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TOC for Operations

                             General Appreciation

                              The Theory of Constraints approach to
                                     Operational Excellence

                                               These Slides have been prepared and presented by Arrie
                                                van Niekerk and form part of a series of presentations
                                               that were developed over several years. They represent
                                                   a personal view of the subjects and are not to be
                                                     interpreted as official documents of any kind.

                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                              1
                                                                         Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
TOC in Context




                                             Own      Distribution
         Suppliers           Purchasing                                        Market
                                          Processes    Channel




                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                    2
                                                               Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
The Impact of Our Ideologies

                                  RESULTS


                   WORDS                        ACTIONS


                                 IDEOLOGY


                        We very seldom take a step back and challenge our core
                        beliefs as the reason why some things just do not work

                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                         3
                                                                    Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
“The significant problems we face
              today cannot be solved with the
             same level of thinking we were at
                  when we created them.”
                               – Albert Einstein

                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                            4
                                       Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Basic Frame of Reference

                        Understanding the world of FLOW,
                         Variation and Interdependence




                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                       5
                                                  Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Managing a Complex Environment
                                                 15

                             12        16                  13   12
                                                 17

       IN               11        15        16   14   10   13    12               9            OUT



                             11         18            11        20
                                                 19

      • Complexity stems from the number of agents (21), number of
        linkages (35), time dependence, time delays, technical details,
        social considerations, cause and effect relationships, etc
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW                                          Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Examples of sequential flow processes

                              Hydraulic Valve Manufacturing
    Raw                             Machine    Drilling   Welding
                             Saw                                    Assembly       Packaging
   Material                         Station    Station    Station                                            Valve


                                             Sand Mining
    Sand                            Trucks                 Wash
                         Loader                Screen                 Load         Transport               Product
   Source                            (x2)                  & Dry



                              Occupational Health Screening
                                     BP &
Patients                 Admin                  Chest     Hearing    Eyes &            Certify              Patients
                                     Lung
 arrive                 Reception               X-Ray       Test      Urine           (Nurse)                Leave
                                    Capacity


                 Heuristic
                  FLOW                                                        Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
A Few Trivial Questions

                             A      B   C    D   E        F


        • You are instructed to cut costs by 10% in order
          to meet the challenge of a lower Sales Price
               – How would you go about it?
               – What process would you follow?
        • Is there another, more meaningful way?


                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                          8
                                                     Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
A Few Trivial Questions
                             A      B     C     D     E         F

                             65%    60%   72%   92%   75%        80%


      • You are faced with the above efficiency report:
              – Where will you focus most of your attention?
              – Where will you not put any attention now?
      • What is the most probable action you will
        take in order to get quick results?

                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                 9
                                                            Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
A Very Basic Operation

             A sequential flow line with processes of different average capacity
                                     (e.g. Tons per Hour)

       Mineral
       Resource              15     16      14        10       13            12             Product




                        What bothers you about this chain?

                        Expected output of this chain = ?

                        How will you go about improving it?


                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                        10
                                                                     Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
A Perfectly Balanced Chain?

     Mineral
     Resource                16     16     16      16   16        16               Product


                             Output of the chain = ?

     Mineral
     Resource                10     10     10      10   10        10              Product


                             Output of the chain = ?

               What are the deep rooted beliefs that
               cause us to develop chains like these?
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                11
                                                             Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
The World of
                        Local Efficiency


                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                               12
                                            Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
THE WORLD OF Local Efficiency
             When we prepare our budgets, what is
             the governing mental model?

        Mineral
        Resource             10     10      10     10   10           10             Product



                             Output of the chain = ?


     What causes us to develop chains like these?

