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Office
Property Market Overview
INDIA
QUARTERLY UPDATE | JANUARY | 2013




Accelerating success.
4Q 2012 | OFFICE


 Research & forecast report
 SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT

 research & forecast Report
 India office market




                                                                     MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW                                             ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost

                                                                     •	GDP growth in the July - September quarter                        10.0%
                                                                                                                                          9.0%
                                                                       of 2012 was 5.3%, contracting marginally                           8.0%

                                                                       from in the last quarter.                                          7.0%
                                                                                                                                          6.0%


                                                                     •		 eadline inflation based on the wholesale
                                                                       H
                                                                                                                                          5.0%




                                                                                                                         In Percentage
                                                                                                                                         4.0%

                                                                       price index inched down to 7.24% for the                           3.0%
                                                                                                                                         2.0%
                                                                       month of November 2012, as compared to                             1.0%

                                                                       7.45% in October 2012. It was 9.46% during                        0.0%




                                                                                                                                                         Jan - Mar 09

                                                                                                                                                                             Apr - Jun 09

                                                                                                                                                                                            Jul - Sep 09

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Oct - Dec 09

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jan - Mar 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Apr - Jun 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jul - Sep 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Oct - Dec 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jan - Mar 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Apr - Jun 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Jul - Sep 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Oct - Dec 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jan - Mar 12

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Apr - Jun 12

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jun - Sep 12
                                                                       the corresponding month of the previous
                                                                       year.

ECONOMIC BAROMETER                                                   •	The Reserve Bank of India reduced the CRR
                                                                       (Cash Reserve Ratio) of scheduled banks by                                                                                                                                 FDI in Real Estate
                                   Dec-11                Dec-12
                                                                       25 basis points from 4.50 to 4.25% with
                                                                                                                                         16,000

                                                                                                                                         14,000

       REPO RATE                     8.50%                8.00%
                                                                       effect from 3 November 2012 to induce                             12,000

                                                                       immediate liquidity in the market. However,                       10,000
  REVERSE REPO
                                     7.50%                 7.00%       the central bank did not provide any repo rate                    8,000
                                                                                                                          INR Crore




              RATE
                                                                       cut this quarter.                                                 6,000

                                                                                                                                         4,000
               CRR                   6.00%                 4.25%
                                                                     •	India’s foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow                    2,000



        INFLATION                    7.74%                 7.24%
                                                                       was around USD1.94 billion in October 2012,                           0
                                                                                                                                                                 2005 - 06



                                                                                                                                                                                                 2006 - 07



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2007 - 08



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2008 - 09



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2009 - 10



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2010 - 11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2011-12



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            April -Oct 12
                                                                       which was nearly 65% above the same month
             PRIME
                          9.75% - 10.75%        10.00% - 10.75%        last year.
   LENDING Rate
   DEPOSIT RATE                                                      •		 his quarter, the commercial office markets in
                                                                       T
                           7.75% - 9.50%          8.00% - 9.00%
         (<1 YEAR)                                                     India have shown mixed trends. Overall, rents                                                                                                              BSE Sensex & Realty Index

     Foreign Ex-                                                       and capital values remained stagnant with a                         120


          change                     54.96                 54.43       downward bias. Notwithstanding the current                           115


        INR - USD                                                      economic difficulties, the leasing activity in                      110

                                                                       Mumbai, Delhi and Gurgaon Bangalore                                 105
       INR- Euro                     69.29                  71.31
                                                                       remained steady; however, the Chennai,                              100


                                                                       Kolkata and NOIDA markets experienced                                95

                                                                       relatively weak demand.                                              90

Return on Alternative Investments
                                                                                                                                                   1-Oct-2012




                                                                                                                                                                                                     16-Oct-2012




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         31-Oct-2012




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            15-Nov-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               30-Nov-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  15-Dec-12




                                                                     •	COLLIERS VIEW: Business confidence is up
                           Dec-11        Dec-12           YoY %        based on the government’s keen resolve to                   * Rebase to 100                                                                                          BSE Sensex                                                                        Realty Index


                                                         Change        introduce numerous fiscal and economic
                                                                       reforms. RBI has indicated that they would
             Gold           27,670        30,885          11.62%
                                                                       positively review lowering the repo rate in 1Q                                                                                                                              Exchange Rates


           SILVER          52,250         60,040          14.91%       2013. This should increase liquidity in the                          60                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          75


                                                                       market; and the positive business environment                        55                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          70
    EQUITY (BSE
                                                                       should lead to recovery in the country’s
                                                                                                                                            50                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          65
         SENSEX)            15,881           19,317       21.64%       economic growth and increase in demand for
  REALTY INDEX               1,505           2,067        37.35%       commercial and residential real estate. In the                       45                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          60

