John Hunter Charitable Trust. VEM received a Career Development Fellowship from the NHMRC (grant no. APP1084816), the Gladys M. Brawn Memorial Career Development Fellowship from the University of Newcastle and the Medical Research Futures Fund Investigator Grant (application ID 1196252). The authors alone are responsible for the content of this protocol. No funding was received for the development of this protocol. Availability of data and materials Not applicable. Declarations Ethics approval and consent to participate Not applicable. Consent for publication Not applicable. Competing interests The authors declare that they have no competing interests. Author details 1 Department of Pharmaco‑Therapy, Epidemiology and Economics, Univer- sity of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands. 2 Priority Research Centre for Healthy Lungs, University of Newcastle, New Lambton Heights, NSW, Aus- tralia. 3 School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Newcastle, Newcas- tle, NSW, Australia. 4 Hunter Medical Research Institute, University of Newcastle, Level 2 West Wing, University Drive, Callaghan, NSW 2308, Australia. Received: 17 February 2021 Accepted: 6 May 2022 References 1. Murphy VE, Gibson P, Talbot PI, Clifton V. Severe asthma exacerbations during pregnancy. Obstet Gynecol. 2005;106:1046–54. 2. Yland JJ, Bateman BT, Huybrechts KF, Brill G, Schatz MX, Wurst KE, et al. Perinatal outcomes associated with maternal asthma and its severity and control during pregnancy. J Allergy Clin Immunol Pract. 2020;8:1928– 1937.e3. https://​doi.​org/​10.​1016/j.​jaip.​2020.​01.​016. 3. Abdullah K, Zhu J, Gershon A, Dell S, To T. Effect of asthma exacerba- tion during pregnancy in women with asthma: a population-based cohort study. Eur Respir J. 2019;55. https://​doi.​org/​10.​1183/​13993​003.​ 01335-​2019. 4. Namazy JA, Murphy VE, Powell H, Gibson PG, Chambers C, Schatz M. Effects of asthma severity, exacerbations and oral corticosteroids on perinatal outcomes. Eur Respir J. 2013;41:1082–90. 5. Martel MJ, Rey É, Beauchesne MF, Malo JL, Perreault S, Forget A, et al. Control and severity of asthma during pregnancy are associated with asthma incidence in offspring: two-stage case-control study. Eur Respir J. 2009;34:579–87. 6. Liu X, Agerbo E, Schlünssen V, Wright RJ, Li J, Munk-Olsen T. Maternal asthma severity and control during pregnancy and risk of offspring asthma. J Allergy Clin Immunol. 2018;141:886–892.e3. 7. 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