SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 62
SUGAR RUSH!
SUGAR AND THE CITY!
SUGAR AND THE CITY!                          2
Perspectives on the
Sugar Market!


Eddie Tofpik
Member of the Society of Technical Analysts.
Market Technicians Association (affiliate)



New York – 15th May 2012
…so what does it
   look like…

     Now!
U. S. Dollar

     vs.

Brazilian Real
Let’s take a look longer
term
Hedging your input costs
• Hedging your output income is only part of the
  story…
• …sure you could also hedge your FX exposure…
  USDBRL, etc…
• …but look at your input costs!

• Fertilizer costs…hedging?
• Its behind seed technology & crop protection – should
  it be?
• When prices rise, reducing fertiliser use &
  keeping yields the same maintains profitability
   – what happens when prices stall or fall?
• Great leaps in seed technology & precision
  farming in recent years – fertilizer importance
  decreased.
   – should it therefore be ‘unhedged’?
…but where now?
I am mindful that time
       is short

       so…..
See you in London
later this year for the
 Sugar Dinner there

      …and…
Here is the final bit!
This Publication is issued by ADM Investor Services International Limited (‘ADMISI’
which is regulated by The Financial Services Authority and is a member of The London
Stock Exchange. References to ‘we’, ‘us’ and ‘our’ in this Publication shall mean
ADMISI unless otherwise stated. This Publication was prepared and distributed by us
for information purposes only, and may contain information, advice, recommendations
and/or opinions, which may be used as the basis for trading undertaken by us and our
officers, employees, associated and/or affiliated companies. This Publication should
not be construed as solicitation, nor as offering advice for the purposes of the
purchase or sale of any derivative, security or investment. The information and
opinions contained within this Publication were considered by us to be valid when
published. This Publication may also contain information that has been provided to us
by third parties. The source of such information may be disclosed within this
Publication where relevant. Whilst we consider we have taken all reasonable steps to
ensure the information is correct, we do not under any circumstances whatsoever,
warrant the accuracy or completeness of such information. Any person placing
reliance upon this Publication to undertake trading, does so entirely at their own risk,
and accordingly, we do not accept any liability as a result, whether direct or indirectly
incurred. Derivatives and securities markets may be subject to rapid and unexpected
price movements, and past performance is not necessarily a guide to future
performance. Currency movements may also have an unfavourable, as well as
favourable effect on the value of the underlying investment and/or assets. Investments
and/or strategies discussed herein, may not be suitable for all investors. Accordingly,
if any person reading this Publication has doubts about their particular suitability, they
should consult an independent investment adviser.
Eddie’s Crayons…




    +44 20 7390 2952 (24 Hours)
      eddie.tofpik@admisi.com

More Related Content

What's hot (8)

Global Currency Updates
Global Currency UpdatesGlobal Currency Updates
Global Currency Updates
 
Global Currency Updates
Global Currency UpdatesGlobal Currency Updates
Global Currency Updates
 
Opening bell
Opening bellOpening bell
Opening bell
 
Global Currency Updates
Global Currency UpdatesGlobal Currency Updates
Global Currency Updates
 
Major World Currencies
Major World CurrenciesMajor World Currencies
Major World Currencies
 
Global Currency Updates
Global Currency UpdatesGlobal Currency Updates
Global Currency Updates
 
Epic research weekly commodity report 12 to 16 jan 2015
Epic research weekly commodity report  12 to 16 jan 2015Epic research weekly commodity report  12 to 16 jan 2015
Epic research weekly commodity report 12 to 16 jan 2015
 
Epic research malaysia weekly klse report from 21st december 2015 to 25th d...
Epic research malaysia   weekly klse report from 21st december 2015 to 25th d...Epic research malaysia   weekly klse report from 21st december 2015 to 25th d...
Epic research malaysia weekly klse report from 21st december 2015 to 25th d...
 

Viewers also liked

Sugar Rush 2 (Sugar & the City) NY
Sugar Rush 2 (Sugar & the City) NYSugar Rush 2 (Sugar & the City) NY
Sugar Rush 2 (Sugar & the City) NY
TOFPIK
 
013buildings_examples1
013buildings_examples1013buildings_examples1
013buildings_examples1
Bryan Ousdahl
 
Certificate of Appreciation
Certificate of AppreciationCertificate of Appreciation
Certificate of Appreciation
Randi Freeman
 
Eddie & Price Risk Management
Eddie & Price Risk ManagementEddie & Price Risk Management
Eddie & Price Risk Management
TOFPIK
 

Viewers also liked (20)

Competencias Laborales
Competencias LaboralesCompetencias Laborales
Competencias Laborales
 
Strategies for Improving Graduation Rates
Strategies for Improving Graduation RatesStrategies for Improving Graduation Rates
Strategies for Improving Graduation Rates
 
