SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 4
Download to read offline
Fund Focus: Tata Infrastructure Fund
Infra is moving from a cyclical to a
structural story
Rupesh Patel, Fund Manager, Tata Mutual Fund
In the last bull market, many hoped that infra would
graduate beyond being just another cyclical theme
into a structural play. Unfortunately, policy
paralysis caused the sector to become a deep
cyclical. Rupesh believes that the new Government's
intentions, backed by strong actions on ground, give
rise to the hope that infra will take its rightful place
as a strong structural story. There are businesses
within the infra space, Rupesh says, that are
already displaying characteristics of "all weather"
businesses. Read on as Rupesh takes us through
what's happening on the ground in this key sector
and how he is positioning his Infrastructure Fund to
seize opportunities that the theme is throwing up
now.
Click here to know more about percentiles and the colour codes
WF: There is clearly sizeable Government focus on infrastructure development.
What tangible evidence do you see on the ground that leads you to believe that
intentions are indeed being translated into action?
Rupesh Patel: I agree with you that the Government's focus on infrastructure is very evident
from number of measures which they have announced in the Budget. If you look at it in
terms of tangible evidence on ground, I think there is definitely significant activity happening
on the road sector. Over the last few months, NHAI has cancelled a number of projects
which were awarded earlier but work could not be started because of number of reasons.
These projects are being restructured and are being retendered again in a new format. In
the Dec 14 quarter alone, NHAI has tendered projects for over 4000 kms.
Then we have the successful coal block allocations and the process for environment
clearances being eased. We are seeing a lot of ground work for implementing the
Government's smart cities initiative. So clearly, intentions are now being translated into
effort on ground - and this should help revive the investment cycle in the economy.
WF: Some experts worry about the quality of balance sheets in the infra
segment, due to high leverage and unproductive assets. How serious is this issue
and how do you cover off this risk in your stock selection?
Rupesh Patel: Many projects got stuck in the last few years on account of delays in receiving
approvals. Aggressive bidding and Leverage on balance sheets caused further stress. And,
efforts to deleverage did not really take off as a poor investment climate in the country
meant that there were few buyers for these assets.
There are many of these assets that are attractive, at the right price. One has to evaluate on
a case to case basis. Now, with an improved economic outlook, it is no longer so difficult to
find buyers - the key is for valuations to be seen as reasonable by both sides.
The situation was indeed serious for many infra companies, but I think going forward, you
will see some interesting opportunities from deleveraging transactions, which can unlock
value for some companies.
WF: After the sharp run up over 2014, the infra segment is no longer
undervalued. Now that mean reversion on valuations has happened, what is the
investment case going forward for this sector?
Rupesh Patel: Yes I agree that valuations are no longer as cheap as they were 12 months
ago. The gap between defensives and cyclicals has narrowed. Looking ahead, we must
remember that we are coming out of a cyclical downturn and there is simultaneously huge
focus on reviving the investment cycle. Both factors point to a huge opportunity for the
infrastructure sector.
Further, history suggests that cyclical stocks post much higher earnings growth during an
economic recovery than defensives. You are likely to see earnings surprises on the upside
rather than the downside in the quarters ahead. This will support valuations. Going forward,
it is going to be robust earnings that should sustain infrastructure stocks.
WF: Which segments within the infra space appear most attractive to you now?
Rupesh Patel: One segment we are positive on is EPC and BOT players. (EPC: Engineering,
Procurement, Construction. BOT: Build - Operate - Transfer). We are focusing on companies
that have shown discipline in the last few years in bidding for projects and companies with
healthy balance sheets run by good managements.
Another segment we are optimistic on is cement companies. Cement is a very good play on
the infra theme. We believe revival in cement demand will enhance capacity utilization and
significantly boost earnings.
WF: Your Infrastructure Fund turned in a robust performance in 2014 and has
started off 2015 on a sound note. What are some of the calls that worked well
for you?
Rupesh Patel: I would say its largely right stock selection in the right segment. Cement, EPC
and BOT players were key contributors to performance. Similarly we took some calls on
select financials which has also paid well for the fund.
WF: The years 2008-2013 saw the fund delivering a negative alpha. Is this
because infrastructure as a sector lagged the broad market, which is the
benchmark for this fund? What strategies can you adopt in such a thematic fund
when the theme underperforms the market?
Rupesh Patel: Being a thematic fund, the performance of the fund would have a very high
correlation with the developments happening in the sector. If we look at this period 2008 to
2013, the Infrastructure sector faced many challenges, which are well known. During this
period, CNX Infra index came down by about 60%, which is reflective of what happened to
the companies in the sector.
One very positive aspect that we see today, which is evident in some of the stocks in our
portfolio too, is that many of these are strong structural stories, which therefore means they
are relatively less prone to violent fluctuations of the underlying sector. Building products
companies are a good case in point. These are businesses with good brands, good
distribution, high ROCEs and ROEs - all characteristics of "all weather" businesses and not
classical cyclical plays.
As more businesses play into structural themes within the broad infra space, that itself can
bring some stability into portfolio performance, over time.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are personal in nature and in is no way trying to predict the markets
or to time them. The views expressed are for information purpose only and do not construe to be any investment, legal
or taxation advice. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility
alone and Tata Asset Management will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you.
Please consult your Financial/Investment Adviser before investing. The views expressed in this article may not reflect
in the scheme portfolios of Tata Mutual Fund.
Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully
http://www.wealthforumezine.net/FundFocusTATAMF170315.html#.VQ-ZstKUemE

