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The Fall and Rise of
the Direct Investor
Presented to the MRS Financial Services Conference 2011




               Andy Glazier                               Lucian Camp
               Head of Consensus                          Entire workforce
Who exactly, and direct to what?
                                      Approx. 6m active direct investors in the UK today




           OEICs                                                                       A D2C
                                                                                      platform
                                                                                      market of
                                                                                       £64.9b

              Unit trusts
                                                                                      SICAVs




MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor                         2
The abandoned customer

           From a funds industry perspective, when I joined the company to
           run the retail division, 20% of business was direct to consumers.
 We had a hotline and crystal mark literature; none of this happens now however.
     We’ve shifted our platform totally to business to business. We still love our direct
   customers and give them great service … (BUT)…they have been left alone too
                            much. The flag that we very much put up is the B2B flag.
 I think that there is a big direct to consumer marketplace. I think there is a
 perfectly profitable sector which is under-broked at the moment.

                                                                            It’s not in our plan however,
                                                                                   to go back there.

                                                                                          MD, pre-eminent global money manager
MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor                                                        3
Why the interest in them now …. easy access ….




                YEAR                                           Users        Population   % Pop.
                 2000                                  15,400,000           58,789,194   26.2 %
                 2010                                  51,442,100           62,348,477   82.5 %
                                                                                              Source: ITU




MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor                                   4
Why the interest in them now … familiarity …




MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor   5
Why the interest in them now … responsibility …




MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor   6
Why the interest in them now … regulatory pressure …



                             There will be a need for trusted advisers
                             without a question in the future but RDR
                             has shown that the IFA model is corrupt &
                             what will spring up in its place is a new fee
                             driven model for the mid-market.



Director of a market intelligence/ consultancy for the asset management industry
MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor          7
Why the interest in them now … the market …
         BoE Base Rate………..

       6%

       5%

       4%

       3%

       2%

       1%

       0%
                   2006                                                                                                                            2009   2011
                                                                            Source: http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/statistics/rates/baserate.xls




MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor                                                                                        8
Why the interest in them now … opportunity …




MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor   9
At least we know who we’re dealing with … don’t we?

                                                                      Affluent, upper middle class




        Confident hobbyist                                                                           Late middle-aged




      Avid disciple of FT, Times, maybe even Mail on Sunday money sections

MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor                                               10
The active investor market is substantial …
            Number of people with some savings                                                             Number of people with risk-based
                or investments in the UK                                                                       investments in the UK
                                                                                                   No savings or                                                 Deposit-based
 People with no                                                               People with          investments                                                    savings only
   savings or                                                                   savings/               45%                                                            27%
  investments                                                                 investments
      45%                                                                         55%
                                                                                                                                                                Some risk-based
                                                                                                                                                                  investments
                                                                                                                                                                      28%

        Number of people actively involved with
           risk-based investments in the UK
       No savings or                                                Deposit-based                  By our reckoning, this leaves us
       investments                                                   savings only                   with c6 million people we can
           45%                                                           27%
                                                                                                   describe as active investors ….
                                                                            Involved with
                                                                              risk-based
                                                                             investments
                                                                                  13%
                                   Not involved with
                                risk-based investments
                                          15%                                               Source: IPSOS MORI Omnibus, November 2010. Unweighted base: 1965 adults. Weighted base: 1960 adults (all
                                                                                            findings expressed from weighted base, and excluding don’t know/refused, which was never more than 5%)
MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor                                                                                                                          11
… and represents a broad demographic canvas …
                                              People actively involved with risk-based investments


                                65+
                                22%



                              55-64                                              AB                                                                                Men
                               23%                                              50%                                           Over                                 64%
                                                                                                                             £25,000
                                                                                                                               71%

                              45-54
                               26%
                                                                                 C1
                                                                                30%
                              35-44                                                                                         £11,500-
                               15%                                                                                           25,000                                Women
                                                                                 C2                                           19%                                   36%
                                                                                12%
                           Under 35
                             14%                                              DE - 8%                                  <£11,500 - 10%

                                 Age                                        Social grade                                    Earnings                                Sex

                                                        Source: IPSOS MORI Omnibus, November 2010. Unweighted base: 1965 adults. Weighted base: 1960 adults (all
                                                         findings expressed from weighted base, and excluding don’t know/refused, which was never more than 5%)


MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor                                                                                                  12
Active investors still need a helping hand …
                Which one of the following matches your approach to investing most closely?

