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Health in the developing world

  Nicholas Li, University of Toronto



         February 20, 2013
Proven nutritional interventions


    Iron ($7): seven months of iron supplements in Indonesia increases
    self-employed earnings by 30% for anemic males

    Deworming ($0.25): children receiving 2-3 years of extra deworming
    in Kenya go to school 0.3 years longer, at ages 19-26 work 12% more
    hours and earn 20% more

    Iodine ($0.62): when given to pregnant women in Tanzania increased
    child schooling 0.3-0.5 years (vs. 4-5 average)

    Vitamin A to prevent night-blindness, breast-feeding until six months

What doesn’t work: subsidized grains
Proven infectious illness interventions


    Insecticide-treated malaria bednets ($14, lasts 5 years ): child growing
    up malaria free earns up to 50% more over their lifetime

    Chlorin ($0.18/month): purify water

    Oral rehydration solution (almost free): can significantly reduce
    deaths from diarrhea/dehydration

    Vaccinations ($3.30): “basic package” of polio, diphtheria,
    tuberculosis, pertussis, measles, tetanus

    HIV/AIDs: condoms, anti-retrovirals (but not cheap)
Low-hanging fruit not being picked!


    Bednets: only 47% of children use them in Kenya

    ORS: only given to 1/3 of children in India with diarrhea

    Chlorin: only 10% of households in Zambia use it

    Vaccination: 2-3 million children die from preventable disease each
    year, vaccination rates low in some countries (only 80% coverage
    globally)

    Iron supplements, iodine, deworming not widely used in developing
    world

Take-up of these things is not very income-sensitive
Do the poor care?



   Non-trivial share of household budgets spent on health: 5%-8%

   Households sell valuable assets and incur substantial debt, at high
   interest rates, to seek treatment

   Although many public resources are free, they are underused

   Instead spend money on traditional medicine, private doctors who
   prescribe steroids, IV drips and antibiotics as “treatment”
Why low take-up?


   Low quality and utilization of public services: absenteeism (as
   high as 50% in some countries), private medicine unregulated

   Information: difficult to learn about what works in health

   Trust/belief: hence trust in authorities is key, but often low among
   poor

   Procrastination: current costs but future benefits

   Inequality within household: who makes decisions and who
   benefits?
The way forward: social engineering and “nudges”


    Subsidies: take-up price-sensitive, free vs. (low) cost

    Convenience: increase chlorin use in Kenya from 10% to 50% with
    free public chlorin dispenser at point-of-source and paid local
    promoter

    Bribery: achieved almost universal vaccination by offering free food,
    steel plates for completing vaccination course

    Incentive-compatible government intervention: mandating
    micronutrients added to desirable food products

Information/awareness only goes so far...
WE are not so different

A little paternalism goes a long way

    How much do we really know about nutrition? And how much do we
    optimize for health?

    Information about cigarettes vs. taxes/smoking bans

    Vaccines and autism

    Chronic/hard to treat conditions: chiropracty/homeopathy

    Who decides? US abortion debate

Many health decisions made for us: micronutrients added to food,
chlorine and fluoride added to water, mandatory sanitation and
vaccinations, regulation of doctors, etc.
HIV/AIDS

   Relevant information: in Kenya, telling girls that HIV rates are
   higher for older men is more effective at reducing teen pregnancy,
   dropouts than “ABC” (abstinence, be faithful and use condoms)

   Bribery: in Tanzania, conditional cash transfer of $20 subject to
   negative tests over 12 months substantially reduced prevalence 31%

   Behavioral response and moral hazard: ART availability increases
   risky behavior, but lowers transmission risk → latter effect dominates

   ARTs and development: increase subjective perception of life
   expectancy, improved mental health (including of HIV negative) and
   increase savings, education

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Wealth and health in Africa Nicholas Li

  • 1. Health in the developing world Nicholas Li, University of Toronto February 20, 2013
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Proven nutritional interventions Iron ($7): seven months of iron supplements in Indonesia increases self-employed earnings by 30% for anemic males Deworming ($0.25): children receiving 2-3 years of extra deworming in Kenya go to school 0.3 years longer, at ages 19-26 work 12% more hours and earn 20% more Iodine ($0.62): when given to pregnant women in Tanzania increased child schooling 0.3-0.5 years (vs. 4-5 average) Vitamin A to prevent night-blindness, breast-feeding until six months What doesn’t work: subsidized grains
  • 8. Proven infectious illness interventions Insecticide-treated malaria bednets ($14, lasts 5 years ): child growing up malaria free earns up to 50% more over their lifetime Chlorin ($0.18/month): purify water Oral rehydration solution (almost free): can significantly reduce deaths from diarrhea/dehydration Vaccinations ($3.30): “basic package” of polio, diphtheria, tuberculosis, pertussis, measles, tetanus HIV/AIDs: condoms, anti-retrovirals (but not cheap)
  • 9. Low-hanging fruit not being picked! Bednets: only 47% of children use them in Kenya ORS: only given to 1/3 of children in India with diarrhea Chlorin: only 10% of households in Zambia use it Vaccination: 2-3 million children die from preventable disease each year, vaccination rates low in some countries (only 80% coverage globally) Iron supplements, iodine, deworming not widely used in developing world Take-up of these things is not very income-sensitive
  • 10. Do the poor care? Non-trivial share of household budgets spent on health: 5%-8% Households sell valuable assets and incur substantial debt, at high interest rates, to seek treatment Although many public resources are free, they are underused Instead spend money on traditional medicine, private doctors who prescribe steroids, IV drips and antibiotics as “treatment”
  • 11. Why low take-up? Low quality and utilization of public services: absenteeism (as high as 50% in some countries), private medicine unregulated Information: difficult to learn about what works in health Trust/belief: hence trust in authorities is key, but often low among poor Procrastination: current costs but future benefits Inequality within household: who makes decisions and who benefits?
  • 12. The way forward: social engineering and “nudges” Subsidies: take-up price-sensitive, free vs. (low) cost Convenience: increase chlorin use in Kenya from 10% to 50% with free public chlorin dispenser at point-of-source and paid local promoter Bribery: achieved almost universal vaccination by offering free food, steel plates for completing vaccination course Incentive-compatible government intervention: mandating micronutrients added to desirable food products Information/awareness only goes so far...
  • 13. WE are not so different A little paternalism goes a long way How much do we really know about nutrition? And how much do we optimize for health? Information about cigarettes vs. taxes/smoking bans Vaccines and autism Chronic/hard to treat conditions: chiropracty/homeopathy Who decides? US abortion debate Many health decisions made for us: micronutrients added to food, chlorine and fluoride added to water, mandatory sanitation and vaccinations, regulation of doctors, etc.
  • 14. HIV/AIDS Relevant information: in Kenya, telling girls that HIV rates are higher for older men is more effective at reducing teen pregnancy, dropouts than “ABC” (abstinence, be faithful and use condoms) Bribery: in Tanzania, conditional cash transfer of $20 subject to negative tests over 12 months substantially reduced prevalence 31% Behavioral response and moral hazard: ART availability increases risky behavior, but lowers transmission risk → latter effect dominates ARTs and development: increase subjective perception of life expectancy, improved mental health (including of HIV negative) and increase savings, education