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Industry Insights:
Capital Markets
Q2 2016
Highlights
Credit providers vigorously pursued well-structured offerings by middle-market
issuers throughout the second quarter
Demand for new issuance was driven by a strong crossover bid, a build-up of credit
fund “dry powder” and modestly growthful macroeconomic conditions
Acquisitive middle-market issuers capitalized on lenders’ increased risk appetite
by entering into attractively priced and structured financings, including facilities
consisting of both immediately drawn and open ended acquisition tranches
While U.S. monetary policy took center stage briefly in June, weak labor market data
kept the Fed largely on hold throughout the quarter
The dramatic rally in Treasury yields (and other safe haven assets) triggered by the
“Brexit” referendum at quarter’s end, augurs well for further improvement in domestic
credit market conditions
Middle-market issuers enjoyed another quarter of strong demand from credit providers.
Competition among lenders for new offerings triggered a rally in pricing, covenant protection,
and, in particular, prepayment terms. Further, leverage levels moved up by approximately a
half turn of EBITDA over the prior quarter.
Investment demand was strong among most genres of private market participants, in
particular credit funds approaching investment period limits. Crossover interest from high-
yield and leveraged loan buyers, resulting from a modest pace of large cap deals, added
further to competition for middle-market new issuance.
We observed a marked increase in risk appetite this quarter among commercial banks in
transactions offered by Duff & Phelps. Conversely, we noted continued tepid demand from
the mainstream BDC community.
Opportunistic borrowers have increasingly called on us to provide financing in support
of contemplated bolt-on acquisitions. Such financings oftentimes are structured as dual-
tranche facilities that include both an immediately drawn portion and an unfunded acquisition
line. The combination of attractively priced debt and modest macroeconomic growth
suggests continued activity of this type in the coming quarter.
We believe market conditions for middle-market issuers are compelling. Attractive base
interest rates, credit spreads, leverage levels and prepayment terms allow issuers to
craft contracts tailored to reflect idiosyncratic priorities. While exogenous risks—“Brexit”
contagion, energy supply disruptions, terrorist attacks—remain chronic concerns, risk
appetite among credit providers continues to be keen.
Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016
Executive Summary
Duff & Phelps	  2
Indicative Middle-Market Credit Parameters
Leverage Multiples EBITDA of $10MM - $20MM EBITDA of $20MM - $50MM
Senior Debt
2.50x - 3.50x
2.25x - 3.25x
3.00x - 4.00x
2.50x - 3.50x
Total Debt
4.00x - 4.50x
3.75x - 4.25x
4.50x - 5.50x
4.00x - 5.00x
Pricing EBITDA of $10MM - $20MM EBITDA of $20MM - $50MM
First Lien
Libor + 2.75% - 3.50% (bank)
Libor + 3.00% - 4.00% (bank)
Libor + 4.00% - 6.00% (non-bank)
Libor + 2.50% - 3.25% (bank)
Libor + 2.75% - 3.50% (bank)
Libor + 4.00% - 6.00% (non-bank)
Second Lien Libor + 6.50% - 9.50% Libor + 6.00% - 9.00%
Subordinated Debt 11.00% - 13.00% 10.00% - 12.00%
Unitranche Libor + 6.50% - 9.00% Libor + 6.00% - 8.50%
Note: Data in red reflects change vs. Q1, if applicable.
New Issuance
The number of high-yield issuances this quarter
reflected a modest decline in activity. (However,
dollar volume improved due to a handful of
aberrational large offerings). The number, and,
to a greater extent, dollar volume of new loan
issuance improved this quarter as a result of
pent up demand and increasing risk appetite.
Total High-Yield Bond Issuance
Duff & Phelps	  3
0
2Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12
Number of Deals
111.2
90.9 88.1
124.8
103.2
90.9
82.6
113.5
104.8
59.1
72.8
116.3
105.2
52.2
Total Bond Volume ($B)
109.2
133.8
$0
$50
$100
$150
2Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12
100
200
300
400
500
137141
158
220
312
327
290282283
302
362
344347
370
320
409
Total Loan Issuance
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
2Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12
Number of Deals
319.7
506.3
596.1
531.6
543.8
467.7
587.1
450.0
592.6
386.7
591.3
532.2 539.6
356.9
592.2
808
1,123
887
1,103
1,014
1,047
959
1,116
994
1,033
864
1,071
985
757
850
Total Loan Volume ($B)
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
490.4
784
Source: SDC Platinum
Source: SDC Platinum
Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016
New Issuance - Continued
Duff & Phelps	  4
Total Loan Issuance (EBITDA < $50MM)CLO issuance rebounded to levels seen
in the third and fourth quarters of last
year, in terms of both number and volume.
