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Is Twitter a Public Sphere for Online Conflicts?
A Cross-Ideological and Cross-Hierarchical Look
Zhe Liu1, Pennsylvania State University, @zliupsu
Ingmar Weber, Qatar Computing Research Institute, @ingmarweber
1 This work was done while interning at Qatar Computing Research Institute
MOTIVATION
• Cyber-optimists
– Open and unrestricted conversations
• Cyber- pessimists
– Ideological bias
– Hierarchical bias
MOTIVATION
• Goal
– Empirically understand whether Twitter creates a public
sphere for democratic debates?
– How do people on different sides of ideological trenches
engage with each other on Twitter?
– How much does social stratification matter in this process?
– How universal are such patterns across different types of
polarized conflicts
RESEARCH FRAMEWORK
DATA COLLECTION
1. Start from three pairs of seed nodes
@AlqassamBrigade vs. @IDFSpokesperson, @ TheDemocrats vs. @GOP, @FCBarcelona_es vs. @realmadrid
2. Obtained its latest 3,200 tweets
3. Identified up to 100 of its retweeters and labeled them as likely supporters.
4. Remove mediators and neutral interveners if retweet from both sides
5. Split collected users into 4 social hierarchical groups based on number of followers,
including: the top 1%, the 1% - 10%, 10% - 70%, and 70% - 100% users.
LABEL VALIDATION
• Crowdsourcing using
CrowdFlower
• Assigning 100
random users in
each ideology to the
HIT workers
• Average accuracy of
96.2%.
DATA STATISTICS
Conflict # Users #Intra-
Mentions
#Inter-
Mentions
#Intra-
Retweets
#Inter-
Retweets
PA – IL 9,937 42,471 3,772 135,784 1,057
DEM – REP 17,869 105,557 16,927 471,291 3,330
FCB – RMCF 28,218 47,924 7,996 104,875 13,093
• 226,239 Twitter users with over 400 million tweets collected
• Only extracted tweets containing cross- or within-ideological
interactions
DESCRIPTIVE RESULTS
Inter-ideological (below) and intra-ideological (above) communication across hierarchies for the PA-IL dataset.
• Most of the cross-ideological mentions are for the top 1%
users.
• Bottommost hierarchical level maintain the highest probability
of initiating a mention of the top 1% of users.
EQUALITY
Participation
Type
(# of mentions)
#Users with Intra-ideological Mentions #Users with Inter-ideological Mentions
1% 1%-10% 10%-70% 70-100% 1% 1%-10% 10%-70% 70-100%
One time (1) 1 (1.1%) 35 (4.3%) 435 (9.5%) 359 (19.6%) 6 (19.4%) 32 (20.5%) 198 (20.9%) 110 (24.8%)
Light (2-5) 6 (6.8%) 95 (11.8%) 1002 (21.8%) 579 (31.7%) 8 (25.8%) 42 (26.9%) 292 (30.9%) 147 (33.2%)
Medium (6-20) 16 (18.2%) 220 (27.2%) 1307 (28.5%) 485 (26.5%) 8 (25.8%) 37 (23.7%) 239 (25.3%) 95 (21.4%)
Heavy (21-79) 31 (35.2%) 274 (33.9%) 1117 (24.4%) 307 (16.8%) 7 (22.6%) 30 (19.2%) 172 (18.2%) 66 (14.9%)
Very Heavy (80+) 34 (38.6%) 184 (22.8%) 726 (15.8%) 99 (5.4%) 2 (6.5%) 15 (9.6%) 45 (4.8%) 25 (5.6%)
• Total number of mentions across-hierarchies
• Top 1% users involved in more intra-ideological conversations
• All hierarchical groups, except the bottom 30% users participate
equally in cross-ideological conversations.
Equality of participation across social hierarchies for the PA-IL dataset
DIVERSITY
• ANOVA tests on External-internal (E-I) index
• Political datasets, people in the second social hierarchical group
are more insular toward ideological-foes. In contrast, the
bottom hierarchy exhibited the highest tendency towards inter-
ideological communications.
