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Next	Generation		
Financial	Architecture	
	
Part	2	
Tranched	Futures	&	Options	
	
Eugene	Kagansky	
www.nordo.consulting	
	
	
Inspired	by	lectures	of		
Professor	Massimo	Massa
Next	Generation	Financial	Architecture		 	 Page 2 of 8	
	
Introduction	
	
The	Financial	sector	should	be	in	the	service	of	the	real	economy	and	not	vise	versa.	The	needs	
of	 the	 real	 economy	 as	 opposed	 to	 the	 needs	 of	 financial	 institutions	 should	 drive	 financial	
innovation.	Understanding	and	addressing	the	needs	of	the	real	economy	should	be	the	focus	of	
the	next	generation	financial	architecture.	
	
For-profit	and	nonprofit	organizations	across	all	industries	worldwide	face	two	classes	of	market	
risks:	the	risk	of	market	volatility	and	the	risk	of	rare	event.	The	risk	of	market	volatility	exposes	
organizations	to	ordinary	fluctuation	of	prices	and	rates	in	capital,	commodities,	labor,	property,	
and	other	markets.	The	risk	of	rare	event	exposes	entities	to	extraordinary	jumps	in	prices	and	
rates	that	threaten	the	very	existence	of	those	organizations.	
	
The	current	arsenal	of	financial	instruments	is	based	on	two	fundamental	building	blocks:	options	
and	forwards	that	are	not	adequately	tailored	to	deal	with	each	class	of	risk	separately.	This	
inefficiency	comes	from	one-size-fit-all	payoffs	and	poor	liquidity	which	result	in	high	cost	of	
hedging.	
	
Understanding	that	fixing	the	building	blocks	will	simplify	or	eliminate	altogether	more	complex	
financial	instruments	we	shall	embark	on	developing	the	next	generation	financial	architecture.	
	
	
Objectives	
	
An	 important	 objective	 of	 the	 next	 generation	 financial	 architecture	 is	 to	 enable	 the	 real	
economy	to	properly	hedge	its	risks	using	efficient	tool	set	specifically	tailored	for	the	need.	
	
The	ideal	financial	instruments	for	this	tool	set	should	feature	the	flexibility	of	OTC	markets	and	
the	simplicity,	transparency,	and	efficiency	of	Exchanges.	The	building	blocks	underlying	such	
financial	instruments	should	have	granular	payoffs	tailored	for	each	class	of	risk	and	maturity	
maximizing	flexibility	of	the	hedging	horizon,	liquidity	and	operational	efficiency.
Part 2 – Tranched Futures & Options Page 3 of 8	
	
Financial	Instruments	
	
Like	structured	products,	forwards	and	options	can	be	tranched	to	create	the	desired	risk	profiles.	
Tranched	futures	and	options	have	the	flexibility	of	dealing	with	each	class	of	risk	separately.	
Tranching	payoffs	according	to	volatility	of	the	underlying	asset	would	allow	the	segregation	of	
rare	event	risk	and	volatility	risk	with	a	three	Sigma	cutoff.			
	
Tranched	Futures	
Future	agreements	with	capped	payoff	according	to	risk	appetite	expressed	in	standard	
deviations	of	returns	of	the	underlying	asset.	The	known	maximum	payoff	significantly	
reduces	 collateral	 requirements.	 These	 building	 blocks	 would	 allow	 flexible	 hedging	
strategies	previously	impossible	or	impractical.	
	
	
	
	
Figure	1:	Isolating	Volatility	Risk	in	Futures
Next	Generation	Financial	Architecture		 	 Page 4 of 8	
	
	
Non-financial	organizations	typically	use	financial	hedging	against	market	volatility	risks	
such	as	transaction	risk	and	sometimes	translation	risk,	and	industrial	hedging	against	
rare	events	risks	such	as	economic	risk.	Thus	the	focus	should	be	on	tailoring	futures	to	
various	levels	of	market	volatility	risk.	
	
Depending	 on	 the	 exposure	 horizon	 and	 financial	 stability,	 some	 organizations	 may	
choose	to	accept	or	self-insure	risk	of	low	market	fluctuations,	while	others	may	take	the	
opposite	view	and	hedge	high	probability	risk	only.	To	accommodate	such	preferences,	
volatility	risk	can	be	further	sliced	into	three	standard	tranches	of	one	Sigma	each.	
	
	
	
Figure	2:	Tranching	Volatility	Risk	in	Futures
Part 2 – Tranched Futures & Options Page 5 of 8	
	
The	resulting	instruments	would	be	simple,	yet	powerful	tools	for	implementing	flexible,	
and	elaborate	hedging	strategies.	Firms	with	strong	Free	Cash	Flows	may	choose	to	hedge	
3rd
	Sigma	price	(or	rate)	fluctuations	or	not	to	hedge	at	all,	while	firms	with	weak	Free	
Cash	Flows	will	have	a	choice	of	hedging	starting	from	1st
	Sigma	fluctuations	up.	
	
