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EOR Yearbook 2015
The Definitive Reference Guide to the
Enhanced Oil Recovery Market 2015-2025
Forecasts, Company Financials. Projects & Contracts for
Chemical, Gas & Thermal Technologies
Contents
1. Report Overview
1.1 Global Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) Market Overview
1.2 Market Structure Overview and Market Definition
1.3 Why You Should Read this Report
1.4 How this Report Delivers
1.5 Key Questions Answered by This Analytical Report Include:
1.6 Who is This Report For?
1.7 Methodology
1.8 Frequently Asked Questions
1.9 Associated Visiongain Reports
1.10 About Visiongain
2. Introduction to the Enhanced Oil Recovery Market
2.1 How is the Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) Market Structured?
2.1.1 Primary Recovery
2.1.2 Secondary Recovery
2.1.3 Tertiary Recovery
2.2 Thermal EOR Processes
2.2.1 Steam Injection
2.2.1.1 Steam Flooding
2.2.1.2 Cyclic Steam Stimulation (CSS)
2.2.2 Steam-Assisted Gravity Drainage (SAGD)
2.2.3 Small-Scale Commercial EOR Technologies
2.2.3.1 In-Situ Combustion
2.2.3.2 Thermal-Assisted Gas Oil Gravity Drainage (TAGOGD)
2.2.3.3 Thermal-Assisted Gravity Drainage (TAGD)
2.2.3.4 Vertical Steam Drive (VSD)
2.2.3.5 Solar EOR
2.2.3.6 Synchronised Thermal Additional Recovery
2.3 Gas EOR Processes
2.3.1 CO2 Injection
2.3.2 Nitrogen Injection
2.3.3 Natural Gas Injection
2.4 Chemical EOR Processes
2.4.1 Polymer Flooding
2.4.2 Surfactant Flooding
Contents
2.4.3 Alkaline Flooding
2.4.4 Micellar Flooding
3. The Global Enhanced Oil Recovery Market 2015-2025
3.1 Global EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
3.2 Drivers and Restraints in the EOR Market
3.2.1 Drivers in the EOR Market
3.2.1.1 Increasing Demand for Oil
3.2.1.2 Ageing Oil Fields
3.2.1.3 Large Heavy Oil Deposits
3.2.1.4 CO2 Reduction Strategies
3.2.1.5 Cost and Concentration of Chemicals
3.2.2 Restraints in the EOR Market
3.2.2.1 Low Oil Price Environment
3.2.2.2 High Costs
3.2.2.3 Environmental Concerns
3.2.2.4 Competition from Conventional and Unconventional Production
3.3 Oil Prices
3.3.1 Supply-Side Factors
3.3.1.1 Tight Oil
3.3.1.2 Libya
3.3.1.3 OPEC
3.3.2 Demand-Side Factors
3.3.2.1 Chinese and Indian Growth
3.4.3 Visiongain’s Oil Price Assumptions
3.4.3.1 Low Oil Price Scenario
3.4.3.2 High Oil Price Scenario
4. Enhanced Oil Recovery Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
4.1 The In-Situ Oil Sands EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
4.1.1 Current and Future In-Situ Oil Sands Production
4.1.2 The Economics of Thermal Production from the Oil Sands
4.1.3 Regulatory Climate
4.1.4 New and Alternative Transportation Solutions
4.1.5 Narrowing Price Differential Between WTI and WCS
4.1.6 Slowing Foreign Investment
Contents
4.1.7 High Water Demand
4.1.8 In-Situ Projects
4.2 The Heavy Oil EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
4.2.1 Heavy Oil EOR Country Forecasts
4.2.1.1 The US Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.2.1.2 The Venezuelan Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.2.1.3 The Kuwaiti Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.2.1.4 The Indonesian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.2.1.5 The Omani Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.2.1.6 The Chinese Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.2.1.7 The Russian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.2.1.8 The Canadian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.2.1.9 The Saudi Arabian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.2.1.10 The Brazilian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.2.1.11 The Indian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.2.1.12 The Rest of the World Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.2.2 Heavy Oil Potential
4.2.3 Global Heavy Oil Resources
4.2.4 Current and Future Growth Areas
4.2.5 Potential Restraints on the Thermal Steam Heavy Oil Market
4.2.6 Heavy Oil Projects
4.3 The CO2 EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
4.3.1 CO2 EOR Country Forecasts
4.3.1.1 The US CO2 EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.3.1.2 The Chinese CO2 EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.3.1.3 The Canadian CO2 EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.3.1.4 The Brazilian CO2 EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.3.1.5 The UAE CO2 EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.3.1.6 Other Major EOR Producers
4.3.1.7 The Rest of the World CO2 EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.3.2 CO2 EOR Breakeven Analysis
4.3.3 CO2 EOR Market Drivers
4.3.3.1 Vast Geological Storage Potential in Oil Fields
4.3.3.2 Extensive Industry Experience with CO2 EOR
4.3.3.3 Residual Oil Zones (ROZs)
4.3.3.4 Carbon Trading and Cost Reductions
4.3.4 CO2 EOR Market Restraints
Contents
4.3.4.1 Limited CO₂ Availability
4.3.4.2 High Cost of Carbon Capture
4.3.4.3 Longer Return on Investment Period
4.3.4.4 CO2 Leakage and Environmental Issues
4.3.5 CO2 EOR Projects
4.4 The Other Gas EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1 Other Gas EOR Country Forecasts
4.4.1.1 US Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.2 Venezuelan Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.3 Omani Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.4 Mexican Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.5 Canadian Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.6 Norwegian Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.7 UK Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.8 UAE Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.2 Current Areas of High Production
4.4.3 Other Gas EOR Projects
4.5 The Chemical EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
4.5.1 Chemical EOR Country Forecasts
4.4.1.1 Chinese Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.2 Canadian Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.3 Indian Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.4 Omani Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.5 Indonesian Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.6 Russian Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.7 UK Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.8 Kuwaiti Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.9 US Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.10 UAE Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.11 Venezuelan Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.4.1.12 Other Major EOR Markets
4.4.1.13 Rest of the World Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
4.5.2 Improving Polymers and Surfactants
4.5.3 Current Areas of High Production
4.5.4 The Current Types of Chemical EOR Projects Globally
4.5.5 Future Geographical and Technological Areas of Growth
4.5.6 Potential Challenges for Chemical EOR: Costs, Timing and Regulation
Contents
4.5.7 Chemical EOR Projects
5. Leading National Enhanced Oil Recovery Market and Submarket
Forecasts 2015-2025
5.1 The Canadian EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
5.1.1 The Canadian EOR Market Overview
5.1.2 Current Projects
5.1.2.1 Thermal Oil Sands Dominating the Canadian EOR Market
5.1.2.2 Thermal Heavy Oil Development Supplementing Oil Sands Growth
5.1.2.3 The Success of the Weyburn-Midale Project
5.1.2.4 Other Operational Canadian CO2 EOR Projects
5.1.2.5 An Evaluation of Canada’s Previous CO2 EOR Pilot Projects
5.1.2.6 Cenovus’ Experience with Chemical EOR at Pelican Lake
5.1.2.7 CNRL’s Experience with Chemical EOR at Pelican Lake
5.1.2.8 Other Chemical EOR Projects in Canada
5.1.2.9 A Focus on ASP Projects
5.1.3 Future Outlook
5.1.3.1 Oil Sands Ready to Return to Strong Growth When Oil Prices Rise
5.1.3.2 Thermal Heavy Oil to See Strong Growth over Next Five Years
5.1.3.3 Construction on the Alberta Carbon Trunk Line to Begin in 2015
5.1.3.4 Future Opportunities in the Canadian CO2 EOR Market
5.1.3.5 Suspended and Abandoned Alberta CCS Projects
5.1.3.6 High CO2 Costs Prohibiting Development
5.1.3.7 Is Experience Enough to Drive the Canadian Chemical EOR Market Forward?
5.1.3.8 Will Oil Prices, Costs and Technicalities Restrict the Canadian Chemical EOR
Market?
