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ETHIOPIAN DEVELOPMENT
                                            RESEARCH INSTITUTE




Constraints on the Rural Non-farm Economy:
   An Analysis of the Hand Loom Sector
                                    Gezahegn Ayele
                       Ethiopian Development Research Institute (EDRI)
                                     Lisa Moorman
                       International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

                                          Co-authors:
                                    Jordan Chamberlin
                                      Kassu Wamisho
                                       Xiaobo Zhang
                                       October 23, 2009
                         Ethiopia Strategy Support Program-II (ESSP-II)
                                    Policy Conference 2009
Background: Motivation of the study

 • Rural non-farm development is a strategic priority for DCs during
   their economic transformation from an agricultural to industrial
   society
 • Rural non-farm development plays a role in generating local
   employment and linking with other sectors in developing countries
   (Haggblade et al. 2007).
 • Rural non-farm development is particularly relevant to the
   Ethiopian context, emphasized in the Agricultural-Development Led
   Industrialization (ADLI) Strategy.
 • The second PRSP- Economic Development’s Plan for Accelerated
   and Sustained Development to End Poverty (PASDEP) (2005/06-
   2009/10) further emphasizes the importance of this sector.




             INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Objectives

There is a knowledge gap in how nonfarm activities are
organized in rural areas, particularly with respect to the
impact of infrastructure development.

To address this gap, this study examines the differences
between urban and rural, electrified and non-electrified
handloom weaving clusters.

The few studies of clustering within Ethiopia to date have
maintained a geographical focus on the capital city of Addis
Ababa and nearby areas (Abdella and Ayele 2007; Sonobe
et al. 2006).



          INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Research Questions


                                               This paper investigates issues
                                               related to rural industrial clusters
                                               through an in-depth case study of
                                               handloom clusters in Ethiopia
                                               (non-farm economy).


   In particular, our study addresses the following questions:
   • Does infrastructure impact rural/urban linkages?
   • Does infrastructure impact firm network structure?
   • Does infrastructure impact firm productivity?


          INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Why Handloom?
 The selection of the handloom sector was guided by three main
   characteristics:

 •    First, it is the most important non-agricultural source of income in
     the country (Central Statistics Agency 2003a), and the most
     important employer of rural families for livelihood after agriculture.

 • Second, it is a traditional cotton value chain-based activity with
   strong patterns of geographically clustered handloom activities.

 • Third, it is one of the few non-agricultural sectors with a discernable
   presence in both urban and rural areas.

 This sector also produces semi-finished and finished goods for
 domestic consumption and processing as well as for international
 markets.


              INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Survey Methodology

• In this study, we surveyed three urban clusters in Addis Ababa
  and six rural clusters in the southern part of Ethiopia
• The list of handloom weavers used for the study was given by
  the Medium and Small Scale Manufacturing desks of the
  urban kebeles and rural woreda
• Our sample comprised 488 producers and 154 traders
• Using this data, we mapped out the production structures and
  linkages among producers and traders.
• Detailed production data enable us to compare cluster
  performance both through labor productivity and working
  hours across different types of clusters
• The survey was conducted in May and June 2008


           INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Study Sites (2008)
• Addis Ababa: Shiro-Meda, Adisu-Gebeya, Kechene-Medhaniyalem
• Chencha woreda, Gamo Gofa Zone, SNNPR: 6 sites
   Of the 50 kebeles in Chencha woreda, only 10% were classified as “electrified”
   by the woreda administration.
                                                                                                                     % from
                                                                                               Sample      Sample    sample
                                                                                              population     size   population
                                                                                                                       size
                                                                      Chencha woreda            12045       293        2.4
                                                                      Electrified towns          7948       142        1.8
                                                                         Chencha town            1774        52        2.9
                                                                         Ezo town                2305        38        1.6
                                                                         Dorze town              3869        52        1.3
                                                                      Non-electrified towns      4097       151        3.7
                                                                         Deco-mecho              1584        66        4.1
                                                                             Mesho                493        20        4.1
                                                                             Kale                 480        20        4.1
                                                                             Shaye                264        11        4.1
                                                                             Losha                347        14        4.1
                                                                         Zozo                     922        44        4.8
                                                                            Setena borche         430        20        4.8
                                                                            Boyena tupa           239        11        4.8
                                                                            Gendo gembela         253        12        4.8
                                                                         Shama                   1591        41        2.5
                                                                            Shama town            829        21        2.5
                                                                            Webera                762        19        2.5
Source: Ethiopian Atlas on the Rural Economy (2004)                   Total                     12045       293        2.4




