Gold prices rose 0.79% to Rs 26,671 per 10 grammes in futures trade on friday as speculators created fresh positions, taking positive cues from global markets.At the Multi CommodityExchange, gold for delivery in far-month December was up by Rs 209, or 0.79% to Rs 26,671per 10 gm in a business turnover of eight lots.
4. MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
INTERNATIONAL NEWS
✍ Gold
Gold prices rose 0.79% to Rs 26,671 per 10 grammes in futures trade on friday as speculators
created fresh positions, taking positive cues from global markets.At the Multi Commodity
Exchange, gold for delivery in far-month December was up by Rs 209, or 0.79% to Rs 26,671
per 10 gm in a business turnover of eight lots.The metal for delivery in October moved up by
Rs 202 or 0.77% to Rs 26,480 per 10 gm in a turnover of 216 lots.Market analysts said rise in
the precious metal in global markets as prospects dimmed as market turmoil has delayed the
Federal Reserve's plan to raise interest rates.Globally, gold climbed as much as 0.6% to
$1,131.80 an ounce in Singapore today
✍ Silver
Silver fell 1.4 per cent to hit nearly three-week low on Thursday, following weak global
demand trend.
In the spot trade here, silver fell Rs 500 to close at Rs 34,500 on Thursday, the level last seen
on August 8. In London, however, silver was trading flat to quote at $14.20.“There has been
weak silver demand from the industrial sector for over the last three–four years. But, the recent
step by the Chinese government to strengthen its economy through pumping of fresh money
into the system followed by yuan devaluation has created uncertainty for recovery in industrial
production. Silver follows base metals. Therefore, the fall in base metals has direct co-relation
with silver being nearly 66 per cent of global production finds application in various industries.
Most importantly, the US Fed’s latest statement of raising interest rate in the first quarter of
calendar 2016, has also raised doubts on the recovery on the industrial sector. So, overall global
silver consumption for industrial use is likely to remain lower, which pushes its price down.
“Also, the gold-silver ratio, the barometer for the future bullion price movement, indicates gold
price to remain firm going forward. Gold will outperform silver mainly because of weak global
economic sentiment and volatility in equity markets,” said an analyst. Gold-silver ratio
currently stands at nearly 80, the highest since economic downturn in 2008. Gold fell by 0.86%
or Rs 230 to close on Thursday at Rs 26,470 per 10gms here.Meanwhile, base metals fell
sharply to hit multi year low on the benchmark London Metal Exchange (LME) on subdued
demand from the world's largest consumer, China. Experts are eyeing a recovery in Chinese
demand on reversal in base metals prices.
✍ Zinc
Zinc futures were up 1.30% to Rs 117.15 per kg as speculators created positions amid a firming
trend in base metals overseas and better domestic demand.Zinc for delivery in August was up
5. by Rs 1.50, or 1.30%, to Rs 117.15 per kg, with a business turnover of 676 lots in futures
trading at the Multi Commodity Exchange.
The metal for delivery in September also rose Rs 1.50, or 1.29% to Rs 117.95 per kg, with a
business turnover of 274 lots.Marketmen said besides a firming trend at domestic spot market,
strength in base metals at the London Metal Exchange supported the upside in zinc prices at
futures trade as US economic data that beat analysts' estimates boosted the outlook for metals
demand
✍ Copper
Taking positive cues from overseas markets, copper prices moved up by 1.12% to Rs 332.80
per kg in futures trade on Thursday as speculators created fresh positions.Besides, pick up in
demand from consuming industries in the spot market supported the upside.At the Multi
Commodity Exchange, copper for delivery in August month rose by Rs 3.70, or 1.12% to Rs
332.80 per kg in business turnover of 982 lots.Similarly, the metal for delivery in far-month
November traded higher by Rs 3.05, or 0.92% to Rs 336.25 per kg in 121 lots.Analysts
attributed the rise in copper at futures trade to a firm global trend after comments from a
Federal Reserve member added to doubts about the US raising interest rates in September and
as China's stock market halted the steepest five-day rout since 1996.Meanwhile, copper for
delivery in three months traded 1.3% higher at $4,996.50 a metric tonne on the London Metal
Exchange.
✍ Crude oil
Crude oil futures rose 2.37% to Rs 2,855 per barrel on friday as speculators widened positions
amid a firm trend in Asia.
Crude oil for delivery in September month contracts traded higher by Rs 66 or 2.37% to Rs
2,855 per barrel with a business turnover of 2,228 lots in futures trading at the Multi
Commodity Exchange (MCX).The oil for delivery in far-month October also moved up by Rs
63 or 2.20% to Rs 2,925 per barrel with a business volume of 86 lots.Analysts attributed the
rise in crude oil futures to a firming trend in Asian trade today where it extended gains
following a 10% price surge in the previous session fuel-led by strong US economic
data,Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate crude for October delivery rose 52 cents at $43.08,
while Brent crude for October gained 23 cents to $47.79 in late-morning trade at the New York
Mercantile Exchange.
