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Bozhidar Radev
Viktor Stoychev
Aleksandar Goranov
Aleksandar Aleksandrov
1

Description
14% 2%
84%
Agribusiness
Storage and Processing
Trade and ExportSource: www.agriabg.com
2
Source of Revenue:

Business Model
Source: www.agriabg.com 3

Markets
Spain
Italy
Greece
Turkey
Germany
Albania
Source: www.agriabg.com
4

Holding Structure
Source: www.agriabg.com
5

 Operational risk
 Seasonality
 Price risk
 Currency risk
Risks
6

Corporate Governance
7

8
Global Grain Demand

9
Global Grain Price

Financials
10

The Quality of Earnings
11
Liquidity
TTM Q2 2016
TTM Q1 2016 TTM Q4 2015 TTM Q3 2015 TTM Q2 2015
Current Ratio :
1.24 1.30 1.35 1.43 1.39
Quick Ratio :
0.73 0.76 0.78 0.82 0.79
Cash Ratio :
0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
Working Capital : 22 409.75
BGN
25 244.75
BGN
25 712.50
BGN
27 804.50
BGN
23 052.25
BGN
Change in WC : (2 835.00)
BGN
(467.75)
BGN
(2 092.00)
BGN
4 752.25
BGN
1 824.75
BGN
Non-Cash WC : 19 906.75
BGN
21 787.75
BGN
21 910.75
BGN
23 853.25
BGN
19 125.25
BGN

Returns
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
TTM
Q1
2012
TTM
Q2
2012
TTM
Q3
2012
TTM
Q4
2012
TTM
Q1
2013
TTM
Q2
2013
TTM
Q3
2013
TTM
Q4
2013
TTM
Q1
2014
TTM
Q2
2014
TTM
Q3
2014
TTM
Q4
2014
TTM
Q1
2015
TTM
Q2
2015
TTM
Q3
2015
TTM
Q4
2015
TTM
Q1
2016
TTM
Q2
2016
Return on Assets : Return on Equity (not adj. for Pref S) : Return on Retained Earnings (RORE) :
*Source: Own Research
12

Company Liquidity
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
TTM
Q1
2012
TTM
Q2
2012
TTM
Q3
2012
TTM
Q4
2012
TTM
Q1
2013
TTM
Q2
2013
TTM
Q3
2013
TTM
Q4
2013
TTM
Q1
2014
TTM
Q2
2014
TTM
Q3
2014
TTM
Q4
2014
TTM
Q1
2015
TTM
Q2
2015
TTM
Q3
2015
TTM
Q4
2015
TTM
Q1
2016
TTM
Q2
2016
Thousands(BGN)
Total Debt : Total Equity :
0.65 0.69
0.79
0.91 1.03 1.11 1.09 1.06 0.99 0.99 0.96 0.91 0.89
0.85 0.87
0.96 1.04
1.10
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
TTM
Q1
2012
TTM
Q2
2012
TTM
Q3
2012
TTM
Q4
2012
TTM
Q1
2013
TTM
Q2
2013
TTM
Q3
2013
TTM
Q4
2013
TTM
Q1
2014
TTM
Q2
2014
TTM
Q3
2014
TTM
Q4
2014
TTM
Q1
2015
TTM
Q2
2015
TTM
Q3
2015
TTM
Q4
2015
TTM
Q1
2016
TTM
Q2
2016
DEBT TO EQUITY
13

Equity/Total Assets
49%
47%
44%
42%
40% 39%
39%
40% 41%
42% 42% 43%
43% 43%
42%
41% 39%
39%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
TTM
Q 1
2 0 1 2
TTM
Q 2
2 0 1 2
TTM
Q 3
2 0 1 2
TTM
Q 4
2 0 1 2
TTM
Q 1
2 0 1 3
TTM
Q 2
2 0 1 3
TTM
Q 3
2 0 1 3
TTM
Q 4
2 0 1 3
TTM
Q 1
2 0 1 4
TTM
Q 2
2 0 1 4
TTM
Q 3
2 0 1 4
TTM
Q 4
2 0 1 4
TTM
Q 1
2 0 1 5
TTM
Q 2
2 0 1 5
TTM
Q 3
2 0 1 5
TTM
Q 4
2 0 1 5
TTM
Q 1
2 0 1 6
TTM
Q 2
2 0 1 6
*Source: Own Research
14

Net Debt/EBITDA
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
TTM
Q1
2012
TTM
Q2
2012
TTM
Q3
2012
TTM
Q4
2012
TTM
Q1
2013
TTM
Q2
2013
TTM
Q3
2013
TTM
Q4
2013
TTM
Q1
2014
TTM
Q2
2014
TTM
Q3
2014
TTM
Q4
2014
TTM
Q1
2015
TTM
Q2
2015
TTM
Q3
2015
TTM
Q4
2015
TTM
Q1
2016
TTM
Q2
2016
*Source: Own Research 15

Agria Emerging Europe
P/S 0.43 1.74 0.54
P/E 4.45 71.36 31.22
Enterprise
Value/EBITDA 8.52 14.63 9.48
Peer Comparison
*Source: Domodaran online, own research
16

Cash Conversion Cycle
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
TTM Q2 2012 TTM Q4 2012 TTM Q2 2013 TTM Q4 2013 TTM Q2 2014 TTM Q4 2014 TTM Q2 2015 TTM Q4 2015 TTM Q2 2016
A/R days : Inventory days : A/P days : W.C. days : CCC
*Source: Own Research 17
Days
Quarters

18

 Any Questions?
19
Thank you for your
attention!

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