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Revenue
Management
     Town Pump
  Manager’s Meeting
   October 13, 2011
Agenda
•   Introductions
•   Revenue Management Defined
•   Costs
•   Incremental Revenue
•   Displacement
•   Competitor Benchmarking
•   Selling Strategies
•   Day in the life….
•   Questions
Introductions
Daniel Wise
Cascade Revenue Management
•   Best Western
•   Choice
•   Hilton
•   IHG
•   Independents
Revenue Management
From the literature…

"Revenue management is the art and science of
predicting real-time customer demand at the micro
market level and optimizing the price and availability
of products.“

-Robert G. Cross
Revenue Management
In practice…

   Selling the right product
   To the right person
   At the right time
   For the right price
RM Goals
↑ $ Revenue $ ↑

  Conditions Necessary…
     • Fixed inventory
   • Various price points
       • Perishable
   What other industries?
Understanding Costs
Fixed Costs
• Mortgage
• Salaries
• Utilities (somewhat)

Variable Costs
• Labor
• Cleaning supplies
• Amenities
Individual Project
Take a break and calculate Fixed and Variable costs
for your hotels.

• Use a spreadsheet or paper
• First column put all fixed monthly costs
   o Fixed Costs = Total Fixed ÷ (Total Rooms X Days in Month)

• Second column put total monthly variable costs
   o Variable Costs = Total Variable ÷ (Rooms sold in month)



   Let’s take 10-15 minutes….
Example
                     Fixed                                Variable
Mortgage                     45,000   Housekeepers                    7,000
Electric                     15,000   Laundry                         3,000
Salary                       12,000   Amenities                       1,500
                             72,000                                   11,500
72,000 ÷ (75 * 30)           32.00    11,500 ÷ (75 * 87% * 30)       5.87 POR



• Month of September                                FC: $32.00 per room
• 75 room hotel                                           VC: $5.87 POR
• 87% monthly occupancy                                    $37.87 CPOR
How can you use this?
Cost of an empty room…
Average Occupancy 62% = 38% Vacancy Rate
70 room hotel

• 70 * .38 = 27 room spoilage daily
• 27 * $32.00 Fixed Costs = $864 spoiled
  revenue

• $864 * 365 = $315,360 average annual
  spoilage
Costs & Pricing
In economics and business decision-making, sunk costs are
retrospective (past) costs that have already been incurred
and cannot be recovered.

Pricing decisions (Marginal Costs vs Marginal Revenue)

Cost based pricing or market based pricing

To achieve profit  exceed FC and VC

To reduce sunk costs  cover VC at minimum
Minimum Price
FC = $32
VC = $12
TC = $44

To achieve profitability? Why?

Lowest amount you would take? Why?
Incremental Revenue
          Sun Mon       Tue   Wed Thu       Fri    Sat   WK
 SOLD    25     45     57     44     53    105    106     62
 ADR $49.36 $72.69 $70.35 $67.34 $69.96 $75.29 $76.88 $68.84
REVPAR $11.32 $30.01 $36.79 $27.18 $34.02 $72.52 $74.76 $39.25


 Break up into pairs…
 109 rooms. What happens to RevPAR if they:
 • Take 10 rooms Sun-Thu at $30?
 • Take 3 rooms Fri & Sat at $60?
10 @ $30 S-Th
          Sun Mon        Tue   Wed Thu      Fri    Sat   WK
 SOLD    25     45     57     44     53    105    106     62
 ADR $49.36 $72.69 $70.35 $67.34 $69.96 $75.29 $76.88 $68.84
REVPAR $11.32 $30.01 $36.79 $27.18 $34.02 $72.52 $74.76 $39.25

           Sun    Mon    Tue   Wed   Thu    Fri    Sat   WK
 SOLD    35     55     67     54     63    105    106     69
 ADR $43.83 $64.93 $64.33 $60.43 $63.62 $75.29 $76.88 $64.18
REVPAR $14.07 $32.76 $39.54 $29.94 $36.77 $72.52 $74.76 $40.80