                                                                                                                  Rely on adviser
                                                                                                                  but make final
                            Take care of my                                                                       decision myself
                           own investments                                                                              34%
                                  40%




                                                                                                                   Consult an adviser
                                                                                                                     but make final
                                                                                                                    decision myself
                                                                                                                          26%

                                                                  Source: Consensus IFS Active Investors Report, April 2011



MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor                                                               13
… and for many, investing is not much fun …
      Which one of the following most closely matches the way you think about investing?
                                                                                 All Active Investors          Take care of own investments


                                                                                                                 52%
            Interested in investing -
           happy to spend time on it                                                                                         65%


                                                                                                 36%
            Get involved, but don't
           get much pleasure from it                                                   25%            25% who take care of their
                                                                                                      own investments don’t
                                                                                                      really enjoy doing so
                                                                             13%
               Find investing confusing
                   and complicated                                          9%


                                                                                    Source: Consensus IFS Active Investors Report, April 2011


MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor                                                                       14
So who’s looking after active investors now …?
                     D2C platform market by provider type and number of customer accounts

                                                                               IFA led platform
                                Stockbroker led                                      25%
                                   platform
                                     60%


                                                                                Fund manager
                                                                               owned platform
      Source: IPSOS MORI Omnibus, November 2010. Unweighted base: 1965
    adults. Weighted base: 1960 adults (all findings expressed from weighted
    base, and excluding don’t know/refused, which was never more than 5%)
                                                                                    15%



                                  As of Sept 2010, Hargreaves Lansdown had an impressive 45%
                                             awareness across the entire AI universe

                       Hargreaves Lansdown has c400,000 customers on the Vantage platform
MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor                         15
… and who in the future?

                                             Banks                            Stockbrokers




                               Affinity groups                              And, of course ….




MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor                       16
… if the gauntlet is taken up …

     The challenges:
      Recruit a new                                                         Target a platform-based
       customer base                                                          investment service to the many
       from scratch                                                           investors who are not hobbyists

                                       Key to future is understanding the market,
                                        segmenting it and targeting accordingly




MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor                                       17
The Fall and Rise of
the Direct Investor
Presented to the MRS Financial Services Conference 2011



               Andy Glazier
               Head of Consensus
               +44 (0)20 7627 7830                        Lucian Camp
               www.consensus-research.com                 Entire workforce

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The fall and rise of the direct investor - consensus at fs conference october 2011