                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                13
                                                             Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
The world of Local Efficiency:
                               A Perfectly Balanced Chain?
       Mineral
       Resource                10      10      10      10      10          10              Product



              For this system we believe that:

                A            The output of the chain will be 10 (or close to it)
                             If every resource in the chain is optimised,
                B            we will have an optimised chain
                C            Balancing Capacity results in Optimised Flow

                D            We have to utilise all resources to their full capacity

                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                       14
                                                                    Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Fact No1 in a Chain:
                        ALL RESOURCES VARY OVER TIME

                                  Input              Output
                                          Resource




                                                        Max                   12
                        Performance




                                                        Ave                    10



                                                        Min                    0
                                            Time

                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                       15
                                                                    Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Fact No2 of a Chain:
                        RESOURCE DEPENDENCY IS HIGH
                        and works forwards and backwards

        Mineral
        Resource             A      B      C      D         E            F              Product




                                 Upstream: STARVATION

                             Downstream: BLOCKAGE


                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                   16
                                                                Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
In Combination: Variation and Interdependency
                kills the synchronisation of FLOW

                             10   10   10      10   10      10



                                                                     12
               Performance




                                                                     10

                                                                                     5


                                                                      0

                                            Time
                    Heuristic
                     FLOW
                                                            17
                                                         Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Context

             “If a company tell me they have
             moving bottlenecks, my response
             is: You have no bottlenecks and
              most of your resources have at
                  least 30% spare capacity”
                                – Dr Eli Goldratt

                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                           18
                                        Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
How Much Will It Produce in Reality?

                             10   10    10    10     10      10               ?
        Availability
              94%                  (0.94)6 = 73% of design capacity
        Availability
              90%
                                   (0.90)6 = 58% of design capacity
        Availability
              80%                  (0.80)6 = 31% of design capacity

                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                             19
                                                          Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
World of Local Efficiency
      Mineral
      Resource                10   10    10     10      10          10              Product



     Guaranteed Outcome:                Performance well below standard,
                                        Costs per part go through the roof!

        What will the resulting behaviours be?
        • Relentless cost control measures
        • Adjustments of all input costs, downwards (easiest)
        • Increased pressure on all levels to improve local efficiencies
        • Focus on every link in the chain – cost and efficiency
        • Undiscussable issues everywhere – “stop complaining and just do
          your job!” (We know better)
        • ………………
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                20
                                                             Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
How do we normally handle improvement?

       Mineral
       Resource
                             16   16   16   16    16    16        Product

        Output of this chain = 8
                                            We throw money at the problem
    We start with … 6/7

      Mineral
                             15   16   14   10    13    12              Improve!
      Resource

                                                        Or we Cut Costs

      Mineral
      Resource
                             10   10   10   10    10    10        Product

       Output of this chain = 5
       These chains suffer from the same flaw!
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                21
                                                             Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Another World,
                              The World of
                  OPTIMISED FLOW


                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                 22
                                              Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Every Chain has a Weakest Link and it
              determines the FLOW of the total chain

                                   10


        •     How well should it be run?
        •     What is the implication of standing time?
        •     What is required from Maintenance?
        •     What about operator availability and skill?
        •     What about quality control?
        •     What about product value?
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                     23
                                                  Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Next: Buffer the FLOW of the critical resource
          from fluctuation in the rest of the chain



                              10




        • We have to Protect the Constraint from the rest
          of the chain by buffering
        • We must effectively buffer the FLOW chain from
          every possible negative effect
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                24
                                             Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Next: Ensure that the rest of the chain can support
                the needs of the constraint



              ?              ?          ?            10                 ?              ?



                                                       10


                         Protective                                      Protective
                          Capacity
                                                      10                  Capacity
                        (Flexibility)                                   (Flexibility)

     We need 20% protective capacity in front and behind the constraint in order to maintain the FLOW
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                                25
                                                                             Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Impact of Buffers on FLOW

                   ?           ?   ?          10   ?             ?




                                                                 12
     Performance




                                                                 10
                                                                         With buffers


                                                                                 5
                                                                       Without buffers

                                                                   0

                   Heuristic           Time
                    FLOW
                                                          26
                                                       Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Buffers & Protective Capacity

                  A            B    C              D                E                  F

                                        Protective Capacity
              • Establish and maintain a buffer of work in front of the
                constraint
              • Establish and maintain a space buffer behind the
                constraint
              • Without protective capacity, buffers
                cannot be managed
              • Making sure that we will not stop
                the FLOW
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                 27
                                                              Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
COMPARING
                             Local Efficiency
                                      and
                             Optimised FLOW
                              in terms of ability to
                              MAKE MONEY
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                     28
                                                  Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Comparing the Production Costs
Availability                 (0.94)6 = 73% of design capacity
                                                                   12    12   12          10       12      12
  94%                              10   10     10   10   10   10
                                    A    B     C    D    E    F    A     B    C           D          E     F