                  INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Sample Composition (2008)

                                                                                Rural
                                Addis                   Rural
                                              %                  %               Not            %
                                Ababa                Electrified
                                                                             Electrified
     Producers                    195                     145                    146

             Household            109       56%           72        50%          114            78%
      Rented workspace             74       38%           72        50%          32             22%
             Workshop              12        6%            0        0%            0             0%

     Traders                       97                     52                       5
                 Shop              77       79%            1         2%            0         0%
                Market             20       21%           43        83%            5        100%
       Roadside market              0        0%            8        15%            0         0%

     Total                        292       46%           197       31%          151            24%




             INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Addis Ababa Network Structure (2008)
    Inputs                 Producers                     Initial Sales              Final Sales




             INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Electrified vs. Non-Electrified Network Structure (2008)
          Electrified Clusters                                    Non-Electrified Clusters
 Inputs   Producers       Initial Sales    Final Sales




                                                         Inputs       Producers         Initial Sales   Final Sales




                INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Starting Capital (2008)
                                            Addis Ababa                  Electrified               Not Electrified
                                        Producer Trader               Producer Trader            Producer Trader
 Average value of starting
                                            194          6560             95         1332            115        1,660*
 capital (ET Birr)
 Average value of starting
                                            22           732              11          149             13          185
 capital (USD)

 Sources of starting capital (average % of starting capital coming from each source)
                 Own savings 48.4          67.4        45.3    80.2      41.3     80.0
   Borrowing from friends or
                                 27.4      22.0        34.5    10.2      43.2     20.0
                        family
              Gift from family 19.1         5.7        18.6     5.8      14.8     0.0
     Loan from microfinance 2.0             2.9         0.0     3.9       0.0     0.0
              Loan from bank 0.0            0.0         0.0     0.0       0.0     0.0

 *Only 5 traders were found in the non-electrified sites, so this average reflects only 5 observations, compared to 52
 for rural electrified and 97 for Addis Ababa.




                     INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Most Common Product Types
   100%




    80%




    60%                                                                            Other products
                                                                                   Kuta
                                                                                   Other traditional clothes
                                                                                   Linen
    40%
                                                                                   Shawl
                                                                                   Netella
                                                                                   Gabi
    20%                                                                            Kemis




     0%
           Addis Ababa               Electrified             Not Electrified



    -20%




           INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Production and Profit (2008)

                                               Addis Ababa              Electrified               Not Electrified
                                           Producer Trader           Producer Trader            Producer Trader

 Average sales price of 1 unit
 of most important product 116.1                            130.3       56.3        46.0           47.9    28.2
 (ET Birr)

 Cost of raw materials for 1
 unit of most important                       69.4            --        39.4          --           33.5      --
 product (ET Birr)

 Average monthly
                                              25.3            --        15.6          --           14.8      --
 production (in units*)
  *Unit = one finished product (e.g. gabi, netella, shawl, etc.)