Leveraged loan funds remained largely
constant. High-yield bond funds, however,
continued to experience net outflows.
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
2Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12
Number of Deals
140.1
259.6
295.1
213.4
244.2
263.5
282.1
198.9
227.0
148.0
263.3
207.2
226.5
160.0
254.9
618
868 856
771
664
796
754
774
869
659
767
668
798
744
589
645
Total Loan Volume ($B)
500
750
1,000
1,250
220.1
591
669
Source: SDC Platinum
High-Yield Bond Mutual Fund Flows
($20)
($15)
($10)
($5)
0
$5
$10
$15
Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16
Total Fund Flows ($B)
Source: Investment Company Institute
Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016
New Issuance - Continued
Duff & Phelps	  5
Leveraged Loan Mutual Fund Flows
($8)
($4)
$0
$4
$8
$12
Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16
Total Fund Flows ($B)
Source: Lipper FMI
Total CLO Issuance
2Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12
Number of Issuances
26.3
24.6
22.6
38.3
32.4
30.7 30.8
28.6
18.9 19.6
8.2
18.0
16.0 17.0
Total Volume ($B)
23.6
10.7
26
46
52
34
36
45
53
69
63
58 57
55
36
40 42
20
$0 0
20
40
60
80
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
Source: SDC Platinum
Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016
Yields
U.S. Corporate High-Yield Bonds & Leveraged Loans
2 Year vs. 10 Year Treasury Spread
Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016
Yields on high-yield bonds and leveraged
loans rallied 90 bps and 80 bps, respectively,
during the quarter. Modestly positive
economic growth, benign monetary policy
and tepid labor market conditions all
contributed to the rally. The rally accelerated
sharply in the last two weeks of the quarter on
the heels of the “Brexit” vote and subsequent
flight to quality.
Spreads between high-yield bonds and
leveraged loans tightened significantly since
the yield spike at the beginning of 2016.
Spreads narrowed approximately 145 bps
since January, as the risk of fixed rate versus
floating rate debt diminished.
The spread between the two year and the
ten year Treasury yields narrowed further,
reflecting the expectation of a continued low
interest rate environment.
Yield
4.5%
5.5%
6.5%
7.5%
10.5%
9.5%
8.5%
Jun-12
Barclays U.S. Corporate High-Yield
S&P/LSDA U.S. Leveraged Loan 100 All Loans
Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16
Spread (bps)
Duff & Phelps	  6
Source: SDC Platinum
Source: SDC Platinum
Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
Yield 2 year
5 year
10 year
Yields - Continued
Duff & Phelps	  7
2, 5, and 10 Year Treasury Yields
Acquisition Financing/Dividend Recapitalization
Leverage multiples for middle-market
change-of-control financings regained
the recent highs seen in the second half
of 2015. While traditional senior lenders
generally held to leverage levels of the
prior quarter, second lien and subordinated
lenders increased total leverage appetite by
approximately half a turn of EBITDA.
Leverage Multiples (EBITDA < $50MM)
First Lien
Second Lien
Subordinated
4.3x 4.4x
4.9x 4.7x
5.3x
4.5x
4.7x
5.1x 5.2x
4.8x 4.8x
4.4x
5.6x
4.9x
5.7x
5.5x
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 1Q164Q15
Debt/EBITDA Multiple
2Q16
Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016
Source: SDC Platinum
Source: SDC Platinum
2Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12
Total Loan Volume ($B)
$0.0
$15.0
$20.0
$25.0
$10.0
$5.0
1Q16
$14.7
$9.5
$16.2 $16.7
$13.0
$3.9
$8.8
$6.3
$14.0
$0.2
$13.7
$21.3
$10.5
$2.2
$14.6
$15.3
2.72.62.7
2.72.8
409
2Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12
Total M&A Volume ($B)
$0.0
$6.0
$8.0
$10.0
$4.0
$2.0
1.0
2.6
1.8
3.4
4.2
5.0
1Q16
Number of Deals (Thousands)
$5.9
$6.5
$6.8
$7.3 $7.1
$5.9
$8.8
$6.7
$5.5
$4.1
$7.1
$4.5
$9.5
$5.6
$6.3
$5.1
2.6
2.7
2.3
2.5
2.4
2.62.7
2.42.5 2.6
2.7
2.1
2.8
2.1
2.62.6
409
Acquisition Financing/Dividend Recapitalization - Continued
Leveraged recapitalizations resurfaced
this quarter, after two quarters of de
minimis activity. Exit constraints (most
notably, a tepid IPO environment)
combined with strong credit conditions
suggest a strong environment for recaps
in the coming quarter.