                                                                       medium terms, cities with lower inventory
                                                                                                                                            40                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          55
                                                                       overhang (such as Bangalore and Mumbai)
                                                                                                                                                  1-Oct-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                     16-Oct-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            31-Octl-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                15-Nov-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   30-Nov-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            15-Dec-12




 Note : All values in the above tables are as on 15th of December,
 2011 and December, 2012                                               will witness strengthening in the rental and
                                                                       capital values. However in the short term                   * Rebase to 100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       USD                                                                                  Euro


                                                                       rental values across board will be under                                                                                                                                                                    Source: Colliers International India Research

                                                                       stress.


 www.colliers.com
INDIA | 4Q 2012 | OFFICE


                                                                                               MUMBAI                                                                                                                   AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Goregoan / JVLR
                                                                                               •		 ore than 9.3 million sq ft of commercial
                                                                                                 M                                                                                                                                                                8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Worli / Prabhadevi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Kalina
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1%

                                                                                                 Grade A office space was available for fit-out                                                                                                  Powai 1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   4%

                                                                                                 in 4Q 2012. About 24% of this total available                                                                                           Malad
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          5%                                                                                            Thane / LBS

                                                                                                 space was concentrated in Andheri East.                                                                       Navi Mumbai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           22%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                    6%

                                                                                               •	A number of projects / part of the projects
                                                                                                 were completed this quarter resulting in                                                                                                                                                                                                         CBD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1%

                                                                                                 the addition of approximately 4 million sq
                                                                                                 ft of Grade A office space to the city’s total                                                                      Lower Parel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        20%
                                                                                                 inventory.                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Andheri East
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           24%

                                                                                               •		 easing activity picked up in the Mumbai Grade
                                                                                                 L                                                                                                                                                                    BKC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      8%
                                                                                                 A office market during 4Q 2012 and few large
                                                                                                 deals were concluded during the quarter. The
                                                                             MumBAI              city’s total absorption for 2012 totalled around                                                                                          Grade a Capital Values
                                                                                                 6.23 million sq ft. Sectors which primarily                                                        35000

CITY OFFICE BAROMETER                                                                            contributed to this absorption were Banking,                                                       30000

                                                                                                 Finance Services and Insurance (BFSI) and




                                                                                                                                                    Capital Values -INR Per Sq.ft.
                                      3Q 2012                       4Q 2012                                                                                                                         25000

                                                                                                 IT/ITes.
                                                                                                                                                                                                    20000
 Vacancy
                                                                                               •		 verage rental and capital values in Mumbai
                                                                                                 A                                                                                                  15000

 Absorption                                                                                      remained stable in 4Q 2012 across all micro-                                                       10000


 Construction
                                                                                                 markets due to ample availability of stock and                                                      5000

                                                                                                 new developments in the pipeline.
 Rental Value                                                                                                                                                                                           0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                 CBD


                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Andheri East


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             BKC


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Lower Parel


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Malad


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Navi Mumbai


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Powai

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Worli/
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Prabhdevi

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Goregaon /
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            JVLR

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Kalina


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Thane / LBS
                                                                                               •		 he Maharashtra State Road Development
                                                                                                 T
                                                                                                 Corporation (MSRDC) has opened a second
 Micro Market                        Rental                    % Change                          flyover, named Patlipada, on the Thane-
                                     Values
                                                             QoQ                   YoY
                                                                                                 Ghodbunder Road. A total of four flyovers — the                                                                     AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL TREND
                                                                                                 Patlipada, Waghbil, Kapurbawdi and Manpada
 CBD                             225 - 275                     0%                   -9%                                                                                                              300                                                                                                                                                            30000
                                                                                                 were planned on this road, of which Waghbil                                                                                                                                                                                               Forecast

 Andheri East                      90 - 125                    0%                    0%          and Patlipada flyover are now operational;
                                                                                                                                                          Rental Values -INR Per Sq.ft. Per Month




                                                                                                                                                                                                     250                                                                                                                                                            25000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Capital Values -INR Per Sq.ft.
 BKC                             225 - 315                     0%                    3%          work on the Manpada flyover is in the final                                                         200                                                                                                                                                            20000

 Lower Parel                     130 - 200                     0%                    0%          stages and is expected to be operational by
                                                                                                 the end of January 2013.                                                                             150                                                                                                                                                           15000

 Malad                              80 - 90                    0%                    0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                      100                                                                                                                                                           10000
 Navi Mumbai                        55 - 75                    0%                    0%        •	COLLIERS VIEW: 4Q 2012 witnessed an
 Powai                           100 - 120                     0%                    0%
                                                                                                 increase in absorption of office space. The                                                          50                                                                                                                                                            5000


                                                                                                 demand showed a clear preference for                                                                  0                                                                                                                                                            0
 Worli/ Prabhdevi                175 - 225                     0%                    0%
                                                                                                 premium quality office space. We anticipate
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            4Q2008




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4Q2009




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              4Q2010




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4Q2011




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               4Q2012




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          4Q2013F
                                                                                                                                                                                                            1Q2008