                     INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Productivity Measures (2008)

      12.0
                  10.3 10.7
      10.0

       8.0                       7.2

       6.0
                                                                                Addis Ababa
       4.0                                                                      Electrified
                                                  1.8                           Not Electrified
       2.0                                              1.3 1.7

       0.0
                Hours Worked Per             Average number of
                 Day (Average)                  workers per
                                                 enterprise



             INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Labor Productivity (ET Birr/Worker) (2008)

     16,000                                   14,859
     14,000
     12,000
     10,000                                          8,461
      8,000
                                                            6,021            Addis Ababa
      6,000        4,427                                                     Electrified
      4,000              2,544                                               Not Electrified
                             1,796
      2,000
         0
                  Average annual              Average annual
                  value added per           revenue per worker
                      worker




              INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Capital/Labor Ratios (2008)
    10.0
                8.9
     9.0                8.4     8.0
     8.0
     7.0
     6.0                                            5.3
     5.0                                                    4.2     4.3
                                                                                      Addis Ababa
     4.0
     3.0                                                                              Electrified
     2.0                                                                              Not Electrified
     1.0
     0.0
           Fixed Assets Plus Cost of              Fixed Assets/Labor
              Raw Materials and
              Operational Costs




             INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Productivity Measures
                                               Addis                                                              Not
                                                              Chencha* P-Value Electrified                                 P-Value
                                               Ababa                                                           Electrified
Hours worked per day (average)                   10.3              9.0           0.001            10.7               7.2              0
Average number of workers per
                                                  1.8              1.5           0.003             1.3               1.7              0
enterprise
Average annual revenue per worker              14,859             7,237          0.000           8,461             6,021           0.021
(In ET Birr/worker)

Capital/Labor Ratio                               8.9              8.2           0.000             8.4               8.0           0.000
(Fixed Assets Plus Cost of Raw
Materials and Operational Costs)
Average annual value added per
                                                4,427             2,169          0.000           2,544             1,796           0.086
worker
(In ET Birr/worker)
Capital/Labor Ratio                               5.3              4.3              0              4.2               4.3           0.084
(Fixed Assets/Labor)
*All rural clusters, as a whole.
Note: Value added = revenue - fixed and variable capital costs + wage + taxes. 1 USD = 8.96 ET Birr. “Electrified” vs. “Not Electrified”
indicates small towns or villages located in SNNPR.




                         INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Specifications

                                                                                  (1)
    Y = annual sales revenue for top three products
    L = number of workers contributing to production
    K = sum of fixed assets, operating costs, and annual cost of raw
    materials
    X = vector of enterprise type and community and infrastructure controls
    ε is an error term
                                                                                  (2)

     = annual value added for top three products
     = total amount of fixed assets per enterprise

   Value added is defined as the annual sales revenue of the three most
   important products less the annual cost of raw materials and operational costs.



             INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Regression Analysis: Producer Productivity
                                      Revenue/Labor                                    Value Added/Labor
                                   Addis                                              Addis      Chencha    Chencha
                         All                  Chencha (1) Chencha (2)       All
                                   Ababa                                              Ababa        (1)        (2)
 LN[(K + CORM)/L]     1.004***    0.970***     1.030***    1.030***      0.292***    0.305***    0.336***   0.338***
                       (0.020)     (0.032)      (0.027)     (0.027)       (0.057)     (0.082)     (0.096)   (0.097)
 Electrified           -0.042                   -0.040      -0.043         0.175                   0.213     0.209
                       (0.028)                  (0.027)     (0.029)       (0.139)                 (0.143)   (0.145)
 Addis Ababa          0.065**                                            0.461***
                       (0.032)                                            (0.147)
 Year Established     0.003***    0.005***      0.001        0.001        0.007*     0.018***     -0.002     -0.002
                       (0.001)     (0.002)      (0.001)     (0.001)       (0.004)     (0.006)     (0.005)   (0.005)
 Rented Workspace      -0.029      -0.004       -0.044      -0.052*        0.206       0.091       0.236     0.224
                       (0.026)     (0.050)      (0.027)     (0.030)       (0.130)     (0.247)     (0.153)   (0.167)
 Workshop              -0.085      -0.039                                  0.370       0.335
                       (0.071)     (0.077)                                (0.348)     (0.376)
 Healthcenter                                                0.026                                           0.035
                                                            (0.035)                                         (0.150)
 Constant             -5.545***   -8.479***     -2.740      -2.833         -8.538    -28.716**     8.933     8.784
                       (1.861)     (3.066)      (2.193)     (2.205)       (8.305)    (12.711)    (10.080)   (10.185)
 Adjusted R-Squared    0.919        0.892       0.920        0.920         0.215       0.201       0.066     0.063
 AIC                   94.688      80.974       3.515        4.751       1417.979    538.485      877.034   878.971
 Observations           480         190          290          290           472        185         287        287