Source: SDC Platinum
Middle-Market M&A Volume (Target EBITDA < $50MM)
Loan Issuance for Dividend Recapitalizations
Duff & Phelps	  8
Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016
Source: SDC Platinum
Macroeconomic Update
U.S. Real GDP Growth
Duff & Phelps	  9
Muted hiring, in conjunction with low inflation
readings, hampered the Fed’s plans for a
June rate hike. The Fed remains data driven,
with markets now expecting just one rate
hike this year.
The U.S. economy grew at a 2.1% rate in the
quarter, representing a modest improvement
over the prior quarter. Equity markets were
volatile, particularly in June, but indexes
ultimately increased approximately 1.5%, on
average. Meanwhile, commodities continued
the rally begun in the first quarter, with gold
and oil prices up 18% and 7%, respectively.
In spite of significant volatility, most notably
in June, the quarter ended positively.
The recent referendum in Great Britain to
exit the European Union, surprised investors
(and policy makers). The “Brexit” vote
triggered a dramatic flight to traditional safe
haven assets, resulting in sharp rallies in
U.S. Treasury and precious metal markets,
in particular. M&A activity, as well as bank
lending, in the UK has already slowed,
pending further policy clarity. (At this writing,
the contemplated pace of UK decoupling
from the EU is slowing, with market
conditions having already largely reverted to
pre-“Brexit” circumstances).
Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16
0.5%
0.0%
1.0%
1.5%
4.0%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
GDP Growth Rate
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016
For more information please visit:
www.duffandphelps.com
About Duff & Phelps
Duff & Phelps is the premier global valuation and corporate finance advisor with expertise in complex valuation, dispute and legal management
consulting, M&A, restructuring, and compliance and regulatory consulting. The firm’s more than 2,000 employees serve a diverse range of
clients from offices around the world.
M&A advisory, capital raising and secondary market advisory services in the United States are provided by Duff & Phelps Securities, LLC.
Member FINRA/SIPC. Pagemill Partners is a Division of Duff & Phelps Securities, LLC. M&A advisory and capital raising advisory services
are provided in a number of European countries through Duff & Phelps Securities Ltd, UK, which includes branches in Ireland and Germany.
Duff & Phelps Securities Ltd, UK, is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
Contact Us
Duff & Phelps 	 Copyright © 2016 Duff & Phelps LLC. All rights reserved.
U.S. Contacts
Michael Brill
Head of U.S. Private Capital Markets
+1 212 871 5179
michael.brill@duffandphelps.com
Bob Bartell, CFA
Global Head of Corporate Finance
+1 312 697 4654
bob.bartell@duffandphelps.com
Steve Burt
Global Head of M&A
+1 312 697 4620
steve.burt@duffandphelps.com
Dave Althoff
Global Co-head of Industrials M&A
+1 312 697 4625
david.althoff@duffandphelps.com
Josh Benn
Global Head of Consumer, Retail, Food,
and Restaurants
+1 212 450 2840
josh.benn@duffandphelps.com
Brian Cullen
Head of U.S. Restructuring
+1 424 249 1645
brian.cullen@duffandphelps.com
Brooks Dexter
Global Head of Healthcare M&A
+1 424 249 1646
brooks.dexter@duffandphelps.com
Kevin Iudicello
Managing Director, Technology M&A
+1 650 354 4065
kiudicello@pmib.com
Jon Melzer
Global Co-head of Industrials M&A
+1 212 450 2866
jon.melzer@duffandphelps.com
Jim Rebello
Global Head of Energy M&A
+1 713 986 9318
james.rebello@duffandphelps.com
Canadian Contacts
Ross Fletcher
Head of Canada M&A
+1 416 361 2588
ross.fletcher@duffandphelps.com
Brian Pawluck
Managing Director, Canada Restructuring
+1 416 364 9756
brian.pawluck@duffandphelps.com
UK Contact
Ken Goldsbrough
Managing Director, European Debt
Advisory
+44 (0) 20 7089 4890
ken.goldsbrough@duffandphelps.com
Global Capital Markets Commitment
Duff & Phelps provides our clients worldwide institutional investor coverage, with dedicated Capital Markets teams resident in New York,
London and Hong Kong. Our comprehensive footprint allows us to access capital in all geographies and across the panoply of investment
strategies.

