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SMU	
  -­‐	
  SCHOOL	
  OF	
  BUSINESS	
  (SR	
  2.2)	
  
20	
  APRIL	
  2015	
  
Singapore	
  Data	
  Science	
  InnovaEon	
  Lab/InsEtute	
  
The	
  Nielsen	
  Company	
  (Singapore)	
  
47	
  ScoQs	
  Road	
  #13-­‐00	
  Goldbell	
  Towers	
  
Singapore	
  228233	
  
DATASCIENCE.SG	
  MEETUP	
  	
  
LOCATION-­‐BASED	
  ANALYTICS	
  FOR	
  MARKETING	
  RESEARCH	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
2	
  
OUTLINE	
  
•  Brief	
  overview	
  of	
  Nielsen	
  
•  Selected	
  case	
  studies:	
  
•  Eye	
  in	
  the	
  sky	
  
•  Large-­‐scale	
  survey	
  fieldwork	
  design	
  &	
  management	
  
•  Store-­‐matching	
  using	
  locaEon	
  informaEon	
  
•  Measuring	
  exposure	
  to	
  outdoor	
  adverEsing	
  
•  Q	
  &	
  A	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
3	
  
Help	
  our	
  clients	
  have	
  the	
  	
  
most	
  complete	
  understanding	
  	
  
of	
  consumers	
  worldwide	
  
Our	
  Mission	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
4	
  
Nielsen	
  –	
  A	
  Truly	
  Global	
  Company	
  
•  Founded	
  in	
  1923	
  	
  
•  Global	
  footprint	
  in	
  >100	
  countries	
  around	
  the	
  world	
  
•  Employs	
  >34,000	
  employees	
  globally	
  
Our	
  2012	
  revenue	
  was	
  USD$5.4	
  B	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
5	
  
THE	
  LATEST	
  INDUSTRY	
  BENCHMARK...	
  
Source:	
  Global	
  Market	
  Research	
  2014	
  Report	
  by	
  ESOMAR	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  (European	
  Society	
  for	
  Opinion	
  &	
  MarkeEng	
  Research)	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
6	
  
Our	
  clients…	
  
Buy	
  Watch	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
7	
  
foresight	
  on	
  the	
  Asian	
  
consumer.	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
8	
  
Eye	
  in	
  the	
  Sky	
  
Rural-­‐Urban	
  ClassificaHon	
  Using	
  
Satellite	
  Images	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
9	
  
RES	
  –	
  RETAIL	
  ESTABLISHMENT	
  SURVEY	
  
Number	
  of	
  sales	
  outlets,	
  types	
  of	
  outlets	
  (market	
  size	
  &	
  composiEon)	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
10	
  
SAMPLING	
  CENSUS	
  IN	
  LARGE	
  COUNTRIES	
  
E.g.	
  Indonesia	
  (1.9	
  million	
  square	
  kilometers)	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
11	
  
•  In	
  RES,	
  a	
  target	
  country	
  is	
  ‘carved’	
  up	
  into	
  small	
  manageable	
  survey	
  areas	
  
•  StraEfied	
  sampling	
  used	
  to	
  ensure	
  representaEveness	
  of	
  data	
  collected	
  
•  E.g.:	
  Indonesia	
  
Rural-­‐urban	
  status	
  is	
  
an	
  important	
  factor	
  
in	
  the	
  straEficaEon	
  
process	
  
Problem	
  
Official	
  info	
  from	
  
Indonesian	
  govt	
  is	
  not	
  
current,	
  and	
  
important	
  info	
  may	
  be	
  
missing/unavailable	
  
STRATIFIED	
  RANDOM	
  SAMPLING	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
12	
  
Step	
  1	
  
Turning	
  to	
  remote	
  sensing	
  (satellite	
  imagery	
  
–	
  DigitalGlobe/RapidEye)	
  to	
  provide:	
  	
  
scien-fic,	
  objec-ve	
  and	
  con-nuous	
  
monitoring	
  of	
  survey	
  regions	
  
Pilot	
  area:	
  