5.1.3.9 Future Prospects for Chemical EOR in Canada
5.1.4 Canadian Oil Sands Regions
5.1.4.1 Athabasca Oil Sands Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
5.1.4.2 Cold Lake Oil Sands Market Forecasts 2015-2025
5.1.4.3 Peace River Oil Sands Market Forecasts 2015-2025
5.2 The US EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
5.2.1 The US EOR Market Overview
5.2.2 Current Projects
5.2.2.1 California Continues to Dominate Thermal EOR Projects
5.2.2.2 History of CO2 EOR in the US
Contents
5.2.2.3 Where are the CO2 EOR Projects in the US Located?
5.2.2.4 Where is the CO2 Sourced From?
5.2.2.5 Other Gas EOR Projects in the US
5.2.2.6 Chemical EOR Pilot Projects
5.2.3 Future Outlook
5.2.3.1 Traditional Thermal Production to Continue Decreasing
5.2.3.2 The Importance of Government Support and Regulations
5.2.3.3 Offshore EOR Unlikely to come to Fruition
5.2.3.4 How is the US CO2 EOR Market Likely to Develop in the Next Ten Years?
5.2.3.5 Will the Chemical EOR Market in the US Rebound?
5.2.4 US Regional Submarkets
5.2.4.1 The Gulf Coast CO2 EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
5.2.4.2 The Midcontinent CO2 EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
5.2.4.3 The Midwest CO2 EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
5.2.4.4 The Permian Basin CO2 EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
5.2.4.5 The Rockies CO2 EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
5.3 The Chinese EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
5.3.1 The Chinese EOR Market Overview
5.3.2 Current Projects
5.3.2.1 China’s Dominant Position in Chemical EOR Production
5.3.2.2 Current Thermal EOR Projects in China
5.3.2.3 Current Chinese CO2 EOR Projects
5.3.3 Future Outlook
5.3.3.1 Steady Increases Forecast in Chinese Thermal EOR Market
5.3.3.2 Potential Opportunities for EOR Production Offshore
5.3.3.3 Upcoming Projects in the Chinese CO2 EOR Market
5.3.3.4 China’s High Emissions and the Need for more Oil
5.3.3.5 How suitable is China’s Geology for CO2 EOR?
5.3.3.6 China’s Efforts to form International Partnerships to Help Promote CO2 EOR
5.3.3.7 The Need for More Government Support for CO2 EOR
5.3.3.8 China to Maintain its Strong Position in the Chemical EOR Market
5.4 The Venezuelan EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
5.4.1 The Venezuelan EOR Market Overview
5.4.2 Current Projects
5.4.2.1 Thermal Production
5.4.2.2 Are There Any Chemical EOR Projects in Venezuela Currently?
5.4.3 Future Outlook
Contents
5.4.3.1 Political Problems and the Need for Investment
5.4.3.2 PDVSA Focusing on Short-Term EOR Production Increases at Mature Fields
5.4.3.3 Long-Term Opportunities for EOR Production in the Orinoco Belt
5.4.3.4 Extra-Heavy Oil and Falling Production Set to Provide Lift for the Chemical
EOR Market in Venezuela
5.5 The Omani EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
5.5.1 The Omani EOR Market Overview
5.5.2 Current Projects
5.5.2.1 PDO’s Thermal, Gas and Chemical Projects
5.5.2.2 Occidental’s SAGD Operation at the Mukhaizna Field
5.5.3 Future Outlook
5.5.3.1 PDO’s Ambitious Ten-Year EOR Expansion Plans
5.5.3.2 Oman’s Chemical Pilot Experience and Goals
5.5.3.3 Potential to Expand the Mukhaizna Project and Opportunities in the
Neighbouring Kahmah Reservoir
5.5.3.4 The Prospects for Solar EOR in Oman
5.6 The Indonesian EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
5.6.1 The Indonesian EOR Market Overview
5.6.2 Current Projects
5.6.3 Future Outlook
5.6.3.1 Upcoming Projects in the Indonesian EOR Market
5.6.3.2 Drivers and Restraints in the Indonesian EOR Market
5.7 The Kuwaiti EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
5.7.1 The Kuwaiti EOR Market Overview
5.7.2 Current Projects
5.7.2.1 Chevron’s Project in the Wafra Field
5.7.3 Future Outlook
5.7.3.1 KOC to Develop the Lower Fars Heavy Oil Field
5.7.3.2 EOR Opportunities in the Burgan Field
5.7.3.3 CO2 EOR Potential
5.7.3.4 Challenges to Meeting Kuwait’s Ambitious Production Goals
5.8 The Russian EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
5.8.1 The Russian EOR Market Overview
5.8.2 Current Projects
5.8.3 Future Outlook
5.9 The Indian EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
Contents
5.9.1 The Indian EOR Market Overview
5.9.2 Current Projects
5.9.2.1 Thermal EOR Production at the Balol and Santhal fields
5.9.2.2 Pilot Experience with Chemical EOR
5.9.3 Future Projects
5.9.3.1 Will Chemical EOR be a Panacea for India?
5.9.3.2 How Will Market Restraints Impact the Indian Chemical EOR Market?
5.9.3.3 Indian Chemical EOR Market Outlook: Future Projects and Opportunities
5.10 The Saudi Arabian EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
5.10.1 The Saudi Arabian EOR Market Overview
5.10.2 Current Projects
5.10.2.1 Chevron’s Project in the Wafra Field
5.10.2.2 CO2 EOR Pilot at the Ghawar Field
5.10.3 Future Outlook
5.11 The Brazilian EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
5.11.1 The Brazilian EOR Market Overview
5.11.2 Current Projects
5.11.2.1 The Lula Project
5.11.3 Future Outlook
5.11.3.1 Brazil’s Growing Opportunities for CO2 EOR
5.11.3.2 Thermal EOR to Stay Dominant
5.11.3.3 Opportunities for Chemical EOR
5.11.3.4 Petrobras’ Stretched Financial Position
5.12 The Mexican EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
5.12.1 The Mexican EOR Market Overview
5.12.2 Current Projects
5.12.3 Future Outlook
5.12.3.1 Pemex’s Upcoming EOR Projects
5.12.3.2 The Potential Impact of Mexican Constitutional Changes
5.13 The UK EOR Market and Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
5.13.1 The UK EOR Market Overview
5.13.2 Current Projects
5.13.3 Future Outlook
5.13.3.1 Opportunities for Chemical EOR
5.13.3.2 Will Chemical EOR be a Solution for Production Depletion?
5.13.3.3 The Realities of Chemical EOR Offshore
5.13.3.4 Increasing Interest in North Sea CO2 EOR
Contents
5.13.3.5 Potential Projects in the UK CO2 EOR Market
5.13.3.6 Joint Research Ventures and Partnerships Attempting to Promote CO2 EOR
in the UK
5.13.3.7 Why is CO2 EOR Developing so Slowly in the UK?
5.14 The UAE EOR Market and Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
5.14.1 The UAE EOR Market Overview
5.14.2 Current Projects
