SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 4
Download to read offline
DRAFT	-	Cognitive	Computing	–	A	Fad	or	Game	Changer	-	DRAFT	
Cognitive	Computing	-	v1.3.docx	 Feb	2016	 	 1	of	4	
Cognitive	Computing:	A	Fad	or	Game	Changer?	
The	Skeptics	Guide	
Ahmed	Fattah	
Analytics	Architect	
Sydney,	Australia	
	
As	an	IT	Solution	Architect,	I	am	skeptical	of	any	over-hyped	technologies	or	so-
called	silver	bullets.	Recent	buzz	in	the	IT	press	indicates	that	Cognitive	Computing	
belongs	to	this	category.	As	a	practitioner	in	the	previous	generation	of	Artificial	
Intelligence	(AI),	I	know	what	happens	after	the	over-hype	…	a	trough	of	
disillusionment.		If	we	want	to	avoid	another	AI	Winter,	we	should	heed	the	lessons	
from	the	previous	AI	era.	Some	of	these	lessons	are:	avoid	the	hype,	manage	
expectations	and	ensure	sustainable	deployment.		
	
This	article	tries	to	sidestep	the	hype	and	uncover	what	is	Cognitive	Computing	from	
a	practitioner’s	point	of	view	and	how	it	differs	from	the	previous	generation	of	AI.	
The	focus	is	not	on	the	theoretical	aspects	of	AI	but	on	the	practical	perspective	
required	to	apply	Cognitive	Computing	on	real-life	problems.	However,	from	
experience,	I	know	that	some	of	the	theoretical	questions	(such	as	can	a	machine	
really	think?)	cannot	be	completely	avoided.	
Definition	and	differences	from	previous	AI	
	
Cognitive	Computing	is	defined	by	some	as	“the	simulation	of	human	thought	
processes	in	a	computerised	model”.	Such	definitions	worry	me	because	they	sound	
very	similar	to	statements	from	the	first	generation	of	AI.	They	do	not	tell	us	much	
and	hang	on	aspiration	of	a	long-held	desire	to	duplicate	human	abilities.	Other	
definitions	progress	our	understanding	(but	not	far	enough).	They	define	systems	
that	are	powered	by	Cognitive	Computing	as	“systems	that	learn	at	scale,	reason	
with	purpose	and	interact	with	humans	naturally”.		Yet	other	definitions	add	
Adaptive,	Interactive,	Iterative	and	Contextual	to	this	list.	These	characteristics,	no	
doubt,	are	highly	desirable	but	do	not	tell	us	how	Cognitive	Computing	achieves	
them.	They	do	not	help	in	deciding	if	we	should	use	Cognitive	Computing	to	solve	a	
given	problem	or	how	we	go	about	architecting	the	solution.	To	answer	these	
questions,	we	need	to	look	a	bit	deeper	and	understand	the	components	of	
Cognitive	Computing.	
	
From	a	Solution	Architecture	perspective,	I	think,	we	should	simply	think	of	Cognitive	
Computing	as	an	amalgamation	of	well-established	technologies	such	as	Big	Data	
Analytics,	Machine	Learning	and	Natural	Language	Processing	that	can	be	applied	as	
needed	and	combined	with	other	‘legacy’	technologies	to	develop	effective	business	
solution.
DRAFT	-	Cognitive	Computing	–	A	Fad	or	Game	Changer	-	DRAFT	
Cognitive	Computing	-	v1.3.docx	 Feb	2016	 	 2	of	4	
Figure	1	below	shows	a	longer,	yet	not	a	exhaustive,	list	of	the	technologies	and	
associated	developments	that	differentiate	Cognitive	Computing	from	the	previous	
generation	of	AI.	Note	that	these	fields	overlap	and	feed	one	another.	For	example,	
Machine	Learning	techniques	are	used	for	Data	Mining	and	Knowledge	Discovery	in	
Big	Data	Analytics;	and	Natural	Language	Processing	(NLP)	is	used	for	a	more	
effective	Machine-Human	Interaction.	
	
	
Figure	1:	Innovations	and	technological	developments	that	differentiate	Cognitive	Computing	from	the	
previous	AI	generation.		
The	following	table	shows	how	each	of	these	developments	has	progressed	and	how	
they	can	contribute	to	Cognitive	Solutions.	
	