Bali	
  
Land	
  use	
  
report	
  	
  
Step	
  2	
  
Step	
  3	
  
Computa-onal	
  
Intelligence	
  
Machine	
  	
  
Learning	
  
Step	
  4	
  Rural-­‐Urban	
  
classifier	
  
PROPOSED	
  METHODOLOGY:	
  SCIENTIFIC,	
  OBJECTIVE,	
  TRACTABLE	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
13	
  
	
  PILOT	
  REGION:	
  BALI,	
  INDONESIA	
  
•  Bali	
  (smallest	
  of	
  34	
  provinces)	
  
•  Organized	
  into:	
  
Ø  Regencies	
  (Kapubaten)	
  
Ø  Districts	
  (Kecamatan)	
  
Ø  Towns/Villages	
  (645	
  DESAs	
  =	
  Nielsen	
  survey	
  areas)	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
14	
  
	
  RAPIDEYE	
  IMAGES	
  OF	
  BALI,	
  INDONESIA	
  
Bali	
  land	
  use	
  paQern	
  dataset:	
  
383	
  DESAs	
  used	
  in	
  this	
  study	
  	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
15	
  
	
  GETTING	
  THE	
  GROUND	
  TRUTH	
  (RURAL	
  OR	
  URBAN)	
  
Crowd	
  sourcing	
  approach	
  
•  Group	
  of	
  human	
  volunteers	
  used	
  
•  Image	
  order	
  randomized	
  
•  Majority	
  voEng	
  strategy	
  adopted	
  to	
  
derive	
  final	
  class	
  label	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
16	
  
	
  RESULTS	
  FROM	
  TWO-­‐CLASS	
  APPROACH	
  
•  Results	
  from	
  1000	
  groupings	
  of	
  training	
  and	
  hold-­‐out	
  subsets	
  at	
  90%:10%	
  parEEon	
  raEo	
  	
  	
  	
  
Results	
  are	
  saHsfactory	
  but	
  error	
  rates	
  sHll	
  too	
  
high	
  to	
  meet	
  Nielsen’s	
  standard	
  for	
  data	
  quality	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
17	
  
APPLYING	
  K-­‐MEANS	
  CLUSTERING	
  TO	
  BALI	
  DATASET	
  
Bali	
  land	
  use	
  paQern	
  dataset:	
  
383	
  DESAs	
  used	
  in	
  this	
  study	
  	
  
K-­‐Means	
  result	
  
concurs	
  with	
  visual	
  
observaUons!	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
18	
  
Sub	
  sub	
  urban/Sub-­‐
rural	
  areas:	
  	
  
-­‐  Region	
  with	
  large	
  
open	
  areas	
  
-­‐  Undeveloped	
  land/	
  
farmlands	
  
-­‐  Low	
  building	
  density	
  
Core	
  urban	
  areas:	
  	
  
-­‐  High	
  building	
  density	
  
-­‐  LiQle/no	
  vegetaEon	
  cover	
  
-­‐  LiQle/no	
  farmlands	
  
Core	
  rural	
  areas:	
  	
  
-­‐  Dense	
  vegetaEon	
  
-­‐  Natural	
  lands	
  
Sub	
  urban	
  areas:	
  	
  
-­‐  Mix	
  of	
  buildings	
  &	
  
farmlands	
  
-­‐  LiQle/no	
  dense	
  
vegetaEon	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
19	
  
	
  RESULTS	
  FROM	
  FOUR-­‐CLASS	
  APPROACH	
  
•  Results	
  from	
  1000	
  groupings	
  of	
  training	
  and	
  hold-­‐out	
  subsets	
  at	
  90%:10%	
  parEEon	
  raEo	
  	
  	
  	
  
We	
  need	
  to	
  ascertain	
  that	
  the	
  new	
  set	
  of	
  results	
  is	
  significantly	
  beNer	
  than	
  the	
  
one	
  from	
  the	
  two-­‐class	
  approach	
  	
  	
  	