More Related Content

Viewers also liked

Operating system introduction to operating system
Operating system   introduction to operating systemOperating system   introduction to operating system
Operating system introduction to operating systemjaydeesa17
 
Liberalization of india (nigam sir)
Liberalization of india (nigam sir)Liberalization of india (nigam sir)
Liberalization of india (nigam sir)Gaurav Patel
 
Design Of Belt Conveyor to Prevent the failure and many other drawbacks from ...
Design Of Belt Conveyor to Prevent the failure and many other drawbacks from ...Design Of Belt Conveyor to Prevent the failure and many other drawbacks from ...
Design Of Belt Conveyor to Prevent the failure and many other drawbacks from ...Vishal Patel
 
Ten remarkable infrastructure developments in india
Ten remarkable infrastructure developments in indiaTen remarkable infrastructure developments in india
Ten remarkable infrastructure developments in indiaSandeep Patel
 
On-line book store presentation
On-line book store presentation On-line book store presentation
On-line book store presentation Smit Patel
 

Viewers also liked (8)

Tata
TataTata
Tata
 
Operating system introduction to operating system
Operating system   introduction to operating systemOperating system   introduction to operating system
Operating system introduction to operating system
 
Liberalization of india (nigam sir)
Liberalization of india (nigam sir)Liberalization of india (nigam sir)
Liberalization of india (nigam sir)
 
Internal Analysis Competencies.
Internal Analysis Competencies.Internal Analysis Competencies.
Internal Analysis Competencies.
 
Design Of Belt Conveyor to Prevent the failure and many other drawbacks from ...
Design Of Belt Conveyor to Prevent the failure and many other drawbacks from ...Design Of Belt Conveyor to Prevent the failure and many other drawbacks from ...
Design Of Belt Conveyor to Prevent the failure and many other drawbacks from ...
 
companies structure
companies structurecompanies structure
companies structure
 
Ten remarkable infrastructure developments in india
Ten remarkable infrastructure developments in indiaTen remarkable infrastructure developments in india
Ten remarkable infrastructure developments in india
 
On-line book store presentation
On-line book store presentation On-line book store presentation
On-line book store presentation
 

More from Prof. Simply Simple

Your Pay Cheque has nothing to do with your retirement savings
Your Pay Cheque has nothing to do with your retirement savingsYour Pay Cheque has nothing to do with your retirement savings
Your Pay Cheque has nothing to do with your retirement savingsProf. Simply Simple
 
Why your PF is not enough for Retirement
Why your PF is not enough for RetirementWhy your PF is not enough for Retirement
Why your PF is not enough for RetirementProf. Simply Simple
 
8 Things that Influence your Asset Allocation
8 Things that Influence your Asset Allocation8 Things that Influence your Asset Allocation
8 Things that Influence your Asset AllocationProf. Simply Simple
 
