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A Tribute to Prof. Lloyd Stowell Shapley and
             Prof. Alvin Elliot Roth




2012 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences ”for the theory of
      stable allocations and the practice of market design”

                       October 19, 2012
Contribution of Shapley
                          Stable allocation


Overview



  1   Contribution of Shapley
        Non-cooperative Games
        Co-operative Games


  2   Stable allocation
        Problem with examples
        Theorem




                                              L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley
                          Stable allocation


Overview



  1   Contribution of Shapley
        Non-cooperative Games
        Co-operative Games


  2   Stable allocation
        Problem with examples
        Theorem




                                              L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley    Non-cooperative Games
                         Stable allocation   Co-operative Games


Necessity


                                             In their book The Theory of
                                             Games and Economic Behavior
                                             (1944), von Neumann and
                                             Morgenstern asserted that the
                                             mathematics developed for
                                             the physical sciences, which
                                             describes the workings of a
                                             disinterested nature, was a
                                             poor model for economics.


     Figure: John von Neumann



                                             L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley    Non-cooperative Games
                          Stable allocation   Co-operative Games


Philosophy


                                                    Game theory does not
                                                    attempt to state what a
                                                    player’s goal should be,
                                                    instead, it shows how a player
                                                    can best achieve his goal,
                                                    whatever that goal is.
                                                    It is assumed that Players of a
                                                    game are rational in their
  Figure: Non-cooperative Dynamic                   choices, and each assumes
  Game                                              rationality of opponent, and
                                                    hence can reconstruct
                                                    opponent’s rational moves.



                                              L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley    Non-cooperative Games
                          Stable allocation   Co-operative Games


Philosophy


                                                    Game theory does not
                                                    attempt to state what a
                                                    player’s goal should be,
                                                    instead, it shows how a player
                                                    can best achieve his goal,
                                                    whatever that goal is.
                                                    It is assumed that Players of a
                                                    game are rational in their
  Figure: Non-cooperative Dynamic                   choices, and each assumes
  Game                                              rationality of opponent, and
                                                    hence can reconstruct
                                                    opponent’s rational moves.



                                              L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley    Non-cooperative Games
                               Stable allocation   Co-operative Games


Solution


                                                         Safe I contains Rs. 1 Crore

                                                         Safe II contains Rs. 9 Crore

                                                         Safes are in separate locations

                                                         Only one Guard to protect

                                                         Only one thief to steal


   Figure: Example: A Static Game                        Guard protects according to
  max min V (p, q) = min max V (p, q)                    importance
   q       p                p       q
  = V (p     ∗ , q ∗ ),                                  Thief attempts, according to
  (p ∗ , q ∗ ) = (0.1, 0.9)                              availability


                                                   L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley    Non-cooperative Games
                               Stable allocation   Co-operative Games


Solution


                                                         Safe I contains Rs. 1 Crore

                                                         Safe II contains Rs. 9 Crore

                                                         Safes are in separate locations

                                                         Only one Guard to protect

                                                         Only one thief to steal


   Figure: Example: A Static Game                        Guard protects according to
  max min V (p, q) = min max V (p, q)                    importance
   q       p                p       q
  = V (p     ∗ , q ∗ ),                                  Thief attempts, according to
  (p ∗ , q ∗ ) = (0.1, 0.9)                              availability


                                                   L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley    Non-cooperative Games
                         Stable allocation   Co-operative Games


Generalization

                                                   Every finite, two-person
                                                   constant-sum static game
                                                   has a saddle point
                                                   equilibrium in mixed
                                                   strategies [John von
                                                   Neumann 1928].
                                                   For every finite static
                                                   game, there exists a
                                                   mixed-strategy NE [Nash
                                                   1950].
                                                   A SE exists for a class of
                                                   two-person constant-sum
     Figure: John Forbes Nash
                                                   multi-stage (stochastic)
                                                   games [Shapley 1953].
                                             L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley    Non-cooperative Games
                         Stable allocation   Co-operative Games


Generalization

                                                   Every finite, two-person
                                                   constant-sum static game
                                                   has a saddle point
                                                   equilibrium in mixed
                                                   strategies [John von
                                                   Neumann 1928].
                                                   For every finite static
                                                   game, there exists a
                                                   mixed-strategy NE [Nash
                                                   1950].
                                                   A SE exists for a class of
                                                   two-person constant-sum
     Figure: John Forbes Nash
                                                   multi-stage (stochastic)
                                                   games [Shapley 1953].
                                             L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley    Non-cooperative Games
                         Stable allocation   Co-operative Games