  
At	
  1%	
  test	
  level,	
  the	
  results	
  
from	
  four-­‐class	
  approach	
  
are	
  beQer!	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
20	
  
	
  CONFIRMATION	
  OF	
  RESULTS	
  USING	
  NIGHT	
  IMAGERY	
  
Earth-­‐at-­‐Night	
  imagery	
  from	
  
NASA-­‐Earth	
  observatory	
  &	
  
NOAA	
  satellites	
  
Good	
  fit	
  between	
  our	
  
classificaEon	
  results	
  and	
  the	
  
EaN	
  images	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
21	
  
TO	
  RECAP	
  
What	
  is	
  urban?	
  
AnalyEcs:	
  rigour	
  and	
  sustainable	
  	
  
SoluEon	
  must	
  be	
  pracEcal	
  (cost)	
  
?	
  
!	
  
!	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
22	
  
Large-­‐scale	
  Survey	
  Fieldwork	
  Design	
  &	
  Management	
  
Nielsen	
  Singapore	
  Data	
  Science	
  InnovaUon	
  Lab/InsUtute	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
23	
  
	
  WHAT	
  IS	
  REQUIRED...	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Survey:	
  LisEng	
  of	
  32k	
  respondents	
  over	
  a	
  period	
  of	
  12	
  months	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  (Jul14	
  –	
  May15)	
  	
  
LisEng	
  released	
  by	
  Client:	
  
Phase	
  1	
   Phase	
  2	
   Phase	
  3	
   Phase	
  4	
  
~32K	
  (lisEng)	
  
10,500	
  10,500	
  
7,000	
  
3,500	
  N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
24	
  
	
  CHALLENGES	
  
(1)  Client’s	
  requirement:	
  Similar	
  distribuEon	
  of	
  lisEngs	
  across	
  phases	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Nielsen:	
  Task	
  allocaEon	
  (Field	
  work	
  efficiencies	
  +	
  ProducEvity)	
  =>	
  reduced	
  cost	
  
	
  
(2)  Client	
  provided	
  address	
  &	
  postal	
  code	
  for	
  lisEngs	
  (with	
  name,	
  age,	
  race,	
  gender)	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Nielsen:	
  Manual	
  sorEng	
  and	
  grouping	
  of	
  addresses	
  (32k	
  respondents)	
  require	
  weeks	
  
	
  
•  Time	
  consuming	
  to	
  check	
  
addresses	
  manually	
  
•  Even	
  more	
  Eme	
  to	
  group	
  
addresses	
  to	
  ensure	
  even	
  
distribuEon	
  
•  No	
  classificaEon	
  of	
  dwelling	
  
type	
  (public	
  vs.	
  private)	
  
•  Private	
  housing	
  has	
  restricted	
  
access	
  (condo	
  names	
  not	
  
provided	
  by	
  client)	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
25	
  
OBTAINING	
  THE	
  LOCATION	
  INFORMATION	
  
TranslaUng	
  postal	
  codes	
  to	
  
geocodes	
  (geo-­‐coordinates)	
  
Changi	
  Airport	
  
Paya	
  Lebar	
  Airbase,	
  
Industrial	
  land	
  
Nature	
  reserve,	
  	
  	
  	
  
Central	
  Catchment	
  Area	
  
Jurong	
  Industrial	
  Estate	
  
Tengah	
  Airbase,	
  
Agricultural	
  land	
  
Seletar	
  Airport	
  
Black:	
  Public	
  housing	
  
Blue:	
  Private	
  housing	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
26	
  
EVEN	
  DISTRIBUTION	
  (GROUPING	
  BY	
  POSTAL	
  REGIONS)	
  
Singapore	
  is	
  organized	
  into	
  
postal	
  regions	
  	
  
• SG	
  postal	
  code	
  has	
  6	
  digits	
  
• First	
  2	
  digits	
  denote	
  postal	
  region	
  
• Each	
  building	
  in	
  postal	
  region	
  is	
  
assigned	
  a	
  number	
  (last	
  4	
  digits)	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
27	
  