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Capital Markets Insights - Q2 2016

  • 1. Industry Insights: Capital Markets Q2 2016 Highlights Credit providers vigorously pursued well-structured offerings by middle-market issuers throughout the second quarter Demand for new issuance was driven by a strong crossover bid, a build-up of credit fund “dry powder” and modestly growthful macroeconomic conditions Acquisitive middle-market issuers capitalized on lenders’ increased risk appetite by entering into attractively priced and structured financings, including facilities consisting of both immediately drawn and open ended acquisition tranches While U.S. monetary policy took center stage briefly in June, weak labor market data kept the Fed largely on hold throughout the quarter The dramatic rally in Treasury yields (and other safe haven assets) triggered by the “Brexit” referendum at quarter’s end, augurs well for further improvement in domestic credit market conditions
  • 2. Middle-market issuers enjoyed another quarter of strong demand from credit providers. Competition among lenders for new offerings triggered a rally in pricing, covenant protection, and, in particular, prepayment terms. Further, leverage levels moved up by approximately a half turn of EBITDA over the prior quarter. Investment demand was strong among most genres of private market participants, in particular credit funds approaching investment period limits. Crossover interest from high- yield and leveraged loan buyers, resulting from a modest pace of large cap deals, added further to competition for middle-market new issuance. We observed a marked increase in risk appetite this quarter among commercial banks in transactions offered by Duff & Phelps. Conversely, we noted continued tepid demand from the mainstream BDC community. Opportunistic borrowers have increasingly called on us to provide financing in support of contemplated bolt-on acquisitions. Such financings oftentimes are structured as dual- tranche facilities that include both an immediately drawn portion and an unfunded acquisition line. The combination of attractively priced debt and modest macroeconomic growth suggests continued activity of this type in the coming quarter. We believe market conditions for middle-market issuers are compelling. Attractive base interest rates, credit spreads, leverage levels and prepayment terms allow issuers to craft contracts tailored to reflect idiosyncratic priorities. While exogenous risks—“Brexit” contagion, energy supply disruptions, terrorist attacks—remain chronic concerns, risk appetite among credit providers continues to be keen. Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016 Executive Summary Duff & Phelps   2 Indicative Middle-Market Credit Parameters Leverage Multiples EBITDA of $10MM - $20MM EBITDA of $20MM - $50MM Senior Debt 2.50x - 3.50x 2.25x - 3.25x 3.00x - 4.00x 2.50x - 3.50x Total Debt 4.00x - 4.50x 3.75x - 4.25x 4.50x - 5.50x 4.00x - 5.00x Pricing EBITDA of $10MM - $20MM EBITDA of $20MM - $50MM First Lien Libor + 2.75% - 3.50% (bank) Libor + 3.00% - 4.00% (bank) Libor + 4.00% - 6.00% (non-bank) Libor + 2.50% - 3.25% (bank) Libor + 2.75% - 3.50% (bank) Libor + 4.00% - 6.00% (non-bank) Second Lien Libor + 6.50% - 9.50% Libor + 6.00% - 9.00% Subordinated Debt 11.00% - 13.00% 10.00% - 12.00% Unitranche Libor + 6.50% - 9.00% Libor + 6.00% - 8.50% Note: Data in red reflects change vs. Q1, if applicable.