                   Costs                     6 x 10 = 60                (5x12) + 10 = 70
                   Output                     7,3 Units                    9,4 Units
                Cost/Unit                    60/7,3 = 8,2                 70/9,4 = 7,5

Availability                 (0.80)6 = 31% of design capacity
  80%                              10   10     10   10   10   10
                                                                   16    15   14          10        13     12

                                    A    B     C    D    E    F    A     B    C            D         E      F


                        Costs            6 x 10 = 60           (16+15+14)+10+(13+12)= 80
                  Output                  3,1 Units                       8,0 Units
                 Cost/Unit              60/3,1 = 19,4                    80/8,0 = 10
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                                  29
                                                                               Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Production Costs: Closer to REALITY
Availability                  (0.90)6 = 58% of design capacity
                                                                    13   13   13          10       12      12
  90%                               10   10    10    10   10   10
                                     A    B     C    D    E    F    A    B    C           D          E     F


                    Costs                      6 x 10 = 60          (3x13)+10+(2x12) = 73
                    Output                      5,8 Units                 9,0 Units
                 Cost/Unit                    60/5,8 = 10,3                   73/9,0 = 8,1

 Availability                 (0.80)6 = 31% of design capacity
  80%, but                          10   10     10   10   10   10
                                                                    16   15   14          10        13     12
Constraint 85%                                                      A    B    C            D         E      F
                                     A    B     C    D    E    F


                         Costs            6 x 10 = 60           (16+15+14)+10+(13+12)= 80
                   Output                  3,1 Units                      8,5 Units
                  Cost/Unit              60/3,1 = 19,4                   80/8,5 = 9,4
                  Heuristic
                   FLOW
                                                                                  30
                                                                               Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
 Heuristic Flow © 2008
Comparing the Profit: 90% Availability
                             10   10   10   10   10   10       13   13   13          10        12     12
                             A     B   C    D    E    F        A    B    C           D          E      F



              Costs                6 x 10 = 60                  (3x13)+10+(2x12)= 73
           Output                   5,8 Units                                 9 Units
          Cost/Unit               60/5,8 = 10,3                               73/9 = 8

                        Reducing the Cost/unit produced by 22%
            Income                5,8 x 15 = 87                          9 x 15 = 135
              Costs                         60                                     73
              Profit              87 - 60 = 27                           135 - 73 = 62

        Extra profit created through “additional costs”: 35
        Costs of lost opportunity is not even measured and it is the biggest cost to the
        company- buffering pays for itself many times over
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                                  31
                                                                               Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Comparing the Profit: 90%BC vs 80%Flow
                             10    10   10   10   10   10      16   15    14         10        13     12
                             A     B    C    D    E    F       A    B     C          D          E      F



             Costs                 6 x 10 = 60               16+15+14+10+13+12= 80
          Output                    5,8 Units                              8,5 Units
         Cost/Unit                60/5,8 = 10,3                           80/8,5 = 9,4

                        Reducing the Cost/unit produced by 9%
            Income                5,8 x 15 = 87                          8,5 x 15 = 127
              Costs                          60                                    80
              Profit               87 - 60 = 27                          127 – 80 = 47

        Extra profit created through “additional costs”: 20
        Costs of lost opportunity is not even measured and it is the biggest cost to the
        company- buffering pays for itself many times over
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                                  32
                                                                               Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Context

               “If you want to make money, ...
              most of your resources MUST be
                    IDLE form time to time”
                                 – Dr Eli Goldratt


                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                            33
                                         Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Comparing the Chains: Operation
                        10   10   10   10   10   10      16   15   14     10        13      12
                        A    B    C    D    E    F       A    B    C       D          E     F


                  Balanced Capacity                       Balanced FLOW
          Murphy Exposed                              Murphy Protected
          Unstable Flow                               Stable Flow
          Control Everything                          Control Leverage Points
          Manage by Budget                            Manage by Constraint
          Uncontrolled Idle Time                      Managed Idle Time
          Higher Cost/Product                         Lower Cost/Product
          World of Scarcity                           World of Abundance
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                           34
                                                                        Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Comparing the Chains: Mental Models
                        10   10   10   10   10   10      16   15   14     10        13      12
                        A    B    C    D    E    F        A   B    C       D          E     F


                  Balanced Capacity                       Balanced FLOW


          Can we describe the                         Can we try to describe
          types of thinking                           the mental models
          behind this type of                         behind this type of
          chain?                                      chain?