                 $1.55 / 3.9% RevPAR Increase
3 @ $60 Fr/Sa
          Sun Mon        Tue   Wed Thu      Fri    Sat   WK
 SOLD    25     45     57     44     53    105    106     62
 ADR $49.36 $72.69 $70.35 $67.34 $69.96 $75.29 $76.88 $68.84
REVPAR $11.32 $30.01 $36.79 $27.18 $34.02 $72.52 $74.76 $39.25

           Sun    Mon    Tue   Wed   Thu    Fri    Sat   WK
 SOLD    25     45     57     44     53    108    109     63
 ADR $49.36 $72.69 $70.35 $67.34 $69.96 $74.86 $76.41 $68.71
REVPAR $11.32 $30.01 $36.79 $27.18 $34.02 $74.17 $76.41 $39.71

                 $0.46 / 1.2% RevPAR Increase
To consider…
Not just about room revenue: Total Revenue
• Food & beverage
• Gaming
• Activities
• Others?



Need to analyze average spend per guests.
Break
Take 10-15 minutes
Not enough rooms?
Enough talk of empty rooms!

What if you don’t have enough rooms to meet
demand?

Unconstrained demand > available inventory
Displacement Analysis
1. Determine your forecast without the group

2. Determine amount displaced by the group,
   if any

3. Compare revenue with group to revenue
   without group to decide
Displacement Scenario
Use the data in the RMS Workbook:
Group Request…
• Arriving Thursday 12/8/2011
• Departing Monday 12/12/2011
• 30 rooms each night
   o 12 Kings @ $75.00
   o 18 Doubles @ $85.00


• Group into pairs and determine if you should take
  the group and at what rate?
   o   What is your forecast without the group on each day?
   o   Will the group displace any business?
   o   How much revenue will be displaced?
   o   Should you book the group? If yes, what rate?
What did you come up
       with?
 Why did you make the choices you did?
Let’s do the DA together
Know your comp set
• Benchmark
  o Tour their site
  o Compare online information

• Collect Intelligence
  o Shop their rates
  o Subscribe to Smith Travel Research
  o Consider other report tools

• Maintain a friendly yet competitive
  relationship
• Avoid complacency
Know your customers
Cater a strategy to their unique needs

• Categories               • Types
   o Leisure                  o Family
       • AAA                  o Single
   o Business                 o Couples
   o Group                 • Price sensitivity
                              o High “Bargain shoppers”
• Stay Patterns               o Low “Willing to pay more to
   o Weekday                    get exactly what they want”
   o Weekend               • Typical booking path
                              o Call direct
                              o Internet
                              o Travel agent
What’s important to
             them?
Single business traveler        Family on vacation

• Distance to their work site   • Distance from attractions
• Weekday business              • Weekend business
• Book direct or with an        • Books online (OTA’s or
  agent                           brand.com)
• Low price sensitivity         • High price sensitivity
• Prefers larger king beds      • Needs two beds
• Quality high speed internet   • Free breakfast
• Restaurant/bar on-site or     • Swimming pool
  nearby
Forecast by segment

          Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 King           BT    BT    BT    BT
2 Queen                                 FAM   FAM
Pricing by room type
Peak/Busy dates by customer and room type
          Sun    Mon      Tue    Wed     Thu      Fri   Sat
 King             BT      BT      BT        BT
2 Queen                                           FAM   FAM



Possible pricing based on forecasted demand
          Sun    Mon      Tue    Wed     Thu      Fri   Sat
 King      $84    $99     $99     $99       $99   $89   $89
2 Queen    $84    $89     $89     $89       $89   $99   $99


                          J.N.D.’s
Break
Take 10-15 minutes
Top Down Selling
           Strategy
• Choice Hotels recommended strategy
Choice Selling Tool
Day in the life…
How to revenue manage, even if you are not a
revenue manager…


• Daily check
  o So much impact can be made simply by monitoring and
    adjusting to demand

• Weekly revenue meeting
  o Develop a team and conduct regular meetings
     • Review past performance
     • Strategize for the next 90 days
RM Team
• Who should be on that team?
• What roles should they have?
RM Meeting
• Agenda items
  o Time for each

• Sales
• Front Desk
• Revenue Manager
Get some tools
• Bare minimum (if I was stuck on an
  island)
  o Competitor Rate Shopping
  o Occupancy Tracker
The RM Cycle
                 Monitor
                 Demand