 Goregaon/ JVLR                    80 - 110                    0%                   -5%          that in short to medium term the rental values
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Note:
 Kalina                           175 - 210                    0%                    0%          for such properties will command a premium                                                                 Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in
                                                                                                                                                                                                            surveyed quarter.
 Thane / LBS                       50 - 100                    0%                    0%
                                                                                                 due to limited supply. Though, overall market                                                              Grade A Rental/Capital Values: Indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
                                                                                                 rentals will witness stability on account of                                                               Prime Office Average Rental Trends: Average market rental values for Grade A
                                                                                                                                                                                                            properties.
Note: All the rentals shown above are indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month.
                                                                                                 demand/supply equilibrium.
    KEY MARKET TRANSACTIONS

    CLIENT                                                                                     Building Name                     AREA (Sq. Ft.)                                                             LOCATION                                                                               TRANSCATION TYPE

    Covidien                                                                                   Boomerang                             9,900                                                                  Andheri                                                                                                        Lease
    Lhoist                                                                                     Sahar Plaza (Windfall)                6,630                                                                  Andheri                                                                                                        Lease
    QAD India                                                                                  Techniplex                            15,000                                                                 Goregaon                                                                                                       Lease
    Vertex Group                                                                               Sigma IT Park                         22,490                                                                 Rabale                                                                                                         Lease
    Visa                                                                                       The Capital                          20,000                                                                  BKC                                                                                                            Lease
    Woodfield Systems (India) Ltd.                                                             NITCO Biz Park                        10,000                                                                 Thane                                                                                                            Sale

    KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS

    BUILDING NAME                                                                              Developer                         AREA (Sq. Ft.)                                                             LOCATION                                                                           Expected Completion

    Kohinoor Square                                                                            Kohinoor Group                       779,000                                                                 Central Mumbai                                                                                                  2013
    Marathon Icon                                                                              Marathon Group                       175,500                                                                 Central Mumbai                                                                                                  2013
    Mindspace IT SEZ Bldg. No.11                                                               K Raheja Corp                        400,500                                                                 Navi Mumbai                                                                                                     2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Source: Colliers International India Research



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Colliers International |                                                                                         p. 3
INDIA | 4Q 2012 | OFFICE


                                                                                               DELHI                                                                                                                      AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Connaught place
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2%
                                                                                               •		 bout 1.6 million sq ft of Grade A office space
                                                                                                 A
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Nehru Place
                                                                                                 was ready for fit-out in 4Q 2012. The majority                                                                                            10%


                                                                                                 of this supply was located in SBD locations
                                                                                                 such as Jasola and Saket.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jasola
                                                                                               •	No new supply was added during the surveyed                                                                                                                                                                                        59%


                                                                                                 quarter to the Delhi commercial Grade A office
                                                                                                 stock.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Saket

                                                                                               •	Occupier demand remained steady during the                                                                                             29%


                                                                                                 quarter. A number of small transactions were
                                                                                                 concluded in the CBD while SBD locations
                                                                                                 like Jasola and Saket recorded few mid-size
                                                                                                 transactions.                                                                                                                             Grade a Capital Values
                                                                                delhi
                                                                                                                                                                                                       60000

CITY OFFICE BAROMETER                                                                          •	Amid steady occupier demand and limited
                                                                                                 supply availability the rental values for Grade                                                       50000




                                                                                                                                                       Capital Values -INR Per Sq.ft.
                                      3Q 2012                       4Q 2012                      A offices remained stable in almost all micro-                                                        40000

                                                                                                 markets.
Vacancy                                                                                                                                                                                                30000


Absorption                                                                                     •	Capital values remained stable in almost all                                                          20000

                                                                                                 micro-markets and no major activity was
Construction
                                                                                                 witnessed in the sales market. However, the
                                                                                                                                                                                                       10000



Rental Value                                                                                     state government has announced the new                                                                   0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Connaught Place




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jasola
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Nehru Place




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Saket
                                                                                                 circle rates with effect from 5 December 2012
                                                                                                 in the capital. As per the notification, the circle
Micro Market                        Rental                    % Change                           rate in Category A colonies went up by 200%,
                                    Values
                                                             QoQ                   YoY           in Category B by 50% and the rest by 22%. At                                                                           AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL TREND
Nehru Place                      180 - 192                     1%                   4%           present, there are eight categories of colonies                                                         400                                                                                                                                      40000

                                                                                                 in Delhi (A through H). The circle rate is the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Forecast

Connaught Place                 330 - 384                     0%                    2%                                                                                                                   350                                                                                                                                      35000
                                                                                                                                                             Rental Values -INR Per Sq.ft. Per Month




                                                                                                 minimum rate for registration of properties.
Netaji Subhash                      65 - 75                   0%                    0%




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Capital Values -INR Per Sq.ft.
                                                                                                                                                                                                         300                                                                                                                                      30000