                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                           35
                                                                        Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
IN SUMMARY




                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                             36
                                          Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
IN SUMMARY

        In the world of Local Efficiency:
               – The overall performance will inevitably be well
                 below expectation,
               – Deliveries will almost always be late
               – Product availability will be low
               – You are guaranteed to have frustrated customers
               – The costs will inevitably be higher than expected
               – Company performance is bound to go down

                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                        37
                                                     Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
IN SUMMARY

        In the world of Optimised Flow:
               – The overall performance will be better than
                 expected,
               – Deliveries will almost always be on time
               – Product availability will be exceptionally high
               – You are guaranteed to have satisfied customers
               – The costs will inevitably be lower than expected
               – Company performance is bound to go up

                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                        38
                                                     Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
KEY FOCAL POINT / “Constraint”




                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                              39
                                           Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
BUFFERING




                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                            40
                                         Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
SUBORDINATION




                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                41
                                             Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
PROTECTIVE CAPACITY




                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                 42
                                              Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
“The closer you are to a
                  balanced capacity chain, the
                 closer you are to bankruptcy”
                                – Dr Eli Goldratt


                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                          43
                                       Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
It is all about FLOW, not CAPACITY

            The flow through the bottleneck
         determines the output of the chain as a
                         whole!

              Key question to ask:
       HOW CAN WE HELP THE BOTTLENECK
            TO PERFORM BETTER?

                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                             44
                                          Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
New Holistic Mechanism
                                                In order to …
                             We must …
                                                                  16    16          16       16       16       16
                                             Maximise
                                                                  A     B            C        D        E        F
                 In order to …                FLOW
          Make More                                               16   15       14            10        13      12
           Money                                We must …
                                                                  A    B        C              D           E    F
           (Now and in the
              Future)

                                             Control              10       10        10       10       10       10
                                                                   A        B        C         D        E        F
                                             COSTS
                                 We must …        In order to …



         DIRECTION: Mental frameworks that are aligned
           with the LAW that Governs Flow
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                                            45
                                                                                         Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Our ‘logic’ is indeed flawed!
      Mineral
      Resource                10       10       10      10       10             10              Product




             A          The output of the chain will be 10 (or close to it)
                        If every resource in the chain is optimised,
             B          we will have an optimised chain
             C          Balanced Capacity results in Optimised Flow

             D          We have to utilise all resources to their full capacity


                        A          B        C            10           E              F
                                                Protective Capacity
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                             46
                                                                          Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
The Theory of Constraints?

             The Power of Leverage
             “Doing the right thing”
                             A DIFFERENT WORLD!
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                               47
                                            Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
We followed the 5 focusing steps based on
                           the laws of FLOW


                                        Continuously improve
                                         overall performance


                        A chain is only as strong as its weakest link


        Step 1:               Step 2:         Step 3:                                     Step 5:
                                            Subordinate        Step 4:               If you have
       Identify              Decide how
                                             everything   Elevate the            broken a weakest
         the                  to exploit
                                               to the      weakest               link then go back
       weakest               the weakest
                                              previous        link                     to step 1
         link                    link
                                             decisions                           Remember: Old habits die
                                                                                         hard




                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                            48
                                                                         Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Enhanced Management

                  A           B     C                              D            E                  F


                                                  70 80 90
                                             60              100
                                                                       Time
                                                                   +
                                        50
                                                                       Buffer




                                  • Key Focal point(s)
                                  • Constraint Rate & Schedule
                                  • Buffer Management
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                             49
                                                                          Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Synchronized Flow
                             The DRUM-BUFFER-ROPE way