Programme pédagogique panneaux en fibre de bois
Programme pédagogique panneaux en fibre de boisProgramme pédagogique panneaux en fibre de bois
Programme pédagogique panneaux en fibre de bois
 
Healthcare B2B Integration Infographic
Healthcare B2B Integration InfographicHealthcare B2B Integration Infographic
Healthcare B2B Integration Infographic
 
Proyecto 1
Proyecto 1Proyecto 1
Proyecto 1
 
Proyecto 1 5
Proyecto 1 5Proyecto 1 5
Proyecto 1 5
 
Sugar Rush 2 (Sugar & the City) NY
Sugar Rush 2 (Sugar & the City) NYSugar Rush 2 (Sugar & the City) NY
Sugar Rush 2 (Sugar & the City) NY
 
The Voice of Australian Business 2015: Our insights into Tax, tech & life aft...
The Voice of Australian Business 2015: Our insights into Tax, tech & life aft...The Voice of Australian Business 2015: Our insights into Tax, tech & life aft...
The Voice of Australian Business 2015: Our insights into Tax, tech & life aft...
 
013buildings_examples1
013buildings_examples1013buildings_examples1
013buildings_examples1
 
Irfan e-Shariat
Irfan e-ShariatIrfan e-Shariat
Irfan e-Shariat
 
Basebuilt examples
Basebuilt examplesBasebuilt examples
Basebuilt examples
 
¿Como hacer marcas exitosas?
¿Como hacer marcas exitosas?¿Como hacer marcas exitosas?
¿Como hacer marcas exitosas?
 
The Public Ledger - Agricultural Investment 2011
The Public Ledger - Agricultural Investment 2011The Public Ledger - Agricultural Investment 2011
The Public Ledger - Agricultural Investment 2011
 
What to Consider When Hiring a Payment Processor
What to Consider When Hiring a Payment ProcessorWhat to Consider When Hiring a Payment Processor
What to Consider When Hiring a Payment Processor
 
Sena
SenaSena
Sena
 
Certificate of Appreciation
Certificate of AppreciationCertificate of Appreciation
Certificate of Appreciation
 
6. Operaciones Rangos. Estructura
6. Operaciones Rangos. Estructura6. Operaciones Rangos. Estructura
6. Operaciones Rangos. Estructura
 
Chris Llewellyn Smith-Can future energy needs be met sustainability?
Chris Llewellyn Smith-Can future energy needs be met sustainability?Chris Llewellyn Smith-Can future energy needs be met sustainability?
Chris Llewellyn Smith-Can future energy needs be met sustainability?
 
Operations research models used in investment analysis
Operations research models used in investment analysisOperations research models used in investment analysis
Operations research models used in investment analysis
 
Eddie & Price Risk Management
Eddie & Price Risk ManagementEddie & Price Risk Management
Eddie & Price Risk Management
 

Similar to NY Sugar Dinner Week Presentation 2012

TechnicalGold20150112
TechnicalGold20150112TechnicalGold20150112
TechnicalGold20150112
Kenneth Koh
 
Daily forex-report30-july-2013
Daily forex-report30-july-2013Daily forex-report30-july-2013
Daily forex-report30-july-2013
Epic Daily Report
 

Similar to NY Sugar Dinner Week Presentation 2012 (20)

Perspectives on the Sugar Market & Brazil
Perspectives on the Sugar Market & BrazilPerspectives on the Sugar Market & Brazil
Perspectives on the Sugar Market & Brazil
 
TechnicalGold20150112
TechnicalGold20150112TechnicalGold20150112
TechnicalGold20150112
 
Daily forex-report30-july-2013
Daily forex-report30-july-2013Daily forex-report30-july-2013
Daily forex-report30-july-2013
 
Daily klse malaysia report by epic research malaysia 5th september 2014
Daily klse malaysia report by epic research malaysia  5th september 2014Daily klse malaysia report by epic research malaysia  5th september 2014
Daily klse malaysia report by epic research malaysia 5th september 2014
 
Currency Call tracker Sept'14 from 1st to 15th
Currency Call tracker Sept'14 from 1st to 15thCurrency Call tracker Sept'14 from 1st to 15th
Currency Call tracker Sept'14 from 1st to 15th
 
Dax Cooke
Dax CookeDax Cooke
Dax Cooke
 
Daily forex-report by epic reseach 26 july 2013
Daily forex-report by epic reseach 26 july 2013Daily forex-report by epic reseach 26 july 2013
Daily forex-report by epic reseach 26 july 2013
 
Daily klse malaysia report by epic research malaysia 2nd september 2014
Daily klse malaysia report by epic research malaysia  2nd september 2014Daily klse malaysia report by epic research malaysia  2nd september 2014
Daily klse malaysia report by epic research malaysia 2nd september 2014
 