5.14.2.1 What are the Factors Driving CO2 EOR Development in the UAE?
5.14.2.2 Progress of the Masdar Initiative
5.14.3 Future Outlook
5.14.3.1 Upcoming Projects in the UAE CO2 EOR Submarket
5.14.3.2 Future Potential of the UAE CO2 EOR Market
5.14.3.3 Are there Opportunities for Chemical EOR in the UAE?
5.15 The Norwegian EOR Market and Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
5.15.1 The Norwegian EOR Market Overview
5.15.2 Current Projects
5.15.3 Future Outlook
5.15.3.1 CO2 EOR Development Continues to Move Slowly
5.15.3.2 Opportunities in Chemical and Microbial EOR
5.15.3.3 Will Chemical EOR be a Solution for Production Depletion?
5.15.3.4 The Realities of Chemical EOR Offshore
5.15.3.5 Is Chemical EOR Likely to be the Chosen Technology Going Forward?
5.16 The Rest of the World EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
5.16.1 The Angolan EOR Market – Chemical EOR at the Dalia Field
5.16.2 The Argentine EOR Market – Opportunities for Chemical EOR
5.16.3 The Dutch EOR Market – Limited CO2 EOR Potential
5.16.4 The Ecuadorian EOR Market – Companies Bid for EOR Projects
5.16.5 The Egyptian EOR Market – Thermal, CO2 and Chemical Opportunities, though Major
Challenges Remain
5.16.6 The German EOR Market – Profitable Thermal Projects and Chemical EOR Potential
5.16.7 The Kazakh EOR Market – Limited Opportunities
5.16.8 The Malaysian EOR Market – Significant EOR Potential
5.16.9 The Qatari EOR Market – Early Stages of EOR Development
5.16.10 The Syrian EOR Market – Political Turmoil Curtailing Opportunities
5.16.11 The Trinidadian EOR Market – Long History of Thermal EOR
5.16.12 The Turkish EOR Market – Continued Production at Bati Raman
Contents
6. PEST Analysis of the Enhanced Oil Recovery Market
7. Expert Opinion
7.1 CNRL
7.1.1 CNRL’s Role in the Chemical EOR Market
7.1.2 Drivers of Chemical EOR
7.1.3 How is the Oil Price Affecting the Chemical EOR Market?
7.1.4 How Long does a Chemical EOR Project Take?
7.1.5 What Governs the Deployment of EOR?
7.1.6 CNRL Chemical EOR Projects
7.2 Enhance Energy
7.2.1 Enhance Energy’s Involvement in the CO2 EOR Market
7.2.2 The Rationale Behind the Alberta Trunk Line Project
7.2.3 Progress of the Alberta Carbon Trunk Line Project
7.2.4 Drivers for CO2 EOR Development in Canada
7.2.5 The Impact of Government Funding
7.3 GlassPoint
7.3.1 GlassPoint’s History and Current Projects
7.3.2 Potential Regional Solar EOR Markets
7.3.3 Higher Upfront Costs, but Lower Operating Costs
7.3.4 Similarities and Differences Between Solar and Gas
7.3.5 GlassPoint’s Aims for the Future
7.4 Huntsman
7.4.1 Huntsman’s Role in the Chemical EOR Market
7.4.2 How Falling Oil Production is Driving the Chemical EOR Market
7.4.3 Prospects for Chemical EOR under Low Oil Prices
7.4.4 The Cost of Surfactant Projects
7.4.5 The Chemical EOR Process
7.4.6 What Governs the Deployment of EOR?
7.5 Prosper Petroleum
7.5.1 Prosper Petroleum’s Involvement in the Oil Sands Market
7.5.2 In-Situ Technologies
7.5.3 Oil Sands Economics
7.5.4 Future Oil Sands Market Developments
7.6 Shell Chemicals
7.6.1 Shell Chemical’s Role in the Chemical EOR Market
Contents
7.6.2 Drivers of Chemical EOR
7.6.3 How is the Oil Price Affecting the Chemical EOR Market?
7.6.4 The Structure of the Chemical EOR Market
7.6.5 What Governs the Deployment of EOR?
7.6.6 Transporting the Chemicals to the Field
8. Leading Companies in the Enhanced Oil Recovery Market
8.1 Leading Ten Companies in the Thermal Oil Sands EOR Market – Market Shares and Profiles
8.1.1 Canadian Natural Resources (CNRL)
8.1.2 Cenovus
8.1.3 China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC)
8.1.4 Connacher Oil and Gas
8.1.5 ConocoPhillips
8.1.6 Devon Energy
8.1.7 Imperial Oil
8.1.8 MEG Energy
8.1.9 Statoil
8.1.10 Suncor
8.2 Leading Companies in the Thermal Heavy Oil EOR Submarket
8.2.1 Aera Energy
8.2.2 Chevron
8.2.3 CNPC
8.2.4 Linn Energy
8.2.5 Lukoil
8.2.6 Occidental
8.2.7 PDO
8.2.8 PDVSA
8.2.9 Petrobras
8.2.10 Sinopec
8.3 Leading Companies in the CO2 EOR Market – Market Shares and Profiles
8.3.1 Anadarko Petroleum Corporation
8.3.2 Breitburn Energy
8.3.3 Cenovus
8.3.4 Chevron
8.3.5 Denbury Resources
8.3.6 Hess Corporation
Contents
8.3.7 Kinder Morgan
8.3.8 Occidental
8.3.9 Turkish Petroleum Corporation (TPAO)
8.3.10 Whiting Petroleum
8.4 Leading Companies in the Other Gas EOR Market – Market Shares and Profiles
8.4.1 BP
8.4.2 ConocoPhillips
8.4.3 PDO
8.4.4 PDVSA
8.4.5 Pemex
8.5 Leading Companies in the Chemical EOR Market – Market Shares and Profiles
8.5.1 Canadian Natural Resources (CNRL)
8.5.2 Cenovus
8.5.3 CNPC
8.5.4 PDO
8.5.5 Sinopec
8.6 Other Leading Companies in the EOR Production Market
9. Conclusions and Recommendations
9.1 EOR Market Outlook
9.2 Key Findings in the EOR Market
9.3 Recommendations for the EOR Market
Page 117
EOR Yearbook 2015:
The Definitive Reference Guide to the Enhanced Oil Recovery
Market 2015-2025: Forecasts, Company Financials. Projects &
Contracts for Chemical, Gas & Thermal Technologies
www.visiongain.com
4.2.1.10 The Brazilian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025
Table 4.17 and Figures 4.42 through 4.44 show visiongain’s forecast for the Brazilian heavy oil
EOR market over the next ten years.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Spending($m)
CAPEX ($m) OPEX ($m)
Table 4.17 Brazilian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 (Mbpd Production,
CAPEX and OPEX $m, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Source: Visiongain 2015
Figure 4.42 Brazilian Heavy Oil EOR Market CAPEX and OPEX Forecasts 2015-2025
($m)
Source: Visiongain 2015
Page 227
EOR Yearbook 2015:
The Definitive Reference Guide to the Enhanced Oil Recovery
Market 2015-2025: Forecasts, Company Financials. Projects &
Contracts for Chemical, Gas & Thermal Technologies
www.visiongain.com
to the project or the inadequate quantities available from the gas plant. Since the last of these pilot
projects was completed in 2010 interest in CO2 EOR has dropped off in Canada as attention has
turned to other more lucrative technologies, such as shale oil development. Table 5.8 provides an
overview of the eight pilot projects, including the operator, operational dates and total oil production
through CO2 EOR.