      Raw Material Flow                 Time                                   Finished
                                                     Space
                                        Buffer                                 Goods
                                                     Buffer


                        A     B     C            D            E           F



     “Rope” that ties the first process               Constraint or “DRUM”
     to the Constraint operation                      that determines the
                                                      flow rate of the system
                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                 50
                                                              Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
Management for Complex Production
                                                                                                                                         = Active Constraint
                                  100 –
                                                                                                                                        = Next Constraint
                                   90 –
                                                                                                                                        = Near Constraint
      Capacity (Items per hour)




                                   80 –                                                                                                 = Non Constraint

                                   70 –                                                                                                  = Sprint Capacity

                                   60 –                                                                                 Internal Constraint
                                                                                                                         (Lowest Capacity)
                                   50 –
                                                                                                                        Minimum Acceptable
                                                                                                                  Utilisation Level for Break Even
                                   40 –

                                   30 –

                                          1     |   2   |   3   |    4   |   5   |   6   |   7   |   8   |   10   |

                                                                    Process / Line Number

                                    Heuristic
                                     FLOW
                                                                                                                               51
                                                                                                                            Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008
TOC Breakthrough Thinking
           1.           Optimised flow and optimised capacity cannot be
                        achieved simultaneously (except on the constraint itself)
           2.           In order to optimise flow you MUST have buffers and
                        protective capacity (resilience)
           3.           For services, the customer becomes the “raw material”
                        and any bottleneck causes a queue (and customer
                        dissatisfaction)
           4.           Superior Flow and/or Customer Service necessitates
                        protective capacity at all times
           5.           Optimised Flow paves the way for significant reduction
                        on costs per part produced

                 Heuristic
                  FLOW
                                                                     52
                                                                  Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004
Heuristic Flow © 2008

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TOC Operations General Appreciation