• Sports dataset, the bottom users more willing to interact within
their own camps.
• All E-I indexes were less than 0, indicating individual’s
preferences of talking to their ideological-friends.
RECIPROCITY
• ANOVA tests on maximum length of inter and intra-ideological
conversations.
• When talking to friends with higher social status, people tended
to show greater reciprocity.
• Only conversations initiated by users from the bottom 30% had
significantly less back and forth exchanges in cross-ideological
conversations.
QUALITY
Openness of Attitude
Agree A tweet that agrees with the other user or shows
similar opinions on the covered material.
Neutral A tweet that is neutral in nature, neither in obvious
agreement or disagreement.
Disagree A tweet that disagrees with (or critiques) the other
user (or the party him/her supports) or shows
different opinions on the covered material.
Insult or
Sarcasm
A tweet that can be regarded as a derogatory
message, such as curses, insults, personal abuse,
sarcasm or words that indicated pejorative speak.
Off-Topic A tweet that is totally unrelated to the conflict.
Unclear A tweet that is does not fall into any of the above
categories.
Rationality of Argument
Highly
rational
The user used information from external sources and
with statements based on facts or data, etc.
Rational The user claimed based on his/her viewpoint and with
fair and logical argument to support the statement.
Irrational The user claimed based on subjective arguments
with-out any kind of validation or presentation of
facts.
OPENNESS OF ATTITUDE
Conflict Agree Insult Neutral Off-Topic Unclear Disagree
Highly-
rational
Rational Irrational
PA-IL 1.1% 7.2% 1.6% 1.1% 18.1% 4.1% 63.7% 3.0%
DEM-REP 3.4% 8.4% 1.7% 2.0% 9.2% 4.7% 67.6% 3.0%
Statistics on inter-ideological communication types and rationality.
• Majority of the inter-ideological conversations in the sports dataset are off-topic
chit-chats
• 70% of all posts are disagreements. About 8% are “Insults or sarcasm”. 46.7% of
all invective posts were from individuals in the bottom level.
• Majority of people demonstrated some rational attempts to justify their
viewpoints.
• Irrational arguments were detected in only 5.8% of all conversations.
• 31.6% of all statements with highly rational argument were from the top 1% of
users.
RATIONALITY OF ARGUMENT
• Individuals in the top social hierarchies are more rational to
their ideological-foes
• Individuals in the bottom social hierarchy tended to be less
rational to their ideological-foes.
1% 1-10% 10-70% 70-100%
Urls to Foes 19 (63.3%) 80 (54.1%) 430 (49.5%) 151 (40.3%)
Equal Urls 3 (10.0%) 27 (18.2%) 227 (26.2%) 158 (42.1%)
Urls to Friends 8 (26.7%) 41 (27.7%) 211 (24.3%) 66 (17.6%)
Type of rationality across social hierarchies
ARGUMENT CONTENT
• Top 50 words with the largest relative differences in the usage probabilities.
• Blue words are larger in general. Inter-ideological talks stick more to the
controversial topics compared to the intra-ideological ones.
• Words adopted in inter-ideological conversations are more negative in tone
compared to words in intra-ideological talks
Tag cloud with relative differences in inter- vs. intra-ideological usage probabilities for the PA-IL data set. (Red – Intra-ideology, Blue – Inter-ideology)
CONCLUSION
• NO
– Users are more willing to communicate with their ideological-
friends than foes.
– Most of the cross-ideological mentions on Twitter were initiated
toward political authorities in higher social hierarchies,
– The duration of a within ideological conversation was longer
than that of a cross-ideological one. Also, conversations initiated
by the top users tended to last longer than those initiated by
the bottom ones.
– More than 40% of cross-ideological tweets were disagreements.
CONCLUSION
• YES
– Twitter users disregard their social status, participated equally in
cross-ideological communications.
– Very few insulting tweets labeled in our experiments.
– Most of the arguments on Twitter are claims based on rational
viewpoint, though without referencing any external source, fact
or data.
