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©1987-­‐2015	
  by	
  Cantor	
  &	
  Company	
  -­‐	
  RiskMap®	
  is	
  a	
  Registered	
  Trademark	
  of	
  Cantor	
  &	
  Company	
  -­‐	
  All	
  
Rights	
  Reserved	
  	
  Cantor	
  &	
  Company	
  has	
  assigned	
  the	
  Rights	
  to	
  use	
  RiskMap	
  in	
  risk	
  analysis	
  to	
  Risk	
  
Analysis	
  Services	
  LLC	
  
1	
  
	
  
RiskMap®	
  Analyses	
  Help	
  Control	
  Costs!	
  
By	
  Alan	
  B.	
  Cantor	
  	
  
(How	
  RiskMap®	
  Led	
  to	
  Huge	
  Savings/Reduced	
  Reserves	
  by	
  Improved	
  Driver	
  Training)	
  
VP	
  Corporate	
  Risk	
  Manager	
  for	
  Laidlaw	
  Jeff	
  Cassell	
  was	
  preparing	
  to	
  call	
  his	
  actuary	
  for	
  their	
  quarterly	
  
appointment.	
  Mr.	
  Cassell	
  was	
  ready	
  to	
  report	
  that	
  he	
  now	
  had	
  some	
  new	
  insights	
  about	
  operational	
  
losses.	
  	
  And	
  he	
  wanted	
  to	
  discuss	
  these	
  projecting	
  losses	
  in	
  a	
  new	
  and	
  more	
  informed	
  manner	
  with	
  his	
  
actuary.	
  
	
  
BACKGROUND:	
  Laidlaw	
  operated	
  over	
  50,000	
  school	
  busses	
  for	
  districts	
  in	
  the	
  US	
  and	
  Canada.	
  As	
  Mr.	
  
Cassell	
  surveyed	
  his	
  realm,	
  gaining	
  control	
  of	
  risk	
  meant	
  safely	
  picking	
  up	
  and	
  delivering	
  students	
  to	
  
school	
  and	
  then	
  returning	
  them	
  home	
  safely.	
  It	
  also	
  meant	
  that	
  sporting	
  events,	
  field	
  trips	
  and	
  other	
  
extra-­‐curricular	
  program	
  participants	
  were	
  transported	
  successfully	
  as	
  planned,	
  without	
  schedule	
  
glitches	
  or	
  unfortunate	
  occurrences.	
  
	
  
Laidlaw’s	
  risk	
  management	
  department	
  did	
  a	
  very	
  good	
  and	
  efficient	
  job	
  compiling	
  incident	
  reports,	
  
processing	
  claims	
  and	
  creating	
  policies	
  and	
  procedures	
  to	
  support	
  driver	
  safety	
  training;	
  nevertheless,	
  
Mr.	
  Cassell	
  felt	
  he	
  had	
  no	
  control	
  over,	
  or	
  understanding	
  of,	
  the	
  loss	
  costs.	
  	
  The	
  risk	
  management	
  group	
  
generated	
  data	
  for	
  their	
  actuaries’	
  loss	
  projections,	
  but	
  had	
  no	
  basis	
  to	
  provide	
  either	
  meaningful	
  insight	
  
nor	
  display	
  any	
  convincing	
  control	
  over	
  operational	
  behavior.	
  	
  He	
  had	
  huge	
  concerns	
  every	
  time	
  the	
  
actuary	
  was	
  due	
  to	
  re-­‐calculate	
  the	
  loss	
  forecasts,	
  knowing	
  that	
  increases	
  in	
  the	
  loss	
  cost	
  directly	
  
reduced	
  the	
  company’s	
  earnings.	
  Millions	
  of	
  dollars	
  of	
  reserves	
  could	
  be	
  added	
  to	
  Laidlaw’s	
  balance	
  
sheet	
  when	
  the	
  actuaries’	
  trend	
  and	
  loss	
  projections	
  were	
  delivered.	
  
	
  	
  
All	
  of	
  this	
  changed	
  after	
  Mr.	
  Cassell	
  participated	
  in	
  a	
  National	
  RIMS	
  Conference,	
  where	
  he	
  attended	
  one	
  
of	
  Alan	
  Cantor’s	
  presentations	
  on	
  Quantitative	
  Analysis	
  of	
  Risk.	
  
	
  
Mr.	
  Cantor	
  presented	
  to	
  the	
  risk	
  professionals	
  several	
  case	
  study	
  examples	
  which	
  reflected	
  
methodologies	
  on	
  how	
  they	
  could	
  gain	
  much	
  better	
  control	
  over	
  their	
  cost	
  of	
  risk.	
  	