6. ✍ NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
✍ Castor seed
As of August 14, the area under castor seeds has decreased 31 per cent compared to a year
earlier.According to data provided by the central government’s agriculture department, as on
August 20, sowing of castor had been carried out across 501,000 hectares, against 730,000
hectares in the corresponding period last year.Sowing of castor seeds is usually carried out in
the July-September period.In Gujarat, the commodity was sown across 304,000 hectares, down
34 per cent from 458,000 hectares a year earlier, while in Rajasthan, the area stood at 101,000
hectares, compared with 140,000 hectares in the year-ago period.
Experts say lower export demand for castor oil and higher stock positions restricted castor
prices in the domestic market, which led to a change in the sentiment towards the crop. It is
estimated as of now, India has about 500,000 tonnes of castor stock.According to data provided
by the Solvent Extractors’ Association of India (SEA), castor oil export stood at 459,374 tonnes
in 2014-15, against 472,255 tonnes in 2013-14. Export during April-May this year increased to
90,396 tonnes from 85,837 tonnes in the corresponding period last year. Traders say export
demand has gradually fallen since May.Last year, many cotton and groundnut farmers in
Gujarat had shifted to castor due to a weak monsoon. As result, the overall castor-sowing area
increased to about a million hectares from 750,000 hectares in 2013. For 2014-15, castor
production is estimated at about 1.50million tonnes.
✍ Turmeric
Turmeric prices shot up by 1.72 per cent to Rs 8,156 per quintal in futures trade on friday as
speculators widened positions, amid pick up in domestic demand and tight supplies from
producing belts.At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, turmeric for delivery in
September jumped up by Rs 128, or 1.72 per cent to Rs 8,156 per quintal with an open interest
of 21,785 lots.The October contract traded higher by Rs 122, or 1.48 per cent to Rs 8,388 per
quintal in 10,730 lots.Analysts said speculators enlarged positions, taking positive cues from
spot market following upsurge in demand against restricted supplies from producing region
mainly pushed up turmeric prices at futures trade.
✍ Refined soya oil
Refined soya oil prices were down by 0.32 per cent to Rs 567 per 10 kg in futures trade on
Friday as traders trimmed position, taking negative cues from spot market on low demand.At
National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, refined soya oil for delivery in far-month
November fell Rs 1.80, or 0.32 per cent to Rs 567 per 10 kg with an open interest of 41,750
lots.The October contract was trading lower by Rs 1.55, or 0.27 per cent to Rs 572 per 10 kg in
83,350 lots.Analysts said offloading of positions by participants amid weak trend at spot market
on sluggish demand against sufficient stocks position mainly kept pressure on refined soya oil
7. prices at futures trade.
✍ Chana
Chana prices closed higher 0.88 per cent on Friday at the National Commodity & Derivatives
Exchange Limited (NCDEX) as the traders enlarged their holdings in the commodity on
account of the good demand in the market. At the NCDEX, chana futures for September 2015
contract closed at Rs. 4,809 per quintal, up by 0.88 per cent, after opening at Rs. 4,771 against
the previous closing price of Rs. 4,767. It touched the intra-day high of Rs. 4,822.Moreover, the
restricted arrivals of the commodity in the physical market due to lower estimated output also
influenced the chana prices.
8. LEGAL DISCLAIMER
This Document has been prepared by Ways2Capital (A Division of High Brow Market
Research Investment Advisor Pvt Ltd). The information, analysis and estimates contained
herein are based on Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research assessment and have been
obtained from sources believed to be reliable. This document is meant for the use of the
intended recipient only. This document, at best, represents Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities
Research opinion and is meant for general information only. Ways2Capital
Equity/Commodities Research, its directors, officers or employees shall not in any way to be
responsible for the contents stated herein. Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research
expressly disclaims any and all liabilities that may arise from information, errors or omissions
in this connection. This document is not to be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation to
buy any securities or commodities.
All information, levels & recommendations provided above are given on the basis of technical
& fundamental research done by the panel of expert of Ways2Capital but we do not accept any
liability for errors of opinion. People surfing through the website have right to opt the product
services of their own choices.
Any investment in commodity market bears risk, company will not be liable for any loss done
on these recommendations. These levels do not necessarily indicate future price moment.
Company holds the right to alter the information without any further notice. Any browsing
through website means acceptance of disclaimer.