  • 3. New Issuance The number of high-yield issuances this quarter reflected a modest decline in activity. (However, dollar volume improved due to a handful of aberrational large offerings). The number, and, to a greater extent, dollar volume of new loan issuance improved this quarter as a result of pent up demand and increasing risk appetite. Total High-Yield Bond Issuance Duff & Phelps   3 0 2Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12 Number of Deals 111.2 90.9 88.1 124.8 103.2 90.9 82.6 113.5 104.8 59.1 72.8 116.3 105.2 52.2 Total Bond Volume ($B) 109.2 133.8 $0 $50 $100 $150 2Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12 100 200 300 400 500 137141 158 220 312 327 290282283 302 362 344347 370 320 409 Total Loan Issuance $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 2Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12 Number of Deals 319.7 506.3 596.1 531.6 543.8 467.7 587.1 450.0 592.6 386.7 591.3 532.2 539.6 356.9 592.2 808 1,123 887 1,103 1,014 1,047 959 1,116 994 1,033 864 1,071 985 757 850 Total Loan Volume ($B) 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 490.4 784 Source: SDC Platinum Source: SDC Platinum Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016
  • 4. New Issuance - Continued Duff & Phelps   4 Total Loan Issuance (EBITDA < $50MM)CLO issuance rebounded to levels seen in the third and fourth quarters of last year, in terms of both number and volume. Leveraged loan funds remained largely constant. High-yield bond funds, however, continued to experience net outflows. $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 2Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12 Number of Deals 140.1 259.6 295.1 213.4 244.2 263.5 282.1 198.9 227.0 148.0 263.3 207.2 226.5 160.0 254.9 618 868 856 771 664 796 754 774 869 659 767 668 798 744 589 645 Total Loan Volume ($B) 500 750 1,000 1,250 220.1 591 669 Source: SDC Platinum High-Yield Bond Mutual Fund Flows ($20) ($15) ($10) ($5) 0 $5 $10 $15 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Total Fund Flows ($B) Source: Investment Company Institute Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016
  • 5. New Issuance - Continued Duff & Phelps   5 Leveraged Loan Mutual Fund Flows ($8) ($4) $0 $4 $8 $12 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Total Fund Flows ($B) Source: Lipper FMI Total CLO Issuance 2Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12 Number of Issuances 26.3 24.6 22.6 38.3 32.4 30.7 30.8 28.6 18.9 19.6 8.2 18.0 16.0 17.0 Total Volume ($B) 23.6 10.7 26 46 52 34 36 45 53 69 63 58 57 55 36 40 42 20 $0 0 20 40 60 80 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 Source: SDC Platinum Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016
  • 6. Yields U.S. Corporate High-Yield Bonds & Leveraged Loans 2 Year vs. 10 Year Treasury Spread Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016 Yields on high-yield bonds and leveraged loans rallied 90 bps and 80 bps, respectively, during the quarter. Modestly positive economic growth, benign monetary policy and tepid labor market conditions all contributed to the rally. The rally accelerated sharply in the last two weeks of the quarter on the heels of the “Brexit” vote and subsequent flight to quality. Spreads between high-yield bonds and leveraged loans tightened significantly since the yield spike at the beginning of 2016. Spreads narrowed approximately 145 bps since January, as the risk of fixed rate versus floating rate debt diminished. The spread between the two year and the ten year Treasury yields narrowed further, reflecting the expectation of a continued low interest rate environment. Yield 4.5% 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% 10.5% 9.5% 8.5% Jun-12 Barclays U.S. Corporate High-Yield S&P/LSDA U.S. Leveraged Loan 100 All Loans Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Spread (bps) Duff & Phelps   6 Source: SDC Platinum Source: SDC Platinum
  • 7. Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% Yield 2 year 5 year 10 year Yields - Continued Duff & Phelps   7 2, 5, and 10 Year Treasury Yields Acquisition Financing/Dividend Recapitalization Leverage multiples for middle-market change-of-control financings regained the recent highs seen in the second half of 2015. While traditional senior lenders generally held to leverage levels of the prior quarter, second lien and subordinated lenders increased total leverage appetite by approximately half a turn of EBITDA. Leverage Multiples (EBITDA < $50MM) First Lien Second Lien Subordinated 4.3x 4.4x 4.9x 4.7x 5.3x 4.5x 4.7x 5.1x 5.2x 4.8x 4.8x 4.4x 5.6x 4.9x 5.7x 5.5x 0.0x 1.0x 2.0x 3.0x 4.0x 5.0x 6.0x 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 1Q164Q15 Debt/EBITDA Multiple 2Q16 Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016 Source: SDC Platinum Source: SDC Platinum