Area	 Progress	and	impact	
Big	Data	
Analytics	
Among	all	the	above	innovations,	Big	Data	Analytics	stands	out	as	the	key	
differentiator	from	previous	AI	systems.	As	James	Kobielus	stated,	Cognitive	
Computing	is	simply	“AI	that	feeds	on	big	data”.	Here	lays	the	crucial	difference:	in	
the	previous	generation	of	AI	we	captured	knowledge	from	human	experts	and	
coded	them	by	hand.	Now	we	can	‘discover’	knowledge	(at	least,	a	significant	
portion	of	it)	from	the	huge	volume	of	available	data	(structured	and	
unstructured).	
Machine	
Learning	
Although	many	of	the	Machine	Learning	techniques	have	been	around	since	early	
phases	of	AI,	the	huge	increase	in	computing	power	is	making	a	substantial	impact	
on	the	practicality	of	these	techniques.	There	have	also	been	many	developments	
in	combining	and	advancing	these	techniques.	In	particular,	recent	progress	in	
Deep	Learning	made	it	possible	to	achieve	impressive	results	with	unsupervised	
learning	(see,	for	example,	Google	DeepMind's	Deep	Q-learning	playing	Atari	
Breakout).	
Knowledge	 Although	automated	Knowledge	Discovery	and	unsupervised	Machine	Learning	
Previous AI Generation Innovations and technological developments during the AI Winter Cognitive Computing Era
Over one million fold increase in computing power and many more in storage and data
Big Data Analytics
Natural Language Processing
Machine Learning
Decision Science
Knowledge Representation
Human-Machine Interaction
Perceptron Dynamic Learning
DBMS
Decision Trees
Data Mining Knowledge Discovery
Watson
Support Vector Machines
Emotion Detection
Eliza
Data Science
Siri
Expert Systems
Deep LearningNeural Networks
Early Machine
Translation
Frames OntologySemantic Networks Semantic Web
Decision Support Systems Trade-off Analysis
GUI Augmented RealityData Visualisation Gesture Recognition
Cognitive Computing
Game Theory
DRAFT	-	Cognitive	Computing	–	A	Fad	or	Game	Changer	-	DRAFT	
Cognitive	Computing	-	v1.3.docx	 Feb	2016	 	 3	of	4	
Area	 Progress	and	impact	
Representation	 can	be	used	to	develop	sophisticated	intelligent	systems,	many	aspects	of	what	is	
referred	to	as	Cognitive	Systems	require	explicit	representation	and	manipulation	
of	concepts	that	inter-relate	within	a	Sematic	Network	or	an	Ontology.	Knowledge	
Representation	has	its	roots	in	early	phases	of	AI	and	had	its	share	of	hype	in	the	
era	of	the	Semantic	Web	where	dreams	of	a	fully	machine	navigated	web	were	
alive.	Although	this	was	another	example	of	hype,	we	have	made	significant	
advances	in	encoding	knowledge	and	processing	it	using	open	frameworks.	
Decision	
Science	
One	of	the	most	known	type	of	solutions	from	earlier	phases	of	AI	are	Expert	
Systems.	These	systems	emulated	decision	making	of	experts	using	Rule-based	
System.	Some	of	these	systems	(such	as	Mycin	or	Mortgage	Loan	Adviser)	were	
highly	successful	but	their	early	impressive	results	did	not	scale	and	could	not	be	
duplicated	in	other	areas.	Now	Decision	Science	captures	many	of	the	
developments	in	decision	making	field	from	Game	Theory	to	Trade-off	Analysis.	
Natural	
Language	
Processing		
Perhaps	the	most	recognised	aspect	of	Cognitive	Systems	is	their	ability	to	interact	
using	natural	language.	Early	NLP	systems	such	as	Eliza	achieved	their	ability	using	
relatively	simple	psychological	rules	and	phrase	repetition.	We	now	have	systems	
(such	as	Siri	or	Google	Now)	that	combine	Speech	Recognition	with	NLP	to	sound	
life-like.	However,	their	field	of	interaction	is	still	very	limited.	IBM	Watson	
demonstrates	a	deeper	level	of	understanding	but	it	is	still	limited	to	a	specific	
domain.	
Human-
Machine	
Interaction	
Although	natural	language	is	one	of	the	key	mediums	for	Human-Machine	
Interaction,	it	is	not	necessarily	the	only	or	even	the	most	effective	one	in	some	
domains.	The	ability	of	Cognitive	Systems	to	recognise	and	communicate	using	
images	can	be	crucial	in	some	applications.	Speech	and	Gesture	Recognition	are	
also	very	effective	in	cognitive	mobile	applications.				
Computing	
Power,	storage	
and	data	
There	is	no	doubt	that	the	great	developments	in	the	above	fields	will	provide	the	
new	generation	of	Cognitive	Systems	with	an	immense	leap	in	capabilities	from	
earlier	AI	systems.	However,	perhaps	the	most	impactful	development	is	simply	in	
brute	force.	The	million-fold	increase	in	computing	power,	storage	affordability	and	
availability	of	data	have	made	previously	theoretical	computation	possible	on	
standard	hardware.	Algorithms	that	needed	hours	can	now	provide	instantaneous	
response.		
	