INTERESTED IN THIS?
• Can we algorithmically find “bridge-builders”?
• How can we engage them?
• How can we strengthen them?
• How can we have actual, real-world impact?
Can we compute peace?
THANK YOU

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Is twitter a public sphere for online conflicts soc info

  • 1. Is Twitter a Public Sphere for Online Conflicts? A Cross-Ideological and Cross-Hierarchical Look Zhe Liu1, Pennsylvania State University, @zliupsu Ingmar Weber, Qatar Computing Research Institute, @ingmarweber 1 This work was done while interning at Qatar Computing Research Institute
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. MOTIVATION • Cyber-optimists – Open and unrestricted conversations • Cyber- pessimists – Ideological bias – Hierarchical bias
  • 6. MOTIVATION • Goal – Empirically understand whether Twitter creates a public sphere for democratic debates? – How do people on different sides of ideological trenches engage with each other on Twitter? – How much does social stratification matter in this process? – How universal are such patterns across different types of polarized conflicts
  • 8. DATA COLLECTION 1. Start from three pairs of seed nodes @AlqassamBrigade vs. @IDFSpokesperson, @ TheDemocrats vs. @GOP, @FCBarcelona_es vs. @realmadrid 2. Obtained its latest 3,200 tweets 3. Identified up to 100 of its retweeters and labeled them as likely supporters. 4. Remove mediators and neutral interveners if retweet from both sides 5. Split collected users into 4 social hierarchical groups based on number of followers, including: the top 1%, the 1% - 10%, 10% - 70%, and 70% - 100% users.
  • 9. LABEL VALIDATION • Crowdsourcing using CrowdFlower • Assigning 100 random users in each ideology to the HIT workers • Average accuracy of 96.2%.
  • 10. DATA STATISTICS Conflict # Users #Intra- Mentions #Inter- Mentions #Intra- Retweets #Inter- Retweets PA – IL 9,937 42,471 3,772 135,784 1,057 DEM – REP 17,869 105,557 16,927 471,291 3,330 FCB – RMCF 28,218 47,924 7,996 104,875 13,093 • 226,239 Twitter users with over 400 million tweets collected • Only extracted tweets containing cross- or within-ideological interactions
  • 11. DESCRIPTIVE RESULTS Inter-ideological (below) and intra-ideological (above) communication across hierarchies for the PA-IL dataset. • Most of the cross-ideological mentions are for the top 1% users. • Bottommost hierarchical level maintain the highest probability of initiating a mention of the top 1% of users.
  • 12. EQUALITY Participation Type (# of mentions) #Users with Intra-ideological Mentions #Users with Inter-ideological Mentions 1% 1%-10% 10%-70% 70-100% 1% 1%-10% 10%-70% 70-100% One time (1) 1 (1.1%) 35 (4.3%) 435 (9.5%) 359 (19.6%) 6 (19.4%) 32 (20.5%) 198 (20.9%) 110 (24.8%) Light (2-5) 6 (6.8%) 95 (11.8%) 1002 (21.8%) 579 (31.7%) 8 (25.8%) 42 (26.9%) 292 (30.9%) 147 (33.2%) Medium (6-20) 16 (18.2%) 220 (27.2%) 1307 (28.5%) 485 (26.5%) 8 (25.8%) 37 (23.7%) 239 (25.3%) 95 (21.4%) Heavy (21-79) 31 (35.2%) 274 (33.9%) 1117 (24.4%) 307 (16.8%) 7 (22.6%) 30 (19.2%) 172 (18.2%) 66 (14.9%) Very Heavy (80+) 34 (38.6%) 184 (22.8%) 726 (15.8%) 99 (5.4%) 2 (6.5%) 15 (9.6%) 45 (4.8%) 25 (5.6%) • Total number of mentions across-hierarchies • Top 1% users involved in more intra-ideological conversations • All hierarchical groups, except the bottom 30% users participate equally in cross-ideological conversations. Equality of participation across social hierarchies for the PA-IL dataset
  • 13. DIVERSITY • ANOVA tests on External-internal (E-I) index • Political datasets, people in the second social hierarchical group are more insular toward ideological-foes. In contrast, the bottom hierarchy exhibited the highest tendency towards inter- ideological communications. • Sports dataset, the bottom users more willing to interact within their own camps. • All E-I indexes were less than 0, indicating individual’s preferences of talking to their ideological-friends.
