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✍ MCX DAILY LEVELS
DAILY EXPIRY DATE R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4
ALUMINIUM 30 SEP 2015 117 113 109 107 105 103 101 97 93
COPPER 30 NOV 2015 371 363 355 351 347 343 339 331 323
CRUDE OIL 21 SEP 2015 3728 3467 3206 3105 2945 2844 2684 2423 2162
GOLD 05OCT 2015 2769
1
27322 26953 26788 26584 26419 26215 25846 25477
LEAD 30 SEP 2015 125 121 117 116 113 112 109 105 101
NATURAL GAS 25 SEP 2015 191 187 183 182 179 178 175 171 167
NICKEL 30 SEP 2015 749 722 695 682 668 655 641 614 587
SILVER 04 SEP 2015 3734
3
36311 35279 34858 34247 33796 33215 32183 31151
ZINC 30 SEP 2015
134
129 124 122 119 117 114 109 104
✍ MCX WEEKLY LEVELS
WEEKLY EXPIRY R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4
ALUMINIUM 30 SEP 2015 113 109 106 104 102 101 99 96 92
COPPER 30 NOV 2015 389 373 357 351 341 335 325 309 293
CRUDE OIL 21 SEP 2015 3447 3207 2967 2878 2727 2638 2487 2247 2007
GOLD 05 OCT 2015 31752 30088 28424 27351 26760 25687 25096 23432 21768
LEAD 30 SEP 2015 125 120 115 113 110 108 105 100 95
NATURAL GAS 25 SEP 2015 202 194 186 182 178 174 170 162 154
NICKEL 30 SEP 2015 795 748 701 684 654 637 607 560 513
SILVER 04 SEP 2015 43416 40427 37438 35747 34449 32758 31460 28471 25482
ZINC 30 SEP 2015 134 127 121 118 114 112 108 1014 95
✍ NCDEX DAILY LEVELS
DAILY EXPIRY
DATE
R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4
SYOREFIDR 20 OCT 2015 591 585 579 576 573 570 567 561 555
SYBEANIDR 20 OCT 2015 3259 3221 3183 3160 3145 3122 3107 3069 3031
RMSEED 18 SEP 2015 4391 4331 4271 4238 4211 4178 4151 4091 4031
JEERAUNJHA 18 SEP 2015 16770 16450 16130 15970 15810 15650 15490 15170 14850
CHANA 18 SEP 2015 5078 4981 4884 4849 4787 4752 4690 4593 4496
CASTORSEED 18 SEP 2015 4135 4109 4083 4070 4057 4044 4031 4005 3979
✍ NCDEX WEEKLY LEVELS
WEEKLY EXPIRY
DATE
R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4
SYOREFIDR 20 OCT 2015 612 598 584 578 570 564 556 542 528
SYBEANIDR 20 OCT 2015 3404 3312 3220 3179 3128 3087 3036 2944 2852
RMSEED 18 SEP 2015 4486 4405 4324 4276 4243 4195 4162 4081 4000
JEERAUNJHA 18 SEP 2015 18203 17418 16633 16171 15848 15386 15063 14278 13493
CHANA 18 SEP 2015 5354 5155 4956 4861 4757 4662 4558 4359 4160
CASTORSEED 18 SEP 2015 4370 4263 4156 4108 4049 4001 3942 3835 3728
MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
INTERNATIONAL NEWS
✍ Gold
Gold prices rose 0.79% to Rs 26,671 per 10 grammes in futures trade on friday as speculators
created fresh positions, taking positive cues from global markets.At the Multi Commodity
Exchange, gold for delivery in far-month December was up by Rs 209, or 0.79% to Rs 26,671
per 10 gm in a business turnover of eight lots.The metal for delivery in October moved up by
Rs 202 or 0.77% to Rs 26,480 per 10 gm in a turnover of 216 lots.Market analysts said rise in
the precious metal in global markets as prospects dimmed as market turmoil has delayed the
Federal Reserve's plan to raise interest rates.Globally, gold climbed as much as 0.6% to
$1,131.80 an ounce in Singapore today
✍ Silver
Silver fell 1.4 per cent to hit nearly three-week low on Thursday, following weak global
demand trend.
