Target Signals' secrets of Fundamental Analysis for Gold, USD, and EUR pairs. If you have some questions, suggestions or want to share your experience with Target Signals, feel free to share them with other readers in the comments section. Share this presentation with your network to educate them on the Fundamental analysis! Want to learn more about Target Signals and FOREX trading? Visit: http://targetsignals.com Did you like this presentation? Want to get free forex signals and cash back on your trades? Sign up with Target Signals and our trusted brokers: http://targetsignals.com/specialoffers 'Time is money - Let's trade!'

1. ‘Fundamental Target Elements’
Hosted by Target Signals
in co-operation with AFB FX
15 November 2012

2. Target Signals
Co-founder and MD
Yagub Rahimov
Target Signals
AFB FX representative
Sarah Bennett

3. Target Signals
Risk Disclaimer
Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high
level of risk, and may not be suitable for all
investors. Before deciding to trade foreign
exchange, you should carefully consider your
investment objectives, level of experience, and
risk appetite. There is a possibility that you may
sustain a loss of some or all of your investment
and therefore you should not invest money that
you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of
all the risks associated with foreign exchange
trading, and seek advice from an independent
financial advisor if you have any doubts.

4. Target Signals
Fundamental Target Elements
Fundamental analysis
Gold, USD pairs, EUR pairs

5. Target Signals
FUNdaMENTAL analysis 1.0
Approach towards FUN da MEMTALs
Global Balance of Payments Global Economy
Economic/Financial Elements Regional
Capital Flows (CF) economy
Capital into and out of economy
Local Economy
Trade Flows (TF)
TRADE (Domestic, Transnational, Global)
Political Elements
Elections Driving sources’
Psychological Elements/Market Sentiment economy
Buy the Rumors, Sell the Facts.

6. Target Signals
Disadvantages & Advantages
Data
Objectivity Sort Process
intensive
Specificity
Specify
Time and
energy Availability
consuming
Analysis

7. Target Signals
Economic/Financial elements
Economic policy
Government fiscal policy
Monetary Policy
Economic conditions
Inflation
Employment levels
GDP
How do these developments affect the market?!
Sample 1: Higher interest rates=Demand for the currency
Sample 2: Lower interest rates=Higher demand for commodities

8. Higher interest rates
Target Signals
=
Demand for the currency

9. Target Signals
Lower interest rates
=
Higher demand for commodities

10. Target Signals
Economic indicators
Execution of the fundamental analysis in FX market is based on Economic indicators.
These indicators:
Published on fixed time intervals
Represent the state of the economy
Published by various governmental and private organizations (FED, ECB, Central Banks,
MOODY....)
Trend definers
Volatility definers

11. Target Signals
Major Economic Indicators…
Interest rates
GDP expectations vs real GDP announcement
Employment index
Retail Sales Index
CPI- Consumer Price Index
PPI-Producer Price Index
Trade Balance
Industry Production
Existing Home Sales
Durable goods sale

12. Target Signals
Interest rates
Traders should evaluate the
economic conditions to predict the
First major Interest rate cut 17/11/2008
Interest rate changes for the close
future
Effect:
Lower interest rate
=
Lower demand for
the currency

13. Target Signals
Monetary Policy changes
Monetary policies aim to pump capital into the
economy
Effect: 02 August 2012 FED introduces OMTs (QE3)
Easier money
Supply
Supply>Demand
Currency value
goes DOWN

14. Target Signals
Prelim GDP announcements
Annualized change in the value of all goods
and services produced by the economy
Announced quarterly
Strong USD driver
Announced quarterly
29.02.2012
US GDP 3.0% vs. 2.8%

15. Target Signals
US Prelim GDP announcements
2012 Q1, Q2, Q3

16. Target Signals
NFP -Non Farm Payroll
Measures the change in the number of employed people, excluding the farming
industry.
Announced Monthly
Employment = “Possible” Consumer Spending
Economic activity

17. Target Signals
Trade Balance
Value difference between Imported and Exported goods
Higher export = Good for the currency
Positive trade balance = Good for the currency

18. Target Signals
Political Factors
Elections
EU – Presidential Elections
US Presidential Elections
EU Parliamentary elections
Election = Uncertainty in the economy

19. Dow Jones industrial index in
Target Signals
uncertainty

20. Psychological Elements/
Target Signals
Market Sentiment
Buy the Rumors, Sell the Facts
MT4 demonstration USD/JPY

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26. Target Signals
Contact Target Signals
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