LOCAL	
  CLUSTERING	
  WITHIN	
  EACH	
  POSTAL	
  REGION	
  
Clustering	
  is	
  applied	
  to	
  group	
  
locaUons	
  by	
  proximity	
  	
  
• Same	
  methodology	
  applied	
  for	
  
both	
  public	
  and	
  private	
  dwellings	
  
Yishun	
  (76)	
  
Woodlands/Sembawang	
  (73)	
   Marsiling/Admiralty	
  (75)	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
28	
  
FINAL	
  SAMPLE	
  DISTRIBUTION	
  BY	
  PHASES	
  
Local	
  grouping	
  strategy	
  ensures:	
  	
  
• LocaEons	
  closed	
  to	
  one	
  another	
  
are	
  visited	
  in	
  the	
  same	
  phase	
  
• Methodology	
  is	
  fast	
  	
  	
  
	
  	
  (clustering	
  <	
  5	
  mins)	
  
• Manual	
  adjustment	
  can	
  be	
  used	
  to	
  
fine-­‐tune	
  results	
  	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
29	
  
MAP	
  OF	
  INTERVIEWER	
  AND	
  RESPONDENT	
  LOCATIONS	
  FOR	
  
SELECTED	
  SUBGROUP	
  –	
  PSO	
  RESULT	
  ILLUSTRATION	
  
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ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
30	
  
MAP	
  OF	
  INTERVIEWER	
  AND	
  RESPONDENT	
  LOCATIONS	
  FOR	
  
SELECTED	
  SUBGROUP	
  –	
  PSO	
  RESULT	
  ILLUSTRATION	
  
N
ielsen
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D
ata
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Innovation
Lab
USING	
  GEOCODING	
  TO	
  MATCH	
  TWO	
  LISTS	
  
OF	
  STORES	
  
31	
  
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ielsen
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ata
Science
Innovation
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Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
32	
  
Name	
  of	
  Store	
   Store	
  Address	
  
Name	
  of	
  Store	
   Store	
  Address	
  
Key	
  observaEons:	
  
•  May	
  have	
  similar	
  names	
  
among	
  store	
  list	
  
•  Address	
  formats	
  are	
  
non-­‐standardised	
  
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ielsen
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ata
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Innovation
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Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
33	
  
	
  	
  
• Geocode	
  List	
  A	
  and	
  B	
  addresses	
  using	
  
Google	
  API	
  
	
  	
  
• Plot	
  standardized	
  Geo-­‐coordinates	
  for	
  
visual	
  view	
  of	
  overlaps	
  
	
  	
  
• Perform	
  matching	
  based	
  on	
  pairwise	
  
distance	
  and	
  store	
  name	
  
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ielsen
Singapore
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ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
34	
  
USEFUL	
  PYTHON	
  PACKAGES	
  
•  geopy:	
  easy	
  to	
  geocode/reverse	
  geocode	
  through	
  various	
  geocoder	
  APIs,	
  and	
  to	
  
compute	
  geographical	
  distances	
  
•  python-­‐levenshtein:	
  Levenshtein	
  funcEon	
  produces	
  a	
  metric	
  for	
  fuzzy	
  string	
  
matching	
   N
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ata
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Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
35	
  
Scale:	
  1	
  :	
  10e6	
  
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ielsen
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ata
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Innovation
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Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
36	
  
Scale:	
  1	
  :	
  50’000	
  
N
ielsen
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ata
Science
Innovation
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Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
37	
  
QUESTION:	
  	
  	
  
HOW	
  CAN	
  WE	
  OBJECTIVELY	
  MEASURE	
  
EXPOSURE	
  TO	
  OUTDOOR	
  ADVERTISING?	
  
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ielsen
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ata
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Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
38	
  
	
  
IN	
  TODAY’S	
  MEDIA	
  ENVIRONMENT,	
  THE	
  
EXPOSURES	
  TO	
  A	
  MESSAGE	
  PROVIDED	
  BY	
  
OUTDOOR	
  ADVERTISING	
  ARE	
  MORE	
  VALUABLE	
  
THAN	
  EVER.	
  	
