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Weekly Equity Report By Epic Research-19 March 2012
1. Weekly Equity Report (19 Mar 2012)
Weekly News Hitting Indian Market
India's FM fails to restore market confidence.
Dinesh Trivedi stays Railway Minister till Mar 30.
RBI leaves repo rate, CRR unchanged.
India's industrial output accelerates in January.
Inflation climbs due to costlier food prices.
India's industrial output growth slumps again.
Weekly trend of theinvestors in buybacks.
SEBI seeks 15% quota for small
Market
Sensex slips on IIP data...Nifty holds 5350.
India's trade with Europe touches US$107bn.
The Union Budget received a negative response from the equity markets. Even the hardening of yields
suggested that the bond market wasn’t convinced about the the Government’s borrowing target. The
Centre has tried to bridge the budget deficit by raising excise duty and service tax, which are likely to be
inflationary. This may force the RBI to postpone the proposed rate cuts. Resultant slowdown
would mean difficulty in achieving 7.6%GDP growth. Government borrowings in FY13 may exceed
FY12 levels. Consequently, the fiscal deficit could rise to 5.4% of GDP v/s budget estimate of 5.1%.
With most big events of March behind now, the markets would focus on the global factors and
liquidity flows. Next month's RBI policy will be the next near-term trigger. It remains to be
seen how the central bank views the Budget, particularly announcements on fiscal
consolidation. Till then, the market indices are likely to be choppy and range bound. The Nifty may
trade between 5150 and 5400 in the short term.
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