                      INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Segmented Regression Analysis
Attempt to capture differences between groups of producers, for the Chencha subsample.
                                                               Value Added/Labor
                                                    Bottom Third Middle Third    Top Third
                       Fixed Assets/Labor              0.535*       1.291***       0.450
                                                       (0.283)        (0.387)     (0.303)
                       Electrified                    0.552**        0.546**       -0.286
                                                       (0.234)        (0.267)     (0.271)
                       Year Established                -0.002         -0.002       0.001
                                                       (0.009)        (0.009)     (0.010)
                       Rented Workspace               0.780**         -0.325       0.076
                                                       (0.316)        (0.284)     (0.278)
                       Healthcenter                    -0.379          0.143       0.483*
                                                       (0.249)        (0.250)     (0.261)
                       Constant                         9.432          4.779       3.600
                                                      (18.293)       (17.101)    (18.875)
                       Adjusted R-Squared               0.184          0.058       0.028
                       AIC                            278.667        296.584      302.721
                       Observations                      94             98           95
   Note: The sample for Chencha was divided into thirds based on the size of the capital to labor ratio. The symbols
   "*", "**", and "***" stand for significance levels of 10%, 5%, and 1%, respectively. “Electrified” vs. “Not Electrified”
   indicates small towns or villages located in SNNPR.
   Robust standard errors are in parentheses.



                     INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Nonparametric Analysis – Chencha Subsample
Illustrating productivity differences between groups of producers


                                      Chencha Revenue/Labor on Capital/Labor

                        10
 Ln(Revenue/Labor)




                         9
                         8
                         7




                                  6          7           8            9              10   11
                                                       Ln(Capital/Labor)

                                                     No electricity        Electricity




                     INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Nonparametric Analysis – Chencha Subsample
       Illustrating productivity differences between groups of producers

                                                 Chencha Value Added/Labor on Fixed Assets/Labor



                                             8
                                       7.5
Ln(Value Added/Labor)




                                             7
                                       6.5
                                             6




                                                   2           3              4               5        6
                                                                     Ln(Capital/Labor)

                                                                   No electricity        Electricity




                        Note: Value added is defined as annual sales revenue of the three most important
                        products less annual cost of raw materials and operational costs.


                                   INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Concluding Thoughts

  • Infrastructure expands the options available to producers and traders.
      – Networks are more complex.
      – Linkages between rural clusters and urban markets are stronger.




             INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
Concluding Thoughts, cont.
 • Electricity plays an important role in handloom weaver productivity,
   particularly for the rural portion of the population.

     – Rural producers with access to electricity work, on average, 49%
       longer hours than do those without access to electricity.

     – Rural producers with access to electricity also earn 41% more
       revenue per worker per year, and 42% more value added per
       worker per year.

     – After controlling for enterprise age, capital to labor ratio, type of
       enterprise, and infrastructure, small-scale electrified rural
       producers are 55% more productive than their non-electrified
       counterparts.



             INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM

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Constraints on the Rural Non-farm Economy: An Analysis of the Hand Loom Sector