Note	that	not	each	Cognitive	Solution	will	include	all	these	capabilities.	Conversely,	a	
solution	may	include	other	capabilities	not	listed	above	(some	may	not	have	been	
discovered	yet).	It	is	also	obvious	that	many	other	technologies	(such	as	Service	
Oriented	Architecture)	that	may	be	described	as	‘legacy’	in	contrast	with	the	above	
leading-edge	technologies	are	still	relevant	and	are	likely	to	be	part	of	any	Cognitive	
Solution.		
The	verdict	
	
We	are	still	early	in	development	of	Cognitive	Computing.	There	is	no	doubt	that	
Cognitive	Computing	seen	as	an	amalgamation	of	the	above	technologies	provide	
capabilities	that,	if	applied	correctly,	can	be	used	to	develop	new	classes	of	business	
and	consumer	solutions.	The	key	characteristics	of	these	Cognitive	Solutions	are:	
• They	can	learn	in	both	supervised	and	supervised	manner;		
• They	can	access	and	leverage	vast	amount	of	structured	and	unstructured	
data;	and	
• They	can	interact	naturally	and	effectively	with	humans.
DRAFT	-	Cognitive	Computing	–	A	Fad	or	Game	Changer	-	DRAFT	
Cognitive	Computing	-	v1.3.docx	 Feb	2016	 	 4	of	4	
These	systems	can	revolutionise	many	industries,	the	economy	and	life	in	general.	If	
short,	they	can	be	indeed	a	game	changer.		
	
However,	to	make	this	possible,	we	need	to	learn	from	our	mistakes	in	the	previous	
generation	of	AI.	We	need	to	be	realistic	about	our	expectations	and	to	take	an	
evolutionary	approach	in	applying	these	technologies.	Perhaps	more	importantly,	we	
should	apply	what	we	have	learned	in	the	fields	of	Software	Engineering	and	
Solution	Architecture:	namely,	that	new	technologies	do	not	magically	help	unless	
they	fit	the	situation	at	hand	and	are	applied	correctly.	We	need	to	understand	these	
new	capabilities	and	discover	how	they	can	be	incorporated	in	a	cohesive	
architecture	to	enable	the	effective	design,	implementation,	use	and	maintenance	of	
Cognitive	Solutions.	
Towards	Cognitive	Solution	Architecture	
A	Cognitive	Solution	Architecture	discipline	is	needed	to	develop	a	set	of	principles,	
guidelines	and	best	practices	for	positioning,	planning	and	implementing	these	
solutions.	Some	of	the	questions	that	this	discipline	should	address	include:	
• What	business	problems	can	we	address	using	Cognitive	Computing?	
• How	do	we	go	about	scoping,	estimating	and	planning	Cognitive	Solutions?	
• What	skills	are	needed	to	develop	such	solutions?	
• How	can	we	create	solutions	that	are	scalable,	manageable	and	
maintainable?	
• How	can	we	develop	reusable	cognitive	components?	
	
Of	course,	this	is	an	initial	partial	list.	We	should	expand	it	and	begin	to	outline	our	
learnings	from	experience	in	implementing	Cognitive	Solutions.	
	
Feedback,	please!	
	
I	would	be	very	interested	in	your	views	on	Cognitive	Computing,	its	value	and	how	
you	think	it	can	be	used	to	solve	problems	in	your	domain.

More Related Content

Similar to Cognitive computing: Fad or Game Changer - The Skeptics Guide

Getting started-with-artificial-intelligence-a-practical-guide-to-building-en...
Getting started-with-artificial-intelligence-a-practical-guide-to-building-en...Getting started-with-artificial-intelligence-a-practical-guide-to-building-en...
Getting started-with-artificial-intelligence-a-practical-guide-to-building-en...IBM HongKong
 
Commercialization of AI 3.0
Commercialization of AI 3.0Commercialization of AI 3.0
Commercialization of AI 3.0APPANION
 
Artificial Intelligence- What Is It.pdf
Artificial Intelligence- What Is It.pdfArtificial Intelligence- What Is It.pdf
Artificial Intelligence- What Is It.pdfyamunaNMH
 
deloitte-nl-data-analytics-artificial-intelligence-whitepaper-eng.pdf
deloitte-nl-data-analytics-artificial-intelligence-whitepaper-eng.pdfdeloitte-nl-data-analytics-artificial-intelligence-whitepaper-eng.pdf
deloitte-nl-data-analytics-artificial-intelligence-whitepaper-eng.pdfDHARANIPRIYA54
 
How can business professionals succeed in a future with AI
How can business professionals succeed in a future with AIHow can business professionals succeed in a future with AI
How can business professionals succeed in a future with AISemir Jahic
 
How can business professionals succeed in a future with AI
How can business professionals succeed in a future with AIHow can business professionals succeed in a future with AI
How can business professionals succeed in a future with AISemir Jahic
 
Hype vs. Reality: The AI Explainer
Hype vs. Reality: The AI ExplainerHype vs. Reality: The AI Explainer
Hype vs. Reality: The AI ExplainerLuminary Labs
 
Allaboutailuminarylabsjanuary122017 170112151616
Allaboutailuminarylabsjanuary122017 170112151616Allaboutailuminarylabsjanuary122017 170112151616
Allaboutailuminarylabsjanuary122017 170112151616Quang Lê
 
What is Artificial Intelligence? : Everything You Need to Know about AI
What is Artificial Intelligence? : Everything You Need to Know about AIWhat is Artificial Intelligence? : Everything You Need to Know about AI
What is Artificial Intelligence? : Everything You Need to Know about AIDashTechnologiesInc
 