  • 14. RECIPROCITY • ANOVA tests on maximum length of inter and intra-ideological conversations. • When talking to friends with higher social status, people tended to show greater reciprocity. • Only conversations initiated by users from the bottom 30% had significantly less back and forth exchanges in cross-ideological conversations.
  • 15. QUALITY Openness of Attitude Agree A tweet that agrees with the other user or shows similar opinions on the covered material. Neutral A tweet that is neutral in nature, neither in obvious agreement or disagreement. Disagree A tweet that disagrees with (or critiques) the other user (or the party him/her supports) or shows different opinions on the covered material. Insult or Sarcasm A tweet that can be regarded as a derogatory message, such as curses, insults, personal abuse, sarcasm or words that indicated pejorative speak. Off-Topic A tweet that is totally unrelated to the conflict. Unclear A tweet that is does not fall into any of the above categories. Rationality of Argument Highly rational The user used information from external sources and with statements based on facts or data, etc. Rational The user claimed based on his/her viewpoint and with fair and logical argument to support the statement. Irrational The user claimed based on subjective arguments with-out any kind of validation or presentation of facts.
  • 16. OPENNESS OF ATTITUDE Conflict Agree Insult Neutral Off-Topic Unclear Disagree Highly- rational Rational Irrational PA-IL 1.1% 7.2% 1.6% 1.1% 18.1% 4.1% 63.7% 3.0% DEM-REP 3.4% 8.4% 1.7% 2.0% 9.2% 4.7% 67.6% 3.0% Statistics on inter-ideological communication types and rationality. • Majority of the inter-ideological conversations in the sports dataset are off-topic chit-chats • 70% of all posts are disagreements. About 8% are “Insults or sarcasm”. 46.7% of all invective posts were from individuals in the bottom level. • Majority of people demonstrated some rational attempts to justify their viewpoints. • Irrational arguments were detected in only 5.8% of all conversations. • 31.6% of all statements with highly rational argument were from the top 1% of users.
  • 17. RATIONALITY OF ARGUMENT • Individuals in the top social hierarchies are more rational to their ideological-foes • Individuals in the bottom social hierarchy tended to be less rational to their ideological-foes. 1% 1-10% 10-70% 70-100% Urls to Foes 19 (63.3%) 80 (54.1%) 430 (49.5%) 151 (40.3%) Equal Urls 3 (10.0%) 27 (18.2%) 227 (26.2%) 158 (42.1%) Urls to Friends 8 (26.7%) 41 (27.7%) 211 (24.3%) 66 (17.6%) Type of rationality across social hierarchies
  • 18. ARGUMENT CONTENT • Top 50 words with the largest relative differences in the usage probabilities. • Blue words are larger in general. Inter-ideological talks stick more to the controversial topics compared to the intra-ideological ones. • Words adopted in inter-ideological conversations are more negative in tone compared to words in intra-ideological talks Tag cloud with relative differences in inter- vs. intra-ideological usage probabilities for the PA-IL data set. (Red – Intra-ideology, Blue – Inter-ideology)
  • 19. CONCLUSION • NO – Users are more willing to communicate with their ideological- friends than foes. – Most of the cross-ideological mentions on Twitter were initiated toward political authorities in higher social hierarchies, – The duration of a within ideological conversation was longer than that of a cross-ideological one. Also, conversations initiated by the top users tended to last longer than those initiated by the bottom ones. – More than 40% of cross-ideological tweets were disagreements.
  • 20. CONCLUSION • YES – Twitter users disregard their social status, participated equally in cross-ideological communications. – Very few insulting tweets labeled in our experiments. – Most of the arguments on Twitter are claims based on rational viewpoint, though without referencing any external source, fact or data.