  • 1. ETHIOPIAN DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH INSTITUTE Constraints on the Rural Non-farm Economy: An Analysis of the Hand Loom Sector Gezahegn Ayele Ethiopian Development Research Institute (EDRI) Lisa Moorman International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) Co-authors: Jordan Chamberlin Kassu Wamisho Xiaobo Zhang October 23, 2009 Ethiopia Strategy Support Program-II (ESSP-II) Policy Conference 2009
  • 2. Background: Motivation of the study • Rural non-farm development is a strategic priority for DCs during their economic transformation from an agricultural to industrial society • Rural non-farm development plays a role in generating local employment and linking with other sectors in developing countries (Haggblade et al. 2007). • Rural non-farm development is particularly relevant to the Ethiopian context, emphasized in the Agricultural-Development Led Industrialization (ADLI) Strategy. • The second PRSP- Economic Development’s Plan for Accelerated and Sustained Development to End Poverty (PASDEP) (2005/06- 2009/10) further emphasizes the importance of this sector. INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 3. Objectives There is a knowledge gap in how nonfarm activities are organized in rural areas, particularly with respect to the impact of infrastructure development. To address this gap, this study examines the differences between urban and rural, electrified and non-electrified handloom weaving clusters. The few studies of clustering within Ethiopia to date have maintained a geographical focus on the capital city of Addis Ababa and nearby areas (Abdella and Ayele 2007; Sonobe et al. 2006). INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 4. Research Questions This paper investigates issues related to rural industrial clusters through an in-depth case study of handloom clusters in Ethiopia (non-farm economy). In particular, our study addresses the following questions: • Does infrastructure impact rural/urban linkages? • Does infrastructure impact firm network structure? • Does infrastructure impact firm productivity? INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 5. Why Handloom? The selection of the handloom sector was guided by three main characteristics: • First, it is the most important non-agricultural source of income in the country (Central Statistics Agency 2003a), and the most important employer of rural families for livelihood after agriculture. • Second, it is a traditional cotton value chain-based activity with strong patterns of geographically clustered handloom activities. • Third, it is one of the few non-agricultural sectors with a discernable presence in both urban and rural areas. This sector also produces semi-finished and finished goods for domestic consumption and processing as well as for international markets. INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 6. Survey Methodology • In this study, we surveyed three urban clusters in Addis Ababa and six rural clusters in the southern part of Ethiopia • The list of handloom weavers used for the study was given by the Medium and Small Scale Manufacturing desks of the urban kebeles and rural woreda • Our sample comprised 488 producers and 154 traders • Using this data, we mapped out the production structures and linkages among producers and traders. • Detailed production data enable us to compare cluster performance both through labor productivity and working hours across different types of clusters • The survey was conducted in May and June 2008 INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 7. Study Sites (2008) • Addis Ababa: Shiro-Meda, Adisu-Gebeya, Kechene-Medhaniyalem • Chencha woreda, Gamo Gofa Zone, SNNPR: 6 sites Of the 50 kebeles in Chencha woreda, only 10% were classified as “electrified” by the woreda administration. % from Sample Sample sample population size population size Chencha woreda 12045 293 2.4 Electrified towns 7948 142 1.8 Chencha town 1774 52 2.9 Ezo town 2305 38 1.6 Dorze town 3869 52 1.3 Non-electrified towns 4097 151 3.7 Deco-mecho 1584 66 4.1 Mesho 493 20 4.1 Kale 480 20 4.1 Shaye 264 11 4.1 Losha 347 14 4.1 Zozo 922 44 4.8 Setena borche 430 20 4.8 Boyena tupa 239 11 4.8 Gendo gembela 253 12 4.8 Shama 1591 41 2.5 Shama town 829 21 2.5 Webera 762 19 2.5 Source: Ethiopian Atlas on the Rural Economy (2004) Total 12045 293 2.4 INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 8. Sample Composition (2008) Rural Addis Rural % % Not % Ababa Electrified Electrified Producers 195 145 146 Household 109 56% 72 50% 114 78% Rented workspace 74 38% 72 50% 32 22% Workshop 12 6% 0 0% 0 0% Traders 97 52 5 Shop 77 79% 1 2% 0 0% Market 20 21% 43 83% 5 100% Roadside market 0 0% 8 15% 0 0% Total 292 46% 197 31% 151 24% INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 9. Addis Ababa Network Structure (2008) Inputs Producers Initial Sales Final Sales INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 10. Electrified vs. Non-Electrified Network Structure (2008) Electrified Clusters Non-Electrified Clusters Inputs Producers Initial Sales Final Sales Inputs Producers Initial Sales Final Sales INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 11. Starting Capital (2008) Addis Ababa Electrified Not Electrified Producer Trader Producer Trader Producer Trader Average value of starting 194 6560 95 1332 115 1,660* capital (ET Birr) Average value of starting 22 732 11 149 13 185 capital (USD) Sources of starting capital (average % of starting capital coming from each source) Own savings 48.4 67.4 45.3 80.2 41.3 80.0 Borrowing from friends or 27.4 22.0 34.5 10.2 43.2 20.0 family Gift from family 19.1 5.7 18.6 5.8 14.8 0.0 Loan from microfinance 2.0 2.9 0.0 3.9 0.0 0.0 Loan from bank 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *Only 5 traders were found in the non-electrified sites, so this average reflects only 5 observations, compared to 52 for rural electrified and 97 for Addis Ababa. INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 12. Most Common Product Types 100% 80% 60% Other products Kuta Other traditional clothes Linen 40% Shawl Netella Gabi 20% Kemis 0% Addis Ababa Electrified Not Electrified -20% INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 13. Production and Profit (2008) Addis Ababa Electrified Not Electrified Producer Trader Producer Trader Producer Trader Average sales price of 1 unit of most important product 116.1 130.3 56.3 46.0 47.9 28.2 (ET Birr) Cost of raw materials for 1 unit of most important 69.4 -- 39.4 -- 33.5 -- product (ET Birr) Average monthly 25.3 -- 15.6 -- 14.8 -- production (in units*) *Unit = one finished product (e.g. gabi, netella, shawl, etc.) INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 14. Productivity Measures (2008) 12.0 10.3 10.7 10.0 8.0 7.2 6.0 Addis Ababa 4.0 Electrified 1.8 Not Electrified 2.0 1.3 1.7 0.0 Hours Worked Per Average number of Day (Average) workers per enterprise INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 15. Labor Productivity (ET Birr/Worker) (2008) 16,000 14,859 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,461 8,000 6,021 Addis Ababa 6,000 4,427 Electrified 4,000 2,544 Not Electrified 1,796 2,000 0 Average annual Average annual value added per revenue per worker worker INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 16. Capital/Labor Ratios (2008) 10.0 8.9 9.0 8.4 8.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.3 5.0 4.2 4.3 Addis Ababa 4.0 3.0 Electrified 2.0 Not Electrified 1.0 0.0 Fixed Assets Plus Cost of Fixed Assets/Labor Raw Materials and Operational Costs INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 17. Productivity Measures Addis Not Chencha* P-Value Electrified P-Value Ababa Electrified Hours worked per day (average) 10.3 9.0 0.001 10.7 7.2 0 Average number of workers per 1.8 1.5 0.003 1.3 1.7 0 enterprise Average annual revenue per worker 14,859 7,237 0.000 8,461 6,021 0.021 (In ET Birr/worker) Capital/Labor Ratio 8.9 8.2 0.000 8.4 8.0 0.000 (Fixed Assets Plus Cost of Raw Materials and Operational Costs) Average annual value added per 4,427 2,169 0.000 2,544 1,796 0.086 worker (In ET Birr/worker) Capital/Labor Ratio 5.3 4.3 0 4.2 4.3 0.084 (Fixed Assets/Labor) *All rural clusters, as a whole. Note: Value added = revenue - fixed and variable capital costs + wage + taxes. 