Forecast                       Monitor
Demand                         Comp Set




    Understand
                           Adjust
     Customer
Tools
• Simple forecast tool
• Opaque workbook
• Choice Target Selling Application
Resources
• Major brands if applicable
  o Choice University
  o Wyndham

• Other managers on your team/company
• Hotel organizations
  o HSMAI
  o AH&LA

• The Cascade team
Questions?
Thank you!
Town Pump Managers Meeting

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Town Pump Managers Meeting

  • 1. Revenue Management Town Pump Manager’s Meeting October 13, 2011
  • 2. Agenda • Introductions • Revenue Management Defined • Costs • Incremental Revenue • Displacement • Competitor Benchmarking • Selling Strategies • Day in the life…. • Questions
  • 3. Introductions Daniel Wise Cascade Revenue Management • Best Western • Choice • Hilton • IHG • Independents
  • 4. Revenue Management From the literature… "Revenue management is the art and science of predicting real-time customer demand at the micro market level and optimizing the price and availability of products.“ -Robert G. Cross
  • 5. Revenue Management In practice…  Selling the right product  To the right person  At the right time  For the right price
  • 6. RM Goals ↑ $ Revenue $ ↑ Conditions Necessary… • Fixed inventory • Various price points • Perishable What other industries?
  • 7. Understanding Costs Fixed Costs • Mortgage • Salaries • Utilities (somewhat) Variable Costs • Labor • Cleaning supplies • Amenities
  • 8. Individual Project Take a break and calculate Fixed and Variable costs for your hotels. • Use a spreadsheet or paper • First column put all fixed monthly costs o Fixed Costs = Total Fixed ÷ (Total Rooms X Days in Month) • Second column put total monthly variable costs o Variable Costs = Total Variable ÷ (Rooms sold in month) Let’s take 10-15 minutes….
  • 9. Example Fixed Variable Mortgage 45,000 Housekeepers 7,000 Electric 15,000 Laundry 3,000 Salary 12,000 Amenities 1,500 72,000 11,500 72,000 ÷ (75 * 30) 32.00 11,500 ÷ (75 * 87% * 30) 5.87 POR • Month of September FC: $32.00 per room • 75 room hotel VC: $5.87 POR • 87% monthly occupancy $37.87 CPOR
  • 10. How can you use this? Cost of an empty room… Average Occupancy 62% = 38% Vacancy Rate 70 room hotel • 70 * .38 = 27 room spoilage daily • 27 * $32.00 Fixed Costs = $864 spoiled revenue • $864 * 365 = $315,360 average annual spoilage
  • 11. Costs & Pricing In economics and business decision-making, sunk costs are retrospective (past) costs that have already been incurred and cannot be recovered. Pricing decisions (Marginal Costs vs Marginal Revenue) Cost based pricing or market based pricing To achieve profit  exceed FC and VC To reduce sunk costs  cover VC at minimum
  • 12. Minimum Price FC = $32 VC = $12 TC = $44 To achieve profitability? Why? Lowest amount you would take? Why?
  • 13. Incremental Revenue Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat WK SOLD 25 45 57 44 53 105 106 62 ADR $49.36 $72.69 $70.35 $67.34 $69.96 $75.29 $76.88 $68.84 REVPAR $11.32 $30.01 $36.79 $27.18 $34.02 $72.52 $74.76 $39.25 Break up into pairs… 109 rooms. What happens to RevPAR if they: • Take 10 rooms Sun-Thu at $30? • Take 3 rooms Fri & Sat at $60?
  • 14. 10 @ $30 S-Th Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat WK SOLD 25 45 57 44 53 105 106 62 ADR $49.36 $72.69 $70.35 $67.34 $69.96 $75.29 $76.88 $68.84 REVPAR $11.32 $30.01 $36.79 $27.18 $34.02 $72.52 $74.76 $39.25 Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat WK SOLD 35 55 67 54 63 105 106 69 ADR $43.83 $64.93 $64.33 $60.43 $63.62 $75.29 $76.88 $64.18 REVPAR $14.07 $32.76 $39.54 $29.94 $36.77 $72.52 $74.76 $40.80 $1.55 / 3.9% RevPAR Increase
  • 15. 3 @ $60 Fr/Sa Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat WK SOLD 25 45 57 44 53 105 106 62 ADR $49.36 $72.69 $70.35 $67.34 $69.96 $75.29 $76.88 $68.84 REVPAR $11.32 $30.01 $36.79 $27.18 $34.02 $72.52 $74.76 $39.25 Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat WK SOLD 25 45 57 44 53 108 109 63 ADR $49.36 $72.69 $70.35 $67.34 $69.96 $74.86 $76.41 $68.71 REVPAR $11.32 $30.01 $36.79 $27.18 $34.02 $74.17 $76.41 $39.71 $0.46 / 1.2% RevPAR Increase