  BECAUSE	
  IT	
  IS	
  INCREASINGLY	
  
DIFFICULT	
  TO	
  GET	
  MESSAGES	
  NOTICED	
  AND/OR	
  
REMEMBERED,	
  THE	
  UNCLUTTERED	
  
ENVIRONMENT	
  IN	
  WHICH	
  OUTDOOR	
  ADS	
  ARE	
  
SEEN	
  (OFTEN	
  WITH	
  HIGH	
  FREQUENCY)	
  HELPS	
  TO	
  
OVERCOME	
  PROBLEMS	
  OF	
  MEDIA	
  
FRAGMENTATION	
  AND	
  SELECTIVE	
  PERCEPTION.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
-­‐-­‐-­‐	
  C.R.	
  Taylor	
  (2006)	
  
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ielsen
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ata
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Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
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  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
39	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
40	
  
MEASURING	
  EXPOSURE	
  TO	
  OUTDOOR	
  ADVERTISING	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
41	
  
WE’RE	
  USED	
  TO	
  THE	
  IDEA	
  OF	
  ROUTE	
  PLANNING…	
  
…paths	
  possible	
  if	
  enough	
  digital	
  breadcrumbs	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
42	
  
HOW	
  TO	
  FIND	
  WHEN	
  A	
  PERSON	
  GOES	
  PAST	
  A	
  
BILLBOARD?	
  
•  Looking	
  into	
  Google	
  Maps	
  API	
  for	
  Work	
  and	
  Google	
  DirecEons	
  (23	
  waypoints	
  allowed)	
  
•  Inside	
  a	
  Python	
  program	
  pass	
  a	
  request	
  like:
hQps://maps.googleapis.com/maps/api/direcEons/json?origin=%221%20marnham
%20street,%20brisbane,%20australia%22&desEnaEon=%22116%20daw%20street,
%20brisbane,%20australia%22	
  
•  Returns	
  a	
  JSON	
  object,	
  with	
  the	
  (approximate)	
  paths	
  as	
  polylines:	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
43	
  
HOW	
  TO	
  ENCODE/DECODE	
  THE	
  POLYLINE?	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
44	
  
USE	
  A	
  GIS:	
  	
  SEE	
  WHERE	
  TRAVEL	
  LINES	
  INTERCEPT	
  
BUFFERS…	
  
…automate	
  using	
  Python	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
45	
  
WHAT	
  OTHER	
  POSSIBLE	
  DATA	
  SOURCES	
  COULD	
  
THERE	
  BE?	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab
Copyright	
  ©2013	
  The	
  Nielsen	
  Company.	
  ConfidenEal	
  and	
  proprietary.	
  
46	
  
QUESTIONS?	
  
THANK	
  YOU!	
  
Tim.Banks@nielsen.com	
  
Xiaoyu.Lin@nielsen.com	
   WhyeLoon.Tung@nielsen.com	
   Chong.Lim@nielsen.com	
  
N
ielsen
Singapore
D
ata
Science
Innovation
Lab

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Nielsen x DataScience SG Meetup (Apr 2015)