Daily forex-report 24 sept 2013
Daily forex-report 24 sept 2013Daily forex-report 24 sept 2013
Daily forex-report 24 sept 2013
 
3 steps to wealth creation
3 steps to wealth creation3 steps to wealth creation
3 steps to wealth creation
 
Time to Invest in Equities – Valuations Attractive
Time to Invest in Equities – Valuations AttractiveTime to Invest in Equities – Valuations Attractive
Time to Invest in Equities – Valuations Attractive
 
“Our Equity Valuation Index now into Deep Green Zone” - Invest aggressively i...
“Our Equity Valuation Index now into Deep Green Zone” - Invest aggressively i...“Our Equity Valuation Index now into Deep Green Zone” - Invest aggressively i...
“Our Equity Valuation Index now into Deep Green Zone” - Invest aggressively i...
 
3 Reasons why one should not invest in Fixed Deposits(FD) and Invest in Mutua...
3 Reasons why one should not invest in Fixed Deposits(FD) and Invest in Mutua...3 Reasons why one should not invest in Fixed Deposits(FD) and Invest in Mutua...
3 Reasons why one should not invest in Fixed Deposits(FD) and Invest in Mutua...
 
DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-24 APRIL 2012
DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-24 APRIL 2012DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-24 APRIL 2012
DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-24 APRIL 2012
 
Daily forex-report 27 sept 2013
Daily forex-report 27 sept 2013Daily forex-report 27 sept 2013
Daily forex-report 27 sept 2013
 
Daily forex-report 16 sept 2013
Daily forex-report 16 sept 2013Daily forex-report 16 sept 2013
Daily forex-report 16 sept 2013
 
DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-05 JULY 2012
DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-05 JULY 2012DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-05 JULY 2012
DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-05 JULY 2012
 
Choice - Morning Tea
Choice - Morning Tea  Choice - Morning Tea
Choice - Morning Tea
 
DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-30 APRIL 2012
DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-30 APRIL 2012DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-30 APRIL 2012
DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-30 APRIL 2012
 
Daily sgx-report by epic research singapore 25 nov 2013
Daily sgx-report by epic research singapore 25 nov 2013Daily sgx-report by epic research singapore 25 nov 2013
Daily sgx-report by epic research singapore 25 nov 2013
 

NY Sugar Dinner Week Presentation 2012

  • 1. SUGAR RUSH! SUGAR AND THE CITY! SUGAR AND THE CITY! 2 Perspectives on the Sugar Market! Eddie Tofpik Member of the Society of Technical Analysts. Market Technicians Association (affiliate) New York – 15th May 2012
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. …so what does it look like… Now!
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. U. S. Dollar vs. Brazilian Real
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42. Let’s take a look longer term
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. Hedging your input costs • Hedging your output income is only part of the story… • …sure you could also hedge your FX exposure… USDBRL, etc… • …but look at your input costs! • Fertilizer costs…hedging? • Its behind seed technology & crop protection – should it be? • When prices rise, reducing fertiliser use & keeping yields the same maintains profitability – what happens when prices stall or fall? • Great leaps in seed technology & precision farming in recent years – fertilizer importance decreased. – should it therefore be ‘unhedged’?
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 54.
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58. I am mindful that time is short so…..
  • 59. See you in London later this year for the Sugar Dinner there …and…
  • 60. Here is the final bit!
  • 61. This Publication is issued by ADM Investor Services International Limited (‘ADMISI’ which is regulated by The Financial Services Authority and is a member of The London Stock Exchange. References to ‘we’, ‘us’ and ‘our’ in this Publication shall mean ADMISI unless otherwise stated. This Publication was prepared and distributed by us for information purposes only, and may contain information, advice, recommendations and/or opinions, which may be used as the basis for trading undertaken by us and our officers, employees, associated and/or affiliated companies. This Publication should not be construed as solicitation, nor as offering advice for the purposes of the purchase or sale of any derivative, security or investment. The information and opinions contained within this Publication were considered by us to be valid when published. This Publication may also contain information that has been provided to us by third parties. The source of such information may be disclosed within this Publication where relevant. Whilst we consider we have taken all reasonable steps to ensure the information is correct, we do not under any circumstances whatsoever, warrant the accuracy or completeness of such information. Any person placing reliance upon this Publication to undertake trading, does so entirely at their own risk, and accordingly, we do not accept any liability as a result, whether direct or indirectly incurred. Derivatives and securities markets may be subject to rapid and unexpected price movements, and past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Currency movements may also have an unfavourable, as well as favourable effect on the value of the underlying investment and/or assets. Investments and/or strategies discussed herein, may not be suitable for all investors. Accordingly, if any person reading this Publication has doubts about their particular suitability, they should consult an independent investment adviser.
  • 62. Eddie’s Crayons… +44 20 7390 2952 (24 Hours) eddie.tofpik@admisi.com