The "iceberg" in the trajectory of the Brazilian economy is represented by the neoliberal economic model that needs be replaced by another to contribute to the reversal of the current crisis. With a government completely adrift and without any perspective or rescue plan as with the Titanic, the only way out for consistent improvement of public, investors and entrepreneurs confidence would be: 1) the impeachment of President Dilma Rousseff and Vice-president Michel Temer who is also co-responsible for political and administrative current debacle in Brazil; 2) the convening of a Constituent Assembly to reorder the national life; 3) a ban on parties and corrupt politicians; and 4) to convene new general elections in the country. This would be an effective solution to the current crisis in Brazil because nothing ensures that only by replacing Dilma Rousseff by Michel Temer the country's problems are resolved. To give support to a new development strategy for Brazil it is necessary that the Brazilian State is led by competent people, with strategic vision and committed to the interests of the majority of the Brazilian people.

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BRAZIL WILL HAVE THE SAME FATE OF THE TITANIC?
Fernando Alcoforado *
The Transatlantic Titanic was built on a revolutionary technology. The ship's hull was
divided into sixteen compartments and protected by an innovative system of water proof
doors, downloaded manually or automatically, using powerful electromagnets. The
Titanic was designed to float with two compartments flooded, but believed that the
vessel remains currently browsing through with up to four of them flooded.. To be torn
by an iceberg, five of them were flooded, a fact that led to the sinking of the Titanic in
1912 with more than 1,500 dead. Thus, the front of the Titanic, much heavier because of
the flood, began to sink, making the back lifted out of the water. For disaster scholars,
the main culprit for its occurrence was Captain Edward Smith, who did not reduce the
speed of the ship disregarding the various warnings about icebergs sent by other ships
throughout the day.
The Titanic's crew kept the ship at full speed even after having received information
about icebergs in the area. If the alert about iceberg arrived at least 30 seconds before it
would have been possible to avoid the collision. Another crucial problem was the small
amount of lifeboats, enough to accommodate only half the passengers and crew on
board the ship. . There were only 20 lifeboats on board the ship, but the Titanic was
capable of carrying up to 64 and the initial plan was for the ship to carry 48. Many of
the lifeboats were not at its maximum capacity of persons on board. If they were, it
would be possible to save 53.4% of the passengers, but only 31.6% of them survived.
The number of lifeboats was reduced to cause the deck did not seem disorganized. The
disorganized passenger rescue process also contributed to the high number of victims
because almost all the boats were thrown overboard without maximum capacity.
It appears from the above, that those responsible for ship operation did not adopt the
precautionary measures necessary to prevent the occurrence of the disaster. Precaution
is an action to cope with potential risks that correspond to dangerous events that may or
may not occur which cannot be attributed probability. The possibility of icebergs in
Titanic trajectory required the adoption of precautionary measures in ship operation
which should encompass the reduction of ship speed, the existence of the amount of
lifeboats enough to accommodate the passengers and crew on board of the ship and
better organization in the rescue operation. The non-adoption of precautionary measures
was decisive for the sinking of the Titanic.
A similar situation occurs with Brazil because the Dilma Rousseff government acted
irresponsibly during his first term because of the total lack of long-term strategic
planning for our economy given that the government has been working as a firefighter
"putting out fires" with the adoption of emergency measures to treat problems that
would be easily resolved if there was a macro planning. Brazil has overcome in 2015 a
series of negative records because achieved the worst results of the recent history of the
Brazilian economy concerning to economic growth, creating jobs, government accounts,
increased inflation and impoverishment of the population. Besides that, Brazil lost the
good paying stamp on the market with the loss of investment grade.
The economic situation in Brazil is getting worse every day that goes on in the midst of
a recession of great proportions. The current economic situation in Brazil is causing
businesses to delay investment and new entrepreneurs wait less uncertain times to start
their projects. Negative figures for GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth, inflation,

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interest rates, widespread corporate bankruptcy and mass unemployment leave no doubt
about the seriousness of the Brazilian economic situation. The current economic
situation in Brazil is technically of stagnation. It is true that we will have an extremely
difficult year, with many uncertainties and probably with the worsening of all the
current problems. The worst of them should be the general impoverishment of the
population, hard-won in recent decades, especially due to the substantial increase in
inflation.
Although the neoliberal economic model adopted by the Dilma Rousseff government
continuing the FHC and Lula governments display signs of exhaustion there was no
initiative to its replacement by an alternative model of development of the country.
Another problem faced by the Dilma Rousseff government is that lost nation's
confidence. Trust is the driving force of the economy. If there isn´t trust there is no
investment and, consequently, there is no job creation, increased income and wealth, ie,
there is no improvement in the economic situation of the country. Reversing this critical
situation in which we live with a fiscal crisis of great magnitude requires a long
recovery period.
It appears from the above that the Rousseff administration has not taken the necessary
precautionary measures to avoid the occurrence of the economic disaster that hits the
country. The "iceberg" in the trajectory of the Brazilian economy is represented by the
neoliberal economic model that needs be replaced by another to contribute to the
reversal of the current crisis. With a government completely adrift and without any
perspective or rescue plan as with the Titanic, the only way out for consistent
improvement of public, investors and entrepreneurs confidence would be: 1) the
impeachment of President Dilma Rousseff and Vice-president Michel Temer who is
also co-responsible for political and administrative current debacle in Brazil; 2) the
convening of a Constituent Assembly to reorder the national life; 3) a ban on parties and
corrupt politicians; and 4) to convene new general elections in the country. This would
be an effective solution to the current crisis in Brazil because nothing ensures that only
by replacing Dilma Rousseff by Michel Temer the country's problems are resolved.
To give support to a new development strategy for Brazil it is necessary that the
Brazilian State is led by competent people, with strategic vision and committed to the
interests of the majority of the Brazilian people. The Brazilian government must be
empowered, at all levels, from a efficient and effective organizational structure different
of the current so that the country's development project has progressive character
generating transformation, change, progress, creation and distribution of wealth.
Economic development is materialized when there is transformation, change, progress
and wealth creation, and social development only happens when wealth is widely
distributed throughout the population, that is, is not concentrated. A development
project has therefore progressive character when economic development and social
development occur simultaneously.
The new development project for Brazil requires therefore today a new and urgent
reform of the State and Public Administration to give him support. Rethinking state
reform requires a break with the still dominant paradigm in studies in this area that
focuses on the role of technocracy in governance at the expense of manifestation of
sectors of civil society. Not it is sufficient more and more concentration of technical
power, as occurs today. One must also take into account the political dimension of state
reform, including the participation of sectors of civil society through public hearings,

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plebiscites and referendums in decision-making on the most relevant issues. The
emphasis on policy requires fundamentally the strengthening of state connections with
society and with representative institutions, also expanding the collection procedures
and accountability, the means of external social control, transparency and publicity of
the acts of government.
* Fernando Alcoforado, member of the Bahia Academy of Education, engineer and doctor of Territorial
Planning and Regional Development from the University of Barcelona, a university professor and
consultant in strategic planning, business planning, regional planning and planning of energy systems, is
the author of Globalização (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1997), De Collor a FHC- O Brasil e a Nova
(Des)ordem Mundial (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1998), Um Projeto para o Brasil (Editora Nobel, São
Paulo, 2000), Os condicionantes do desenvolvimento do Estado da Bahia (Tese de doutorado.
Universidade de Barcelona, http://www.tesisenred.net/handle/10803/1944, 2003), Globalização e
Desenvolvimento (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 2006), Bahia- Desenvolvimento do Século XVI ao Século XX
e Objetivos Estratégicos na Era Contemporânea (EGBA, Salvador, 2008), The Necessary Conditions of
the Economic and Social Development-The Case of the State of Bahia (VDM Verlag Dr. Muller
Aktiengesellschaft & Co. KG, Saarbrücken, Germany, 2010), Aquecimento Global e Catástrofe
Planetária (P&A Gráfica e Editora, Salvador, 2010), Amazônia Sustentável- Para o progresso do Brasil e
combate ao aquecimento global (Viena- Editora e Gráfica, Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, São Paulo, 2011),
Os Fatores Condicionantes do Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2012) and
Energia no Mundo e no Brasil- Energia e Mudança Climática Catastrófica no Século XXI (Editora CRV,
Curitiba, 2015).