In the spot trade here, silver fell Rs 500 to close at Rs 34,500 on Thursday, the level last seen
on August 8. In London, however, silver was trading flat to quote at $14.20.“There has been
weak silver demand from the industrial sector for over the last three–four years. But, the recent
step by the Chinese government to strengthen its economy through pumping of fresh money
into the system followed by yuan devaluation has created uncertainty for recovery in industrial
production. Silver follows base metals. Therefore, the fall in base metals has direct co-relation
with silver being nearly 66 per cent of global production finds application in various industries.
Most importantly, the US Fed’s latest statement of raising interest rate in the first quarter of
calendar 2016, has also raised doubts on the recovery on the industrial sector. So, overall global
silver consumption for industrial use is likely to remain lower, which pushes its price down.
“Also, the gold-silver ratio, the barometer for the future bullion price movement, indicates gold
price to remain firm going forward. Gold will outperform silver mainly because of weak global
economic sentiment and volatility in equity markets,” said an analyst. Gold-silver ratio
currently stands at nearly 80, the highest since economic downturn in 2008. Gold fell by 0.86%
or Rs 230 to close on Thursday at Rs 26,470 per 10gms here.Meanwhile, base metals fell
sharply to hit multi year low on the benchmark London Metal Exchange (LME) on subdued
demand from the world's largest consumer, China. Experts are eyeing a recovery in Chinese
demand on reversal in base metals prices.
✍ Zinc
Zinc futures were up 1.30% to Rs 117.15 per kg as speculators created positions amid a firming
trend in base metals overseas and better domestic demand.Zinc for delivery in August was up
by Rs 1.50, or 1.30%, to Rs 117.15 per kg, with a business turnover of 676 lots in futures
trading at the Multi Commodity Exchange.
The metal for delivery in September also rose Rs 1.50, or 1.29% to Rs 117.95 per kg, with a
business turnover of 274 lots.Marketmen said besides a firming trend at domestic spot market,
strength in base metals at the London Metal Exchange supported the upside in zinc prices at
futures trade as US economic data that beat analysts' estimates boosted the outlook for metals
demand
✍ Copper
Taking positive cues from overseas markets, copper prices moved up by 1.12% to Rs 332.80
per kg in futures trade on Thursday as speculators created fresh positions.Besides, pick up in
demand from consuming industries in the spot market supported the upside.At the Multi
Commodity Exchange, copper for delivery in August month rose by Rs 3.70, or 1.12% to Rs
332.80 per kg in business turnover of 982 lots.Similarly, the metal for delivery in far-month
November traded higher by Rs 3.05, or 0.92% to Rs 336.25 per kg in 121 lots.Analysts
attributed the rise in copper at futures trade to a firm global trend after comments from a
Federal Reserve member added to doubts about the US raising interest rates in September and
as China's stock market halted the steepest five-day rout since 1996.Meanwhile, copper for
delivery in three months traded 1.3% higher at $4,996.50 a metric tonne on the London Metal
Exchange.
✍ Crude oil
Crude oil futures rose 2.37% to Rs 2,855 per barrel on friday as speculators widened positions
amid a firm trend in Asia.
Crude oil for delivery in September month contracts traded higher by Rs 66 or 2.37% to Rs
2,855 per barrel with a business turnover of 2,228 lots in futures trading at the Multi
Commodity Exchange (MCX).The oil for delivery in far-month October also moved up by Rs
63 or 2.20% to Rs 2,925 per barrel with a business volume of 86 lots.Analysts attributed the
rise in crude oil futures to a firming trend in Asian trade today where it extended gains
following a 10% price surge in the previous session fuel-led by strong US economic
data,Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate crude for October delivery rose 52 cents at $43.08,
while Brent crude for October gained 23 cents to $47.79 in late-morning trade at the New York
Mercantile Exchange.