  • 21. INTERESTED IN THIS? • Can we algorithmically find “bridge-builders”? • How can we engage them? • How can we strengthen them? • How can we have actual, real-world impact? Can we compute peace?

Editor's Notes

  1. A lot of conflicts happened on Twitter nowadays, for instance, Israel and Palestine and Democrats and Republican. “Digital hate” on Twitter grows at an alarming speed, 30 percent surge in 2012
  2. Not only the authorities use twitter to deliver their messages to their opponents, their supporters also involved in online conflicts trying to persuade their counterparts. Here are some examples.
  3. On one hand, this increasing adoption of Twitter for online deliberation inevitably creates a perfect environment for open and unrestricted conversations. On the other hand, individuals on Twitter tend to associate more with like-minded others and to receive information selectively. This leads the cyber-pessimist to emphasize the vital role of opinion leaders in shaping others’ perceptions during a conflict and to foresee the online environment as a disguise for those in higher social hierarchy to disseminate information.
  4. In this work, we try to empirically understand whether Twitter creates a public sphere for democratic debates we ask questions like: How do people on different sides of ideological trenches engage with each other on Twitter? How much does social stratification matter in this process? And how universal are such patterns across different types of polarized conflicts?
  5. Here is the research framework of this study. First, this work was conducted based on Habermas’s theory of public sphere, in which a public sphere: first, communicators are supposed to disregard their social status, so that better argument could win out over social hierarchy. Second, debates should focus on issues of common concerns and should discursively formulate core values. Third, everyone should be able to access and take part in the public debates. We adopted four evaluation metrics as introduced in Schneider’s work to test if Twitter is a public sphere, including: equality, diversity, reciprocity, and quality. We used a number of methods to quantify all four metrics, which we will introduce later.
  6. [ANIMATION INCLUDED] To perform our test, we collected data from three major conflicts, Israel vs Palestine, Democats vs Republican, and Bracelona vs Real Madrid. We started our data collection from three pair of seed nodes, including @AlqassamBrigade and @IDFSpokesperson, @TheDemocrats and @GOP, and @FCBarcelona_es and @realmadrid. Then for each seed node we obtained its latest 3,200 tweets using Twitter API. Then for each tweet, we Identified up to 100 of its retweeters and labeled them as likely supporters, as retweet usually represents one’s endorsements and preferences. Next, we Remove mediators and neutral interveners if retweet from both sides. And we Split collected users into 4 social hierarchical groups based on number of followers, including: the top 1%, the 1% - 10%, 10% - 70%, and 70% - 100% users.
  7. Classification results were validated via CrowdFlower by assigning 100 random users in each ideology to the HIT workers. By comparing user’s pre-assigned ideology to the majority-voted label obtained from CrowdFlower, we found that our classification method yielded on average an accuracy of 96.2%.
  8. In total we collected 226,239 Twitter users involved in all three conflicts with over 400 million of their daily tweets. we extracted only tweets containing cross- or within-ideological interactions from 56,024 unique users.
  9. To examine the social hierarchical effect on cross and within-ideological communication patterns, we calculated the conditional probability of a communicator interacting with another, given their social hierarchies. Here we used the PA–IL conflict for illustration purpose and only reported findings that can be generalized to all three data sets. The results were visualized using parallel sets. the horizontal bars depicted the four social hierarchical levels of the conversation starter / receiver. The width of the bar denoted the number of interactions existed in that level. We noticed that Most of the cross-ideological mentions are for the top 1% users, and the Bottommost hierarchical level maintain the highest probability of initiating a mention of the top 1% of users.
  10. We used the total number of inter and intro-ideological mentions to measure the conversation equality. We counted the percentage of users within each hierarchical level according to their participation type (as shown in the table) and found that the Top 1% users involved in more intra-ideological conversations, and all hierarchical groups, except the bottom 30% users participate equally in cross-ideological conversations.