  • 1. TOC for Operations General Appreciation The Theory of Constraints approach to Operational Excellence These Slides have been prepared and presented by Arrie van Niekerk and form part of a series of presentations that were developed over several years. They represent a personal view of the subjects and are not to be interpreted as official documents of any kind. Heuristic FLOW 1 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 2. TOC in Context Own Distribution Suppliers Purchasing Market Processes Channel Heuristic FLOW 2 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 3. The Impact of Our Ideologies RESULTS WORDS ACTIONS IDEOLOGY We very seldom take a step back and challenge our core beliefs as the reason why some things just do not work Heuristic FLOW 3 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 4. “The significant problems we face today cannot be solved with the same level of thinking we were at when we created them.” – Albert Einstein Heuristic FLOW 4 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 5. Basic Frame of Reference Understanding the world of FLOW, Variation and Interdependence Heuristic FLOW 5 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 6. Managing a Complex Environment 15 12 16 13 12 17 IN 11 15 16 14 10 13 12 9 OUT 11 18 11 20 19 • Complexity stems from the number of agents (21), number of linkages (35), time dependence, time delays, technical details, social considerations, cause and effect relationships, etc Heuristic FLOW Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 7. Examples of sequential flow processes Hydraulic Valve Manufacturing Raw Machine Drilling Welding Saw Assembly Packaging Material Station Station Station Valve Sand Mining Sand Trucks Wash Loader Screen Load Transport Product Source (x2) & Dry Occupational Health Screening BP & Patients Admin Chest Hearing Eyes & Certify Patients Lung arrive Reception X-Ray Test Urine (Nurse) Leave Capacity Heuristic FLOW Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 8. A Few Trivial Questions A B C D E F • You are instructed to cut costs by 10% in order to meet the challenge of a lower Sales Price – How would you go about it? – What process would you follow? • Is there another, more meaningful way? Heuristic FLOW 8 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 9. A Few Trivial Questions A B C D E F 65% 60% 72% 92% 75% 80% • You are faced with the above efficiency report: – Where will you focus most of your attention? – Where will you not put any attention now? • What is the most probable action you will take in order to get quick results? Heuristic FLOW 9 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 10. A Very Basic Operation A sequential flow line with processes of different average capacity (e.g. Tons per Hour) Mineral Resource 15 16 14 10 13 12 Product What bothers you about this chain? Expected output of this chain = ? How will you go about improving it? Heuristic FLOW 10 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 11. A Perfectly Balanced Chain? Mineral Resource 16 16 16 16 16 16 Product Output of the chain = ? Mineral Resource 10 10 10 10 10 10 Product Output of the chain = ? What are the deep rooted beliefs that cause us to develop chains like these? Heuristic FLOW 11 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 12. The World of Local Efficiency Heuristic FLOW 12 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 13. THE WORLD OF Local Efficiency When we prepare our budgets, what is the governing mental model? Mineral Resource 10 10 10 10 10 10 Product Output of the chain = ? What causes us to develop chains like these? Heuristic FLOW 13 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 14. The world of Local Efficiency: A Perfectly Balanced Chain? Mineral Resource 10 10 10 10 10 10 Product For this system we believe that: A The output of the chain will be 10 (or close to it) If every resource in the chain is optimised, B we will have an optimised chain C Balancing Capacity results in Optimised Flow D We have to utilise all resources to their full capacity Heuristic FLOW 14 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 15. Fact No1 in a Chain: ALL RESOURCES VARY OVER TIME Input Output Resource Max 12 Performance Ave 10 Min 0 Time Heuristic FLOW 15 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 16. Fact No2 of a Chain: RESOURCE DEPENDENCY IS HIGH and works forwards and backwards Mineral Resource A B C D E F Product Upstream: STARVATION Downstream: BLOCKAGE Heuristic FLOW 16 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 17. In Combination: Variation and Interdependency kills the synchronisation of FLOW 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 Performance 10 5 0 Time Heuristic FLOW 17 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 18. Context “If a company tell me they have moving bottlenecks, my response is: You have no bottlenecks and most of your resources have at least 30% spare capacity” – Dr Eli Goldratt Heuristic FLOW 18 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 19. How Much Will It Produce in Reality? 