✍ NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
✍ Castor seed
As of August 14, the area under castor seeds has decreased 31 per cent compared to a year
earlier.According to data provided by the central government’s agriculture department, as on
August 20, sowing of castor had been carried out across 501,000 hectares, against 730,000
hectares in the corresponding period last year.Sowing of castor seeds is usually carried out in
the July-September period.In Gujarat, the commodity was sown across 304,000 hectares, down
34 per cent from 458,000 hectares a year earlier, while in Rajasthan, the area stood at 101,000
hectares, compared with 140,000 hectares in the year-ago period.
Experts say lower export demand for castor oil and higher stock positions restricted castor
prices in the domestic market, which led to a change in the sentiment towards the crop. It is
estimated as of now, India has about 500,000 tonnes of castor stock.According to data provided
by the Solvent Extractors’ Association of India (SEA), castor oil export stood at 459,374 tonnes
in 2014-15, against 472,255 tonnes in 2013-14. Export during April-May this year increased to
90,396 tonnes from 85,837 tonnes in the corresponding period last year. Traders say export
demand has gradually fallen since May.Last year, many cotton and groundnut farmers in
Gujarat had shifted to castor due to a weak monsoon. As result, the overall castor-sowing area
increased to about a million hectares from 750,000 hectares in 2013. For 2014-15, castor
production is estimated at about 1.50million tonnes.
✍ Turmeric
Turmeric prices shot up by 1.72 per cent to Rs 8,156 per quintal in futures trade on friday as
speculators widened positions, amid pick up in domestic demand and tight supplies from
producing belts.At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, turmeric for delivery in
September jumped up by Rs 128, or 1.72 per cent to Rs 8,156 per quintal with an open interest
of 21,785 lots.The October contract traded higher by Rs 122, or 1.48 per cent to Rs 8,388 per
quintal in 10,730 lots.Analysts said speculators enlarged positions, taking positive cues from
spot market following upsurge in demand against restricted supplies from producing region
mainly pushed up turmeric prices at futures trade.
✍ Refined soya oil
Refined soya oil prices were down by 0.32 per cent to Rs 567 per 10 kg in futures trade on
Friday as traders trimmed position, taking negative cues from spot market on low demand.At
National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, refined soya oil for delivery in far-month
November fell Rs 1.80, or 0.32 per cent to Rs 567 per 10 kg with an open interest of 41,750
lots.The October contract was trading lower by Rs 1.55, or 0.27 per cent to Rs 572 per 10 kg in
83,350 lots.Analysts said offloading of positions by participants amid weak trend at spot market
on sluggish demand against sufficient stocks position mainly kept pressure on refined soya oil
prices at futures trade.
✍ Chana
Chana prices closed higher 0.88 per cent on Friday at the National Commodity & Derivatives
Exchange Limited (NCDEX) as the traders enlarged their holdings in the commodity on
account of the good demand in the market. At the NCDEX, chana futures for September 2015
contract closed at Rs. 4,809 per quintal, up by 0.88 per cent, after opening at Rs. 4,771 against
the previous closing price of Rs. 4,767. It touched the intra-day high of Rs. 4,822.Moreover, the
restricted arrivals of the commodity in the physical market due to lower estimated output also
influenced the chana prices.
LEGAL DISCLAIMER
This Document has been prepared by Ways2Capital (A Division of High Brow Market
Research Investment Advisor Pvt Ltd). The information, analysis and estimates contained
herein are based on Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research assessment and have been
obtained from sources believed to be reliable. This document is meant for the use of the
intended recipient only. This document, at best, represents Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities
Research opinion and is meant for general information only. Ways2Capital
Equity/Commodities Research, its directors, officers or employees shall not in any way to be
responsible for the contents stated herein. Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research
expressly disclaims any and all liabilities that may arise from information, errors or omissions
in this connection. This document is not to be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation to
buy any securities or commodities.
