With recently introduced changes by Ofgem, which aim to reduce barriers to effective competition and make it simpler for consumers to switch supplier, competition in the energy supply sector is set to further intensify. Poor customer service remains an issue across the industry and this needs to be a key focus of improvement for all suppliers to give them a competitive edge. However, with household budgets remaining squeezed, competition is expected to remain largely price based for the foreseeable future.
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Energy Industry (Industrial Report) - UK - October 2014 - Market Forecast,Trends
1. Energy Industry (Industrial Report) - UK - October 2014
Although the UK electricity and gas supply market continues to be dominated by the ‘big six’ energy firms, smaller suppliers have gained market
share - reaching an estimated 8% in mid-2014. Smaller competitors have been successful in attracting customers from the larger players by offering better value
prices tariffs or by stressing their green credentials or community involvement. They have also been able to take advantage of consumers’ continued
mistrust of the ‘big six’.
With recently introduced changes by Ofgem, which aim to reduce barriers to effective competition and make it simpler for consumers to switch supplier,
competition in the energy supply sector is set to further intensify. Poor customer service remains an issue across the industry and this needs to be a key focus of
improvement for all suppliers to give them a competitive edge. However, with household budgets remaining squeezed, competition is expected to remain largely
price based for the foreseeable future.
table Of Content
executive Summary
the Market
electricity Supplied From Coal-fired Stations Down In 2013
total Renewable Electricity Generation Has More Than Doubled Between 2009 And 2013
figure 1: Analysis Of Electricity Supplied In The Uk, By Type Of Fuel Used In Generation, 2013
uk Dependent On Imported Natural Gas
figure 2: Uk Gas Supply, 2009-13
average Dual Fuel Bills More Than Doubled Over The Last 10 Years
figure 3: Breakdown Of Average Domestic Dual Fuel Bill, 2013
more People Switching To Smaller Energy Suppliers
market Factors
electricity Market Reform (emr) To Ensure Investment In Uk’s Low-carbon Electricity Infrastructure
government Sending Mixed Signals To Wind Generation Sector
subsidies For Large Solar Farms To Be Scrapped From April 2015
old Coal-fired Power Stations To Be Faced Out
first New Uk Nuclear Power Station In A Generation Receives Official Go-ahead By European Commission
government Supports New Generation Of Gas-fired Power Stations
competition And Markets Authority (cma) Investigating Big Six Suppliers
roll-out Of Smart Meters At Centre Of Key Changes To Energy Supply Market Over The Next Few Years
the Industry
what We Think
introduction
definitions
methodology
abbreviations
market Positioning
uk Economy
overview
inflation
interest Rates
consumer Spending
manufacturing
business Investment
market Factors
key Points
industry Regulation
legislative Environment
large Combustion Plant Directive (lcpd)
Energy Industry (Industrial Report) - UK - October 2014
2. eu Renewables Directives
uk Renewables Policy
renewables Obligation (ro)
feedin Tariffs (fits)
the Renewable Heat Incentive
electricity Market Reform
carbon Emission Reduction Target (cert) And Community Energy Saving Programme (cesp)
energy Company Obligation (eco)
key Analysis
electricity Demand And Generation
key Points
overview
uk Facing Power Capacity Crunch
electricity Supply
figure 4: Analysis Of Electricity Supply In The Uk, 2009-13(gwh)
figure 5: Analysis Of Electricity Supply In The Uk, 2009-13
figure 6: Analysis Of Electricity Supplied In The Uk, By Type Of Fuel Used In Generation, 2009-13 (twh)
electricity Consumption By End-use Sector
figure 7: Analysis Of Electricity Usage, By Type Of Industry, Uk, 2007-13 (gwh)
figure 8: Analysis Of Electricity Usage, By The Commercial Sector, 200913 (gwh)
figure 9: Analysis Of Electricity Usage By The Commercial Sector, 2013
coal Generation
key Analysis
figure 10: Analysis Of Electricity Supplied From Coal-fired Power Stations In The Uk, 2009-13 (twh)
nuclear Power Generation
figure 11: Uk Nuclear Sites Planned Closure Dates, As Of September 2014 (year)
figure 12: Analysis Of Electricity Supplied From Nuclear Power Stations In The Uk, 2009-13 (twh)
gas/ccgt Generation
figure 13: Analysis Of Electricity Supplied From Gas-fired Power Stations In The Uk, 2009-13 (twh)
figure 14: Analysis Of Electricity Supplied From Gas-fired Power Stations In The Uk, 2009-13
renewables Generation
key Analysis
figure 15: Renewable Electricity Generation In The Uk, 2009-13 (gwh)
figure 16: Electricity Generation From On- And Offshore Wind, 2009-13
figure 17: Renewable Electricity Generation Capacity Awaiting/under Construction, As Of August 2014
gas Demand And Supply
key Points
overview
figure 18: Total Uk Gas Supply, 2009-13 (gwh)
potential For Shale Gas Extraction
wholesale Gas Prices
figure 19: Average Wholesales Gas Prices, 2002-13 (£/therm)
figure 20: Average Wholesale Gas Prices, 200913
gas Demand By End-user
figure 21: Segmentation Of Industrial Gas Consumption, By End Use Industries, Uk, 2009-13 (gwh)