  He	
  portrayed	
  how,	
  if	
  
they	
  were	
  to	
  continuously	
  evaluate	
  their	
  risks	
  in	
  a	
  more	
  systematic	
  and	
  intensive	
  manner,	
  utilizing	
  
advanced	
  quantitative	
  analytical	
  tools,	
  they	
  could	
  achieve	
  superior	
  results.	
  	
  	
  When	
  applied	
  properly	
  with	
  
the	
  appropriate	
  expertise,	
  the	
  resulting	
  analyses	
  offered	
  insights	
  to	
  better	
  understand	
  the	
  true	
  cost	
  of	
  
their	
  organization’s	
  operational	
  risks.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
 
	
  
©1987-­‐2015	
  by	
  Cantor	
  &	
  Company	
  -­‐	
  RiskMap®	
  is	
  a	
  Registered	
  Trademark	
  of	
  Cantor	
  &	
  Company	
  -­‐	
  All	
  
Rights	
  Reserved	
  	
  Cantor	
  &	
  Company	
  has	
  assigned	
  the	
  Rights	
  to	
  use	
  RiskMap	
  in	
  risk	
  analysis	
  to	
  Risk	
  
Analysis	
  Services	
  LLC	
  
2	
  
	
  
Cantor’s	
  analysis	
  provided	
  the	
  risk	
  managers	
  with	
  the	
  knowledge	
  and	
  data	
  to	
  better	
  work	
  with	
  their	
  
actuaries	
  and	
  underwriters,	
  to	
  achieve	
  dramatically	
  improved	
  results.	
  With	
  Cantor’s	
  help	
  they	
  were	
  now	
  
able	
  to	
  better	
  understand	
  the	
  key	
  risk	
  drivers	
  in	
  their	
  operational	
  behavior.	
  
	
  
THE	
  PROCESS:	
  Jeff	
  Cassell	
  was	
  intrigued.	
  He	
  began	
  envisioning	
  ways	
  to	
  implement	
  changes	
  at	
  Laidlaw	
  
that	
  would	
  drive	
  down	
  their	
  enterprise	
  risk	
  cost	
  with	
  Cantor’s	
  processes	
  and	
  guidance.	
  	
  
	
  
Mr.	
  Cantor	
  was	
  initially	
  engaged	
  to	
  help	
  systematically	
  assess,	
  quantify	
  and	
  gauge	
  training	
  effectiveness	
  
for	
  the	
  driver	
  safety	
  courses	
  that	
  were	
  prepared	
  for	
  various	
  school	
  districts.	
  	
  RiskMap®	
  analyses,	
  
Cantor’s	
  proprietary	
  analytical	
  tool	
  for	
  auditable	
  deep	
  dives	
  for	
  actionable	
  insights	
  into	
  masses	
  of	
  data,	
  
established	
  baseline	
  metrics.	
  Through	
  successive	
  monthly	
  analyses,	
  Mr.	
  Cassell	
  and	
  his	
  team	
  were	
  able	
  
to	
  document	
  	
  the	
  impact	
  of	
  new	
  training	
  methods	
  and	
  protocols	
  in	
  dollars.	
  	
  This	
  significantly	
  facilitated	
  
and	
  expedited	
  the	
  flow	
  of	
  Best	
  Practices	
  throughout	
  the	
  organization.	
  	
  Laidlaw	
  gained	
  better	
  knowledge	
  
and	
  control	
  of	
  actual	
  loss	
  costs.	
  Mr.	
  Cassell	
  convinced	
  the	
  actuaries	
  that	
  the	
  reduced	
  loss	
  costs	
  resulted	
  
from	
  their	
  carefully	
  crafted	
  and	
  continuously	
  refined	
  and	
  improved	
  driver-­‐safety	
  intervention	
  programs.	
  	
  
The	
  changes	
  were	
  systemic,	
  on-­‐going	
  and	
  statistically	
  verifiable	
  through	
  	
  RiskMap®	
  built-­‐in	
  audit	
  
trails.	
  	
  With	
  Cantor’s	
  help,	
  Laidlaw’s	
  risk	
  management	
  department	
  was	
  able	
  to	
  document	
  the	
  cause-­‐and-­‐
effect	
  relationship	
  between	
  driver-­‐safety	
  programs	
  and	
  the	
  dual	
  objectives	
  of	
  greater	
  control	
  over	
  risk	
  
and	
  reduced	
  loss	
  cost.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Over	
  time,	
  the	
  benefits	
  were	
  manifold.	
  	
  	
  Data	
  systems	
  were	
  reviewed.	
  	
  New	
  methodologies	
  were	
  
introduced.	
  	