  11. Next, for conversation diversity, we introduced the measurement of External-internal (E-I) index, where Ei is number of unique ideological-foes user i has interacted with, Ii is the number of unique ideological-friends user i has interacted with. The E-I index ranges from -1 to 1. The closer the E-I index is to -1, the more an individual tends to only talk to members of their own group, suggesting a high degree of insularity. Through ANOVA tests we noticed that within both political datasets, people in the second social hierarchical group are more insular toward ideological-foes. In contrast, the bottom hierarchy exhibited the highest tendency towards inter-ideological communications. And in the Sports dataset, the bottom users more willing to interact within their own camps. Consistent with precvious studies, we also noticed selective bias when evaluating EI index, with All E-I indexes were less than 0, indicating individual’s preferences of talking to their ideological-friends.
  12. To evaluate the reciprocity levels across ideologies and hierarchies, we adopted the maximum length of inter-ideological conversations as the measurement. We chose the maximum over average in order to avoid the bias introduced due to Twitter API’s restriction of getting more than 3,200 tweets per user. ANOVA tests showed that When talking to friends with higher social status, people tended to show greater reciprocity. Only conversations initiated by users from the bottom 30% had significantly less back and forth exchanges in cross-ideological conversations.
  13. For the hypothesis of communication quality, we again relied on CrowdFlower. We analyzed the quality of inter-ideological conversations from two perspectives, including the openness of the communicator’s attitude, and the rationality of his/her argumentation. To be more specific, for each combination of the four hierarchical levels, we randomly sampled 50 user pairs with cross-ideological conversations. Next, for each of the user pairs, we extracted one of their complete conversations and highlighted one tweet in it at random. We displayed the selected conversation to the workers. From reading the highlighted tweet, we asked them to label the user’s attitude and rationality according to our pre-defined coding schemes as shown in Table
  14. For the analysis of quality of inter-ideological conversations, we exclude the sports dataset as Majority of the inter-ideological conversations in the sports dataset are off-topic chit-chats For the two political datasets, we found that “disagreement” tweets dominated all the inter-ideological discussions, accounting for more than 70% of all posts. “Insults or sarcasm” were the second most common communication type identified. About 8% of all arguments were personal attacks. 46.7% of all invective posts were from individuals in the bottom level. Inter-party agreements were fairly rare in our results. Next, in our analysis of the argument rationality, we first noticed that the majority of people (89.9%) in inter-ideological discussions demonstrated at least some rational attempts to justify their viewpoints to opponents. Irrational arguments were detected in only 5.8% of all conversations. Highly rational statements were even rarer, accounting for only 4.3% of all annotated tweets. We noticed 31.6% of all statements with highly rational argument were from the top 1% of users.
  15. we categorized all individuals into three groups: more URLs shared with ideological-friends, with ideological foes, and equal URLs shared with both ideological friends and foes. we found that more than half of the individuals from the first two social hierarchical groups adopted more URLs when talking to ideological foes, whereas individuals in the bottom social hierarchy tended to be more rational to their ideological friends.
  16. First, our work also found selective exposure a problem in Twitter conflicts, as users are more willing to share and to communicate with their ideological-friends than foes. Second, we noticed that most of the cross-ideological mentions on Twitter were initiated toward political authorities in higher social hierarchies, whereas the general public in the bottom hierarchy were mostly ignored. Third, in general the duration of a within ideological conversation was longer than that of a cross-ideological one. Also, conversations initiated by the top users tended to last longer than those initiated by the bottom ones. Fourth, in our experiment more than 40% of cross-ideological tweets were disagreements. This leads us to think Twitter's failure in facilitating the establishment of cross-party agreements.
  17. Although Twitter cannot be viewed as a public sphere for the above issues, we believe it still has a great potential in becoming a platform for resolving online conflicts. Through our analysis of equality we found that Twitter users disregard their social status, participated equally in cross-ideological communications. Additionally, to our surprise, there are very few insulting tweets labeled in our experiments. Most of the arguments on Twitter are claims based on rational viewpoint, though without referencing any external source, fact or data.