10 10 10 10 10 10 ? Availability 94% (0.94)6 = 73% of design capacity Availability 90% (0.90)6 = 58% of design capacity Availability 80% (0.80)6 = 31% of design capacity Heuristic FLOW 19 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 20. World of Local Efficiency Mineral Resource 10 10 10 10 10 10 Product Guaranteed Outcome: Performance well below standard, Costs per part go through the roof! What will the resulting behaviours be? • Relentless cost control measures • Adjustments of all input costs, downwards (easiest) • Increased pressure on all levels to improve local efficiencies • Focus on every link in the chain – cost and efficiency • Undiscussable issues everywhere – “stop complaining and just do your job!” (We know better) • ……………… Heuristic FLOW 20 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 21. How do we normally handle improvement? Mineral Resource 16 16 16 16 16 16 Product Output of this chain = 8 We throw money at the problem We start with … 6/7 Mineral 15 16 14 10 13 12 Improve! Resource Or we Cut Costs Mineral Resource 10 10 10 10 10 10 Product Output of this chain = 5 These chains suffer from the same flaw! Heuristic FLOW 21 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 22. Another World, The World of OPTIMISED FLOW Heuristic FLOW 22 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 23. Every Chain has a Weakest Link and it determines the FLOW of the total chain 10 • How well should it be run? • What is the implication of standing time? • What is required from Maintenance? • What about operator availability and skill? • What about quality control? • What about product value? Heuristic FLOW 23 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 24. Next: Buffer the FLOW of the critical resource from fluctuation in the rest of the chain 10 • We have to Protect the Constraint from the rest of the chain by buffering • We must effectively buffer the FLOW chain from every possible negative effect Heuristic FLOW 24 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 25. Next: Ensure that the rest of the chain can support the needs of the constraint ? ? ? 10 ? ? 10 Protective Protective Capacity 10 Capacity (Flexibility) (Flexibility) We need 20% protective capacity in front and behind the constraint in order to maintain the FLOW Heuristic FLOW 25 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 26. Impact of Buffers on FLOW ? ? ? 10 ? ? 12 Performance 10 With buffers 5 Without buffers 0 Heuristic Time FLOW 26 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 27. Buffers & Protective Capacity A B C D E F Protective Capacity • Establish and maintain a buffer of work in front of the constraint • Establish and maintain a space buffer behind the constraint • Without protective capacity, buffers cannot be managed • Making sure that we will not stop the FLOW Heuristic FLOW 27 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 28. COMPARING Local Efficiency and Optimised FLOW in terms of ability to MAKE MONEY Heuristic FLOW 28 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 29. Comparing the Production Costs Availability (0.94)6 = 73% of design capacity 12 12 12 10 12 12 94% 10 10 10 10 10 10 A B C D E F A B C D E F Costs 6 x 10 = 60 (5x12) + 10 = 70 Output 7,3 Units 9,4 Units Cost/Unit 60/7,3 = 8,2 70/9,4 = 7,5 Availability (0.80)6 = 31% of design capacity 80% 10 10 10 10 10 10 16 15 14 10 13 12 A B C D E F A B C D E F Costs 6 x 10 = 60 (16+15+14)+10+(13+12)= 80 Output 3,1 Units 8,0 Units Cost/Unit 60/3,1 = 19,4 80/8,0 = 10 Heuristic FLOW 29 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 30. Production Costs: Closer to REALITY Availability (0.90)6 = 58% of design capacity 13 13 13 10 12 12 90% 10 10 10 10 10 10 A B C D E F A B C D E F Costs 6 x 10 = 60 (3x13)+10+(2x12) = 73 Output 5,8 Units 9,0 Units Cost/Unit 60/5,8 = 10,3 73/9,0 = 8,1 Availability (0.80)6 = 31% of design capacity 80%, but 10 10 10 10 10 10 16 15 14 10 13 12 Constraint 85% A B C D E F A B C D E F Costs 6 x 10 = 60 (16+15+14)+10+(13+12)= 80 Output 3,1 Units 8,5 Units Cost/Unit 60/3,1 = 19,4 80/8,5 = 9,4 Heuristic FLOW 30 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 31. Comparing the Profit: 90% Availability 10 10 10 10 10 10 13 13 13 10 12 12 A B C D E F A B C D E F Costs 6 x 10 = 60 (3x13)+10+(2x12)= 73 Output 5,8 Units 9 Units Cost/Unit 60/5,8 = 10,3 73/9 = 8 Reducing the Cost/unit produced by 22% Income 5,8 x 15 = 87 9 x 15 = 135 Costs 60 73 Profit 87 - 60 = 27 135 - 73 = 62 Extra profit created through “additional costs”: 35 Costs of lost opportunity is not even measured and it is the biggest cost to the company- buffering pays for itself many times over Heuristic FLOW 31 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 32. Comparing the Profit: 90%BC vs 80%Flow 10 10 10 10 10 10 16 15 14 10 13 12 A B C D E F A B C D E F Costs 6 x 10 = 60 16+15+14+10+13+12= 80 Output 5,8 Units 8,5 Units Cost/Unit 60/5,8 = 10,3 80/8,5 = 9,4 Reducing the Cost/unit produced by 9% Income 5,8 x 15 = 87 8,5 x 15 = 127 Costs 60 80 Profit 87 - 60 = 27 127 – 80 = 47 Extra profit created through “additional costs”: 20 Costs of lost opportunity is not even measured and it is the biggest cost to the company- buffering pays for itself many times over Heuristic FLOW 32 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 33. Context “If you want to make money, ... most of your resources MUST be IDLE form time to time” – Dr Eli Goldratt Heuristic FLOW 33 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 34. Comparing the Chains: Operation 10 10 10 10 10 10 16 15 14 10 13 12 A B C D E F A B C D E F Balanced Capacity Balanced FLOW Murphy Exposed Murphy Protected