Jasola                            112 - 130                  -2%                   -5%                                                                                                                   250                                                                                                                                      25000
                                                                                               •	COLLIERS VIEW: While the demand has come
Saket                            162 - 180                    7%                     1%
                                                                                                 down marginally as compared to previous
                                                                                                                                                                                                         200                                                                                                                                      20000


Note: All the rentals shown above are indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month.     years, the rental values remained stable during                                                         150                                                                                                                                      15000


                                                                                                 2012. Most of the developers are adopting a
                                                                                                                                                                                                         100                                                                                                                                      10000


                                                                                                 wait and watch approach awaiting for new                                                                 50                                                                                                                                      5000


                                                                                                 announcement on city development plans. No                                                                0                                                                                                                                      0
                                                                                                                                                                                                               1Q2008



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 4Q2008




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      4Q2009




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 4Q2010




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      4Q2011




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4Q2012




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4Q2013F
                                                                                                 major supply is expected in near term except
                                                                                                 in Aerocity which is an emerging location in                                                                  Note:
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in
                                                                                                 Delhi near International Airport. We anticipate                                                               surveyed quarter.
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Grade A Rental/Capital Values: Indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
                                                                                                 rental values to remain stable due to limited                                                                 Prime Office Average Rental Trends: Average market rental values for Grade A
                                                                                                 supply and muted demand.                                                                                      properties.



   KEY MARKET TRANSACTIONS

   CLIENT                                                                                      Building Name                       AREA (Sq. Ft.)                                                              LOCATION                                                                          TRANSCATION TYPE

   Franklin Templeton                                                                          Ashoka Estate                           5,200                                                                   Barakhamba Road                                                                                 Lease
   Oriflame                                                                                    Corporate One                           50,000                                                                  Jasola                                                                                          Lease
   State Bank of India                                                                         Jeevan Bharti                           20,000                                                                  Connaught Place                                                                                 Lease
   Thales Group                                                                                Konnectus                               18,450                                                                  Minto Road                                                                                      Lease
   USG Corporation                                                                             DLF Jasola                               1,710                                                                  Jasola                                                                                          Lease



   KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS

   BUILDING NAME                                                                               Developer                           AREA (Sq. Ft.)                                                              LOCATION                                                                     Expected Completion

   Caddie Commercial Tower                                                                     Caddie Hotel                           100,000                                                                  Aerocity                                                                                         2013
   DLF Towers Okhla                                                                            DLF Ltd.                               420,000                                                                  Okhla                                                                                            2013
   Ambience Commercial Tower                                                                   Ambience Group                         150,000                                                                  Vasant Kunj                                                                                      2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Source: Colliers International India Research



  p. 4        | Colliers International
INDIA | 4Q 2012 | OFFICE


                                                                                               GURGAON                                                                                                                          AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      DLF Cyber City

                                                                                               •	 More than 14 million sq ft of Grade A office                                                                                                                             4%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    NH8/Udhyog Vihar
                                                                                                space was available for fit-out in 4Q 2012.                                                                                                                                                                                              21%


                                                                                                Most of the available supply was concentrated
                                                                                                on Golf Course Road, Golf Course Road
                                                                                                Extension, Udyog Vihar, NH-8 up to Manesar.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Manesar
                                                                                               •	During the surveyed quarter, construction                                                                                                                                                                                                              17%


                                                                                                 activities remained upbeat and several projects                                                             Golf Course Road/
                                                                                                 / parts of the projects contributing more than                                                              Ext /Sohna Road
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    51%                                                                                                               Institutional Sectors /

                                                                                                 0.5 million sq ft of Grade A office space were
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Sushant Lok
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          MG Road               2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5%
                                                                                                 added to the city’s total inventory.

                                                                                               •	This quarter a number of projects / parts
                                                                         Gurgaon                 of the projects were launched, admeasuring                                                                                               Grade a Capital Values
                                                                                                 about 1 million sq.ft. Most of these projects are                                                   25000

CITY OFFICE BAROMETER                                                                            expected to be completed by the end of 2015
                                                                                                 and will add about 1 million sq ft of Grade A                                                       20000




                                                                                                                                                     Capital Values -INR Per Sq.ft.
                                      3Q 2012                       4Q 2012
                                                                                                 office space to the city’s total inventory.
                                                                                                                                                                                                     15000

 Vacancy
                                                                                               •		 ccupier demand remained strong and a
                                                                                                 O                                                                                                   10000
 Absorption
                                                                                                 number of mid-size (20,000 to 25,000 sq ft)
 Construction                                                                                    transactions were recorded during 4Q 2012.                                                          5000


                                                                                                 The total absorption recorded during the year
 Rental Value                                                                                                                                                                                           0
                                                                                                 was to the tune of 4 million sq ft.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   NH8/Udhyog Vihar



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Manesar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      MG Road