Project Name Operator Operational Dates Total Oil Production
Cardium Penn West
Exploration
2005 - 2009 39,941
Chigwell Viking Glencoe
Resources
2007 – N/A N/A
Enchant Arcs CNRL /
Anadarko
September 2004 – August 2008 23,800
Judy Creek Pengrowth
Energy
2007 - 2010 94,306
Redwater ARC Resources July 2008 – November 2010 114,692
South Swan Hills Penn West
Exploration
May 2008 – May 2010 70,390
Swan Hills Devon Energy October 2004 - May 2006 32,300
Zama Apache December 2004 – December
2010
199,418
5.1.2.6 Cenovus’ Experience with Chemical EOR at Pelican Lake
Cenovus first used chemical EOR at their Pelican Lake field in 2004. Alongside horizontal wells,
polymer injection was used to increase production from the field. Total production from Pelican
Lake averaged 24,924 bbl/d in 2014, which highlighted an increase of 3% from the previous year.
The increase was due to additional infill wells and polymer expansion which were partly offset by a
planned turnaround. Close to 12,000 bbl/d can be credited to polymer flooding and infill drilling. In
2013 it was further estimated that 2.1 billion barrels of Petroleum Initially-In-Place (PIIP) remain as
mobile reserves in the area, and a further 1.3bn barrels as immobile.
Capital investment on conventional resources was C$812m in 2014 compared to C$1,191m in
2013. The decrease was due to Cenovus’ decision to align spending with Pelican Lake’s modest
production volumes. The 2014 conventional CAPEX was focused on the expansion of the polymer
project, in addition to further drilling, completion and recompletions programs and spending on
Source: G BACH Enterprises Incorporated, Visiongain 2015
Table 5.8 Canadian CO2
EOR Pilots (Project Name, Operator, Operational Dates, Total
Oil Production [bbls])
Page 344
EOR Yearbook 2015:
The Definitive Reference Guide to the Enhanced Oil Recovery
Market 2015-2025: Forecasts, Company Financials. Projects &
Contracts for Chemical, Gas & Thermal Technologies
www.visiongain.com
Table 5.59 and Figures 5.84 and 5.85 show visiongain’s forecasts for the Kuwaiti EOR submarkets
over the next ten years.
Table 5.59 Kuwaiti EOR Submarket Forecasts (Thermal, Gas and Chemical)
2015-2025 (Mbpd, $m, AGR %, CAGR %)
Source: Visiongain 2015
Page 441
EOR Yearbook 2015:
The Definitive Reference Guide to the Enhanced Oil Recovery
Market 2015-2025: Forecasts, Company Financials. Projects &
Contracts for Chemical, Gas & Thermal Technologies
www.visiongain.com
7. Expert Opinion
7.1 CNRL
Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNRL) is one of the world’s largest independent crude oil
and natural gas producers. The company has a diverse asset portfolio, which includes natural gas,
light oil, heavy oil, in situ oil sands production, oil sands mining and associated upgrading facilities.
Visiongain spoke to Yesid Puerto, Chief Reservoir Engineer in March 2015. Visiongain would like
to thank Mr. Puerto for his contribution to the report.
7.1.1 CNRL’s Role in the Chemical EOR Market
Visiongain: Can you tell me about CNRL and your role within the chemical EOR market?
Yesid Puerto: CNRL plays a leading role within the chemical EOR market. We developed and
currently operate the largest and most successful high viscosity heavy oil polymer flood in the world
(Pelican Lake). We are also conducting polymer pilots in other areas of our operation as well as
ASP and Nanosphere pilots. Laboratory experiments are periodically conducted by CNRL, through
different labs, to assess chemical EOR potential in different areas of our operation.
7.1.2 Drivers of Chemical EOR
Visiongain: From a wider perspective, what would you say are the main factors driving the
chemical EOR market?
Yesid Puerto: The main factors, in my opinion, are related to chemical cost and cost of facilities
associated to developing these processes in the field. The topic of injectivity is also a critical factor
directly affecting the economics.
7.1.3 How is the Oil Price Affecting the Chemical EOR Market?
Visiongain: Does CNRL view chemical EOR projects as long term prospects worth investing in
during a period of low oil prices, or will we see the cancellation and delay of projects over the next
12-24 months as companies reign in their budgets?
Yesid Puerto: Industrywide, we are already seeing the cancellation and delay of projects as a
result of low commodity prices. I believe that scoping work, even up to laboratory level, might be
doable with a look at building readiness for better times. This is obviously a function of how severe
and lengthy the price valley is going to be.
Page 471
EOR Yearbook 2015:
The Definitive Reference Guide to the Enhanced Oil Recovery
Market 2015-2025: Forecasts, Company Financials. Projects &
Contracts for Chemical, Gas & Thermal Technologies
www.visiongain.com
Through fully owned Canadian subsidiary Nexen (acquired in February 2013), the company
operates the Long Lake SAGD oil sands project, located around 40km southeast of Fort McMurray,
Alberta. Production at Long Lake has been continuously expanded since it came into operation in
2008. The project has a capacity of 72,000 bpd, though 2014 production was only 43,000 bpd.
Long Lake is the only in-situ oil sands project which has an integrated upgrader, which are typically
associated with oil sands surface mines.
A Long Lake expansion, called Kinosis, recently came online, adding 40,000 bpd of capacity.
Construction of a second 40,000 bpd phase was due to commence next year, but has now been
delayed. The company has announced several more phases that will not go ahead before the end
of the forecast.
Table 8.7 details CNOOC’s operational in-situ projects, providing information on the project name,
technology, start date, 2014 production and capacity.
Company Project Technology Start Date Production
(bpd)
Capacity
(bpd)
CNOOC Kinosis Phase 1A SAGD 2015 0 40,000
CNOOC Long Lake SAGD 2008 43,000 72,000
8.1.4 Connacher Oil and Gas
Headquarters Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Employees 200
Stock Exchange Toronto Stock Exchange – CLL
2014 In-Situ Oil Sands Production (bpd) 14,100
Market Share (%) 1.4%
Market Rank 9
Connacher Oil and Gas is a Calgary-based exploration, production and development company with
one operating project in the Canadian oil sands. The Great Divide project started in 2007, and
using SAGD methods produced 14,100 bpd of bitumen in 2014 out of a 20,000 bpd capacity.
