The Nifty index closed lower by 38 points due to last hour selling pressure, forming a long bearish candle on the daily chart. This indicates ongoing negative bias as the index has broken below its 50-day simple moving average of 10730. If the Nifty remains below this level, it could decline further to 10700-10650, but a move above 10830 could trigger a short pullback rally to 10880-10930. Technical indicators like the RSI and Stochastic are also moving downward below their reference lines, keeping the short-term outlook negative.
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Daily Technical Report:14 February 2019
1. Technical View (Equity)
Daily call
Index CMP % up/dn S2 S1 P R1 R2
Nifty 10,793.65 -0.35% 10700 10745 10820 10865 10940
Sensex 36034.11 -0.33% 35710 35875 36125 36285 36535
Nifty Daily Chart
Comments:
Nifty opened with an upward gap and witnessed consolidation for most part of the session. However
last hour selling pressure in second half dragged index lower to close near the day's low. Nifty closed at
10794 with a loss of 38 points.
On the daily chart the index has formed a long bearish candle forming lower High-Low compare to
previous session indicating negative bias. Nifty has broken its 50 day SMA which indicates weakness
ahead. The index is moving in a Lower Top and Lower Bottom formation on the daily chart indicating
negative bias. The chart pattern suggests that if Nifty breaks and sustains below 10730 levels it would
witness selling which would lead the index towards 10700-10650 levels. However if index crosses above
10830 level it would witness pullback rally which would take the index towards 10880-10930 levels.
Nifty is trading below 20 and 50 day SMAs which are important short term moving average, indicating
negative bias in the short term. Nifty continues to remain in a downtrend in the short term, so exit on
small pullback rallies to be our preferred strategy.
The daily strength indicator RSI and momentum oscillator Stochastic both are moving downwards and
are below their respective reference lines indicating negative bias
2. The trend deciding level for the day is 10820. If NIFTY trades above this level then we may witness a
further rally up to 10865-10940-10985 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below 10820 levels then we may
see some profit booking initiating in the market, which may correct up to 10745-10700-10625 levels
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