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Golf Course
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Road/Ext
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   /Sohna Road




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Institutional
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Sectors /
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Sushant Lok

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Golf Course
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Road/Ext /Sohna
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Road (IT)



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Vihar (IT)


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Manesar (IT)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      NH8/Udhyog
 Micro Market                       Rental                    % Change                         •	Rental values recorded a marginal increase in
                                    Values                                                       the range of 1 to 2% in select micro-markets                                                                     AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL TREND
                                                             QoQ                   YoY
                                                                                                 such as Golf Course Road, Golf Course
 M. G. Road                      110 - 120                   -2%                    -1%
                                                                                                 Extension Road and Sohna Road. However,                                                               120
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 12000


 Golf Course Rd./
                                   55 - 110                    1%                  -7%           rental values remained under pressure in the
                                                                                                                                                           Rental Values -INR Per Sq.ft. Per Month




                                                                                                                                                                                                       100                                                                                                                                                                       10000
 Ext /Sohna Rd.
                                                                                                 CBD and declined by 2%. All other micro-




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Capital Values -INR Per Sq.ft.
 NH8/Udhyog                                                                                                                                                                                             80                                                                                                                                                                       8000

 Vihar
                                 110 - 140                    0%                   10%           markets witnessed steady rents QoQ.
                                                                                                                                                                                                        60                                                                                                                                                                       6000
 Manesar                            45 - 62                   0%                    5%
                                                                                               •	COLLIERS VIEW: In view of the sustained trend
 Institutional                                                                                                                                                                                          40                                                                                                                                                                       4000

 Sectors /                         60 - 117                   5%                     1%          of cost-saving initiatives adopted by most of
 Sushant Lok                                                                                     the office occupiers, Udhyog Vihar and Sohna                                                           20                                                                                                                                                                       2000


Note: All the rentals shown above are indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month.     Road will remain the most preferred location                                                            0                                                                                                                                                                       0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 4Q2008




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    4Q2009




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4Q2010




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               4Q2011




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4Q2012




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4Q2013F
                                                                                                 because of affordable rentals and location
                                                                                                                                                                                                             1Q2008




                                                                                                 advantages. The office rental value growth                                                                  Note:
                                                                                                 will be capped in medium term due to existing                                                               Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in
                                                                                                                                                                                                             surveyed quarter.
                                                                                                 vacancy and the forthcoming new supply.                                                                     Grade A Rental/Capital Values: Indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Prime Office Average Rental Trends: Average market rental values for Grade A
                                                                                                                                                                                                             properties.



   KEY MARKET TRANSACTION

   CLIENT                                                                                      Building Name                      AREA (Sq. Ft.)                                                             LOCATION                                                                                   TRANSCATION TYPE

   AB Sciex India                                                                              Plot No 121                           22,000                                                                  Udyog Vihar                                                                                                            Lease
   ACS Xerox                                                                                   Park View Business Tower              40,000                                                                  Sohna Road                                                                                                             Lease
   Mudra Communications Ltd.                                                                   Platinum Towers                       30,000                                                                  Udyog Vihar                                                                                                            Lease
   Pepsico Ltd.                                                                                Pioneer Urban                         150,000                                                                 Golf Course Ext Rd.                                                                                                     Lease
   SAP India                                                                                   Vatika Towers                          9,500                                                                  Sector 54                                                                                                               Lease



   KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS

   BUILDING NAME                                                                               Developer                          AREA (Sq. Ft.)                                                             LOCATION                                                                            Expected Completion

   DLF Building 14 Tower D                                                                     DLF Ltd.                              731,800                                                                 NH-8                                                                                                                    2013
   Success Tower                                                                               Suncity Projects                      200,000                                                                 Golf Course Ext Rd.                                                                                                     2013
   Unitech Infospace, Gurgaon Phase 2 Building 7                                               Unitech Ltd.                          432,000                                                                 NH-8                                                                                                                    2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Source: Colliers International India Research



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Colliers International |                                                                                                       p. 5
India office property market overview
India office property market overview
India office property market overview
India office property market overview
India office property market overview
India office property market overview
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India office property market overview