6 Reasons why Asset Allocation Helps meet Future Needs
6 Reasons why Asset Allocation Helps meet Future Needs6 Reasons why Asset Allocation Helps meet Future Needs
6 Reasons why Asset Allocation Helps meet Future NeedsProf. Simply Simple
 
Budget Highlights - A Fiscally Prudent Budget
Budget Highlights - A Fiscally Prudent BudgetBudget Highlights - A Fiscally Prudent Budget
Budget Highlights - A Fiscally Prudent BudgetProf. Simply Simple
 
Tata Tax Saving Fund - Mutual Fund Insight Review
Tata Tax Saving Fund - Mutual Fund Insight ReviewTata Tax Saving Fund - Mutual Fund Insight Review
Tata Tax Saving Fund - Mutual Fund Insight ReviewProf. Simply Simple
 
Tata Dynamic Bond Fund - Timing It Right
Tata Dynamic Bond Fund - Timing It RightTata Dynamic Bond Fund - Timing It Right
Tata Dynamic Bond Fund - Timing It RightProf. Simply Simple
 
Fund Pick: Tata Balanced Mutual Fund - CRISIL Research
Fund Pick: Tata Balanced Mutual Fund - CRISIL ResearchFund Pick: Tata Balanced Mutual Fund - CRISIL Research
Fund Pick: Tata Balanced Mutual Fund - CRISIL ResearchProf. Simply Simple
 
How A Prof & A Potato Are Selling Units And Tractors
How A Prof & A Potato Are Selling Units And TractorsHow A Prof & A Potato Are Selling Units And Tractors
How A Prof & A Potato Are Selling Units And TractorsProf. Simply Simple
 
Tata Balanced Fund - Review by the Hindu Business Line
Tata Balanced Fund - Review by the Hindu Business LineTata Balanced Fund - Review by the Hindu Business Line
Tata Balanced Fund - Review by the Hindu Business LineProf. Simply Simple
 
Tata Pure Equity Fund - Mutual Fund Insight Magazine
Tata Pure Equity Fund - Mutual Fund Insight MagazineTata Pure Equity Fund - Mutual Fund Insight Magazine
Tata Pure Equity Fund - Mutual Fund Insight MagazineProf. Simply Simple
 

More from Prof. Simply Simple (20)

Budget 2018-19 Highlights
Budget 2018-19 HighlightsBudget 2018-19 Highlights
Budget 2018-19 Highlights
 
Your Pay Cheque has nothing to do with your retirement savings
Your Pay Cheque has nothing to do with your retirement savingsYour Pay Cheque has nothing to do with your retirement savings
Your Pay Cheque has nothing to do with your retirement savings
 
Why your PF is not enough for Retirement
Why your PF is not enough for RetirementWhy your PF is not enough for Retirement
Why your PF is not enough for Retirement
 
8 Things that Influence your Asset Allocation
8 Things that Influence your Asset Allocation8 Things that Influence your Asset Allocation
8 Things that Influence your Asset Allocation
 
6 Reasons why Asset Allocation Helps meet Future Needs
6 Reasons why Asset Allocation Helps meet Future Needs6 Reasons why Asset Allocation Helps meet Future Needs
6 Reasons why Asset Allocation Helps meet Future Needs
 
Budget Highlights - A Fiscally Prudent Budget
Budget Highlights - A Fiscally Prudent BudgetBudget Highlights - A Fiscally Prudent Budget
Budget Highlights - A Fiscally Prudent Budget
 
CIO Newsletter - Jan 2016
CIO Newsletter - Jan 2016CIO Newsletter - Jan 2016
CIO Newsletter - Jan 2016
 
Tata Tax Saving Fund - Mutual Fund Insight Review
Tata Tax Saving Fund - Mutual Fund Insight ReviewTata Tax Saving Fund - Mutual Fund Insight Review
Tata Tax Saving Fund - Mutual Fund Insight Review
 
Understanding e-wallet
Understanding e-walletUnderstanding e-wallet
Understanding e-wallet
 
Understanding Greece Crisis
Understanding Greece CrisisUnderstanding Greece Crisis
Understanding Greece Crisis
 
Tata Dynamic Bond Fund - Timing It Right
Tata Dynamic Bond Fund - Timing It RightTata Dynamic Bond Fund - Timing It Right
Tata Dynamic Bond Fund - Timing It Right
 