Generalization

                                                   Every finite, two-person
                                                   constant-sum static game
                                                   has a saddle point
                                                   equilibrium in mixed
                                                   strategies [John von
                                                   Neumann 1928].
                                                   For every finite static
                                                   game, there exists a
                                                   mixed-strategy NE [Nash
                                                   1950].
                                                   A SE exists for a class of
                                                   two-person constant-sum
     Figure: John Forbes Nash
                                                   multi-stage (stochastic)
                                                   games [Shapley 1953].
                                             L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley    Non-cooperative Games
                         Stable allocation   Co-operative Games


Some of the ground breaking works


     Shapley value (1953)
     To each cooperative game, it assigns a unique distribution
     (among the players) of a total surplus generated by the
     coalition of all players.
     Shapley-Shubik power index (1954)
     It measures the powers of players in a voting game.
     Bondareva-Shapley theorem (1960)
     It describes a necessary and sufficient condition for the
     non-emptiness of the core of a cooperative game.
     Gale-Shapley algorithm (1962)
     Existence of a stable allocation for marriage problem.



                                             L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley    Problem with examples
                           Stable allocation   Theorem


Stable allocation

                                               Consider a community of n men
                                               and n women. Each person
                                               ranks those of the opposite sex
                                               in accordance with his or her
                                               preferences for a marriage
                                               partner. Is there a satisfactory
                                               way of marrying off all members
                                               of the community?
                                               Definition: A set of marriages
                                               is called unstable if under it
                                               there are a man and a woman
                                               who are not married to each
    Figure: Diagram of preferences             other but prefer each other to
                                               their actual mates.

                                               L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley    Problem with examples
                            Stable allocation   Theorem


Stable allocation

              A     B        C
        α    1,3   2,2      3,1
        β    3,1   1,3      2,2
        γ    2,2   3,1      1,3
  Table: Ranking matrix for three
  men and three women


  Stable sets                                   Figure: Ranking matrix for four
                                                men and four women
  (α, A), (β, B) and (γ, C )
  (α, C ), (β, A) and (γ, B)
  (α, B), (β, C ) and (γ, A)                    One can check, there is only one
  All other arrangements are                    stable set of marriages for this
  unstable.                                     example.

                                                L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley    Problem with examples
                         Stable allocation   Theorem


Stable allocation

                                             THEOREM [GALE &
                                             SHAPLEY (1962)]:
                                             For any finite marriage problem,
                                             there always exists a stable set
                                             of marriages.

                                                  Born          June 2, 1923 (age 89)
                                                                Cambridge, Massachusetts
                                                  Nationality   American
                                                  Affiliation     University of California,
                                                                Los Angeles (since 1981)
                                                  Fields        Mathematics, Economics




        Figure: L. Shapley
                                             L. Shapley
Contribution of Shapley    Problem with examples
                     Stable allocation   Theorem


Concluding Remark




                                         L. Shapley
Thank You

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A Tribute to Prof. Lloyd Stowell Shapley and Prof. Alvin Elliot Roth