  • 1. Office Property Market Overview INDIA QUARTERLY UPDATE | JANUARY | 2013 Accelerating success.
  • 2. 4Q 2012 | OFFICE Research & forecast report SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT research & forecast Report India office market MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW ECONOMIC INDICATORS Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost • GDP growth in the July - September quarter 10.0% 9.0% of 2012 was 5.3%, contracting marginally 8.0% from in the last quarter. 7.0% 6.0% • eadline inflation based on the wholesale H 5.0% In Percentage 4.0% price index inched down to 7.24% for the 3.0% 2.0% month of November 2012, as compared to 1.0% 7.45% in October 2012. It was 9.46% during 0.0% Jan - Mar 09 Apr - Jun 09 Jul - Sep 09 Oct - Dec 09 Jan - Mar 10 Apr - Jun 10 Jul - Sep 10 Oct - Dec 10 Jan - Mar 11 Apr - Jun 11 Jul - Sep 11 Oct - Dec 11 Jan - Mar 12 Apr - Jun 12 Jun - Sep 12 the corresponding month of the previous year. ECONOMIC BAROMETER • The Reserve Bank of India reduced the CRR (Cash Reserve Ratio) of scheduled banks by FDI in Real Estate Dec-11 Dec-12 25 basis points from 4.50 to 4.25% with 16,000 14,000 REPO RATE 8.50% 8.00% effect from 3 November 2012 to induce 12,000 immediate liquidity in the market. However, 10,000 REVERSE REPO 7.50% 7.00% the central bank did not provide any repo rate 8,000 INR Crore RATE cut this quarter. 6,000 4,000 CRR 6.00% 4.25% • India’s foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow 2,000 INFLATION 7.74% 7.24% was around USD1.94 billion in October 2012, 0 2005 - 06 2006 - 07 2007 - 08 2008 - 09 2009 - 10 2010 - 11 2011-12 April -Oct 12 which was nearly 65% above the same month PRIME 9.75% - 10.75% 10.00% - 10.75% last year. LENDING Rate DEPOSIT RATE • his quarter, the commercial office markets in T 7.75% - 9.50% 8.00% - 9.00% (<1 YEAR) India have shown mixed trends. Overall, rents BSE Sensex & Realty Index Foreign Ex- and capital values remained stagnant with a 120 change 54.96 54.43 downward bias. Notwithstanding the current 115 INR - USD economic difficulties, the leasing activity in 110 Mumbai, Delhi and Gurgaon Bangalore 105 INR- Euro 69.29 71.31 remained steady; however, the Chennai, 100 Kolkata and NOIDA markets experienced 95 relatively weak demand. 90 Return on Alternative Investments 1-Oct-2012 16-Oct-2012 31-Oct-2012 15-Nov-12 30-Nov-12 15-Dec-12 • COLLIERS VIEW: Business confidence is up Dec-11 Dec-12 YoY % based on the government’s keen resolve to * Rebase to 100 BSE Sensex Realty Index Change introduce numerous fiscal and economic reforms. RBI has indicated that they would Gold 27,670 30,885 11.62% positively review lowering the repo rate in 1Q Exchange Rates SILVER 52,250 60,040 14.91% 2013. This should increase liquidity in the 60 75 market; and the positive business environment 55 70 EQUITY (BSE should lead to recovery in the country’s 50 65 SENSEX) 15,881 19,317 21.64% economic growth and increase in demand for REALTY INDEX 1,505 2,067 37.35% commercial and residential real estate. In the 45 60 medium terms, cities with lower inventory 40 55 overhang (such as Bangalore and Mumbai) 1-Oct-12 16-Oct-12 31-Octl-12 15-Nov-12 30-Nov-12 15-Dec-12 Note : All values in the above tables are as on 15th of December, 2011 and December, 2012 will witness strengthening in the rental and capital values. However in the short term * Rebase to 100 USD Euro rental values across board will be under Source: Colliers International India Research stress. www.colliers.com
  • 3. INDIA | 4Q 2012 | OFFICE MUMBAI AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas Goregoan / JVLR • ore than 9.3 million sq ft of commercial M 8% Worli / Prabhadevi Kalina 1% Grade A office space was available for fit-out Powai 1% 4% in 4Q 2012. About 24% of this total available Malad 5% Thane / LBS space was concentrated in Andheri East. Navi Mumbai 22% 6% • A number of projects / part of the projects were completed this quarter resulting in CBD 1% the addition of approximately 4 million sq ft of Grade A office space to the city’s total Lower Parel 20% inventory. Andheri East 24% • easing activity picked up in the Mumbai Grade L BKC 8% A office market during 4Q 2012 and few large deals were concluded during the quarter. The MumBAI city’s total absorption for 2012 totalled around Grade a Capital Values 6.23 million sq ft. Sectors which primarily 35000 CITY OFFICE BAROMETER contributed to this absorption were Banking, 30000 Finance Services and Insurance (BFSI) and Capital Values -INR Per Sq.ft. 