	
Figure	3:	First	Sigma	Future	
	
	
	
Figure	4:	Second	Sigma	Future	
	
	
	
	
Figure	5:	Third	Sigma	Future
Next	Generation	Financial	Architecture		 	 Page 6 of 8	
	
Tranched	Options	
Options	with	capped	payoff	according	to	risk	appetite	expressed	in	standard	deviations	
of	 returns	 of	 the	 underlying	 asset.	 The	 known	 maximum	 payoff	 significantly	 reduces	
option	 price.	 Tranching	 payoffs	 according	 to	 volatility	 of	 the	 underlying	 asset	 allows	
segregation	of	rare	event	risk	with	a	three	Sigma	cutoff.			
	
	
Figure	6:		Isolating	Volatility	Risk	in	Options	
	
	
	
Options	are	used	both	for	hedging	and	leveraged	investments.	Options	on	rare	event	risk	
make	 financial	 hedging	 of	 economic	 risk	 a	 viable	 short	 term	 alternative.	 Options	 on	
volatility	risk	can	be	further	sliced	into	three	standard	tranches	of	one	Sigma	each	to	
accommodate	various	hedging	and	investment	choices.	
	
	
Figure	7:	Tranching	Volatility	Risk	in	Options
Part 2 – Tranched Futures & Options Page 7 of 8	
	
	
Tranched	options	are	effective	building	blocks	in	combination	with	tranched	futures	or	in	
isolation	for	implementing	sophisticated	hedging	and	investment	strategies.	Payoffs	of	
tranched	 call	 and	 tranched	 put	 options	 are	 similar	 to	 bull	 spread	 and	 bear	 spread	
strategies.	A	combination	of	tranched	call	and	tranched	put	options	would	allow	investors	
to	adopt	butterfly	and	corridor	strategies	which	are	impractical	using	regular	options.		
	
Figure	8:	First	Sigma	Option	
	
	
Figure	9:	Second	Sigma	Option	
	
	
	
Figure	10:	Third	Sigma	Option
Next	Generation	Financial	Architecture		 	 Page 8 of 8	
	
Maturities	
	
Since	β€œGod	blessed	the	seventh	day	and	made	it	holy”	1
	people’s	lives	have	revolved	around	a	7	
day	cycle.	Personal	and	business	lives	from	daycare	to	college	to	work	are	dominated	by	weekly	
schedules.	Week	is	the	most	intuitive,	the	most	convenient,	and	the	most	operationally	efficient	
maturity.	
	
Concentrating	liquidity	in	one,	standard,	weekly	maturity	opens	a	number	of	possibilities	that	
were	previously	cost-prohibitive.	Weekly	maturity	brings	frequent	reset	of	strikes	and	quantities,	
allowing	flexible	entry,	rolling,	and	exit	strategies.	
	
Rolling	 over	 weekly	 contracts	 becomes	 a	 practical	 alternative	 to	 standard,	 exchange-traded	
maturities	 and	 offer	 flexibility	 of	 replicating	 OTC	 trades	 using	 exchange-traded	 instruments.	
Various	 rolling	 strategies	 of	 weekly,	 tranched	 futures	 and	 European	 options	 can	 be	 used	 to	
replicate	longer-dated	American	or	Bermudan	options,	swaps,	swaptions,	caps,	floors,	and	other	
exotic	instruments.	
	
	
	
Conclusions	
	
1. Tranching	allows	segregation	of	volatility	risk	and	rare	event	risk.	
	
2. Finite	payoffs	reduce	collateral	requirements	and	option	prices.		
	
3. Limited	number	of	tranches	and	maturities	concentrates	liquidity	in	fewer	instruments.	
	
4. Weekly	maturities	offer	flexibility	of	frequent	resets	of	strikes,	tranches	and	quantities.	
	
5. Frequent	entry	and	exit	points	allow	dynamic	positions	that	replicate	long-dated	and	exotic	
instruments.	
	
6. Tranched	options	and	futures	offer	new,	cost-efficient	hedging	and	investment	strategies.	
	
																																																								
1
	Genesis	2:1-3

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Next Generation Financial Architecture. Part 2 - Tranched Futures and Options.