  • 1. A Tribute to Prof. Lloyd Stowell Shapley and Prof. Alvin Elliot Roth 2012 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences ”for the theory of stable allocations and the practice of market design” October 19, 2012
  • 2. Contribution of Shapley Stable allocation Overview 1 Contribution of Shapley Non-cooperative Games Co-operative Games 2 Stable allocation Problem with examples Theorem L. Shapley
  • 3. Contribution of Shapley Stable allocation Overview 1 Contribution of Shapley Non-cooperative Games Co-operative Games 2 Stable allocation Problem with examples Theorem L. Shapley
  • 4. Contribution of Shapley Non-cooperative Games Stable allocation Co-operative Games Necessity In their book The Theory of Games and Economic Behavior (1944), von Neumann and Morgenstern asserted that the mathematics developed for the physical sciences, which describes the workings of a disinterested nature, was a poor model for economics. Figure: John von Neumann L. Shapley
  • 5. Contribution of Shapley Non-cooperative Games Stable allocation Co-operative Games Philosophy Game theory does not attempt to state what a player’s goal should be, instead, it shows how a player can best achieve his goal, whatever that goal is. It is assumed that Players of a game are rational in their Figure: Non-cooperative Dynamic choices, and each assumes Game rationality of opponent, and hence can reconstruct opponent’s rational moves. L. Shapley
  • 6. Contribution of Shapley Non-cooperative Games Stable allocation Co-operative Games Philosophy Game theory does not attempt to state what a player’s goal should be, instead, it shows how a player can best achieve his goal, whatever that goal is. It is assumed that Players of a game are rational in their Figure: Non-cooperative Dynamic choices, and each assumes Game rationality of opponent, and hence can reconstruct opponent’s rational moves. L. Shapley
  • 7. Contribution of Shapley Non-cooperative Games Stable allocation Co-operative Games Solution Safe I contains Rs. 1 Crore Safe II contains Rs. 9 Crore Safes are in separate locations Only one Guard to protect Only one thief to steal Figure: Example: A Static Game Guard protects according to max min V (p, q) = min max V (p, q) importance q p p q = V (p ∗ , q ∗ ), Thief attempts, according to (p ∗ , q ∗ ) = (0.1, 0.9) availability L. Shapley
  • 8. Contribution of Shapley Non-cooperative Games Stable allocation Co-operative Games Solution Safe I contains Rs. 1 Crore Safe II contains Rs. 9 Crore Safes are in separate locations Only one Guard to protect Only one thief to steal Figure: Example: A Static Game Guard protects according to max min V (p, q) = min max V (p, q) importance q p p q = V (p ∗ , q ∗ ), Thief attempts, according to (p ∗ , q ∗ ) = (0.1, 0.9) availability L. Shapley
  • 9. Contribution of Shapley Non-cooperative Games Stable allocation Co-operative Games Generalization Every finite, two-person constant-sum static game has a saddle point equilibrium in mixed strategies [John von Neumann 1928]. For every finite static game, there exists a mixed-strategy NE [Nash 1950]. A SE exists for a class of two-person constant-sum Figure: John Forbes Nash multi-stage (stochastic) games [Shapley 1953]. L. Shapley
  • 10. Contribution of Shapley Non-cooperative Games Stable allocation Co-operative Games Generalization Every finite, two-person constant-sum static game has a saddle point equilibrium in mixed strategies [John von Neumann 1928]. For every finite static game, there exists a mixed-strategy NE [Nash 1950]. A SE exists for a class of two-person constant-sum Figure: John Forbes Nash multi-stage (stochastic) games [Shapley 1953]. L. Shapley
  • 11. Contribution of Shapley Non-cooperative Games Stable allocation Co-operative Games Generalization Every finite, two-person constant-sum static game has a saddle point equilibrium in mixed strategies [John von Neumann 1928]. For every finite static game, there exists a mixed-strategy NE [Nash 1950]. A SE exists for a class of two-person constant-sum Figure: John Forbes Nash multi-stage (stochastic) games [Shapley 1953]. L. Shapley
  • 12. Contribution of Shapley Non-cooperative Games Stable allocation Co-operative Games Some of the ground breaking works Shapley value (1953) To each cooperative game, it assigns a unique distribution (among the players) of a total surplus generated by the coalition of all players. Shapley-Shubik power index (1954) It measures the powers of players in a voting game. Bondareva-Shapley theorem (1960) It describes a necessary and sufficient condition for the non-emptiness of the core of a cooperative game. Gale-Shapley algorithm (1962) Existence of a stable allocation for marriage problem. L. Shapley
  • 13. Contribution of Shapley Problem with examples Stable allocation Theorem Stable allocation Consider a community of n men and n women. Each person ranks those of the opposite sex in accordance with his or her preferences for a marriage partner. Is there a satisfactory way of marrying off all members of the community? Definition: A set of marriages is called unstable if under it there are a man and a woman who are not married to each Figure: Diagram of preferences other but prefer each other to their actual mates. L. Shapley
  • 14. Contribution of Shapley Problem with examples Stable allocation Theorem Stable allocation A B C α 1,3 2,2 3,1 β 3,1 1,3 2,2 γ 2,2 3,1 1,3 Table: Ranking matrix for three men and three women Stable sets Figure: Ranking matrix for four men and four women (α, A), (β, B) and (γ, C ) (α, C ), (β, A) and (γ, B) (α, B), (β, C ) and (γ, A) One can check, there is only one All other arrangements are stable set of marriages for this unstable. example. L. Shapley
  • 15. Contribution of Shapley Problem with examples Stable allocation Theorem Stable allocation THEOREM [GALE & SHAPLEY (1962)]: For any finite marriage problem, there always exists a stable set of marriages. Born June 2, 1923 (age 89) Cambridge, Massachusetts Nationality American Affiliation University of California, Los Angeles (since 1981) Fields Mathematics, Economics Figure: L. Shapley L. Shapley
  • 16. Contribution of Shapley Problem with examples Stable allocation Theorem Concluding Remark L. Shapley