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 25000 IT/ITes. 20000 Vacancy • verage rental and capital values in Mumbai A 15000 Absorption remained stable in 4Q 2012 across all micro- 10000 Construction markets due to ample availability of stock and 5000 new developments in the pipeline. Rental Value 0 CBD Andheri East BKC Lower Parel Malad Navi Mumbai Powai Worli/ Prabhdevi Goregaon / JVLR Kalina Thane / LBS • he Maharashtra State Road Development T Corporation (MSRDC) has opened a second Micro Market Rental % Change flyover, named Patlipada, on the Thane- Values QoQ YoY Ghodbunder Road. A total of four flyovers — the AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL TREND Patlipada, Waghbil, Kapurbawdi and Manpada CBD 225 - 275 0% -9% 300 30000 were planned on this road, of which Waghbil Forecast Andheri East 90 - 125 0% 0% and Patlipada flyover are now operational; Rental Values -INR Per Sq.ft. Per Month 250 25000 Capital Values -INR Per Sq.ft. BKC 225 - 315 0% 3% work on the Manpada flyover is in the final 200 20000 Lower Parel 130 - 200 0% 0% stages and is expected to be operational by the end of January 2013. 150 15000 Malad 80 - 90 0% 0% 100 10000 Navi Mumbai 55 - 75 0% 0% • COLLIERS VIEW: 4Q 2012 witnessed an Powai 100 - 120 0% 0% increase in absorption of office space. The 50 5000 demand showed a clear preference for 0 0 Worli/ Prabhdevi 175 - 225 0% 0% premium quality office space. We anticipate 4Q2008 4Q2009 4Q2010 4Q2011 4Q2012 4Q2013F 1Q2008 Goregaon/ JVLR 80 - 110 0% -5% that in short to medium term the rental values Note: Kalina 175 - 210 0% 0% for such properties will command a premium Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter. Thane / LBS 50 - 100 0% 0% due to limited supply. Though, overall market Grade A Rental/Capital Values: Indicative asking price for Grade A office space. rentals will witness stability on account of Prime Office Average Rental Trends: Average market rental values for Grade A properties. Note: All the rentals shown above are indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month. demand/supply equilibrium. KEY MARKET TRANSACTIONS CLIENT Building Name AREA (Sq. Ft.) LOCATION TRANSCATION TYPE Covidien Boomerang 9,900 Andheri Lease Lhoist Sahar Plaza (Windfall) 6,630 Andheri Lease QAD India Techniplex 15,000 Goregaon Lease Vertex Group Sigma IT Park 22,490 Rabale Lease Visa The Capital 20,000 BKC Lease Woodfield Systems (India) Ltd. NITCO Biz Park 10,000 Thane Sale KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS BUILDING NAME Developer AREA (Sq. Ft.) LOCATION Expected Completion Kohinoor Square Kohinoor Group 779,000 Central Mumbai 2013 Marathon Icon Marathon Group 175,500 Central Mumbai 2013 Mindspace IT SEZ Bldg. No.11 K Raheja Corp 400,500 Navi Mumbai 2013 Source: Colliers International India Research Colliers International | p. 3
  • 4. INDIA | 4Q 2012 | OFFICE DELHI AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas Connaught place 2% • bout 1.6 million sq ft of Grade A office space A Nehru Place was ready for fit-out in 4Q 2012. The majority 10% of this supply was located in SBD locations such as Jasola and Saket. Jasola • No new supply was added during the surveyed 59% quarter to the Delhi commercial Grade A office stock. Saket • Occupier demand remained steady during the 29% quarter. A number of small transactions were concluded in the CBD while SBD locations like Jasola and Saket recorded few mid-size transactions. Grade a Capital Values delhi 60000 CITY OFFICE BAROMETER • Amid steady occupier demand and limited supply availability the rental values for Grade 50000 Capital Values -INR Per Sq.ft. 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 A offices remained stable in almost all micro- 40000 markets. Vacancy 30000 Absorption • Capital values remained stable in almost all 20000 micro-markets and no major activity was Construction witnessed in the sales market. However, the 10000 Rental Value state government has announced the new 0 Connaught Place Jasola Nehru Place Saket circle rates with effect from 5 December 2012 in the capital. As per the notification, the circle Micro Market Rental % Change rate in Category A colonies went up by 200%, Values QoQ YoY in Category B by 50% and the rest by 22%. At AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL TREND Nehru Place 180 - 192 1% 4% present, there are eight categories of colonies 400 40000 in Delhi (A through H). The circle rate is the Forecast Connaught Place 330 - 384 0% 2% 350 35000 Rental Values -INR Per Sq.ft. Per Month minimum rate for registration of properties. Netaji Subhash 65 - 75 0% 0% Capital Values -INR Per Sq.ft. 300 30000 Jasola 112 - 130 -2% -5% 250 25000 • COLLIERS VIEW: While the demand has come Saket 162 - 180 7% 1% down marginally as compared to previous 200 20000 Note: All the rentals shown above are indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month. years, the rental values remained stable during 150 15000 2012. Most of the developers are adopting a 100 10000 wait and watch approach awaiting for new 50 5000 announcement on city development plans. No 0 0 1Q2008 4Q2008 4Q2009 4Q2010 4Q2011 4Q2012 4Q2013F major supply is expected in near term except in