  Optimal	
  data	
  flows	
  were	
  mapped.	
  	
  New	
  protocols	
  to	
  continuously	
  validate	
  the	
  data	
  were	
  
implemented.	
  	
  These	
  new	
  analytical	
  processes	
  facilitated	
  Jeff	
  Cassell’s	
  ability	
  to	
  better	
  understand,	
  
document	
  and	
  demonstrate	
  the	
  cost	
  effectiveness	
  of	
  his	
  department’s	
  initiatives.	
  	
  In	
  time,	
  he	
  was	
  able	
  
to	
  obtain	
  full	
  top	
  management	
  and	
  Board	
  approval	
  to	
  increase	
  Laidlaw’s	
  SIR	
  by	
  a	
  factor	
  of	
  5.	
  	
  Insurance	
  
underwriters,	
  who	
  experienced	
  the	
  breathtaking	
  changes	
  in	
  enterprise	
  risk	
  culture,	
  acknowledged	
  this	
  
new	
  paradigm.	
  	
  They	
  changed	
  how	
  they	
  competed	
  for	
  Laidlaw’s	
  business.	
  Because	
  of	
  the	
  new	
  form	
  of	
  
continuous	
  risk	
  analysis	
  introduced	
  by	
  Cantor,	
  Mr.	
  Cassell	
  was	
  able	
  to	
  successfully	
  negotiate	
  a	
  controlled	
  
multi-­‐year	
  release	
  of	
  millions	
  of	
  dollars	
  in	
  reserves.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Moreover,	
  because	
  of	
  the	
  empowerment	
  of	
  the	
  risk	
  management	
  department	
  that	
  followed	
  successes	
  
attained	
  under	
  Cantor's	
  guidance,	
  these	
  relationships	
  changed	
  for	
  the	
  better.	
  	
  According	
  to	
  Mr.	
  Cassell,	
  
“We	
  were	
  no	
  longer	
  at	
  the	
  mercy	
  of	
  the	
  actuary.”	
  	
  The	
  relationship	
  with	
  the	
  actuary	
  transformed	
  into	
  a	
  
partnership	
  that	
  validated	
  the	
  changes	
  that	
  risk	
  management	
  brought	
  to	
  the	
  entire	
  Laidlaw	
  
organization.	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  

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How RiskMap® Analyses of Driver Training Reduced Reserves by Millions