Source: Visiongain 2015
Table 8.8 Overview of Connacher Oil and Gas in the In-Situ Oil Sands Market:
Headquarters, Employees, Stock Exchange, 2014 Production (bpd), Market Share
(%), Market Rank
Table 8.7 Operational CNOOC In-Situ Projects (Company Name, Project Name,
Technology, Start Date, BPD Production 2014, BPD Capacity)
Source: Visiongain 2015

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EOR Yearbook 2015: The Definitive Reference Guide to the Enhanced Oil Recovery Market 2015-2025

  • 1. ©notice This material is copyright by visiongain. It is against the law to reproduce any of this material without the prior written agreement of visiongain.You cannot photocopy, fax, download to database or duplicate in any other way any of the material contained in this report. Each purchase and single copy is for personal use only. EOR Yearbook 2015 The Definitive Reference Guide to the Enhanced Oil Recovery Market 2015-2025 Forecasts, Company Financials. Projects & Contracts for Chemical, Gas & Thermal Technologies
  • 2. Contents 1. Report Overview 1.1 Global Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) Market Overview 1.2 Market Structure Overview and Market Definition 1.3 Why You Should Read this Report 1.4 How this Report Delivers 1.5 Key Questions Answered by This Analytical Report Include: 1.6 Who is This Report For? 1.7 Methodology 1.8 Frequently Asked Questions 1.9 Associated Visiongain Reports 1.10 About Visiongain 2. Introduction to the Enhanced Oil Recovery Market 2.1 How is the Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) Market Structured? 2.1.1 Primary Recovery 2.1.2 Secondary Recovery 2.1.3 Tertiary Recovery 2.2 Thermal EOR Processes 2.2.1 Steam Injection 2.2.1.1 Steam Flooding 2.2.1.2 Cyclic Steam Stimulation (CSS) 2.2.2 Steam-Assisted Gravity Drainage (SAGD) 2.2.3 Small-Scale Commercial EOR Technologies 2.2.3.1 In-Situ Combustion 2.2.3.2 Thermal-Assisted Gas Oil Gravity Drainage (TAGOGD) 2.2.3.3 Thermal-Assisted Gravity Drainage (TAGD) 2.2.3.4 Vertical Steam Drive (VSD) 2.2.3.5 Solar EOR 2.2.3.6 Synchronised Thermal Additional Recovery 2.3 Gas EOR Processes 2.3.1 CO2 Injection 2.3.2 Nitrogen Injection 2.3.3 Natural Gas Injection 2.4 Chemical EOR Processes 2.4.1 Polymer Flooding 2.4.2 Surfactant Flooding
  • 3. Contents 2.4.3 Alkaline Flooding 2.4.4 Micellar Flooding 3. The Global Enhanced Oil Recovery Market 2015-2025 3.1 Global EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 3.2 Drivers and Restraints in the EOR Market 3.2.1 Drivers in the EOR Market 3.2.1.1 Increasing Demand for Oil 3.2.1.2 Ageing Oil Fields 3.2.1.3 Large Heavy Oil Deposits 3.2.1.4 CO2 Reduction Strategies 3.2.1.5 Cost and Concentration of Chemicals 3.2.2 Restraints in the EOR Market 3.2.2.1 Low Oil Price Environment 3.2.2.2 High Costs 3.2.2.3 Environmental Concerns 3.2.2.4 Competition from Conventional and Unconventional Production 3.3 Oil Prices 3.3.1 Supply-Side Factors 3.3.1.1 Tight Oil 3.3.1.2 Libya 3.3.1.3 OPEC 3.3.2 Demand-Side Factors 3.3.2.1 Chinese and Indian Growth 3.4.3 Visiongain’s Oil Price Assumptions 3.4.3.1 Low Oil Price Scenario 3.4.3.2 High Oil Price Scenario 4. Enhanced Oil Recovery Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 4.1 The In-Situ Oil Sands EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 4.1.1 Current and Future In-Situ Oil Sands Production 4.1.2 The Economics of Thermal Production from the Oil Sands 4.1.3 Regulatory Climate 4.1.4 New and Alternative Transportation Solutions 4.1.5 Narrowing Price Differential Between WTI and WCS 4.1.6 Slowing Foreign Investment
  • 4. Contents 4.1.7 High Water Demand 4.1.8 In-Situ Projects 4.2 The Heavy Oil EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 4.2.1 Heavy Oil EOR Country Forecasts 4.2.1.1 The US Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.2.1.2 The Venezuelan Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.2.1.3 The Kuwaiti Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.2.1.4 The Indonesian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.2.1.5 The Omani Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.2.1.6 The Chinese Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.2.1.7 The Russian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.2.1.8 The Canadian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.2.1.9 The Saudi Arabian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.2.1.10 The Brazilian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.2.1.11 The Indian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.2.1.12 The Rest of the World Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.2.2 Heavy Oil Potential 4.2.3 Global Heavy Oil Resources 4.2.4 Current and Future Growth Areas 4.2.5 Potential Restraints on the Thermal Steam Heavy Oil Market 4.2.6 Heavy Oil Projects 4.3 The CO2 EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 4.3.1 CO2 EOR Country Forecasts 4.3.1.1 The US CO2 EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.3.1.2 The Chinese CO2 EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.3.1.3 The Canadian CO2 EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.3.1.4 The Brazilian CO2 EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.3.1.5 The UAE CO2 EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.3.1.6 Other Major EOR Producers 4.3.1.7 The Rest of the World CO2 EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.3.2 CO2 EOR Breakeven Analysis 4.3.3 CO2 EOR Market Drivers 4.3.3.1 Vast Geological Storage Potential in Oil Fields 4.3.3.2 Extensive Industry Experience with CO2 EOR 4.3.3.3 Residual Oil Zones (ROZs) 4.3.3.4 Carbon Trading and Cost Reductions 4.3.4 CO2 EOR Market Restraints
  • 5. Contents 4.3.4.1 Limited CO₂ Availability 4.3.4.2 High Cost of Carbon Capture 4.3.4.3 Longer Return on Investment Period 4.3.4.4 CO2 Leakage and Environmental Issues 4.3.5 CO2 EOR Projects 4.4 The Other Gas EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1 Other Gas EOR Country Forecasts 4.4.1.1 US Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.2 Venezuelan Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.3 Omani Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.4 Mexican Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.5 Canadian Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.6 Norwegian Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.7 UK Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.8 UAE Other Gas EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.2 Current Areas of High Production 4.4.3 Other Gas EOR Projects 4.5 The Chemical EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 4.5.1 Chemical EOR Country Forecasts 4.4.1.1 Chinese Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.2 Canadian Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.3 Indian Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.4 Omani Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.5 Indonesian Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.6 Russian Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.7 UK Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.8 Kuwaiti Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.9 US Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.10 UAE Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.11 Venezuelan Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.4.1.12 Other Major EOR Markets 4.4.1.13 Rest of the World Chemical EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 4.5.2 Improving Polymers and Surfactants 4.5.3 Current Areas of High Production 4.5.4 The Current Types of Chemical EOR Projects Globally 4.5.5 Future Geographical and Technological Areas of Growth 4.5.6 Potential Challenges for Chemical EOR: Costs, Timing and Regulation