Artificial Intelligence Vs Machine Learning Vs Deep Learning
Artificial Intelligence Vs Machine Learning Vs Deep LearningArtificial Intelligence Vs Machine Learning Vs Deep Learning
Artificial Intelligence Vs Machine Learning Vs Deep Learningvenkatvajradhar1
 
AI3391 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Unit I notes.pdf
AI3391 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Unit I notes.pdfAI3391 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Unit I notes.pdf
AI3391 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Unit I notes.pdfAsst.prof M.Gokilavani
 
Engineering Applications of Machine Learning
Engineering Applications of Machine LearningEngineering Applications of Machine Learning
Engineering Applications of Machine LearningProf. Neeta Awasthy
 
ArtificialIntelligenceDefinitionEthicsandStandards.docx
ArtificialIntelligenceDefinitionEthicsandStandards.docxArtificialIntelligenceDefinitionEthicsandStandards.docx
ArtificialIntelligenceDefinitionEthicsandStandards.docxDiaaDahir
 

Similar to Cognitive computing: Fad or Game Changer - The Skeptics Guide (20)

AI101 guide
AI101 guideAI101 guide
AI101 guide
 
AI101 Guide
AI101 GuideAI101 Guide
AI101 Guide
 
Getting started-with-artificial-intelligence-a-practical-guide-to-building-en...
Getting started-with-artificial-intelligence-a-practical-guide-to-building-en...Getting started-with-artificial-intelligence-a-practical-guide-to-building-en...
Getting started-with-artificial-intelligence-a-practical-guide-to-building-en...
 
Commercialization of AI 3.0
Commercialization of AI 3.0Commercialization of AI 3.0
Commercialization of AI 3.0
 
AI WORLD.docx
AI WORLD.docxAI WORLD.docx
AI WORLD.docx
 
AI WORLD
AI WORLDAI WORLD
AI WORLD
 
Artificial Intelligence- What Is It.pdf
Artificial Intelligence- What Is It.pdfArtificial Intelligence- What Is It.pdf
Artificial Intelligence- What Is It.pdf
 
deloitte-nl-data-analytics-artificial-intelligence-whitepaper-eng.pdf
deloitte-nl-data-analytics-artificial-intelligence-whitepaper-eng.pdfdeloitte-nl-data-analytics-artificial-intelligence-whitepaper-eng.pdf
deloitte-nl-data-analytics-artificial-intelligence-whitepaper-eng.pdf
 
How can business professionals succeed in a future with AI
How can business professionals succeed in a future with AIHow can business professionals succeed in a future with AI
How can business professionals succeed in a future with AI
 
How can business professionals succeed in a future with AI
How can business professionals succeed in a future with AIHow can business professionals succeed in a future with AI
How can business professionals succeed in a future with AI
 
What is AI
What is AIWhat is AI
What is AI
 
About Machine and real
About Machine and realAbout Machine and real
About Machine and real
 
Hype vs. Reality: The AI Explainer
Hype vs. Reality: The AI ExplainerHype vs. Reality: The AI Explainer
Hype vs. Reality: The AI Explainer
 
Allaboutailuminarylabsjanuary122017 170112151616
Allaboutailuminarylabsjanuary122017 170112151616Allaboutailuminarylabsjanuary122017 170112151616
Allaboutailuminarylabsjanuary122017 170112151616
 
What is Artificial Intelligence? : Everything You Need to Know about AI
What is Artificial Intelligence? : Everything You Need to Know about AIWhat is Artificial Intelligence? : Everything You Need to Know about AI
What is Artificial Intelligence? : Everything You Need to Know about AI
 
Artificial Intelligence Vs Machine Learning Vs Deep Learning
Artificial Intelligence Vs Machine Learning Vs Deep LearningArtificial Intelligence Vs Machine Learning Vs Deep Learning
Artificial Intelligence Vs Machine Learning Vs Deep Learning
 
AI3391 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Unit I notes.pdf
AI3391 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Unit I notes.pdfAI3391 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Unit I notes.pdf
AI3391 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Unit I notes.pdf
 
AI Manifesto
AI Manifesto AI Manifesto
AI Manifesto
 
Engineering Applications of Machine Learning
Engineering Applications of Machine LearningEngineering Applications of Machine Learning
Engineering Applications of Machine Learning
 
ArtificialIntelligenceDefinitionEthicsandStandards.docx
ArtificialIntelligenceDefinitionEthicsandStandards.docxArtificialIntelligenceDefinitionEthicsandStandards.docx
ArtificialIntelligenceDefinitionEthicsandStandards.docx
 

Recently uploaded

Recruitment Management Software Benefits (Infographic)
Recruitment Management Software Benefits (Infographic)Recruitment Management Software Benefits (Infographic)
Recruitment Management Software Benefits (Infographic)Hr365.us smith
 
Unveiling Design Patterns: A Visual Guide with UML Diagrams
Unveiling Design Patterns: A Visual Guide with UML DiagramsUnveiling Design Patterns: A Visual Guide with UML Diagrams
Unveiling Design Patterns: A Visual Guide with UML DiagramsAhmed Mohamed
 