  • 1.     ©1987-­‐2015  by  Cantor  &  Company  -­‐  RiskMap®  is  a  Registered  Trademark  of  Cantor  &  Company  -­‐  All   Rights  Reserved    Cantor  &  Company  has  assigned  the  Rights  to  use  RiskMap  in  risk  analysis  to  Risk   Analysis  Services  LLC   1     RiskMap®  Analyses  Help  Control  Costs!   By  Alan  B.  Cantor     (How  RiskMap®  Led  to  Huge  Savings/Reduced  Reserves  by  Improved  Driver  Training)   VP  Corporate  Risk  Manager  for  Laidlaw  Jeff  Cassell  was  preparing  to  call  his  actuary  for  their  quarterly   appointment.  Mr.  Cassell  was  ready  to  report  that  he  now  had  some  new  insights  about  operational   losses.    And  he  wanted  to  discuss  these  projecting  losses  in  a  new  and  more  informed  manner  with  his   actuary.     BACKGROUND:  Laidlaw  operated  over  50,000  school  busses  for  districts  in  the  US  and  Canada.  As  Mr.   Cassell  surveyed  his  realm,  gaining  control  of  risk  meant  safely  picking  up  and  delivering  students  to   school  and  then  returning  them  home  safely.  It  also  meant  that  sporting  events,  field  trips  and  other   extra-­‐curricular  program  participants  were  transported  successfully  as  planned,  without  schedule   glitches  or  unfortunate  occurrences.     Laidlaw’s  risk  management  department  did  a  very  good  and  efficient  job  compiling  incident  reports,   processing  claims  and  creating  policies  and  procedures  to  support  driver  safety  training;  nevertheless,   Mr.  Cassell  felt  he  had  no  control  over,  or  understanding  of,  the  loss  costs.    The  risk  management  group   generated  data  for  their  actuaries’  loss  projections,  but  had  no  basis  to  provide  either  meaningful  insight   nor  display  any  convincing  control  over  operational  behavior.    He  had  huge  concerns  every  time  the   actuary  was  due  to  re-­‐calculate  the  loss  forecasts,  knowing  that  increases  in  the  loss  cost  directly   reduced  the  company’s  earnings.  Millions  of  dollars  of  reserves  could  be  added  to  Laidlaw’s  balance   sheet  when  the  actuaries’  trend  and  loss  projections  were  delivered.       All  of  this  changed  after  Mr.  Cassell  participated  in  a  National  RIMS  Conference,  where  he  attended  one   of  Alan  Cantor’s  presentations  on  Quantitative  Analysis  of  Risk.     Mr.  Cantor  presented  to  the  risk  professionals  several  case  study  examples  which  reflected   methodologies  on  how  they  could  gain  much  better  control  over  their  cost  of  risk.    He  portrayed  how,  if   they  were  to  continuously  evaluate  their  risks  in  a  more  systematic  and  intensive  manner,  utilizing   advanced  quantitative  analytical  tools,  they  could  achieve  superior  results.      When  applied  properly  with   the  appropriate  expertise,  the  resulting  analyses  offered  insights  to  better  understand  the  true  cost  of   their  organization’s  operational  risks.        
  • 2.     ©1987-­‐2015  by  Cantor  &  Company  -­‐  RiskMap®  is  a  Registered  Trademark  of  Cantor  &  Company  -­‐  All   Rights  Reserved    Cantor  &  Company  has  assigned  the  Rights  to  use  RiskMap  in  risk  analysis  to  Risk   Analysis  Services  LLC   2     Cantor’s  analysis  provided  the  risk  managers  with  the  knowledge  and  data  to  better  work  with  their   actuaries  and  underwriters,  to  achieve  dramatically  improved  results.  With  Cantor’s  help  they  were  now   able  to  better  understand  the  key  risk  drivers  in  their  operational  behavior.     THE  PROCESS:  Jeff  Cassell  was  intrigued.  He  began  envisioning  ways  to  implement  changes  at  Laidlaw   that  would  drive  down  their  enterprise  risk  cost  with  Cantor’s  processes  and  guidance.       Mr.  Cantor  was  initially  engaged  to  help  systematically  assess,  quantify  and  gauge  training  effectiveness   for  the  driver  safety  courses  that  were  prepared  for  various  school  districts.    RiskMap®  analyses,   Cantor’s  proprietary  analytical  tool  for  auditable  deep  dives  for  actionable  insights  into  masses  of  data,   established  baseline  metrics.  Through  successive  monthly  analyses,  Mr.  Cassell  and  his  team  were  able   to  document    the  impact  of  new  training  methods  and  protocols  in  dollars.    This  significantly  facilitated   and  expedited  the  flow  of  Best  Practices  throughout  the  organization.    Laidlaw  gained  better  knowledge   and  control  of  actual  loss  costs.  Mr.  Cassell  convinced  the  actuaries  that  the  reduced  loss  costs  resulted   from  their  carefully  crafted  and  continuously  refined  and  improved  driver-­‐safety  intervention  programs.     The  changes  were  systemic,  on-­‐going  and  statistically  verifiable  through    RiskMap®  built-­‐in  audit   trails.    With  Cantor’s  help,  Laidlaw’s  risk  management  department  was  able  to  document  the  cause-­‐and-­‐ effect  relationship  between  driver-­‐safety  programs  and  the  dual  objectives  of  greater  control  over  risk   and  reduced  loss  cost.         Over  time,  the  benefits  were  manifold.      Data  systems  were  reviewed.    New  methodologies  were   introduced.    Optimal  data  flows  were  mapped.    New  protocols  to  continuously  validate  the  data  were   implemented.    These  new  analytical  processes  facilitated  Jeff  Cassell’s  ability  to  better  understand,   document  and  demonstrate  the  cost  effectiveness  of  his  department’s  initiatives.    In  time,  he  was  able   to  obtain  full  top  management  and  Board  approval  to  increase  Laidlaw’s  SIR  by  a  factor  of  5.    Insurance   underwriters,  who  experienced  the  breathtaking  changes  in  enterprise  risk  culture,  acknowledged  this   new  paradigm.    They  changed  how  they  competed  for  Laidlaw’s  business.  Because  of  the  new  form  of   continuous  risk  analysis  introduced  by  Cantor,  Mr.  Cassell  was  able  to  successfully  negotiate  a  controlled   multi-­‐year  release  of  millions  of  dollars  in  reserves.         Moreover,  because  of  the  empowerment  of  the  risk  management  department  that  followed  successes   attained  under  Cantor's  guidance,  these  relationships  changed  for  the  better.    According  to  Mr.  Cassell,   “We  were  no  longer  at  the  mercy  of  the  actuary.”    The  relationship  with  the  actuary  transformed  into  a   partnership  that  validated  the  changes  that  risk  management  brought  to  the  entire  Laidlaw   organization.