  • 8. 2Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12 Total Loan Volume ($B) $0.0 $15.0 $20.0 $25.0 $10.0 $5.0 1Q16 $14.7 $9.5 $16.2 $16.7 $13.0 $3.9 $8.8 $6.3 $14.0 $0.2 $13.7 $21.3 $10.5 $2.2 $14.6 $15.3 2.72.62.7 2.72.8 409 2Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q12 Total M&A Volume ($B) $0.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $4.0 $2.0 1.0 2.6 1.8 3.4 4.2 5.0 1Q16 Number of Deals (Thousands) $5.9 $6.5 $6.8 $7.3 $7.1 $5.9 $8.8 $6.7 $5.5 $4.1 $7.1 $4.5 $9.5 $5.6 $6.3 $5.1 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.62.7 2.42.5 2.6 2.7 2.1 2.8 2.1 2.62.6 409 Acquisition Financing/Dividend Recapitalization - Continued Leveraged recapitalizations resurfaced this quarter, after two quarters of de minimis activity. Exit constraints (most notably, a tepid IPO environment) combined with strong credit conditions suggest a strong environment for recaps in the coming quarter. Source: SDC Platinum Middle-Market M&A Volume (Target EBITDA < $50MM) Loan Issuance for Dividend Recapitalizations Duff & Phelps   8 Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016 Source: SDC Platinum
  • 9. Macroeconomic Update U.S. Real GDP Growth Duff & Phelps   9 Muted hiring, in conjunction with low inflation readings, hampered the Fed’s plans for a June rate hike. The Fed remains data driven, with markets now expecting just one rate hike this year. The U.S. economy grew at a 2.1% rate in the quarter, representing a modest improvement over the prior quarter. Equity markets were volatile, particularly in June, but indexes ultimately increased approximately 1.5%, on average. Meanwhile, commodities continued the rally begun in the first quarter, with gold and oil prices up 18% and 7%, respectively. In spite of significant volatility, most notably in June, the quarter ended positively. The recent referendum in Great Britain to exit the European Union, surprised investors (and policy makers). The “Brexit” vote triggered a dramatic flight to traditional safe haven assets, resulting in sharp rallies in U.S. Treasury and precious metal markets, in particular. M&A activity, as well as bank lending, in the UK has already slowed, pending further policy clarity. (At this writing, the contemplated pace of UK decoupling from the EU is slowing, with market conditions having already largely reverted to pre-“Brexit” circumstances). Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 0.5% 0.0% 1.0% 1.5% 4.0% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% GDP Growth Rate Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Capital Markets Industry Insights – Q2 2016
  • 10. For more information please visit: www.duffandphelps.com About Duff & Phelps Duff & Phelps is the premier global valuation and corporate finance advisor with expertise in complex valuation, dispute and legal management consulting, M&A, restructuring, and compliance and regulatory consulting. The firm’s more than 2,000 employees serve a diverse range of clients from offices around the world. M&A advisory, capital raising and secondary market advisory services in the United States are provided by Duff & Phelps Securities, LLC. Member FINRA/SIPC. Pagemill Partners is a Division of Duff & Phelps Securities, LLC. M&A advisory and capital raising advisory services are provided in a number of European countries through Duff & Phelps Securities Ltd, UK, which includes branches in Ireland and Germany. Duff & Phelps Securities Ltd, UK, is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Contact Us Duff & Phelps Copyright © 2016 Duff & Phelps LLC. All rights reserved. U.S. Contacts Michael Brill Head of U.S. Private Capital Markets +1 212 871 5179 michael.brill@duffandphelps.com Bob Bartell, CFA Global Head of Corporate Finance +1 312 697 4654 bob.bartell@duffandphelps.com Steve Burt Global Head of M&A +1 312 697 4620 steve.burt@duffandphelps.com Dave Althoff Global Co-head of Industrials M&A +1 312 697 4625 david.althoff@duffandphelps.com Josh Benn Global Head of Consumer, Retail, Food, and Restaurants +1 212 450 2840 josh.benn@duffandphelps.com Brian Cullen Head of U.S. Restructuring +1 424 249 1645 brian.cullen@duffandphelps.com Brooks Dexter Global Head of Healthcare M&A +1 424 249 1646 brooks.dexter@duffandphelps.com Kevin Iudicello Managing Director, Technology M&A +1 650 354 4065 kiudicello@pmib.com Jon Melzer Global Co-head of Industrials M&A +1 212 450 2866 jon.melzer@duffandphelps.com Jim Rebello Global Head of Energy M&A +1 713 986 9318 james.rebello@duffandphelps.com Canadian Contacts Ross Fletcher Head of Canada M&A +1 416 361 2588 ross.fletcher@duffandphelps.com Brian Pawluck Managing Director, Canada Restructuring +1 416 364 9756 brian.pawluck@duffandphelps.com UK Contact Ken Goldsbrough Managing Director, European Debt Advisory +44 (0) 20 7089 4890 ken.goldsbrough@duffandphelps.com Global Capital Markets Commitment Duff & Phelps provides our clients worldwide institutional investor coverage, with dedicated Capital Markets teams resident in New York, London and Hong Kong. Our comprehensive footprint allows us to access capital in all geographies and across the panoply of investment strategies.