What is Advanced Excel and what are some best practices for designing and cre...
What is Advanced Excel and what are some best practices for designing and cre...What is Advanced Excel and what are some best practices for designing and cre...
What is Advanced Excel and what are some best practices for designing and cre...Technogeeks
 
MYjobs Presentation Django-based project
MYjobs Presentation Django-based projectMYjobs Presentation Django-based project
MYjobs Presentation Django-based projectAnoyGreter
 
Catch the Wave: SAP Event-Driven and Data Streaming for the Intelligence Ente...
Catch the Wave: SAP Event-Driven and Data Streaming for the Intelligence Ente...Catch the Wave: SAP Event-Driven and Data Streaming for the Intelligence Ente...
Catch the Wave: SAP Event-Driven and Data Streaming for the Intelligence Ente...confluent
 
CRM Contender Series: HubSpot vs. Salesforce
CRM Contender Series: HubSpot vs. SalesforceCRM Contender Series: HubSpot vs. Salesforce
CRM Contender Series: HubSpot vs. SalesforceBrainSell Technologies
 
React Server Component in Next.js by Hanief Utama
React Server Component in Next.js by Hanief UtamaReact Server Component in Next.js by Hanief Utama
React Server Component in Next.js by Hanief UtamaHanief Utama
 
Alluxio Monthly Webinar | Cloud-Native Model Training on Distributed Data
Alluxio Monthly Webinar | Cloud-Native Model Training on Distributed DataAlluxio Monthly Webinar | Cloud-Native Model Training on Distributed Data
Alluxio Monthly Webinar | Cloud-Native Model Training on Distributed DataAlluxio, Inc.
 
Ahmed Motair CV April 2024 (Senior SW Developer)
Ahmed Motair CV April 2024 (Senior SW Developer)Ahmed Motair CV April 2024 (Senior SW Developer)
Ahmed Motair CV April 2024 (Senior SW Developer)Ahmed Mater
 
BATTLEFIELD ORM: TIPS, TACTICS AND STRATEGIES FOR CONQUERING YOUR DATABASE
BATTLEFIELD ORM: TIPS, TACTICS AND STRATEGIES FOR CONQUERING YOUR DATABASEBATTLEFIELD ORM: TIPS, TACTICS AND STRATEGIES FOR CONQUERING YOUR DATABASE
BATTLEFIELD ORM: TIPS, TACTICS AND STRATEGIES FOR CONQUERING YOUR DATABASEOrtus Solutions, Corp
 
Open Source Summit NA 2024: Open Source Cloud Costs - OpenCost's Impact on En...
Open Source Summit NA 2024: Open Source Cloud Costs - OpenCost's Impact on En...Open Source Summit NA 2024: Open Source Cloud Costs - OpenCost's Impact on En...
Open Source Summit NA 2024: Open Source Cloud Costs - OpenCost's Impact on En...Matt Ray
 
PREDICTING RIVER WATER QUALITY ppt presentation
PREDICTING  RIVER  WATER QUALITY  ppt presentationPREDICTING  RIVER  WATER QUALITY  ppt presentation
PREDICTING RIVER WATER QUALITY ppt presentationvaddepallysandeep122
 
Call Us🔝>༒+91-9711147426⇛Call In girls karol bagh (Delhi)
Call Us🔝>༒+91-9711147426⇛Call In girls karol bagh (Delhi)Call Us🔝>༒+91-9711147426⇛Call In girls karol bagh (Delhi)
Call Us🔝>༒+91-9711147426⇛Call In girls karol bagh (Delhi)jennyeacort
 
KnowAPIs-UnknownPerf-jaxMainz-2024 (1).pptx
KnowAPIs-UnknownPerf-jaxMainz-2024 (1).pptxKnowAPIs-UnknownPerf-jaxMainz-2024 (1).pptx
KnowAPIs-UnknownPerf-jaxMainz-2024 (1).pptxTier1 app
 
SpotFlow: Tracking Method Calls and States at Runtime
SpotFlow: Tracking Method Calls and States at RuntimeSpotFlow: Tracking Method Calls and States at Runtime
SpotFlow: Tracking Method Calls and States at Runtimeandrehoraa
 
Cloud Data Center Network Construction - IEEE
Cloud Data Center Network Construction - IEEECloud Data Center Network Construction - IEEE
Cloud Data Center Network Construction - IEEEVICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ
 
Balasore Best It Company|| Top 10 IT Company || Balasore Software company Odisha
Balasore Best It Company|| Top 10 IT Company || Balasore Software company OdishaBalasore Best It Company|| Top 10 IT Company || Balasore Software company Odisha
Balasore Best It Company|| Top 10 IT Company || Balasore Software company Odishasmiwainfosol
 
Taming Distributed Systems: Key Insights from Wix's Large-Scale Experience - ...
Taming Distributed Systems: Key Insights from Wix's Large-Scale Experience - ...Taming Distributed Systems: Key Insights from Wix's Large-Scale Experience - ...
Taming Distributed Systems: Key Insights from Wix's Large-Scale Experience - ...Natan Silnitsky
 
Tech Tuesday - Mastering Time Management Unlock the Power of OnePlan's Timesh...
Tech Tuesday - Mastering Time Management Unlock the Power of OnePlan's Timesh...Tech Tuesday - Mastering Time Management Unlock the Power of OnePlan's Timesh...
Tech Tuesday - Mastering Time Management Unlock the Power of OnePlan's Timesh...OnePlan Solutions
 
What are the key points to focus on before starting to learn ETL Development....
What are the key points to focus on before starting to learn ETL Development....What are the key points to focus on before starting to learn ETL Development....
What are the key points to focus on before starting to learn ETL Development....kzayra69
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Recruitment Management Software Benefits (Infographic)
Recruitment Management Software Benefits (Infographic)Recruitment Management Software Benefits (Infographic)
Recruitment Management Software Benefits (Infographic)
 
Unveiling Design Patterns: A Visual Guide with UML Diagrams
Unveiling Design Patterns: A Visual Guide with UML DiagramsUnveiling Design Patterns: A Visual Guide with UML Diagrams
Unveiling Design Patterns: A Visual Guide with UML Diagrams
 
What is Advanced Excel and what are some best practices for designing and cre...
What is Advanced Excel and what are some best practices for designing and cre...What is Advanced Excel and what are some best practices for designing and cre...
What is Advanced Excel and what are some best practices for designing and cre...
 
MYjobs Presentation Django-based project
MYjobs Presentation Django-based projectMYjobs Presentation Django-based project
MYjobs Presentation Django-based project
 
Catch the Wave: SAP Event-Driven and Data Streaming for the Intelligence Ente...
Catch the Wave: SAP Event-Driven and Data Streaming for the Intelligence Ente...Catch the Wave: SAP Event-Driven and Data Streaming for the Intelligence Ente...
Catch the Wave: SAP Event-Driven and Data Streaming for the Intelligence Ente...
 
CRM Contender Series: HubSpot vs. Salesforce
CRM Contender Series: HubSpot vs. SalesforceCRM Contender Series: HubSpot vs. Salesforce
CRM Contender Series: HubSpot vs. Salesforce
 
React Server Component in Next.js by Hanief Utama
React Server Component in Next.js by Hanief UtamaReact Server Component in Next.js by Hanief Utama
React Server Component in Next.js by Hanief Utama
 
Alluxio Monthly Webinar | Cloud-Native Model Training on Distributed Data
Alluxio Monthly Webinar | Cloud-Native Model Training on Distributed DataAlluxio Monthly Webinar | Cloud-Native Model Training on Distributed Data
Alluxio Monthly Webinar | Cloud-Native Model Training on Distributed Data
 
Ahmed Motair CV April 2024 (Senior SW Developer)
Ahmed Motair CV April 2024 (Senior SW Developer)Ahmed Motair CV April 2024 (Senior SW Developer)
Ahmed Motair CV April 2024 (Senior SW Developer)
 
BATTLEFIELD ORM: TIPS, TACTICS AND STRATEGIES FOR CONQUERING YOUR DATABASE
BATTLEFIELD ORM: TIPS, TACTICS AND STRATEGIES FOR CONQUERING YOUR DATABASEBATTLEFIELD ORM: TIPS, TACTICS AND STRATEGIES FOR CONQUERING YOUR DATABASE
BATTLEFIELD ORM: TIPS, TACTICS AND STRATEGIES FOR CONQUERING YOUR DATABASE
 
Open Source Summit NA 2024: Open Source Cloud Costs - OpenCost's Impact on En...
Open Source Summit NA 2024: Open Source Cloud Costs - OpenCost's Impact on En...Open Source Summit NA 2024: Open Source Cloud Costs - OpenCost's Impact on En...
Open Source Summit NA 2024: Open Source Cloud Costs - OpenCost's Impact on En...
 
PREDICTING RIVER WATER QUALITY ppt presentation
PREDICTING  RIVER  WATER QUALITY  ppt presentationPREDICTING  RIVER  WATER QUALITY  ppt presentation
PREDICTING RIVER WATER QUALITY ppt presentation
 
Call Us🔝>༒+91-9711147426⇛Call In girls karol bagh (Delhi)
Call Us🔝>༒+91-9711147426⇛Call In girls karol bagh (Delhi)Call Us🔝>༒+91-9711147426⇛Call In girls karol bagh (Delhi)
Call Us🔝>༒+91-9711147426⇛Call In girls karol bagh (Delhi)
 
KnowAPIs-UnknownPerf-jaxMainz-2024 (1).pptx
KnowAPIs-UnknownPerf-jaxMainz-2024 (1).pptxKnowAPIs-UnknownPerf-jaxMainz-2024 (1).pptx
KnowAPIs-UnknownPerf-jaxMainz-2024 (1).pptx
 
SpotFlow: Tracking Method Calls and States at Runtime
SpotFlow: Tracking Method Calls and States at RuntimeSpotFlow: Tracking Method Calls and States at Runtime
SpotFlow: Tracking Method Calls and States at Runtime
 