  • 6. Contents 4.5.7 Chemical EOR Projects 5. Leading National Enhanced Oil Recovery Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.1 The Canadian EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.1.1 The Canadian EOR Market Overview 5.1.2 Current Projects 5.1.2.1 Thermal Oil Sands Dominating the Canadian EOR Market 5.1.2.2 Thermal Heavy Oil Development Supplementing Oil Sands Growth 5.1.2.3 The Success of the Weyburn-Midale Project 5.1.2.4 Other Operational Canadian CO2 EOR Projects 5.1.2.5 An Evaluation of Canada’s Previous CO2 EOR Pilot Projects 5.1.2.6 Cenovus’ Experience with Chemical EOR at Pelican Lake 5.1.2.7 CNRL’s Experience with Chemical EOR at Pelican Lake 5.1.2.8 Other Chemical EOR Projects in Canada 5.1.2.9 A Focus on ASP Projects 5.1.3 Future Outlook 5.1.3.1 Oil Sands Ready to Return to Strong Growth When Oil Prices Rise 5.1.3.2 Thermal Heavy Oil to See Strong Growth over Next Five Years 5.1.3.3 Construction on the Alberta Carbon Trunk Line to Begin in 2015 5.1.3.4 Future Opportunities in the Canadian CO2 EOR Market 5.1.3.5 Suspended and Abandoned Alberta CCS Projects 5.1.3.6 High CO2 Costs Prohibiting Development 5.1.3.7 Is Experience Enough to Drive the Canadian Chemical EOR Market Forward? 5.1.3.8 Will Oil Prices, Costs and Technicalities Restrict the Canadian Chemical EOR Market? 5.1.3.9 Future Prospects for Chemical EOR in Canada 5.1.4 Canadian Oil Sands Regions 5.1.4.1 Athabasca Oil Sands Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.1.4.2 Cold Lake Oil Sands Market Forecasts 2015-2025 5.1.4.3 Peace River Oil Sands Market Forecasts 2015-2025 5.2 The US EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.2.1 The US EOR Market Overview 5.2.2 Current Projects 5.2.2.1 California Continues to Dominate Thermal EOR Projects 5.2.2.2 History of CO2 EOR in the US
  • 7. Contents 5.2.2.3 Where are the CO2 EOR Projects in the US Located? 5.2.2.4 Where is the CO2 Sourced From? 5.2.2.5 Other Gas EOR Projects in the US 5.2.2.6 Chemical EOR Pilot Projects 5.2.3 Future Outlook 5.2.3.1 Traditional Thermal Production to Continue Decreasing 5.2.3.2 The Importance of Government Support and Regulations 5.2.3.3 Offshore EOR Unlikely to come to Fruition 5.2.3.4 How is the US CO2 EOR Market Likely to Develop in the Next Ten Years? 5.2.3.5 Will the Chemical EOR Market in the US Rebound? 5.2.4 US Regional Submarkets 5.2.4.1 The Gulf Coast CO2 EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 5.2.4.2 The Midcontinent CO2 EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 5.2.4.3 The Midwest CO2 EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 5.2.4.4 The Permian Basin CO2 EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 5.2.4.5 The Rockies CO2 EOR Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 5.3 The Chinese EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.3.1 The Chinese EOR Market Overview 5.3.2 Current Projects 5.3.2.1 China’s Dominant Position in Chemical EOR Production 5.3.2.2 Current Thermal EOR Projects in China 5.3.2.3 Current Chinese CO2 EOR Projects 5.3.3 Future Outlook 5.3.3.1 Steady Increases Forecast in Chinese Thermal EOR Market 5.3.3.2 Potential Opportunities for EOR Production Offshore 5.3.3.3 Upcoming Projects in the Chinese CO2 EOR Market 5.3.3.4 China’s High Emissions and the Need for more Oil 5.3.3.5 How suitable is China’s Geology for CO2 EOR? 5.3.3.6 China’s Efforts to form International Partnerships to Help Promote CO2 EOR 5.3.3.7 The Need for More Government Support for CO2 EOR 5.3.3.8 China to Maintain its Strong Position in the Chemical EOR Market 5.4 The Venezuelan EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.4.1 The Venezuelan EOR Market Overview 5.4.2 Current Projects 5.4.2.1 Thermal Production 5.4.2.2 Are There Any Chemical EOR Projects in Venezuela Currently? 5.4.3 Future Outlook
  • 8. Contents 5.4.3.1 Political Problems and the Need for Investment 5.4.3.2 PDVSA Focusing on Short-Term EOR Production Increases at Mature Fields 5.4.3.3 Long-Term Opportunities for EOR Production in the Orinoco Belt 5.4.3.4 Extra-Heavy Oil and Falling Production Set to Provide Lift for the Chemical EOR Market in Venezuela 5.5 The Omani EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.5.1 The Omani EOR Market Overview 5.5.2 Current Projects 5.5.2.1 PDO’s Thermal, Gas and Chemical Projects 5.5.2.2 Occidental’s SAGD Operation at the Mukhaizna Field 5.5.3 Future Outlook 5.5.3.1 PDO’s Ambitious Ten-Year EOR Expansion Plans 5.5.3.2 Oman’s Chemical Pilot Experience and Goals 5.5.3.3 Potential to Expand the Mukhaizna Project and Opportunities in the Neighbouring Kahmah Reservoir 5.5.3.4 The Prospects for Solar EOR in Oman 5.6 The Indonesian EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.6.1 The Indonesian EOR Market Overview 5.6.2 Current Projects 5.6.3 Future Outlook 5.6.3.1 Upcoming Projects in the Indonesian EOR Market 5.6.3.2 Drivers and Restraints in the Indonesian EOR Market 5.7 The Kuwaiti EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.7.1 The Kuwaiti EOR Market Overview 5.7.2 Current Projects 5.7.2.1 Chevron’s Project in the Wafra Field 5.7.3 Future Outlook 5.7.3.1 KOC to Develop the Lower Fars Heavy Oil Field 5.7.3.2 EOR Opportunities in the Burgan Field 5.7.3.3 CO2 EOR Potential 5.7.3.4 Challenges to Meeting Kuwait’s Ambitious Production Goals 5.8 The Russian EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.8.1 The Russian EOR Market Overview 5.8.2 Current Projects 5.8.3 Future Outlook 5.9 The Indian EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025
  • 9. Contents 5.9.1 The Indian EOR Market Overview 5.9.2 Current Projects 5.9.2.1 Thermal EOR Production at the Balol and Santhal fields 5.9.2.2 Pilot Experience with Chemical EOR 5.9.3 Future Projects 5.9.3.1 Will Chemical EOR be a Panacea for India? 5.9.3.2 How Will Market Restraints Impact the Indian Chemical EOR Market? 5.9.3.3 Indian Chemical EOR Market Outlook: Future Projects and Opportunities 5.10 The Saudi Arabian EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.10.1 The Saudi Arabian EOR Market Overview 5.10.2 Current Projects 5.10.2.1 Chevron’s Project in the Wafra Field 5.10.2.2 CO2 EOR Pilot at the Ghawar Field 5.10.3 Future Outlook 5.11 The Brazilian EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.11.1 The Brazilian EOR Market Overview 5.11.2 Current Projects 5.11.2.1 The Lula Project 5.11.3 Future Outlook 5.11.3.1 Brazil’s Growing Opportunities for CO2 EOR 5.11.3.2 Thermal EOR to Stay Dominant 5.11.3.3 Opportunities for Chemical EOR 5.11.3.4 Petrobras’ Stretched Financial Position 5.12 The Mexican EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.12.1 The Mexican EOR Market Overview 5.12.2 Current Projects 5.12.3 Future Outlook 5.12.3.1 Pemex’s Upcoming EOR Projects 5.12.3.2 The Potential Impact of Mexican Constitutional Changes 5.13 The UK EOR Market and Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 5.13.1 The UK EOR Market Overview 5.13.2 Current Projects 5.13.3 Future Outlook 5.13.3.1 Opportunities for Chemical EOR 5.13.3.2 Will Chemical EOR be a Solution for Production Depletion? 5.13.3.3 The Realities of Chemical EOR Offshore 5.13.3.4 Increasing Interest in North Sea CO2 EOR