Fund Pick: Tata Balanced Mutual Fund - CRISIL Research
Fund Pick: Tata Balanced Mutual Fund - CRISIL ResearchFund Pick: Tata Balanced Mutual Fund - CRISIL Research
Fund Pick: Tata Balanced Mutual Fund - CRISIL Research
 
Fund Focus: Tata Ethical Fund
Fund Focus: Tata Ethical Fund Fund Focus: Tata Ethical Fund
Fund Focus: Tata Ethical Fund
 
CIO Newsletter - Third Edtion
CIO Newsletter - Third EdtionCIO Newsletter - Third Edtion
CIO Newsletter - Third Edtion
 
Call money
Call moneyCall money
Call money
 
How A Prof & A Potato Are Selling Units And Tractors
How A Prof & A Potato Are Selling Units And TractorsHow A Prof & A Potato Are Selling Units And Tractors
How A Prof & A Potato Are Selling Units And Tractors
 
Understanding Cyclical Stocks
Understanding Cyclical StocksUnderstanding Cyclical Stocks
Understanding Cyclical Stocks
 
Tata Balanced Fund - Review by the Hindu Business Line
Tata Balanced Fund - Review by the Hindu Business LineTata Balanced Fund - Review by the Hindu Business Line
Tata Balanced Fund - Review by the Hindu Business Line
 
Tata Pure Equity Fund - Mutual Fund Insight Magazine
Tata Pure Equity Fund - Mutual Fund Insight MagazineTata Pure Equity Fund - Mutual Fund Insight Magazine
Tata Pure Equity Fund - Mutual Fund Insight Magazine
 
CIO Newsletter - Second Edition
CIO Newsletter - Second EditionCIO Newsletter - Second Edition
CIO Newsletter - Second Edition
 

Recently uploaded

NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...Amil Baba Dawood bangali
 
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...yordanosyohannes2
 
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)twfkn8xj
 
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)ECTIJ
 
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGeckoCoinGecko
 
Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713
Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713
Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713Sonam Pathan
 
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一S SDS
 
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarThe Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarHarsh Kumar
 
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170Sonam Pathan
 
NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...
NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...
NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...Amil baba
 
SBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managmentSBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managmentfactical
 
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️9953056974 Low Rate Call Girls In Saket, Delhi NCR
 
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithClassical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithAdamYassin2
 
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfgovernment_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfshaunmashale756
 
letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...
letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...
letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...Henry Tapper
 
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHouse of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHenry Tapper
 
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...amilabibi1
 
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...Amil baba
 
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...Amil baba
 

Recently uploaded (20)

NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
 
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
 
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
 
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
 
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
 
Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713
Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713
Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713
 
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
 
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarThe Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
 
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
 
NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...
NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...
NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...
 
SBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managmentSBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managment
 
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
 
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithClassical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
 
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfgovernment_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
 
letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...
letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...
letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...
 
Q1 2024 Newsletter | Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
Q1 2024 Newsletter | Financial Synergies Wealth AdvisorsQ1 2024 Newsletter | Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
Q1 2024 Newsletter | Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
 
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHouse of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
 
