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Macro Risk Premium and Intermediary Balance Sheet Quantities

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The macro risk premium measures the threshold return for real activity that
receives funding from savers. Financial intermediaries’ balance sheet conditions provide a window on the macro risk premium. The tightness of intermediaries’ balance sheet constraints determines their “risk appetite”. Risk appetite, in turn, determines the set of real projects that
receive funding, and hence determine the supply of credit. Monetary policy affects the risk appetite of intermediaries in two ways: via interest rate policy, and via quantity policies. We estimate time varying risk appetite of financial intermediaries for the U.S., Germany, the U.K., and Japan, and study the joint dynamics of risk appetite with macroeconomic aggregates and monetary policy instruments for the U.S. We argue that risk appetite is an important indicator for monetary conditions.

Published in: Economy & Finance
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