  • 10. Contents 5.13.3.5 Potential Projects in the UK CO2 EOR Market 5.13.3.6 Joint Research Ventures and Partnerships Attempting to Promote CO2 EOR in the UK 5.13.3.7 Why is CO2 EOR Developing so Slowly in the UK? 5.14 The UAE EOR Market and Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 5.14.1 The UAE EOR Market Overview 5.14.2 Current Projects 5.14.2.1 What are the Factors Driving CO2 EOR Development in the UAE? 5.14.2.2 Progress of the Masdar Initiative 5.14.3 Future Outlook 5.14.3.1 Upcoming Projects in the UAE CO2 EOR Submarket 5.14.3.2 Future Potential of the UAE CO2 EOR Market 5.14.3.3 Are there Opportunities for Chemical EOR in the UAE? 5.15 The Norwegian EOR Market and Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 5.15.1 The Norwegian EOR Market Overview 5.15.2 Current Projects 5.15.3 Future Outlook 5.15.3.1 CO2 EOR Development Continues to Move Slowly 5.15.3.2 Opportunities in Chemical and Microbial EOR 5.15.3.3 Will Chemical EOR be a Solution for Production Depletion? 5.15.3.4 The Realities of Chemical EOR Offshore 5.15.3.5 Is Chemical EOR Likely to be the Chosen Technology Going Forward? 5.16 The Rest of the World EOR Market and Submarket Forecasts 2015-2025 5.16.1 The Angolan EOR Market – Chemical EOR at the Dalia Field 5.16.2 The Argentine EOR Market – Opportunities for Chemical EOR 5.16.3 The Dutch EOR Market – Limited CO2 EOR Potential 5.16.4 The Ecuadorian EOR Market – Companies Bid for EOR Projects 5.16.5 The Egyptian EOR Market – Thermal, CO2 and Chemical Opportunities, though Major Challenges Remain 5.16.6 The German EOR Market – Profitable Thermal Projects and Chemical EOR Potential 5.16.7 The Kazakh EOR Market – Limited Opportunities 5.16.8 The Malaysian EOR Market – Significant EOR Potential 5.16.9 The Qatari EOR Market – Early Stages of EOR Development 5.16.10 The Syrian EOR Market – Political Turmoil Curtailing Opportunities 5.16.11 The Trinidadian EOR Market – Long History of Thermal EOR 5.16.12 The Turkish EOR Market – Continued Production at Bati Raman
  • 11. Contents 6. PEST Analysis of the Enhanced Oil Recovery Market 7. Expert Opinion 7.1 CNRL 7.1.1 CNRL’s Role in the Chemical EOR Market 7.1.2 Drivers of Chemical EOR 7.1.3 How is the Oil Price Affecting the Chemical EOR Market? 7.1.4 How Long does a Chemical EOR Project Take? 7.1.5 What Governs the Deployment of EOR? 7.1.6 CNRL Chemical EOR Projects 7.2 Enhance Energy 7.2.1 Enhance Energy’s Involvement in the CO2 EOR Market 7.2.2 The Rationale Behind the Alberta Trunk Line Project 7.2.3 Progress of the Alberta Carbon Trunk Line Project 7.2.4 Drivers for CO2 EOR Development in Canada 7.2.5 The Impact of Government Funding 7.3 GlassPoint 7.3.1 GlassPoint’s History and Current Projects 7.3.2 Potential Regional Solar EOR Markets 7.3.3 Higher Upfront Costs, but Lower Operating Costs 7.3.4 Similarities and Differences Between Solar and Gas 7.3.5 GlassPoint’s Aims for the Future 7.4 Huntsman 7.4.1 Huntsman’s Role in the Chemical EOR Market 7.4.2 How Falling Oil Production is Driving the Chemical EOR Market 7.4.3 Prospects for Chemical EOR under Low Oil Prices 7.4.4 The Cost of Surfactant Projects 7.4.5 The Chemical EOR Process 7.4.6 What Governs the Deployment of EOR? 7.5 Prosper Petroleum 7.5.1 Prosper Petroleum’s Involvement in the Oil Sands Market 7.5.2 In-Situ Technologies 7.5.3 Oil Sands Economics 7.5.4 Future Oil Sands Market Developments 7.6 Shell Chemicals 7.6.1 Shell Chemical’s Role in the Chemical EOR Market
  • 12. Contents 7.6.2 Drivers of Chemical EOR 7.6.3 How is the Oil Price Affecting the Chemical EOR Market? 7.6.4 The Structure of the Chemical EOR Market 7.6.5 What Governs the Deployment of EOR? 7.6.6 Transporting the Chemicals to the Field 8. Leading Companies in the Enhanced Oil Recovery Market 8.1 Leading Ten Companies in the Thermal Oil Sands EOR Market – Market Shares and Profiles 8.1.1 Canadian Natural Resources (CNRL) 8.1.2 Cenovus 8.1.3 China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) 8.1.4 Connacher Oil and Gas 8.1.5 ConocoPhillips 8.1.6 Devon Energy 8.1.7 Imperial Oil 8.1.8 MEG Energy 8.1.9 Statoil 8.1.10 Suncor 8.2 Leading Companies in the Thermal Heavy Oil EOR Submarket 8.2.1 Aera Energy 8.2.2 Chevron 8.2.3 CNPC 8.2.4 Linn Energy 8.2.5 Lukoil 8.2.6 Occidental 8.2.7 PDO 8.2.8 PDVSA 8.2.9 Petrobras 8.2.10 Sinopec 8.3 Leading Companies in the CO2 EOR Market – Market Shares and Profiles 8.3.1 Anadarko Petroleum Corporation 8.3.2 Breitburn Energy 8.3.3 Cenovus 8.3.4 Chevron 8.3.5 Denbury Resources 8.3.6 Hess Corporation
  • 13. Contents 8.3.7 Kinder Morgan 8.3.8 Occidental 8.3.9 Turkish Petroleum Corporation (TPAO) 8.3.10 Whiting Petroleum 8.4 Leading Companies in the Other Gas EOR Market – Market Shares and Profiles 8.4.1 BP 8.4.2 ConocoPhillips 8.4.3 PDO 8.4.4 PDVSA 8.4.5 Pemex 8.5 Leading Companies in the Chemical EOR Market – Market Shares and Profiles 8.5.1 Canadian Natural Resources (CNRL) 8.5.2 Cenovus 8.5.3 CNPC 8.5.4 PDO 8.5.5 Sinopec 8.6 Other Leading Companies in the EOR Production Market 9. Conclusions and Recommendations 9.1 EOR Market Outlook 9.2 Key Findings in the EOR Market 9.3 Recommendations for the EOR Market
  • 14. Page 117 EOR Yearbook 2015: The Definitive Reference Guide to the Enhanced Oil Recovery Market 2015-2025: Forecasts, Company Financials. Projects & Contracts for Chemical, Gas & Thermal Technologies www.visiongain.com 4.2.1.10 The Brazilian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 Table 4.17 and Figures 4.42 through 4.44 show visiongain’s forecast for the Brazilian heavy oil EOR market over the next ten years. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Spending($m) CAPEX ($m) OPEX ($m) Table 4.17 Brazilian Heavy Oil EOR Market Forecast 2015-2025 (Mbpd Production, CAPEX and OPEX $m, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Source: Visiongain 2015 Figure 4.42 Brazilian Heavy Oil EOR Market CAPEX and OPEX Forecasts 2015-2025 ($m) Source: Visiongain 2015