  • 1. SMU  -­‐  SCHOOL  OF  BUSINESS  (SR  2.2)   20  APRIL  2015   Singapore  Data  Science  InnovaEon  Lab/InsEtute   The  Nielsen  Company  (Singapore)   47  ScoQs  Road  #13-­‐00  Goldbell  Towers   Singapore  228233   DATASCIENCE.SG  MEETUP     LOCATION-­‐BASED  ANALYTICS  FOR  MARKETING  RESEARCH   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 2. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   2   OUTLINE   •  Brief  overview  of  Nielsen   •  Selected  case  studies:   •  Eye  in  the  sky   •  Large-­‐scale  survey  fieldwork  design  &  management   •  Store-­‐matching  using  locaEon  informaEon   •  Measuring  exposure  to  outdoor  adverEsing   •  Q  &  A   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 3. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   3   Help  our  clients  have  the     most  complete  understanding     of  consumers  worldwide   Our  Mission   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 4. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   4   Nielsen  –  A  Truly  Global  Company   •  Founded  in  1923     •  Global  footprint  in  >100  countries  around  the  world   •  Employs  >34,000  employees  globally   Our  2012  revenue  was  USD$5.4  B   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 5. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   5   THE  LATEST  INDUSTRY  BENCHMARK...   Source:  Global  Market  Research  2014  Report  by  ESOMAR                                (European  Society  for  Opinion  &  MarkeEng  Research)   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 6. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   6   Our  clients…   Buy  Watch   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 7. Copyright  ©2013    The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   7   foresight  on  the  Asian   consumer.   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 8. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   8   Eye  in  the  Sky   Rural-­‐Urban  ClassificaHon  Using   Satellite  Images   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 9. Copyright  ©2013    The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   9   RES  –  RETAIL  ESTABLISHMENT  SURVEY   Number  of  sales  outlets,  types  of  outlets  (market  size  &  composiEon)   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 10. Copyright  ©2013    The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   10   SAMPLING  CENSUS  IN  LARGE  COUNTRIES   E.g.  Indonesia  (1.9  million  square  kilometers)   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 11. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   11   •  In  RES,  a  target  country  is  ‘carved’  up  into  small  manageable  survey  areas   •  StraEfied  sampling  used  to  ensure  representaEveness  of  data  collected   •  E.g.:  Indonesia   Rural-­‐urban  status  is   an  important  factor   in  the  straEficaEon   process   Problem   Official  info  from   Indonesian  govt  is  not   current,  and   important  info  may  be   missing/unavailable   STRATIFIED  RANDOM  SAMPLING   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 12. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   12   Step  1   Turning  to  remote  sensing  (satellite  imagery   –  DigitalGlobe/RapidEye)  to  provide:     scien-fic,  objec-ve  and  con-nuous   monitoring  of  survey  regions   Pilot  area:   Bali   Land  use   report     Step  2   Step  3   Computa-onal   Intelligence   Machine     Learning   Step  4  Rural-­‐Urban   classifier   PROPOSED  METHODOLOGY:  SCIENTIFIC,  OBJECTIVE,  TRACTABLE   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 13. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   13    PILOT  REGION:  BALI,  INDONESIA   •  Bali  (smallest  of  34  provinces)   •  Organized  into:   Ø  Regencies  (Kapubaten)   Ø  Districts  (Kecamatan)   Ø  Towns/Villages  (645  DESAs  =  Nielsen  survey  areas)   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 14. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   14    RAPIDEYE  IMAGES  OF  BALI,  INDONESIA   Bali  land  use  paQern  dataset:   383  DESAs  used  in  this  study     N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 15. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   15    GETTING  THE  GROUND  TRUTH  (RURAL  OR  URBAN)   Crowd  sourcing  approach   •  Group  of  human  volunteers  used   •  Image  order  randomized   •  Majority  voEng  strategy  adopted  to   derive  final  class  label   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 16. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   16    RESULTS  FROM  TWO-­‐CLASS  APPROACH   •  Results  from  1000  groupings  of  training  and  hold-­‐out  subsets  at  90%:10%  parEEon  raEo         Results  are  saHsfactory  but  error  rates  sHll  too   high  to  meet  Nielsen’s  standard  for  data  quality   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 17. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   17   APPLYING  K-­‐MEANS  CLUSTERING  TO  BALI  DATASET   Bali  land  use  paQern  dataset:   383  DESAs  used  in  this  study     K-­‐Means  result   concurs  with  visual   observaUons!   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 18. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   18   Sub  sub  urban/Sub-­‐ rural  areas:     -­‐  Region  with  large   open  areas   -­‐  Undeveloped  land/   farmlands   -­‐  Low  building  density   Core  urban  areas:     -­‐  High  building  density   -­‐  LiQle/no  vegetaEon  cover   -­‐  LiQle/no  farmlands   Core  rural  areas:     -­‐  Dense  vegetaEon   -­‐  Natural  lands   Sub  urban  areas:     -­‐  Mix  of  buildings  &   farmlands   -­‐  LiQle/no  dense   vegetaEon   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 19. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   19    RESULTS  FROM  FOUR-­‐CLASS  APPROACH   •  Results  from  1000  groupings  of  training  and  hold-­‐out  subsets  at  90%:10%  parEEon  raEo         We  need  to  ascertain  that  the  new  set  of  results  is  significantly  beNer  than  the   one  from  the  two-­‐class  approach         At  1%  test  level,  the  results   from  four-­‐class  approach   are  beQer!   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 20. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   20    CONFIRMATION  OF  RESULTS  USING  NIGHT  IMAGERY   Earth-­‐at-­‐Night  imagery  from   NASA-­‐Earth  observatory  &   NOAA  satellites   Good  fit  between  our   classificaEon  results  and  the   EaN  images   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 21. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   21   TO  RECAP   What  is  urban?   AnalyEcs:  rigour  and  sustainable     SoluEon  must  be  pracEcal  (cost)   ?   !   !   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 22. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   22   Large-­‐scale  Survey  Fieldwork  Design  &  Management   Nielsen  Singapore  Data  Science  InnovaUon  Lab/InsUtute   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 23. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   23    WHAT  IS  REQUIRED...                              Survey:  LisEng  of  32k  respondents  over  a  period  of  12  months                                                          (Jul14  –  May15)     LisEng  released  by  Client:   Phase  1   Phase  2   Phase  3   Phase  4   ~32K  (lisEng)   10,500  10,500   7,000   3,500  N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 24. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   24    CHALLENGES   (1)  Client’s  requirement:  Similar  distribuEon  of  lisEngs  across  phases                Nielsen:  Task  allocaEon  (Field  work  efficiencies  +  ProducEvity)  =>  reduced  cost     (2)  Client  provided  address  &  postal  code  for  lisEngs  (with  name,  age,  race,  gender)                Nielsen:  Manual  sorEng  and  grouping  of  addresses  (32k  respondents)  require  weeks     •  Time  consuming  to  check   addresses  manually   •  Even  more  Eme  to  group   addresses  to  ensure  even   distribuEon   •  No  classificaEon  of  dwelling   type  (public  vs.  private)   •  Private  housing  has  restricted   access  (condo  names  not   provided  by  client)   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 25. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   25   OBTAINING  THE  LOCATION  INFORMATION   TranslaUng  postal  codes  to   geocodes  (geo-­‐coordinates)   Changi  Airport   Paya  Lebar  Airbase,   Industrial  land   Nature  reserve,         Central  Catchment  Area   Jurong  Industrial  Estate   Tengah  Airbase,   Agricultural  land   Seletar  Airport   Black:  Public  housing   Blue:  Private  housing   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 26. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   26   EVEN  DISTRIBUTION  (GROUPING  BY  POSTAL  REGIONS)   Singapore  is  organized  into   postal  regions     • SG  postal  code  has  6  digits   • First  2  digits  denote  postal  region   • Each  building  in  postal  region  is   assigned  a  number  (last  4  digits)   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 27. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   27   LOCAL  CLUSTERING  WITHIN  EACH  POSTAL  REGION   Clustering  is  applied  to  group   locaUons  by  proximity     • Same  methodology  applied  for   both  public  and  private  dwellings   Yishun  (76)   Woodlands/Sembawang  (73)   Marsiling/Admiralty  (75)   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 28. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   28   FINAL  SAMPLE  DISTRIBUTION  BY  PHASES   Local  grouping  strategy  ensures:     • LocaEons  closed  to  one  another   are  visited  in  the  same  phase   • Methodology  is  fast          (clustering  <  5  mins)   • Manual  adjustment  can  be  used  to   fine-­‐tune  results     N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 29. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   29   MAP  OF  INTERVIEWER  AND  RESPONDENT  LOCATIONS  FOR   SELECTED  SUBGROUP  –  PSO  RESULT  ILLUSTRATION   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 30. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   30   MAP  OF  INTERVIEWER  AND  RESPONDENT  LOCATIONS  FOR   SELECTED  SUBGROUP  –  PSO  RESULT  ILLUSTRATION   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 31. USING  GEOCODING  TO  MATCH  TWO  LISTS   OF  STORES   31   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 32. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   32   Name  of  Store   Store  Address   Name  of  Store   Store  Address   Key  observaEons:   •  May  have  similar  names   among  store  list   •  Address  formats  are   non-­‐standardised   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 33. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   33       • Geocode  List  A  and  B  addresses  using   Google  API       • Plot  standardized  Geo-­‐coordinates  for   visual  view  of  overlaps       • Perform  matching  based  on  pairwise   distance  and  store  name   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 34. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   34   USEFUL  PYTHON  PACKAGES   •  geopy:  easy  to  geocode/reverse  geocode  through  various  geocoder  APIs,  and  to   compute  geographical  distances   •  python-­‐levenshtein:  Levenshtein  funcEon  produces  a  metric  for  fuzzy  string   matching   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 35. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   35   Scale:  1  :  10e6   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 36. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   36   Scale:  1  :  50’000   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 37. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   37   QUESTION:       HOW  CAN  WE  OBJECTIVELY  MEASURE   EXPOSURE  TO  OUTDOOR  ADVERTISING?   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 38. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   38     IN  TODAY’S  MEDIA  ENVIRONMENT,  THE   EXPOSURES  TO  A  MESSAGE  PROVIDED  BY   OUTDOOR  ADVERTISING  ARE  MORE  VALUABLE   THAN  EVER.    BECAUSE  IT  IS  INCREASINGLY   DIFFICULT  TO  GET  MESSAGES  NOTICED  AND/OR   REMEMBERED,  THE  UNCLUTTERED   ENVIRONMENT  IN  WHICH  OUTDOOR  ADS  ARE   SEEN  (OFTEN  WITH  HIGH  FREQUENCY)  HELPS  TO   OVERCOME  PROBLEMS  OF  MEDIA   FRAGMENTATION  AND  SELECTIVE  PERCEPTION.               -­‐-­‐-­‐  C.R.  Taylor  (2006)   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 39. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   39   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 40. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   40   MEASURING  EXPOSURE  TO  OUTDOOR  ADVERTISING   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 41. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   41   WE’RE  USED  TO  THE  IDEA  OF  ROUTE  PLANNING…   …paths  possible  if  enough  digital  breadcrumbs   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 42. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   42   HOW  TO  FIND  WHEN  A  PERSON  GOES  PAST  A   BILLBOARD?   •  Looking  into  Google  Maps  API  for  Work  and  Google  DirecEons  (23  waypoints  allowed)   •  Inside  a  Python  program  pass  a  request  like: hQps://maps.googleapis.com/maps/api/direcEons/json?origin=%221%20marnham %20street,%20brisbane,%20australia%22&desEnaEon=%22116%20daw%20street, %20brisbane,%20australia%22   •  Returns  a  JSON  object,  with  the  (approximate)  paths  as  polylines:   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 43. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   43   HOW  TO  ENCODE/DECODE  THE  POLYLINE?   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 44. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   44   USE  A  GIS:    SEE  WHERE  TRAVEL  LINES  INTERCEPT   BUFFERS…   …automate  using  Python   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 45. Copyright  ©2013    The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   45   WHAT  OTHER  POSSIBLE  DATA  SOURCES  COULD   THERE  BE?   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab
  • 46. Copyright  ©2013  The  Nielsen  Company.  ConfidenEal  and  proprietary.   46   QUESTIONS?   THANK  YOU!   Tim.Banks@nielsen.com   Xiaoyu.Lin@nielsen.com   WhyeLoon.Tung@nielsen.com   Chong.Lim@nielsen.com   N ielsen Singapore D ata Science Innovation Lab