figure 22: Segmentation Of Gas Consumption, By Non-industrial Sectors, Uk, 200913 (gwh)
figure 23: Segmentation Of Gas Consumption, By Non-industrial Sectors, 2013
power Generation
figure 24: Gas Supplied For Electricity Generation, Uk, 2009-13 (gwh)
interruptible
industrial
figure 25: Gas Supplied To The Industrial Sector, Uk, 2009-13 (gwh)
commercial
figure 26: Gas Supplied To The Uk Commercial Sector, 2009-13 (gwh)
domestic
figure 27: Analysis Of The Development Of Gas Supplied To The Uk Domestic Sector, 2009-13 (gwh)
retail Energy Market
Energy Industry (Industrial Report) - UK - October 2014
3. key Points
market Background
figure 28: Proportion Of Domestic Electricity Customers By Supplier Type, By Region, 2000 And 2013 (%)
key Analysis:
figure 29: Proportion Of Domestic Gas Customers Of British Gas Trading And Other Suppliers, By Region, 2013(%)
figure 30: Number Of Supplier Switches In The Domestic Gas And Electricity Markets, Great Britain, Q1 2010 - Q2 2014 (number 000s)
figure 31: Number Of Supplier Switches In The Domestic Gas And Electricity Markets, Great Britain, Q1 2010 - Q2 2014
regional Demand
figure 32: Gas Sales And Customers By Region, Great Britain, 2012 (000's And Gwh)
figure 33: Electricity Sales And Customers By Region, Great Britain, 2012 (000's And Gwh)
market Issues
rise In Energy Bills And Dominance Of The ‘big Six’ Suppliers
figure 34: Breakdown Of Average Domestic Electricity& Gas Household Bill, 2013
figure 35: Breakdown Of Average Domestic Dual Fuel Bill, 2013
innovative Smaller Suppliers Gaining Market Share
poor Customer Complaints Handling Remains An Industry-wide Issue
retail Market Review
key Analysis
smart Meter Roll-out
smart Meters Aim To Give Consumers The Following Benefits:
the Consumer – Current Supplier
key Points
british Gas Named As Top Supplier Of Gas And Electricity
figure 36: Current Gas Supplier, July 2014
figure 37: Current Electricity Supplier, July 2014
a Quarter Of People Have Changed Energy Supplier In Past 12 Months
figure 38: Change Of Gas/electricity Supplier In The Last 12 Months, July 2014
the Consumer – Reasons For Switching And Future Intentions
key Points
finding A Cheaper Tariff On Price Comparison Site Key Reason For Switching
figure 39: Reasons For Changing Gas/electricity Supplier In The Last 12 Months, July 2014
figure 40: Plans To Change Gas/electricity Supplier In The Next 12 Months, July 2014
figure 41: Possible Reasons For Wanting To Change Gas/electricity Supplier, July 2014
company Profiles
key Points
company Profiles
centrica/british Gas Trading
british Gas
direct Energy
centrica Energy
centrica Storage – Gas Storage In The Uk
figure 42: Financial Analysis Of Centrica, 2009-13 (£ Million)
figure 43: Centrica Revenue Segmental Analysis, 2013 (£ Million)
figure 44: Financial Analysis Of British Gas Trading, 2009-13 (£ Million)
edf Energy
figure 45: Financial Analysis Of Edf Energy, 2009-13 (£ Million)
figure 46: Edf Energy Revenue Segmental Analysis, 2013 (£ Million)
Energy Industry (Industrial Report) - UK - October 2014
4. rwe Npower
figure 47: Financial Analysis Of Npower, 2009-13 (£ Million)
figure 48: Rwe - Uk Revenue Segmental Analysis, 2013 (£ Million)
e.on Energy
figure 49: Financial Analysis Of E.on Energy Solutions, 2008-12 (£ Million)
electricity Supply Licensees
gas Supply Licensees
generation Licensees
figure 50: E.on Revenue Segmental Analysis, 2013 (£ Million)
scottishpower Energy Retail
figure 51: Financial Analysis Of Scottishpower Energy Retail, 2009-13 (£ Million)
figure 52: Scottishpower Revenue Segmental Analysis, 2013 (£ Million)
sse
figure 53: Financial Analysis Of Sse, 2010-14 (£ Million)
figure 54: Sse Revenue Segmental Analysis, 2014 (£ Million)
ecotricity Group
figure 55: Financial Analysis Of Ecotricity Group, 2009-13 (£ 000)
first Utility
figure 56: Financial Analysis Of First Utility, 2009-13 (£ Thousand)
good Energy Group
figure 57: Financial Analysis Of Good Energy Group, 2009-13 (£ 000)
figure 58: Turnover Analysis Of Good Energy Group, By Segment, 2012-13 (£ 000)
future Energy Demand
key Points
electricity Generation Forecast
national Grid’s Electricity 10-year Statement
figure 59: Annual Power Demand In Great Britain, 2015-35 (twh)
figure 60: Annual Power Demand In Great Britain, 2015-35
future Potential Energy Mix
figure 61: Forecast Power Generation Installed Capacity Under “slow Progression” Scenario, By Source, 2014-35 (mw)
figure 62: Forecast Power Generation Installed Capacity Under “gone Green” Scenario, By Source, 2014-35 (mw)
figure 63: Forecast Power Generation Installed Capacity Under “no Progression” Scenario, By Source, 2014-35 (mw)
figure 64: Forecast Power Generation Installed Capacity Under “low Carbon Life” Scenario, By Source, 2014-35 (gw)
figure 64: Chart 15: Future Potential Energy Mix In 2035, By Scenario
interconnectivity Between European Countries To Increase
figure 65: Existing And Planned Interconnectors, As Of November 2013
gas Demand Forecast
figure 66: Forecast Uk Gas Demand, 2014-35 (twh)
Energy Industry (Industrial Report) - UK - October 2014
5. further Sources And Contacts
trade Associations And Regulatory Bodies
trade Magazines
trade Exhibitions
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Energy Industry (Industrial Report) - UK - October 2014