All information, levels & recommendations provided above are given on the basis of technical
& fundamental research done by the panel of expert of Ways2Capital but we do not accept any
liability for errors of opinion. People surfing through the website have right to opt the product
services of their own choices.
Any investment in commodity market bears risk, company will not be liable for any loss done
on these recommendations. These levels do not necessarily indicate future price moment.
Company holds the right to alter the information without any further notice. Any browsing
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Commodity Research Report 31 august 2015 Ways2Capital

  • 1.
  • 2. ✍ MCX DAILY LEVELS DAILY EXPIRY DATE R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4 ALUMINIUM 30 SEP 2015 117 113 109 107 105 103 101 97 93 COPPER 30 NOV 2015 371 363 355 351 347 343 339 331 323 CRUDE OIL 21 SEP 2015 3728 3467 3206 3105 2945 2844 2684 2423 2162 GOLD 05OCT 2015 2769 1 27322 26953 26788 26584 26419 26215 25846 25477 LEAD 30 SEP 2015 125 121 117 116 113 112 109 105 101 NATURAL GAS 25 SEP 2015 191 187 183 182 179 178 175 171 167 NICKEL 30 SEP 2015 749 722 695 682 668 655 641 614 587 SILVER 04 SEP 2015 3734 3 36311 35279 34858 34247 33796 33215 32183 31151 ZINC 30 SEP 2015 134 129 124 122 119 117 114 109 104 ✍ MCX WEEKLY LEVELS WEEKLY EXPIRY R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4 ALUMINIUM 30 SEP 2015 113 109 106 104 102 101 99 96 92 COPPER 30 NOV 2015 389 373 357 351 341 335 325 309 293 CRUDE OIL 21 SEP 2015 3447 3207 2967 2878 2727 2638 2487 2247 2007 GOLD 05 OCT 2015 31752 30088 28424 27351 26760 25687 25096 23432 21768 LEAD 30 SEP 2015 125 120 115 113 110 108 105 100 95 NATURAL GAS 25 SEP 2015 202 194 186 182 178 174 170 162 154 NICKEL 30 SEP 2015 795 748 701 684 654 637 607 560 513 SILVER 04 SEP 2015 43416 40427 37438 35747 34449 32758 31460 28471 25482 ZINC 30 SEP 2015 134 127 121 118 114 112 108 1014 95
  • 3. ✍ NCDEX DAILY LEVELS DAILY EXPIRY DATE R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4 SYOREFIDR 20 OCT 2015 591 585 579 576 573 570 567 561 555 SYBEANIDR 20 OCT 2015 3259 3221 3183 3160 3145 3122 3107 3069 3031 RMSEED 18 SEP 2015 4391 4331 4271 4238 4211 4178 4151 4091 4031 JEERAUNJHA 18 SEP 2015 16770 16450 16130 15970 15810 15650 15490 15170 14850 CHANA 18 SEP 2015 5078 4981 4884 4849 4787 4752 4690 4593 4496 CASTORSEED 18 SEP 2015 4135 4109 4083 4070 4057 4044 4031 4005 3979 ✍ NCDEX WEEKLY LEVELS WEEKLY EXPIRY DATE R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4 SYOREFIDR 20 OCT 2015 612 598 584 578 570 564 556 542 528 SYBEANIDR 20 OCT 2015 3404 3312 3220 3179 3128 3087 3036 2944 2852 RMSEED 18 SEP 2015 4486 4405 4324 4276 4243 4195 4162 4081 4000 JEERAUNJHA 18 SEP 2015 18203 17418 16633 16171 15848 15386 15063 14278 13493 CHANA 18 SEP 2015 5354 5155 4956 4861 4757 4662 4558 4359 4160 CASTORSEED 18 SEP 2015 4370 4263 4156 4108 4049 4001 3942 3835 3728
  • 4. MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS INTERNATIONAL NEWS ✍ Gold Gold prices rose 0.79% to Rs 26,671 per 10 grammes in futures trade on friday as speculators created fresh positions, taking positive cues from global markets.At the Multi Commodity Exchange, gold for delivery in far-month December was up by Rs 209, or 0.79% to Rs 26,671 per 10 gm in a business turnover of eight lots.The metal for delivery in October moved up by Rs 202 or 0.77% to Rs 26,480 per 10 gm in a turnover of 216 lots.Market analysts said rise in the precious metal in global markets as prospects dimmed as market turmoil has delayed the Federal Reserve's plan to raise interest rates.Globally, gold climbed as much as 0.6% to $1,131.80 an ounce in Singapore today ✍ Silver Silver fell 1.4 per cent to hit nearly three-week low on Thursday, following weak global demand trend. In the spot trade here, silver fell Rs 500 to close at Rs 34,500 on Thursday, the level last seen on August 8. In London, however, silver was trading flat to quote at $14.20.