1 USD = 8.96 ET Birr. “Electrified” vs. “Not Electrified” indicates small towns or villages located in SNNPR. INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 18. Specifications (1) Y = annual sales revenue for top three products L = number of workers contributing to production K = sum of fixed assets, operating costs, and annual cost of raw materials X = vector of enterprise type and community and infrastructure controls ε is an error term (2) = annual value added for top three products = total amount of fixed assets per enterprise Value added is defined as the annual sales revenue of the three most important products less the annual cost of raw materials and operational costs. INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 19. Regression Analysis: Producer Productivity Revenue/Labor Value Added/Labor Addis Addis Chencha Chencha All Chencha (1) Chencha (2) All Ababa Ababa (1) (2) LN[(K + CORM)/L] 1.004*** 0.970*** 1.030*** 1.030*** 0.292*** 0.305*** 0.336*** 0.338*** (0.020) (0.032) (0.027) (0.027) (0.057) (0.082) (0.096) (0.097) Electrified -0.042 -0.040 -0.043 0.175 0.213 0.209 (0.028) (0.027) (0.029) (0.139) (0.143) (0.145) Addis Ababa 0.065** 0.461*** (0.032) (0.147) Year Established 0.003*** 0.005*** 0.001 0.001 0.007* 0.018*** -0.002 -0.002 (0.001) (0.002) (0.001) (0.001) (0.004) (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) Rented Workspace -0.029 -0.004 -0.044 -0.052* 0.206 0.091 0.236 0.224 (0.026) (0.050) (0.027) (0.030) (0.130) (0.247) (0.153) (0.167) Workshop -0.085 -0.039 0.370 0.335 (0.071) (0.077) (0.348) (0.376) Healthcenter 0.026 0.035 (0.035) (0.150) Constant -5.545*** -8.479*** -2.740 -2.833 -8.538 -28.716** 8.933 8.784 (1.861) (3.066) (2.193) (2.205) (8.305) (12.711) (10.080) (10.185) Adjusted R-Squared 0.919 0.892 0.920 0.920 0.215 0.201 0.066 0.063 AIC 94.688 80.974 3.515 4.751 1417.979 538.485 877.034 878.971 Observations 480 190 290 290 472 185 287 287 INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 20. Segmented Regression Analysis Attempt to capture differences between groups of producers, for the Chencha subsample. Value Added/Labor Bottom Third Middle Third Top Third Fixed Assets/Labor 0.535* 1.291*** 0.450 (0.283) (0.387) (0.303) Electrified 0.552** 0.546** -0.286 (0.234) (0.267) (0.271) Year Established -0.002 -0.002 0.001 (0.009) (0.009) (0.010) Rented Workspace 0.780** -0.325 0.076 (0.316) (0.284) (0.278) Healthcenter -0.379 0.143 0.483* (0.249) (0.250) (0.261) Constant 9.432 4.779 3.600 (18.293) (17.101) (18.875) Adjusted R-Squared 0.184 0.058 0.028 AIC 278.667 296.584 302.721 Observations 94 98 95 Note: The sample for Chencha was divided into thirds based on the size of the capital to labor ratio. The symbols "*", "**", and "***" stand for significance levels of 10%, 5%, and 1%, respectively. “Electrified” vs. “Not Electrified” indicates small towns or villages located in SNNPR. Robust standard errors are in parentheses. INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 21. Nonparametric Analysis – Chencha Subsample Illustrating productivity differences between groups of producers Chencha Revenue/Labor on Capital/Labor 10 Ln(Revenue/Labor) 9 8 7 6 7 8 9 10 11 Ln(Capital/Labor) No electricity Electricity INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 22. Nonparametric Analysis – Chencha Subsample Illustrating productivity differences between groups of producers Chencha Value Added/Labor on Fixed Assets/Labor 8 7.5 Ln(Value Added/Labor) 7 6.5 6 2 3 4 5 6 Ln(Capital/Labor) No electricity Electricity Note: Value added is defined as annual sales revenue of the three most important products less annual cost of raw materials and operational costs. INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 23. Concluding Thoughts • Infrastructure expands the options available to producers and traders. – Networks are more complex. – Linkages between rural clusters and urban markets are stronger. INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM
  • 24. Concluding Thoughts, cont. • Electricity plays an important role in handloom weaver productivity, particularly for the rural portion of the population. – Rural producers with access to electricity work, on average, 49% longer hours than do those without access to electricity. – Rural producers with access to electricity also earn 41% more revenue per worker per year, and 42% more value added per worker per year. – After controlling for enterprise age, capital to labor ratio, type of enterprise, and infrastructure, small-scale electrified rural producers are 55% more productive than their non-electrified counterparts. INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE – ETHIOPIA STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM