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Matching markets
                                          with signals

                                            A. Kushnir

                                        Introduction

                                        A simple example

                                        Outline

Matching markets with signals           Model

                                        Almost aligned
                                        preferences

                                        The role of signals
           Alexey Kushnir               Conclusion


    The Pennsylvania State University


         January 20, 2009
Matching markets
Signaling                                                        with signals

                                                                   A. Kushnir

                                                               Introduction

                                                               A simple example

                                                               Outline

                                                               Model

                                                               Almost aligned
                                                               preferences
  I   Signaling was introduced in job market for new Ph.D.     The role of signals
      economists in 2006 year.                                 Conclusion

  I   Each candidate can send signals up to two departments.
Matching markets
What are signals needed for?                      with signals

                                                    A. Kushnir

                                                Introduction

                                                A simple example

                                                Outline

                                                Model

                                                Almost aligned
                                                preferences
  I   Reduce congestion (Roth, 2008)            The role of signals
  I   Help students with atypical preferences   Conclusion

  I   Insure high-ranked students
Matching markets
Congestion                                                             with signals

                                                                         A. Kushnir

                                                                     Introduction

                                                                     A simple example

  I   Congestion is frictions in a decentralized market (…rms        Outline

      and workers).                                                  Model

                                                                     Almost aligned
  I   Ideal world is a market without frictions.                     preferences

        I   Firms can make o¤ers following the deferred acceptance   The role of signals

            algorithm.                                               Conclusion


  I   Real world
        I   limited period of time
        I   workers may begin accepting o¤ers from other
            departments
        I   o¤ers may be costly
Matching markets
Related work                        with signals

                                      A. Kushnir

                                  Introduction

                                  A simple example

                                  Outline

                                  Model

                                  Almost aligned
                                  preferences
  I   Coles and Niederle (2007)
                                  The role of signals

                                  Conclusion
Matching markets
Related work                        with signals

                                      A. Kushnir

                                  Introduction

                                  A simple example

                                  Outline

                                  Model

                                  Almost aligned
                                  preferences
  I   Coles and Niederle (2007)
                                  The role of signals
  I   Lee and Schwarz (2007a,b)   Conclusion
Matching markets
Related work                                     with signals

                                                   A. Kushnir

                                               Introduction

                                               A simple example

                                               Outline

                                               Model

                                               Almost aligned
                                               preferences
  I   Coles and Niederle (2007)
                                               The role of signals
  I   Lee and Schwarz (2007a,b)                Conclusion

  I   Abdulkadiroglu, Che, and Yasuda (2008)
Matching markets
Contribution of this paper                                      with signals

                                                                  A. Kushnir

                                                              Introduction

                                                              A simple example

                                                              Outline
  I   Private signals facilitate information asymmetry that   Model

      could harm decentralized matching markets.              Almost aligned
                                                              preferences
  I   The introduction of signals in almost aligned           The role of signals
      preference environment                                  Conclusion

        I   decreases number of matches,
        I   decreases total …rms’welfare,
        I   ambiguously e¤ects total workers’welfare.
      compare to no signaling case.
Matching markets
A simple example                                     with signals

                                                       A. Kushnir


  I   3 …rms and 3 workers                         Introduction

                                                   A simple example
  I   θ f j = ( w1 , w2 , w3 )
                                                   Outline
  I   θ w i = (1      ε) θ 0     ε θ ai , i.i.d.   Model

         I   ε << 1                                Almost aligned
                                                   preferences
         I   θ 0 = (f1 , f2 , f3 ) - "typical"
                                                   The role of signals
         I   θ ai   U (Θs ) - "atypical"
                                                   Conclusion
  I   No signals
Matching markets
A simple example       with signals

                         A. Kushnir

                     Introduction

                     A simple example

  I   With signals   Outline

                     Model

                     Almost aligned
                     preferences

                     The role of signals

                     Conclusion
Matching markets
Outline                                                        with signals

                                                                 A. Kushnir

                                                             Introduction

                                                             A simple example

                                                             Outline

                                                             Model

  1. Model.                                                  Almost aligned
                                                             preferences

  2. Almost aligned preferences                              The role of signals

                                                             Conclusion
  3. The role of signals: transmit information, facilitate
     information asymmetry
  4. Conclusion.
Matching markets
Model                                                                        with signals

                                                                               A. Kushnir

                                                                           Introduction

                                                                           A simple example

                                                                           Outline
  I   M …rms, N workers (M             N)                                  Model

  I   Ordinal utility                                                      Almost aligned
                                                                           preferences
        I   θ f 2 ΘF …rm f ’ preference list (strict)
                                 s                                         The role of signals
        I   θ w 2 ΘW worker w ’ preference list (strict)
                                       s                                   Conclusion
        I   θ f and θ w are i.i.d.; g (θ ) is their joint distribution
  I   Cardinal utility
        I   Assign any cardinal utility ua ( , θ a ) > 0 consistent with
            θ a , ua (?, θ a ) = 0
Matching markets
Model                                                          with signals

                                                                 A. Kushnir

                                                             Introduction

                                                             A simple example

                                                             Outline

                                                             Model
 1. Each worker can send one signal to some …rm. The
                                                             Almost aligned
    signals are private (observed only by …rms who receive   preferences

    them).                                                   The role of signals

                                                             Conclusion
 2. Each …rm makes one o¤er to some worker. A …rm can
    make an o¤er to any worker.
 3. Workers choose o¤ers to accept. The realized matches
    are observed.
Matching markets
Strategies                                            with signals

                                                        A. Kushnir

                                                    Introduction

                                                    A simple example

                                                    Outline

                                                    Model

  I                                        1    2
      Worker w ’ strategy is a duple vw = vw , vw
                s                                   Almost aligned
                                                    preferences
        I   vw : Θ W ! F
             1                                      The role of signals
        I   vw : ΘW 2F ! F
             2
                                                    Conclusion

  I   Firm f ’ strategy vf : ΘF
              s                      2W ! W
  I   Perfect Bayesian equilibrium
Matching markets
Almost aligned preferences                                   with signals

                                                               A. Kushnir

                                                           Introduction

                                                           A simple example

                                                           Outline

                                                           Model

  I              ˆ
      8j, θ fj = θ = const (vf (h, θ f ) vf (h), h   W)    Almost aligned
                                                           preferences
  I   8i, θ wi = (1 ε) θ 0 ε θ ai , i.i.d.                 The role of signals

        I   θ 0 = const - "typical"                        Conclusion

        I   θ ai   A(Θs ) - "atypical"
  I                                                   ˆ
      Enumerate …rms and workers according to θ 0 and θ.
Matching markets
Assumptions.                                                with signals

                                                              A. Kushnir

                                                          Introduction

                                                          A simple example

                                                          Outline

                                                          Model

                                                          Almost aligned
Assumption. 0 < ε << 1.                                   preferences


Assumption. A(Θs ) has a full support
                                                          The role of signals

                                                          Conclusion
Assumption (Positive Role of Signals). 8f 2 F , w 2 W ,
            h W vf (hnw ) = w ) vf (h [ w ) = w .
Matching markets
Assumptions.                                             with signals

                                                           A. Kushnir

                                                       Introduction

                                                       A simple example

                                                       Outline

                                                       Model
De…nition. h W is reached for …rm f when agents
                                                       Almost aligned
follow v = (vw , vf ) if Pr (hf (θ ) = hjv ) > 0       preferences

                                                       The role of signals

De…nition. Firm f responds to worker w ’ signal if
                                        s              Conclusion


  I   9h W : hnw and h [ w are reached for …rm f and
  I   vf (hnw ) 6= vf (h [ w ).
Matching markets
Benchmark. No signals                                       with signals

                                                              A. Kushnir

                                                          Introduction

                                                          A simple example

                                                          Outline
  I   The only equilibrium is the assortative matching.
                                                          Model

                                                          Almost aligned
                                                          preferences

                                                          The role of signals

                                                          Conclusion
Matching markets
Signals. The set of equilibria.                                  with signals

                                                                   A. Kushnir

                                                               Introduction

                                                               A simple example

                                                               Outline

                                                               Model
 De…nition.                                                    Almost aligned
                                                               preferences
  I   An equilibrium is babbling if no …rm responds to any     The role of signals

      signal.                                                  Conclusion

  I   An equilibrium is informative if there is at least one
      …rm that responds to some worker’ signal.
                                         s
Matching markets
Babbling equilibria                                          with signals

                                                               A. Kushnir

                                                           Introduction

                                                           A simple example

                                                           Outline

                                                           Model

                                                           Almost aligned
                                                           preferences
Theorem                                                    The role of signals

The only possible match in a babbling equilibrium is the   Conclusion

assortative match.
Matching markets
Informative equilibria                                                   with signals

                                                                           A. Kushnir

                                                                       Introduction

                                                                       A simple example

 Theorem                                                               Outline

 If each …rm responds to all signals from workers better or            Model

 equal to the corresponding one, the set of strategies                 Almost aligned
                                                                       preferences

   - vw i (θ w i ) = maxθ wi (f 0 2 F : f 0 θ 0 fi )                   The role of signals

                   (                                                   Conclusion
                     maxθ fj (w : w 2 h) if h  fw1 , ..., wj g 6= 0
   - vfj (h) =
                     wj + 1      if h  fw1 , ..., wj g = 0
 and set of …rms’beliefs consistent with agents’strategies
 constitute a unique equilibrium.
 Illustration
Matching markets
Welfare measure.                                                        with signals

                                                                          A. Kushnir

                                                                      Introduction

                                                                      A simple example

                                                                      Outline

  I   EMatches (v ) = ∑θ g (θ )m (v (θ ), θ )                         Model

                                                                      Almost aligned
        I m (v ( θ ), θ ) is the ex-post number of matches for        preferences

          v = (vw , vf ) and θ 2 ΘW ΘF .                              The role of signals

                                                                      Conclusion
  I   EW…rms (v ) =
      ∑f ∑θ g (θ )Prf (hf (θ ))uf (vf (θ )jv f (θ ), hf (θ ), θ f )
  I   EWworkers (v ) =
      ∑w ∑θ g (θ )uw (vw (θ w ) jv w (θ w ), θ w )
Matching markets
Welfare comparison.                                        with signals

                                                             A. Kushnir

                                                         Introduction

                                                         A simple example

                                                         Outline

                                                         Model
   EMatches     No signaling   Signaling (informative)   Almost aligned
                                                         preferences

                                                         The role of signals

   EW workers   No signaling 7 Signaling (informative)   Conclusion




   EW …rms      No signaling   Signaling (informative)
Matching markets
Welfare comparison.                                           with signals

                                                                A. Kushnir

                                                            Introduction

Theorem                                                     A simple example

                                                            Outline
If …rm fj 1 and at least one …rm among ffj +1 , ..., fM g
                                                            Model
responds to worker wj 1 ’ signal in an informative
                          s
                                                            Almost aligned
equilibrium, then                                           preferences

                                                            The role of signals

                                                            Conclusion



  EMatches fj     No signaling > Signaling (informative)


  EW fj           No signaling > Signaling (informative)
Matching markets
Uniform distribution (Coles and Niederle, 2007)            with signals


VS almost aligned preferences                                A. Kushnir

                                                         Introduction

                                                         A simple example

                                                         Outline

                                                         Model
                  Welfare comparison                     Almost aligned
                                                         preferences

 Preferences      No signals   EMatch   EWwork   EW…rm   The role of signals

                                                         Conclusion

 Almost aligned       0


 Uniform distr.       0          +        +
Matching markets
Uniform distribution (Coles and Niederle, 2007)             with signals


VS almost aligned preferences                                 A. Kushnir

                                                          Introduction

                                                          A simple example

                                                          Outline

                    Role of signals                       Model

                                                          Almost aligned
                                                          preferences
                     Transmit    Facilitate information
   Preferences                                            The role of signals
                   information         asymmetry          Conclusion



 Almost aligned       Small             Large


  Uniform distr.      Large              Small
Matching markets
Conclusion                                                      with signals

                                                                  A. Kushnir

                                                              Introduction

                                                              A simple example

                                                              Outline

  I   Matching model of the Economics job                     Model

                                                              Almost aligned
      market with signals                                     preferences

        I   there is a "realistic" environment when signals   The role of signals

            !!do harm!! the matching market.                  Conclusion


  I   The roles of private signals in matching markets
        I   transmit information (positive)
        I   facilitate information asymmetry (negative)
Matching markets
              with signals

                A. Kushnir

            Introduction

            A simple example

            Outline

            Model

            Almost aligned

Thank you   preferences

            The role of signals

            Conclusion
I   Workers’strategies          Matching markets
                                  with signals

                                    A. Kushnir

                                Introduction

                                A simple example

                                Outline

                                Model

                                Almost aligned
                                preferences

                                The role of signals

                                Conclusion
I   Firms’strategies




                         back

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Can costless signaling be harmul for matching markets?

  • 1. Matching markets with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Matching markets with signals Model Almost aligned preferences The role of signals Alexey Kushnir Conclusion The Pennsylvania State University January 20, 2009
  • 2. Matching markets Signaling with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model Almost aligned preferences I Signaling was introduced in job market for new Ph.D. The role of signals economists in 2006 year. Conclusion I Each candidate can send signals up to two departments.
  • 3. Matching markets What are signals needed for? with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model Almost aligned preferences I Reduce congestion (Roth, 2008) The role of signals I Help students with atypical preferences Conclusion I Insure high-ranked students
  • 4. Matching markets Congestion with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example I Congestion is frictions in a decentralized market (…rms Outline and workers). Model Almost aligned I Ideal world is a market without frictions. preferences I Firms can make o¤ers following the deferred acceptance The role of signals algorithm. Conclusion I Real world I limited period of time I workers may begin accepting o¤ers from other departments I o¤ers may be costly
  • 5. Matching markets Related work with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model Almost aligned preferences I Coles and Niederle (2007) The role of signals Conclusion
  • 6. Matching markets Related work with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model Almost aligned preferences I Coles and Niederle (2007) The role of signals I Lee and Schwarz (2007a,b) Conclusion
  • 7. Matching markets Related work with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model Almost aligned preferences I Coles and Niederle (2007) The role of signals I Lee and Schwarz (2007a,b) Conclusion I Abdulkadiroglu, Che, and Yasuda (2008)
  • 8. Matching markets Contribution of this paper with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline I Private signals facilitate information asymmetry that Model could harm decentralized matching markets. Almost aligned preferences I The introduction of signals in almost aligned The role of signals preference environment Conclusion I decreases number of matches, I decreases total …rms’welfare, I ambiguously e¤ects total workers’welfare. compare to no signaling case.
  • 9. Matching markets A simple example with signals A. Kushnir I 3 …rms and 3 workers Introduction A simple example I θ f j = ( w1 , w2 , w3 ) Outline I θ w i = (1 ε) θ 0 ε θ ai , i.i.d. Model I ε << 1 Almost aligned preferences I θ 0 = (f1 , f2 , f3 ) - "typical" The role of signals I θ ai U (Θs ) - "atypical" Conclusion I No signals
  • 10. Matching markets A simple example with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example I With signals Outline Model Almost aligned preferences The role of signals Conclusion
  • 11. Matching markets Outline with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model 1. Model. Almost aligned preferences 2. Almost aligned preferences The role of signals Conclusion 3. The role of signals: transmit information, facilitate information asymmetry 4. Conclusion.
  • 12. Matching markets Model with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline I M …rms, N workers (M N) Model I Ordinal utility Almost aligned preferences I θ f 2 ΘF …rm f ’ preference list (strict) s The role of signals I θ w 2 ΘW worker w ’ preference list (strict) s Conclusion I θ f and θ w are i.i.d.; g (θ ) is their joint distribution I Cardinal utility I Assign any cardinal utility ua ( , θ a ) > 0 consistent with θ a , ua (?, θ a ) = 0
  • 13. Matching markets Model with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model 1. Each worker can send one signal to some …rm. The Almost aligned signals are private (observed only by …rms who receive preferences them). The role of signals Conclusion 2. Each …rm makes one o¤er to some worker. A …rm can make an o¤er to any worker. 3. Workers choose o¤ers to accept. The realized matches are observed.
  • 14. Matching markets Strategies with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model I 1 2 Worker w ’ strategy is a duple vw = vw , vw s Almost aligned preferences I vw : Θ W ! F 1 The role of signals I vw : ΘW 2F ! F 2 Conclusion I Firm f ’ strategy vf : ΘF s 2W ! W I Perfect Bayesian equilibrium
  • 15. Matching markets Almost aligned preferences with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model I ˆ 8j, θ fj = θ = const (vf (h, θ f ) vf (h), h W) Almost aligned preferences I 8i, θ wi = (1 ε) θ 0 ε θ ai , i.i.d. The role of signals I θ 0 = const - "typical" Conclusion I θ ai A(Θs ) - "atypical" I ˆ Enumerate …rms and workers according to θ 0 and θ.
  • 16. Matching markets Assumptions. with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model Almost aligned Assumption. 0 < ε << 1. preferences Assumption. A(Θs ) has a full support The role of signals Conclusion Assumption (Positive Role of Signals). 8f 2 F , w 2 W , h W vf (hnw ) = w ) vf (h [ w ) = w .
  • 17. Matching markets Assumptions. with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model De…nition. h W is reached for …rm f when agents Almost aligned follow v = (vw , vf ) if Pr (hf (θ ) = hjv ) > 0 preferences The role of signals De…nition. Firm f responds to worker w ’ signal if s Conclusion I 9h W : hnw and h [ w are reached for …rm f and I vf (hnw ) 6= vf (h [ w ).
  • 18. Matching markets Benchmark. No signals with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline I The only equilibrium is the assortative matching. Model Almost aligned preferences The role of signals Conclusion
  • 19. Matching markets Signals. The set of equilibria. with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model De…nition. Almost aligned preferences I An equilibrium is babbling if no …rm responds to any The role of signals signal. Conclusion I An equilibrium is informative if there is at least one …rm that responds to some worker’ signal. s
  • 20. Matching markets Babbling equilibria with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model Almost aligned preferences Theorem The role of signals The only possible match in a babbling equilibrium is the Conclusion assortative match.
  • 21. Matching markets Informative equilibria with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Theorem Outline If each …rm responds to all signals from workers better or Model equal to the corresponding one, the set of strategies Almost aligned preferences - vw i (θ w i ) = maxθ wi (f 0 2 F : f 0 θ 0 fi ) The role of signals ( Conclusion maxθ fj (w : w 2 h) if h fw1 , ..., wj g 6= 0 - vfj (h) = wj + 1 if h fw1 , ..., wj g = 0 and set of …rms’beliefs consistent with agents’strategies constitute a unique equilibrium. Illustration
  • 22. Matching markets Welfare measure. with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline I EMatches (v ) = ∑θ g (θ )m (v (θ ), θ ) Model Almost aligned I m (v ( θ ), θ ) is the ex-post number of matches for preferences v = (vw , vf ) and θ 2 ΘW ΘF . The role of signals Conclusion I EW…rms (v ) = ∑f ∑θ g (θ )Prf (hf (θ ))uf (vf (θ )jv f (θ ), hf (θ ), θ f ) I EWworkers (v ) = ∑w ∑θ g (θ )uw (vw (θ w ) jv w (θ w ), θ w )
  • 23. Matching markets Welfare comparison. with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model EMatches No signaling Signaling (informative) Almost aligned preferences The role of signals EW workers No signaling 7 Signaling (informative) Conclusion EW …rms No signaling Signaling (informative)
  • 24. Matching markets Welfare comparison. with signals A. Kushnir Introduction Theorem A simple example Outline If …rm fj 1 and at least one …rm among ffj +1 , ..., fM g Model responds to worker wj 1 ’ signal in an informative s Almost aligned equilibrium, then preferences The role of signals Conclusion EMatches fj No signaling > Signaling (informative) EW fj No signaling > Signaling (informative)
  • 25. Matching markets Uniform distribution (Coles and Niederle, 2007) with signals VS almost aligned preferences A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model Welfare comparison Almost aligned preferences Preferences No signals EMatch EWwork EW…rm The role of signals Conclusion Almost aligned 0 Uniform distr. 0 + +
  • 26. Matching markets Uniform distribution (Coles and Niederle, 2007) with signals VS almost aligned preferences A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Role of signals Model Almost aligned preferences Transmit Facilitate information Preferences The role of signals information asymmetry Conclusion Almost aligned Small Large Uniform distr. Large Small
  • 27. Matching markets Conclusion with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline I Matching model of the Economics job Model Almost aligned market with signals preferences I there is a "realistic" environment when signals The role of signals !!do harm!! the matching market. Conclusion I The roles of private signals in matching markets I transmit information (positive) I facilitate information asymmetry (negative)
  • 28. Matching markets with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model Almost aligned Thank you preferences The role of signals Conclusion
  • 29. I Workers’strategies Matching markets with signals A. Kushnir Introduction A simple example Outline Model Almost aligned preferences The role of signals Conclusion I Firms’strategies back