Cloud Data Center Network Construction - IEEE
Cloud Data Center Network Construction - IEEECloud Data Center Network Construction - IEEE
Cloud Data Center Network Construction - IEEE
 
Balasore Best It Company|| Top 10 IT Company || Balasore Software company Odisha
Balasore Best It Company|| Top 10 IT Company || Balasore Software company OdishaBalasore Best It Company|| Top 10 IT Company || Balasore Software company Odisha
Balasore Best It Company|| Top 10 IT Company || Balasore Software company Odisha
 
Taming Distributed Systems: Key Insights from Wix's Large-Scale Experience - ...
Taming Distributed Systems: Key Insights from Wix's Large-Scale Experience - ...Taming Distributed Systems: Key Insights from Wix's Large-Scale Experience - ...
Taming Distributed Systems: Key Insights from Wix's Large-Scale Experience - ...
 
Tech Tuesday - Mastering Time Management Unlock the Power of OnePlan's Timesh...
Tech Tuesday - Mastering Time Management Unlock the Power of OnePlan's Timesh...Tech Tuesday - Mastering Time Management Unlock the Power of OnePlan's Timesh...
Tech Tuesday - Mastering Time Management Unlock the Power of OnePlan's Timesh...
 
What are the key points to focus on before starting to learn ETL Development....
What are the key points to focus on before starting to learn ETL Development....What are the key points to focus on before starting to learn ETL Development....
What are the key points to focus on before starting to learn ETL Development....
 