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
 
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
 
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
 

Infra is moving from a cyclical to a structural story - Rupesh Patel

  • 1. Fund Focus: Tata Infrastructure Fund Infra is moving from a cyclical to a structural story Rupesh Patel, Fund Manager, Tata Mutual Fund In the last bull market, many hoped that infra would graduate beyond being just another cyclical theme into a structural play. Unfortunately, policy paralysis caused the sector to become a deep cyclical. Rupesh believes that the new Government's intentions, backed by strong actions on ground, give rise to the hope that infra will take its rightful place as a strong structural story. There are businesses within the infra space, Rupesh says, that are already displaying characteristics of "all weather" businesses. Read on as Rupesh takes us through what's happening on the ground in this key sector and how he is positioning his Infrastructure Fund to seize opportunities that the theme is throwing up now. Click here to know more about percentiles and the colour codes
  • 2. WF: There is clearly sizeable Government focus on infrastructure development. What tangible evidence do you see on the ground that leads you to believe that intentions are indeed being translated into action? Rupesh Patel: I agree with you that the Government's focus on infrastructure is very evident from number of measures which they have announced in the Budget. If you look at it in terms of tangible evidence on ground, I think there is definitely significant activity happening on the road sector. Over the last few months, NHAI has cancelled a number of projects which were awarded earlier but work could not be started because of number of reasons. These projects are being restructured and are being retendered again in a new format. In the Dec 14 quarter alone, NHAI has tendered projects for over 4000 kms. Then we have the successful coal block allocations and the process for environment clearances being eased. We are seeing a lot of ground work for implementing the Government's smart cities initiative. So clearly, intentions are now being translated into effort on ground - and this should help revive the investment cycle in the economy. WF: Some experts worry about the quality of balance sheets in the infra segment, due to high leverage and unproductive assets. How serious is this issue and how do you cover off this risk in your stock selection? Rupesh Patel: Many projects got stuck in the last few years on account of delays in receiving approvals. Aggressive bidding and Leverage on balance sheets caused further stress. And, efforts to deleverage did not really take off as a poor investment climate in the country meant that there were few buyers for these assets. There are many of these assets that are attractive, at the right price. One has to evaluate on a case to case basis. Now, with an improved economic outlook, it is no longer so difficult to find buyers - the key is for valuations to be seen as reasonable by both sides. The situation was indeed serious for many infra companies, but I think going forward, you will see some interesting opportunities from deleveraging transactions, which can unlock value for some companies. WF: After the sharp run up over 2014, the infra segment is no longer undervalued. Now that mean reversion on valuations has happened, what is the investment case going forward for this sector? Rupesh Patel: Yes I agree that valuations are no longer as cheap as they were 12 months ago. The gap between defensives and cyclicals has narrowed. Looking ahead, we must remember that we are coming out of a cyclical downturn and there is simultaneously huge
  • 3. focus on reviving the investment cycle. Both factors point to a huge opportunity for the infrastructure sector. Further, history suggests that cyclical stocks post much higher earnings growth during an economic recovery than defensives. You are likely to see earnings surprises on the upside rather than the downside in the quarters ahead. This will support valuations. Going forward, it is going to be robust earnings that should sustain infrastructure stocks. WF: Which segments within the infra space appear most attractive to you now? Rupesh Patel: One segment we are positive on is EPC and BOT players. (EPC: Engineering, Procurement, Construction. BOT: Build - Operate - Transfer). We are focusing on companies that have shown discipline in the last few years in bidding for projects and companies with healthy balance sheets run by good managements. Another segment we are optimistic on is cement companies. Cement is a very good play on the infra theme. We believe revival in cement demand will enhance capacity utilization and significantly boost earnings. WF: Your Infrastructure Fund turned in a robust performance in 2014 and has started off 2015 on a sound note. What are some of the calls that worked well for you? Rupesh Patel: I would say its largely right stock selection in the right segment. Cement, EPC and BOT players were key contributors to performance. Similarly we took some calls on select financials which has also paid well for the fund. WF: The years 2008-2013 saw the fund delivering a negative alpha. Is this because infrastructure as a sector lagged the broad market, which is the benchmark for this fund? What strategies can you adopt in such a thematic fund when the theme underperforms the market? Rupesh Patel: Being a thematic fund, the performance of the fund would have a very high correlation with the developments happening in the sector. If we look at this period 2008 to 2013, the Infrastructure sector faced many challenges, which are well known. During this period, CNX Infra index came down by about 60%, which is reflective of what happened to the companies in the sector. One very positive aspect that we see today, which is evident in some of the stocks in our portfolio too, is that many of these are strong structural stories, which therefore means they are relatively less prone to violent fluctuations of the underlying sector. Building products companies are a good case in point. These are businesses with good brands, good
  • 4. distribution, high ROCEs and ROEs - all characteristics of "all weather" businesses and not classical cyclical plays. As more businesses play into structural themes within the broad infra space, that itself can bring some stability into portfolio performance, over time. Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are personal in nature and in is no way trying to predict the markets or to time them. The views expressed are for information purpose only and do not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Tata Asset Management will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. Please consult your Financial/Investment Adviser before investing. The views expressed in this article may not reflect in the scheme portfolios of Tata Mutual Fund. Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully http://www.wealthforumezine.net/FundFocusTATAMF170315.html#.VQ-ZstKUemE