  • 2. Next Generation Financial Architecture Page 2 of 8 Introduction The Financial sector should be in the service of the real economy and not vise versa. The needs of the real economy as opposed to the needs of financial institutions should drive financial innovation. Understanding and addressing the needs of the real economy should be the focus of the next generation financial architecture. For-profit and nonprofit organizations across all industries worldwide face two classes of market risks: the risk of market volatility and the risk of rare event. The risk of market volatility exposes organizations to ordinary fluctuation of prices and rates in capital, commodities, labor, property, and other markets. The risk of rare event exposes entities to extraordinary jumps in prices and rates that threaten the very existence of those organizations. The current arsenal of financial instruments is based on two fundamental building blocks: options and forwards that are not adequately tailored to deal with each class of risk separately. This inefficiency comes from one-size-fit-all payoffs and poor liquidity which result in high cost of hedging. Understanding that fixing the building blocks will simplify or eliminate altogether more complex financial instruments we shall embark on developing the next generation financial architecture. Objectives An important objective of the next generation financial architecture is to enable the real economy to properly hedge its risks using efficient tool set specifically tailored for the need. The ideal financial instruments for this tool set should feature the flexibility of OTC markets and the simplicity, transparency, and efficiency of Exchanges. The building blocks underlying such financial instruments should have granular payoffs tailored for each class of risk and maturity maximizing flexibility of the hedging horizon, liquidity and operational efficiency.
  • 3. Part 2 – Tranched Futures & Options Page 3 of 8 Financial Instruments Like structured products, forwards and options can be tranched to create the desired risk profiles. Tranched futures and options have the flexibility of dealing with each class of risk separately. Tranching payoffs according to volatility of the underlying asset would allow the segregation of rare event risk and volatility risk with a three Sigma cutoff. Tranched Futures Future agreements with capped payoff according to risk appetite expressed in standard deviations of returns of the underlying asset. The known maximum payoff significantly reduces collateral requirements. These building blocks would allow flexible hedging strategies previously impossible or impractical. Figure 1: Isolating Volatility Risk in Futures
  • 4. Next Generation Financial Architecture Page 4 of 8 Non-financial organizations typically use financial hedging against market volatility risks such as transaction risk and sometimes translation risk, and industrial hedging against rare events risks such as economic risk. Thus the focus should be on tailoring futures to various levels of market volatility risk. Depending on the exposure horizon and financial stability, some organizations may choose to accept or self-insure risk of low market fluctuations, while others may take the opposite view and hedge high probability risk only. To accommodate such preferences, volatility risk can be further sliced into three standard tranches of one Sigma each. Figure 2: Tranching Volatility Risk in Futures
  • 5. Part 2 – Tranched Futures & Options Page 5 of 8 The resulting instruments would be simple, yet powerful tools for implementing flexible, and elaborate hedging strategies. Firms with strong Free Cash Flows may choose to hedge 3rd Sigma price (or rate) fluctuations or not to hedge at all, while firms with weak Free Cash Flows will have a choice of hedging starting from 1st Sigma fluctuations up. Figure 3: First Sigma Future Figure 4: Second Sigma Future Figure 5: Third Sigma Future
  • 6. Next Generation Financial Architecture Page 6 of 8 Tranched Options Options with capped payoff according to risk appetite expressed in standard deviations of returns of the underlying asset. The known maximum payoff significantly reduces option price. Tranching payoffs according to volatility of the underlying asset allows segregation of rare event risk with a three Sigma cutoff. Figure 6: Isolating Volatility Risk in Options Options are used both for hedging and leveraged investments. Options on rare event risk make financial hedging of economic risk a viable short term alternative. Options on volatility risk can be further sliced into three standard tranches of one Sigma each to accommodate various hedging and investment choices. Figure 7: Tranching Volatility Risk in Options
  • 7. Part 2 – Tranched Futures & Options Page 7 of 8 Tranched options are effective building blocks in combination with tranched futures or in isolation for implementing sophisticated hedging and investment strategies. Payoffs of tranched call and tranched put options are similar to bull spread and bear spread strategies. A combination of tranched call and tranched put options would allow investors to adopt butterfly and corridor strategies which are impractical using regular options. Figure 8: First Sigma Option Figure 9: Second Sigma Option Figure 10: Third Sigma Option
  • 8. Next Generation Financial Architecture Page 8 of 8 Maturities Since β€œGod blessed the seventh day and made it holy” 1 people’s lives have revolved around a 7 day cycle. Personal and business lives from daycare to college to work are dominated by weekly schedules. Week is the most intuitive, the most convenient, and the most operationally efficient maturity. Concentrating liquidity in one, standard, weekly maturity opens a number of possibilities that were previously cost-prohibitive. Weekly maturity brings frequent reset of strikes and quantities, allowing flexible entry, rolling, and exit strategies. Rolling over weekly contracts becomes a practical alternative to standard, exchange-traded maturities and offer flexibility of replicating OTC trades using exchange-traded instruments. Various rolling strategies of weekly, tranched futures and European options can be used to replicate longer-dated American or Bermudan options, swaps, swaptions, caps, floors, and other exotic instruments. Conclusions 1. Tranching allows segregation of volatility risk and rare event risk. 2. Finite payoffs reduce collateral requirements and option prices. 3. Limited number of tranches and maturities concentrates liquidity in fewer instruments. 4. Weekly maturities offer flexibility of frequent resets of strikes, tranches and quantities. 5. Frequent entry and exit points allow dynamic positions that replicate long-dated and exotic instruments. 6. Tranched options and futures offer new, cost-efficient hedging and investment strategies. 1 Genesis 2:1-3