  • 16. To consider… Not just about room revenue: Total Revenue • Food & beverage • Gaming • Activities • Others? Need to analyze average spend per guests.
  • 18.
  • 19. Not enough rooms? Enough talk of empty rooms! What if you don’t have enough rooms to meet demand? Unconstrained demand > available inventory
  • 20. Displacement Analysis 1. Determine your forecast without the group 2. Determine amount displaced by the group, if any 3. Compare revenue with group to revenue without group to decide
  • 21. Displacement Scenario Use the data in the RMS Workbook:
  • 22. Group Request… • Arriving Thursday 12/8/2011 • Departing Monday 12/12/2011 • 30 rooms each night o 12 Kings @ $75.00 o 18 Doubles @ $85.00 • Group into pairs and determine if you should take the group and at what rate? o What is your forecast without the group on each day? o Will the group displace any business? o How much revenue will be displaced? o Should you book the group? If yes, what rate?
  • 23. What did you come up with? Why did you make the choices you did?
  • 24. Let’s do the DA together
  • 25. Know your comp set • Benchmark o Tour their site o Compare online information • Collect Intelligence o Shop their rates o Subscribe to Smith Travel Research o Consider other report tools • Maintain a friendly yet competitive relationship • Avoid complacency
  • 26. Know your customers Cater a strategy to their unique needs • Categories • Types o Leisure o Family • AAA o Single o Business o Couples o Group • Price sensitivity o High “Bargain shoppers” • Stay Patterns o Low “Willing to pay more to o Weekday get exactly what they want” o Weekend • Typical booking path o Call direct o Internet o Travel agent
  • 27. What’s important to them? Single business traveler Family on vacation • Distance to their work site • Distance from attractions • Weekday business • Weekend business • Book direct or with an • Books online (OTA’s or agent brand.com) • Low price sensitivity • High price sensitivity • Prefers larger king beds • Needs two beds • Quality high speed internet • Free breakfast • Restaurant/bar on-site or • Swimming pool nearby
  • 28. Forecast by segment Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat King BT BT BT BT 2 Queen FAM FAM
  • 29. Pricing by room type Peak/Busy dates by customer and room type Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat King BT BT BT BT 2 Queen FAM FAM Possible pricing based on forecasted demand Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat King $84 $99 $99 $99 $99 $89 $89 2 Queen $84 $89 $89 $89 $89 $99 $99 J.N.D.’s
  • 31. Top Down Selling Strategy • Choice Hotels recommended strategy
  • 33. Day in the life… How to revenue manage, even if you are not a revenue manager… • Daily check o So much impact can be made simply by monitoring and adjusting to demand • Weekly revenue meeting o Develop a team and conduct regular meetings • Review past performance • Strategize for the next 90 days
  • 34. RM Team • Who should be on that team? • What roles should they have?
  • 35. RM Meeting • Agenda items o Time for each • Sales • Front Desk • Revenue Manager
  • 36. Get some tools • Bare minimum (if I was stuck on an island) o Competitor Rate Shopping o Occupancy Tracker
  • 37. The RM Cycle Monitor Demand Forecast Monitor Demand Comp Set Understand Adjust Customer
  • 38. Tools • Simple forecast tool • Opaque workbook • Choice Target Selling Application
  • 39. Resources • Major brands if applicable o Choice University o Wyndham • Other managers on your team/company • Hotel organizations o HSMAI o AH&LA • The Cascade team

Editor's Notes

  1. Switch to RMS file and work through as a group, perhaps using the scenarios
  2. Introduce idea of Just Noticeable Differences
  3. Run the live program through a scenario with the group
  4. Sample forecast tool in files too