  • 15. Page 227 EOR Yearbook 2015: The Definitive Reference Guide to the Enhanced Oil Recovery Market 2015-2025: Forecasts, Company Financials. Projects & Contracts for Chemical, Gas & Thermal Technologies www.visiongain.com to the project or the inadequate quantities available from the gas plant. Since the last of these pilot projects was completed in 2010 interest in CO2 EOR has dropped off in Canada as attention has turned to other more lucrative technologies, such as shale oil development. Table 5.8 provides an overview of the eight pilot projects, including the operator, operational dates and total oil production through CO2 EOR. Project Name Operator Operational Dates Total Oil Production Cardium Penn West Exploration 2005 - 2009 39,941 Chigwell Viking Glencoe Resources 2007 – N/A N/A Enchant Arcs CNRL / Anadarko September 2004 – August 2008 23,800 Judy Creek Pengrowth Energy 2007 - 2010 94,306 Redwater ARC Resources July 2008 – November 2010 114,692 South Swan Hills Penn West Exploration May 2008 – May 2010 70,390 Swan Hills Devon Energy October 2004 - May 2006 32,300 Zama Apache December 2004 – December 2010 199,418 5.1.2.6 Cenovus’ Experience with Chemical EOR at Pelican Lake Cenovus first used chemical EOR at their Pelican Lake field in 2004. Alongside horizontal wells, polymer injection was used to increase production from the field. Total production from Pelican Lake averaged 24,924 bbl/d in 2014, which highlighted an increase of 3% from the previous year. The increase was due to additional infill wells and polymer expansion which were partly offset by a planned turnaround. Close to 12,000 bbl/d can be credited to polymer flooding and infill drilling. In 2013 it was further estimated that 2.1 billion barrels of Petroleum Initially-In-Place (PIIP) remain as mobile reserves in the area, and a further 1.3bn barrels as immobile. Capital investment on conventional resources was C$812m in 2014 compared to C$1,191m in 2013. The decrease was due to Cenovus’ decision to align spending with Pelican Lake’s modest production volumes. The 2014 conventional CAPEX was focused on the expansion of the polymer project, in addition to further drilling, completion and recompletions programs and spending on Source: G BACH Enterprises Incorporated, Visiongain 2015 Table 5.8 Canadian CO2 EOR Pilots (Project Name, Operator, Operational Dates, Total Oil Production [bbls])
  • 16. Page 344 EOR Yearbook 2015: The Definitive Reference Guide to the Enhanced Oil Recovery Market 2015-2025: Forecasts, Company Financials. Projects & Contracts for Chemical, Gas & Thermal Technologies www.visiongain.com Table 5.59 and Figures 5.84 and 5.85 show visiongain’s forecasts for the Kuwaiti EOR submarkets over the next ten years. Table 5.59 Kuwaiti EOR Submarket Forecasts (Thermal, Gas and Chemical) 2015-2025 (Mbpd, $m, AGR %, CAGR %) Source: Visiongain 2015
  • 17. Page 441 EOR Yearbook 2015: The Definitive Reference Guide to the Enhanced Oil Recovery Market 2015-2025: Forecasts, Company Financials. Projects & Contracts for Chemical, Gas & Thermal Technologies www.visiongain.com 7. Expert Opinion 7.1 CNRL Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNRL) is one of the world’s largest independent crude oil and natural gas producers. The company has a diverse asset portfolio, which includes natural gas, light oil, heavy oil, in situ oil sands production, oil sands mining and associated upgrading facilities. Visiongain spoke to Yesid Puerto, Chief Reservoir Engineer in March 2015. Visiongain would like to thank Mr. Puerto for his contribution to the report. 7.1.1 CNRL’s Role in the Chemical EOR Market Visiongain: Can you tell me about CNRL and your role within the chemical EOR market? Yesid Puerto: CNRL plays a leading role within the chemical EOR market. We developed and currently operate the largest and most successful high viscosity heavy oil polymer flood in the world (Pelican Lake). We are also conducting polymer pilots in other areas of our operation as well as ASP and Nanosphere pilots. Laboratory experiments are periodically conducted by CNRL, through different labs, to assess chemical EOR potential in different areas of our operation. 7.1.2 Drivers of Chemical EOR Visiongain: From a wider perspective, what would you say are the main factors driving the chemical EOR market? Yesid Puerto: The main factors, in my opinion, are related to chemical cost and cost of facilities associated to developing these processes in the field. The topic of injectivity is also a critical factor directly affecting the economics. 7.1.3 How is the Oil Price Affecting the Chemical EOR Market? Visiongain: Does CNRL view chemical EOR projects as long term prospects worth investing in during a period of low oil prices, or will we see the cancellation and delay of projects over the next 12-24 months as companies reign in their budgets? Yesid Puerto: Industrywide, we are already seeing the cancellation and delay of projects as a result of low commodity prices. I believe that scoping work, even up to laboratory level, might be doable with a look at building readiness for better times. This is obviously a function of how severe and lengthy the price valley is going to be.
  • 18. Page 471 EOR Yearbook 2015: The Definitive Reference Guide to the Enhanced Oil Recovery Market 2015-2025: Forecasts, Company Financials. Projects & Contracts for Chemical, Gas & Thermal Technologies www.visiongain.com Through fully owned Canadian subsidiary Nexen (acquired in February 2013), the company operates the Long Lake SAGD oil sands project, located around 40km southeast of Fort McMurray, Alberta. Production at Long Lake has been continuously expanded since it came into operation in 2008. The project has a capacity of 72,000 bpd, though 2014 production was only 43,000 bpd. Long Lake is the only in-situ oil sands project which has an integrated upgrader, which are typically associated with oil sands surface mines. A Long Lake expansion, called Kinosis, recently came online, adding 40,000 bpd of capacity. Construction of a second 40,000 bpd phase was due to commence next year, but has now been delayed. The company has announced several more phases that will not go ahead before the end of the forecast. Table 8.7 details CNOOC’s operational in-situ projects, providing information on the project name, technology, start date, 2014 production and capacity. Company Project Technology Start Date Production (bpd) Capacity (bpd) CNOOC Kinosis Phase 1A SAGD 2015 0 40,000 CNOOC Long Lake SAGD 2008 43,000 72,000 8.1.4 Connacher Oil and Gas Headquarters Calgary, Alberta, Canada Employees 200 Stock Exchange Toronto Stock Exchange – CLL 2014 In-Situ Oil Sands Production (bpd) 14,100 Market Share (%) 1.4% Market Rank 9 Connacher Oil and Gas is a Calgary-based exploration, production and development company with one operating project in the Canadian oil sands. The Great Divide project started in 2007, and using SAGD methods produced 14,100 bpd of bitumen in 2014 out of a 20,000 bpd capacity. Source: Visiongain 2015 Table 8.8 Overview of Connacher Oil and Gas in the In-Situ Oil Sands Market: Headquarters, Employees, Stock Exchange, 2014 Production (bpd), Market Share (%), Market Rank Table 8.7 Operational CNOOC In-Situ Projects (Company Name, Project Name, Technology, Start Date, BPD Production 2014, BPD Capacity) Source: Visiongain 2015