Aerocity which is an emerging location in Note: Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in Delhi near International Airport. We anticipate surveyed quarter. Grade A Rental/Capital Values: Indicative asking price for Grade A office space. rental values to remain stable due to limited Prime Office Average Rental Trends: Average market rental values for Grade A supply and muted demand. properties. KEY MARKET TRANSACTIONS CLIENT Building Name AREA (Sq. Ft.) LOCATION TRANSCATION TYPE Franklin Templeton Ashoka Estate 5,200 Barakhamba Road Lease Oriflame Corporate One 50,000 Jasola Lease State Bank of India Jeevan Bharti 20,000 Connaught Place Lease Thales Group Konnectus 18,450 Minto Road Lease USG Corporation DLF Jasola 1,710 Jasola Lease KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS BUILDING NAME Developer AREA (Sq. Ft.) LOCATION Expected Completion Caddie Commercial Tower Caddie Hotel 100,000 Aerocity 2013 DLF Towers Okhla DLF Ltd. 420,000 Okhla 2013 Ambience Commercial Tower Ambience Group 150,000 Vasant Kunj 2013 Source: Colliers International India Research p. 4 | Colliers International
  • 5. INDIA | 4Q 2012 | OFFICE GURGAON AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas DLF Cyber City • More than 14 million sq ft of Grade A office 4% NH8/Udhyog Vihar space was available for fit-out in 4Q 2012. 21% Most of the available supply was concentrated on Golf Course Road, Golf Course Road Extension, Udyog Vihar, NH-8 up to Manesar. Manesar • During the surveyed quarter, construction 17% activities remained upbeat and several projects Golf Course Road/ / parts of the projects contributing more than Ext /Sohna Road 51% Institutional Sectors / 0.5 million sq ft of Grade A office space were Sushant Lok MG Road 2% 5% added to the city’s total inventory. • This quarter a number of projects / parts Gurgaon of the projects were launched, admeasuring Grade a Capital Values about 1 million sq.ft. Most of these projects are 25000 CITY OFFICE BAROMETER expected to be completed by the end of 2015 and will add about 1 million sq ft of Grade A 20000 Capital Values -INR Per Sq.ft. 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 office space to the city’s total inventory. 15000 Vacancy • ccupier demand remained strong and a O 10000 Absorption number of mid-size (20,000 to 25,000 sq ft) Construction transactions were recorded during 4Q 2012. 5000 The total absorption recorded during the year Rental Value 0 was to the tune of 4 million sq ft. NH8/Udhyog Vihar Manesar MG Road Golf Course Road/Ext /Sohna Road Institutional Sectors / Sushant Lok Golf Course Road/Ext /Sohna Road (IT) Vihar (IT) Manesar (IT) NH8/Udhyog Micro Market Rental % Change • Rental values recorded a marginal increase in Values the range of 1 to 2% in select micro-markets AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL TREND QoQ YoY such as Golf Course Road, Golf Course M. G. Road 110 - 120 -2% -1% Extension Road and Sohna Road. However, 120 Forecast 12000 Golf Course Rd./ 55 - 110 1% -7% rental values remained under pressure in the Rental Values -INR Per Sq.ft. Per Month 100 10000 Ext /Sohna Rd. CBD and declined by 2%. All other micro- Capital Values -INR Per Sq.ft. NH8/Udhyog 80 8000 Vihar 110 - 140 0% 10% markets witnessed steady rents QoQ. 60 6000 Manesar 45 - 62 0% 5% • COLLIERS VIEW: In view of the sustained trend Institutional 40 4000 Sectors / 60 - 117 5% 1% of cost-saving initiatives adopted by most of Sushant Lok the office occupiers, Udhyog Vihar and Sohna 20 2000 Note: All the rentals shown above are indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month. Road will remain the most preferred location 0 0 4Q2008 4Q2009 4Q2010 4Q2011 4Q2012 4Q2013F because of affordable rentals and location 1Q2008 advantages. The office rental value growth Note: will be capped in medium term due to existing Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter. vacancy and the forthcoming new supply. Grade A Rental/Capital Values: Indicative asking price for Grade A office space. Prime Office Average Rental Trends: Average market rental values for Grade A properties. KEY MARKET TRANSACTION CLIENT Building Name AREA (Sq. Ft.) LOCATION TRANSCATION TYPE AB Sciex India Plot No 121 22,000 Udyog Vihar Lease ACS Xerox Park View Business Tower 40,000 Sohna Road Lease Mudra Communications Ltd. Platinum Towers 30,000 Udyog Vihar Lease Pepsico Ltd. Pioneer Urban 150,000 Golf Course Ext Rd. Lease SAP India Vatika Towers 9,500 Sector 54 Lease KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS BUILDING NAME Developer AREA (Sq. Ft.) LOCATION Expected Completion DLF Building 14 Tower D DLF Ltd. 731,800 NH-8 2013 Success Tower Suncity Projects 200,000 Golf Course Ext Rd. 2013 Unitech Infospace, Gurgaon Phase 2 Building 7 Unitech Ltd. 432,000 NH-8 2013 Source: Colliers International India Research Colliers International | p. 5