  • 1. The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor Presented to the MRS Financial Services Conference 2011 Andy Glazier Lucian Camp Head of Consensus Entire workforce
  • 2. Who exactly, and direct to what? Approx. 6m active direct investors in the UK today OEICs A D2C platform market of £64.9b Unit trusts SICAVs MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 2
  • 3. The abandoned customer From a funds industry perspective, when I joined the company to run the retail division, 20% of business was direct to consumers. We had a hotline and crystal mark literature; none of this happens now however. We’ve shifted our platform totally to business to business. We still love our direct customers and give them great service … (BUT)…they have been left alone too much. The flag that we very much put up is the B2B flag. I think that there is a big direct to consumer marketplace. I think there is a perfectly profitable sector which is under-broked at the moment. It’s not in our plan however, to go back there. MD, pre-eminent global money manager MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 3
  • 4. Why the interest in them now …. easy access …. YEAR Users Population % Pop. 2000 15,400,000 58,789,194 26.2 % 2010 51,442,100 62,348,477 82.5 % Source: ITU MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 4
  • 5. Why the interest in them now … familiarity … MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 5
  • 6. Why the interest in them now … responsibility … MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 6
  • 7. Why the interest in them now … regulatory pressure … There will be a need for trusted advisers without a question in the future but RDR has shown that the IFA model is corrupt & what will spring up in its place is a new fee driven model for the mid-market. Director of a market intelligence/ consultancy for the asset management industry MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 7
  • 8. Why the interest in them now … the market … BoE Base Rate……….. 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2006 2009 2011 Source: http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/statistics/rates/baserate.xls MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 8
  • 9. Why the interest in them now … opportunity … MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 9
  • 10. At least we know who we’re dealing with … don’t we? Affluent, upper middle class Confident hobbyist Late middle-aged Avid disciple of FT, Times, maybe even Mail on Sunday money sections MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 10
  • 11. The active investor market is substantial … Number of people with some savings Number of people with risk-based or investments in the UK investments in the UK No savings or Deposit-based People with no People with investments savings only savings or savings/ 45% 27% investments investments 45% 55% Some risk-based investments 28% Number of people actively involved with risk-based investments in the UK No savings or Deposit-based By our reckoning, this leaves us investments savings only with c6 million people we can 45% 27% describe as active investors …. Involved with risk-based investments 13% Not involved with risk-based investments 15% Source: IPSOS MORI Omnibus, November 2010. Unweighted base: 1965 adults. Weighted base: 1960 adults (all findings expressed from weighted base, and excluding don’t know/refused, which was never more than 5%) MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 11
  • 12. … and represents a broad demographic canvas … People actively involved with risk-based investments 65+ 22% 55-64 AB Men 23% 50% Over 64% £25,000 71% 45-54 26% C1 30% 35-44 £11,500- 15% 25,000 Women C2 19% 36% 12% Under 35 14% DE - 8% <£11,500 - 10% Age Social grade Earnings Sex Source: IPSOS MORI Omnibus, November 2010. Unweighted base: 1965 adults. Weighted base: 1960 adults (all findings expressed from weighted base, and excluding don’t know/refused, which was never more than 5%) MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 12
  • 13. Active investors still need a helping hand … Which one of the following matches your approach to investing most closely? Rely on adviser but make final Take care of my decision myself own investments 34% 40% Consult an adviser but make final decision myself 26% Source: Consensus IFS Active Investors Report, April 2011 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 13
  • 14. … and for many, investing is not much fun … Which one of the following most closely matches the way you think about investing? All Active Investors Take care of own investments 52% Interested in investing - happy to spend time on it 65% 36% Get involved, but don't get much pleasure from it 25% 25% who take care of their own investments don’t really enjoy doing so 13% Find investing confusing and complicated 9% Source: Consensus IFS Active Investors Report, April 2011 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 14
  • 15. So who’s looking after active investors now …? D2C platform market by provider type and number of customer accounts IFA led platform Stockbroker led 25% platform 60% Fund manager owned platform Source: IPSOS MORI Omnibus, November 2010. Unweighted base: 1965 adults. Weighted base: 1960 adults (all findings expressed from weighted base, and excluding don’t know/refused, which was never more than 5%) 15% As of Sept 2010, Hargreaves Lansdown had an impressive 45% awareness across the entire AI universe Hargreaves Lansdown has c400,000 customers on the Vantage platform MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 15
  • 16. … and who in the future? Banks Stockbrokers Affinity groups And, of course …. MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 16
  • 17. … if the gauntlet is taken up … The challenges:  Recruit a new  Target a platform-based customer base investment service to the many from scratch investors who are not hobbyists Key to future is understanding the market, segmenting it and targeting accordingly MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor 17
  • 18. The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor Presented to the MRS Financial Services Conference 2011 Andy Glazier Head of Consensus +44 (0)20 7627 7830 Lucian Camp www.consensus-research.com Entire workforce