“There has been weak silver demand from the industrial sector for over the last three–four years. But, the recent step by the Chinese government to strengthen its economy through pumping of fresh money into the system followed by yuan devaluation has created uncertainty for recovery in industrial production. Silver follows base metals. Therefore, the fall in base metals has direct co-relation with silver being nearly 66 per cent of global production finds application in various industries. Most importantly, the US Fed’s latest statement of raising interest rate in the first quarter of calendar 2016, has also raised doubts on the recovery on the industrial sector. So, overall global silver consumption for industrial use is likely to remain lower, which pushes its price down. “Also, the gold-silver ratio, the barometer for the future bullion price movement, indicates gold price to remain firm going forward. Gold will outperform silver mainly because of weak global economic sentiment and volatility in equity markets,” said an analyst. Gold-silver ratio currently stands at nearly 80, the highest since economic downturn in 2008. Gold fell by 0.86% or Rs 230 to close on Thursday at Rs 26,470 per 10gms here.Meanwhile, base metals fell sharply to hit multi year low on the benchmark London Metal Exchange (LME) on subdued demand from the world's largest consumer, China. Experts are eyeing a recovery in Chinese demand on reversal in base metals prices. ✍ Zinc Zinc futures were up 1.30% to Rs 117.15 per kg as speculators created positions amid a firming trend in base metals overseas and better domestic demand.Zinc for delivery in August was up
  • 5. by Rs 1.50, or 1.30%, to Rs 117.15 per kg, with a business turnover of 676 lots in futures trading at the Multi Commodity Exchange. The metal for delivery in September also rose Rs 1.50, or 1.29% to Rs 117.95 per kg, with a business turnover of 274 lots.Marketmen said besides a firming trend at domestic spot market, strength in base metals at the London Metal Exchange supported the upside in zinc prices at futures trade as US economic data that beat analysts' estimates boosted the outlook for metals demand ✍ Copper Taking positive cues from overseas markets, copper prices moved up by 1.12% to Rs 332.80 per kg in futures trade on Thursday as speculators created fresh positions.Besides, pick up in demand from consuming industries in the spot market supported the upside.At the Multi Commodity Exchange, copper for delivery in August month rose by Rs 3.70, or 1.12% to Rs 332.80 per kg in business turnover of 982 lots.Similarly, the metal for delivery in far-month November traded higher by Rs 3.05, or 0.92% to Rs 336.25 per kg in 121 lots.Analysts attributed the rise in copper at futures trade to a firm global trend after comments from a Federal Reserve member added to doubts about the US raising interest rates in September and as China's stock market halted the steepest five-day rout since 1996.Meanwhile, copper for delivery in three months traded 1.3% higher at $4,996.50 a metric tonne on the London Metal Exchange. ✍ Crude oil Crude oil futures rose 2.37% to Rs 2,855 per barrel on friday as speculators widened positions amid a firm trend in Asia. Crude oil for delivery in September month contracts traded higher by Rs 66 or 2.37% to Rs 2,855 per barrel with a business turnover of 2,228 lots in futures trading at the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX).The oil for delivery in far-month October also moved up by Rs 63 or 2.20% to Rs 2,925 per barrel with a business volume of 86 lots.Analysts attributed the rise in crude oil futures to a firming trend in Asian trade today where it extended gains following a 10% price surge in the previous session fuel-led by strong US economic data,Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate crude for October delivery rose 52 cents at $43.08, while Brent crude for October gained 23 cents to $47.79 in late-morning trade at the New York Mercantile Exchange.