Unstable Flow Stable Flow Control Everything Control Leverage Points Manage by Budget Manage by Constraint Uncontrolled Idle Time Managed Idle Time Higher Cost/Product Lower Cost/Product World of Scarcity World of Abundance Heuristic FLOW 34 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 35. Comparing the Chains: Mental Models 10 10 10 10 10 10 16 15 14 10 13 12 A B C D E F A B C D E F Balanced Capacity Balanced FLOW Can we describe the Can we try to describe types of thinking the mental models behind this type of behind this type of chain? chain? Heuristic FLOW 35 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 36. IN SUMMARY Heuristic FLOW 36 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 37. IN SUMMARY In the world of Local Efficiency: – The overall performance will inevitably be well below expectation, – Deliveries will almost always be late – Product availability will be low – You are guaranteed to have frustrated customers – The costs will inevitably be higher than expected – Company performance is bound to go down Heuristic FLOW 37 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 38. IN SUMMARY In the world of Optimised Flow: – The overall performance will be better than expected, – Deliveries will almost always be on time – Product availability will be exceptionally high – You are guaranteed to have satisfied customers – The costs will inevitably be lower than expected – Company performance is bound to go up Heuristic FLOW 38 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 39. KEY FOCAL POINT / “Constraint” Heuristic FLOW 39 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 40. BUFFERING Heuristic FLOW 40 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 41. SUBORDINATION Heuristic FLOW 41 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 42. PROTECTIVE CAPACITY Heuristic FLOW 42 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 43. “The closer you are to a balanced capacity chain, the closer you are to bankruptcy” – Dr Eli Goldratt Heuristic FLOW 43 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 44. It is all about FLOW, not CAPACITY The flow through the bottleneck determines the output of the chain as a whole! Key question to ask: HOW CAN WE HELP THE BOTTLENECK TO PERFORM BETTER? Heuristic FLOW 44 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 45. New Holistic Mechanism In order to … We must … 16 16 16 16 16 16 Maximise A B C D E F In order to … FLOW Make More 16 15 14 10 13 12 Money We must … A B C D E F (Now and in the Future) Control 10 10 10 10 10 10 A B C D E F COSTS We must … In order to … DIRECTION: Mental frameworks that are aligned with the LAW that Governs Flow Heuristic FLOW 45 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 46. Our ‘logic’ is indeed flawed! Mineral Resource 10 10 10 10 10 10 Product A The output of the chain will be 10 (or close to it) If every resource in the chain is optimised, B we will have an optimised chain C Balanced Capacity results in Optimised Flow D We have to utilise all resources to their full capacity A B C 10 E F Protective Capacity Heuristic FLOW 46 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 47. The Theory of Constraints? The Power of Leverage “Doing the right thing” A DIFFERENT WORLD! Heuristic FLOW 47 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 48. We followed the 5 focusing steps based on the laws of FLOW Continuously improve overall performance A chain is only as strong as its weakest link Step 1: Step 2: Step 3: Step 5: Subordinate Step 4: If you have Identify Decide how everything Elevate the broken a weakest the to exploit to the weakest link then go back weakest the weakest previous link to step 1 link link decisions Remember: Old habits die hard Heuristic FLOW 48 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 49. Enhanced Management A B C D E F 70 80 90 60 100 Time + 50 Buffer • Key Focal point(s) • Constraint Rate & Schedule • Buffer Management Heuristic FLOW 49 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 50. Synchronized Flow The DRUM-BUFFER-ROPE way Raw Material Flow Time Finished Space Buffer Goods Buffer A B C D E F “Rope” that ties the first process Constraint or “DRUM” to the Constraint operation that determines the flow rate of the system Heuristic FLOW 50 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 51. Management for Complex Production = Active Constraint 100 – = Next Constraint 90 – = Near Constraint Capacity (Items per hour) 80 – = Non Constraint 70 – = Sprint Capacity 60 – Internal Constraint (Lowest Capacity) 50 – Minimum Acceptable Utilisation Level for Break Even 40 – 30 – 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | Process / Line Number Heuristic FLOW 51 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008
  • 52. TOC Breakthrough Thinking 1. Optimised flow and optimised capacity cannot be achieved simultaneously (except on the constraint itself) 2. In order to optimise flow you MUST have buffers and protective capacity (resilience) 3. For services, the customer becomes the “raw material” and any bottleneck causes a queue (and customer dissatisfaction) 4. Superior Flow and/or Customer Service necessitates protective capacity at all times 5. Optimised Flow paves the way for significant reduction on costs per part produced Heuristic FLOW 52 Goldratt Group (Southern Africa) © 2004 Heuristic Flow © 2008