Cognitive computing: Fad or Game Changer - The Skeptics Guide

  • 1. DRAFT - Cognitive Computing – A Fad or Game Changer - DRAFT Cognitive Computing - v1.3.docx Feb 2016 1 of 4 Cognitive Computing: A Fad or Game Changer? The Skeptics Guide Ahmed Fattah Analytics Architect Sydney, Australia As an IT Solution Architect, I am skeptical of any over-hyped technologies or so- called silver bullets. Recent buzz in the IT press indicates that Cognitive Computing belongs to this category. As a practitioner in the previous generation of Artificial Intelligence (AI), I know what happens after the over-hype … a trough of disillusionment. If we want to avoid another AI Winter, we should heed the lessons from the previous AI era. Some of these lessons are: avoid the hype, manage expectations and ensure sustainable deployment. This article tries to sidestep the hype and uncover what is Cognitive Computing from a practitioner’s point of view and how it differs from the previous generation of AI. The focus is not on the theoretical aspects of AI but on the practical perspective required to apply Cognitive Computing on real-life problems. However, from experience, I know that some of the theoretical questions (such as can a machine really think?) cannot be completely avoided. Definition and differences from previous AI Cognitive Computing is defined by some as “the simulation of human thought processes in a computerised model”. Such definitions worry me because they sound very similar to statements from the first generation of AI. They do not tell us much and hang on aspiration of a long-held desire to duplicate human abilities. Other definitions progress our understanding (but not far enough). They define systems that are powered by Cognitive Computing as “systems that learn at scale, reason with purpose and interact with humans naturally”. Yet other definitions add Adaptive, Interactive, Iterative and Contextual to this list. These characteristics, no doubt, are highly desirable but do not tell us how Cognitive Computing achieves them. They do not help in deciding if we should use Cognitive Computing to solve a given problem or how we go about architecting the solution. To answer these questions, we need to look a bit deeper and understand the components of Cognitive Computing. From a Solution Architecture perspective, I think, we should simply think of Cognitive Computing as an amalgamation of well-established technologies such as Big Data Analytics, Machine Learning and Natural Language Processing that can be applied as needed and combined with other ‘legacy’ technologies to develop effective business solution.
  • 2. DRAFT - Cognitive Computing – A Fad or Game Changer - DRAFT Cognitive Computing - v1.3.docx Feb 2016 2 of 4 Figure 1 below shows a longer, yet not a exhaustive, list of the technologies and associated developments that differentiate Cognitive Computing from the previous generation of AI. Note that these fields overlap and feed one another. For example, Machine Learning techniques are used for Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery in Big Data Analytics; and Natural Language Processing (NLP) is used for a more effective Machine-Human Interaction. Figure 1: Innovations and technological developments that differentiate Cognitive Computing from the previous AI generation. The following table shows how each of these developments has progressed and how they can contribute to Cognitive Solutions. Area Progress and impact Big Data Analytics Among all the above innovations, Big Data Analytics stands out as the key differentiator from previous AI systems. As James Kobielus stated, Cognitive Computing is simply “AI that feeds on big data”. Here lays the crucial difference: in the previous generation of AI we captured knowledge from human experts and coded them by hand. Now we can ‘discover’ knowledge (at least, a significant portion of it) from the huge volume of available data (structured and unstructured). Machine Learning Although many of the Machine Learning techniques have been around since early phases of AI, the huge increase in computing power is making a substantial impact on the practicality of these techniques. There have also been many developments in combining and advancing these techniques. In particular, recent progress in Deep Learning made it possible to achieve impressive results with unsupervised learning (see, for example, Google DeepMind's Deep Q-learning playing Atari Breakout). Knowledge Although automated Knowledge Discovery and unsupervised Machine Learning Previous AI Generation Innovations and technological developments during the AI Winter Cognitive Computing Era Over one million fold increase in computing power and many more in storage and data Big Data Analytics Natural Language Processing Machine Learning Decision Science Knowledge Representation Human-Machine Interaction Perceptron Dynamic Learning DBMS Decision Trees Data Mining Knowledge Discovery Watson Support Vector Machines Emotion Detection Eliza Data Science Siri Expert Systems Deep LearningNeural Networks Early Machine Translation Frames OntologySemantic Networks Semantic Web Decision Support Systems Trade-off Analysis GUI Augmented RealityData Visualisation Gesture Recognition Cognitive Computing Game Theory
  • 3. DRAFT - Cognitive Computing – A Fad or Game Changer - DRAFT Cognitive Computing - v1.3.docx Feb 2016 3 of 4 Area Progress and impact Representation can be used to develop sophisticated intelligent systems, many aspects of what is referred to as Cognitive Systems require explicit representation and manipulation of concepts that inter-relate within a Sematic Network or an Ontology. Knowledge Representation has its roots in early phases of AI and had its share of hype in the era of the Semantic Web where dreams of a fully machine navigated web were alive. Although this was another example of hype, we have made significant advances in encoding knowledge and processing it using open frameworks. Decision Science One of the most known type of solutions from earlier phases of AI are Expert Systems. These systems emulated decision making of experts using Rule-based System. Some of these systems (such as Mycin or Mortgage Loan Adviser) were highly successful but their early impressive results did not scale and could not be duplicated in other areas. Now Decision Science captures many of the developments in decision making field from Game Theory to Trade-off Analysis. Natural Language Processing Perhaps the most recognised aspect of Cognitive Systems is their ability to interact using natural language. Early NLP systems such as Eliza achieved their ability using relatively simple psychological rules and phrase repetition. We now have systems (such as Siri or Google Now) that combine Speech Recognition with NLP to sound life-like. However, their field of interaction is still very limited. IBM Watson demonstrates a deeper level of understanding but it is still limited to a specific domain. Human- Machine Interaction Although natural language is one of the key mediums for Human-Machine Interaction, it is not necessarily the only or even the most effective one in some domains. The ability of Cognitive Systems to recognise and communicate using images can be crucial in some applications. Speech and Gesture Recognition are also very effective in cognitive mobile applications. Computing Power, storage and data There is no doubt that the great developments in the above fields will provide the new generation of Cognitive Systems with an immense leap in capabilities from earlier AI systems. However, perhaps the most impactful development is simply in brute force. The million-fold increase in computing power, storage affordability and availability of data have made previously theoretical computation possible on standard hardware. Algorithms that needed hours can now provide instantaneous response. Note that not each Cognitive Solution will include all these capabilities. Conversely, a solution may include other capabilities not listed above (some may not have been discovered yet). It is also obvious that many other technologies (such as Service Oriented Architecture) that may be described as ‘legacy’ in contrast with the above leading-edge technologies are still relevant and are likely to be part of any Cognitive Solution. The verdict We are still early in development of Cognitive Computing. There is no doubt that Cognitive Computing seen as an amalgamation of the above technologies provide capabilities that, if applied correctly, can be used to develop new classes of business and consumer solutions. The key characteristics of these Cognitive Solutions are: • They can learn in both supervised and supervised manner; • They can access and leverage vast amount of structured and unstructured data; and • They can interact naturally and effectively with humans.
  • 4. DRAFT - Cognitive Computing – A Fad or Game Changer - DRAFT Cognitive Computing - v1.3.docx Feb 2016 4 of 4 These systems can revolutionise many industries, the economy and life in general. If short, they can be indeed a game changer. However, to make this possible, we need to learn from our mistakes in the previous generation of AI. We need to be realistic about our expectations and to take an evolutionary approach in applying these technologies. Perhaps more importantly, we should apply what we have learned in the fields of Software Engineering and Solution Architecture: namely, that new technologies do not magically help unless they fit the situation at hand and are applied correctly. We need to understand these new capabilities and discover how they can be incorporated in a cohesive architecture to enable the effective design, implementation, use and maintenance of Cognitive Solutions. Towards Cognitive Solution Architecture A Cognitive Solution Architecture discipline is needed to develop a set of principles, guidelines and best practices for positioning, planning and implementing these solutions. Some of the questions that this discipline should address include: • What business problems can we address using Cognitive Computing? • How do we go about scoping, estimating and planning Cognitive Solutions? • What skills are needed to develop such solutions? • How can we create solutions that are scalable, manageable and maintainable? • How can we develop reusable cognitive components? Of course, this is an initial partial list. We should expand it and begin to outline our learnings from experience in implementing Cognitive Solutions. Feedback, please! I would be very interested in your views on Cognitive Computing, its value and how you think it can be used to solve problems in your domain.