  • 6. ✍ NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS ✍ Castor seed As of August 14, the area under castor seeds has decreased 31 per cent compared to a year earlier.According to data provided by the central government’s agriculture department, as on August 20, sowing of castor had been carried out across 501,000 hectares, against 730,000 hectares in the corresponding period last year.Sowing of castor seeds is usually carried out in the July-September period.In Gujarat, the commodity was sown across 304,000 hectares, down 34 per cent from 458,000 hectares a year earlier, while in Rajasthan, the area stood at 101,000 hectares, compared with 140,000 hectares in the year-ago period. Experts say lower export demand for castor oil and higher stock positions restricted castor prices in the domestic market, which led to a change in the sentiment towards the crop. It is estimated as of now, India has about 500,000 tonnes of castor stock.According to data provided by the Solvent Extractors’ Association of India (SEA), castor oil export stood at 459,374 tonnes in 2014-15, against 472,255 tonnes in 2013-14. Export during April-May this year increased to 90,396 tonnes from 85,837 tonnes in the corresponding period last year. Traders say export demand has gradually fallen since May.Last year, many cotton and groundnut farmers in Gujarat had shifted to castor due to a weak monsoon. As result, the overall castor-sowing area increased to about a million hectares from 750,000 hectares in 2013. For 2014-15, castor production is estimated at about 1.50million tonnes. ✍ Turmeric Turmeric prices shot up by 1.72 per cent to Rs 8,156 per quintal in futures trade on friday as speculators widened positions, amid pick up in domestic demand and tight supplies from producing belts.At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, turmeric for delivery in September jumped up by Rs 128, or 1.72 per cent to Rs 8,156 per quintal with an open interest of 21,785 lots.The October contract traded higher by Rs 122, or 1.48 per cent to Rs 8,388 per quintal in 10,730 lots.Analysts said speculators enlarged positions, taking positive cues from spot market following upsurge in demand against restricted supplies from producing region mainly pushed up turmeric prices at futures trade. ✍ Refined soya oil Refined soya oil prices were down by 0.32 per cent to Rs 567 per 10 kg in futures trade on Friday as traders trimmed position, taking negative cues from spot market on low demand.At National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, refined soya oil for delivery in far-month November fell Rs 1.80, or 0.32 per cent to Rs 567 per 10 kg with an open interest of 41,750 lots.The October contract was trading lower by Rs 1.55, or 0.27 per cent to Rs 572 per 10 kg in 83,350 lots.Analysts said offloading of positions by participants amid weak trend at spot market on sluggish demand against sufficient stocks position mainly kept pressure on refined soya oil
  • 7. prices at futures trade. ✍ Chana Chana prices closed higher 0.88 per cent on Friday at the National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) as the traders enlarged their holdings in the commodity on account of the good demand in the market. At the NCDEX, chana futures for September 2015 contract closed at Rs. 4,809 per quintal, up by 0.88 per cent, after opening at Rs. 4,771 against the previous closing price of Rs. 4,767. It touched the intra-day high of Rs. 4,822.Moreover, the restricted arrivals of the commodity in the physical market due to lower estimated output also influenced the chana prices.
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