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1. DAILY REPORT
05th DECEMBER. 2013
Global markets at a glance
Asian markets with the exception of Shanghai Composite
were trading lower and the Nikkei retreated from its 6year closing highs. Investors booked profits on concerns
that the tapering by US Fed would lead to reduction in foreign fund inflows. The Nikkei ended down 2.2% at 15,408.
Shanghai Composite ended up 1.3% while Hang Seng and
STI ended nearly 1% lower.
World Indices
European shares traded flat on Wednesday, steadying after the previous session's steep losses, with Asia-focused
bank Standard Chartered the leading decliner after it
warned its profits were likely to fall.
Index
Value
% Change
15,889.77
-0.16
S&P 500
1,792.81
-0.13
NASDAQ
EURO STO
FTSE 100
4,038
2,991.76
6,509.97
+0.02
-0.73
-0.90
Nikkei 225
Hong Kong
15,336.66
23,651.33
-0.46
-0.33
DJl
Top Gainers
Company
The Dow Jones industrial average slipped 24.85 points, or
0.16 percent, to end at 15,889.77. The Standard & Poor's
500 Index declined 2.34 points, or 0.13 percent, to finish at
1,792.81. But the Nasdaq Composite Index inched up just
0.80 of a point, or 0.02 percent, to close at 4,038.
Wall Street Update
The Dow and the S&P 500 finished lower for the fourth
consecutive session on Wednesday after investors found
few reasons to make big moves, with uncertainty remaining over when the Federal Reserve will start to slow its
stimulus.
Previous day Roundup
Indian shares fell on Wednesday to mark their second consecutive day of losses amid weak Asian cues, as investors
locked in profits in blue chip shares ahead of major risk
events including U.S. jobs data and state elections results
due later in the week, as investors booked profits in late
trades ahead of the assembly election results due on Sunday. The 30-share Sensex ended down 147 points at
20,709 and the 50-share Nifty ended down 41 points at
6,161.
Index stats
The Bankex and Bank Nifty both declined 0.57% & 0.49%
respectively. Among the sartorial indices the sectors which
were up are; AUTO [up 128.93pts], Consumer Durables
[up 3.34pts], TECK [up pts], IT [up 7.59pts], Power [up
5.13pts], and the sectors declines are; Capital Goods
[down 98.13pts], Oil & Gas [down 67.78pts], PSU [down
16.08pts], Metals [up 86.95pts], Realty [down 36.87pts],
and Healthcare [down 49.03pts], FMCG [down 88.50pts].
CMP
Change
% Chg
TATAPOWER
82.50
2.50
+3.13
571.90
15.35
+2.76
95.90
2.15
+2.29
NMDC
139.65
2.40
+1.75
WIPRO
490.55
8.10
+1.68
CMP
Change
% Chg
121.05
312.45
105.7
445
153.00
3.00
6.75
2.15
8.30
2.85
-2.42
-2.11
-1.99
-1.83
-1.83
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
AUROPHARMA
308.25
1.55
+0.51
CEATLTD
330.85
30.05
+9.99
DBCORP
272.5
2.15
-0.78
182.65
4.95
-2.64
131
13.95
-9.62
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
25.65
0.05
-0.19
CMP
Change
% Chg
6,160.95
20,708.71
-40.90
-146.21
-0.66
-0.70
PNB
POWERGRID
Top Losers
Company
HINDALCO
ITC
IDFC
RANBAXY
DLF
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol
GRANULES
JINDALPHOT
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
PFOCUS
--
Indian Indices
Company
NIFTY
SENSEX
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2. DAILY REPORT
05th DECEMBER. 2013
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. BANK OF BARODA
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. CANARA BANK
BUY BOB FUTURE ABOVE 660 TGT 668/678 SL 650
BUY CAN BANK CASH ABOVE 250 TGT 253/258 SL 245
2. GODREJ INDUSTRIES
MACRO NEWS
 The HSBC SERVICE PMI inched up to 47.2 in November
VS 47.1 in October.
 Microfinance firms tap non-convertible debentures for
funds.
 The electricity regulator CERC's order for granting compensatory tariff for the company's (Tata Power) Mundra
project is likely to come up by month-end.
 India may allow captive coal miners to sell surplus coal
to steel, cement and power producers in a move that
could challenge the monopoly of public sector.
 LIC is likely to declare real estate firm Unitech a defaulter for non-payment of interest on a Rs 200cr loan.
 Decks have been cleared for sale of government's residual stake in Hindustan Zinc and Balco that could help
the exchequer rake in about Rs 20,000 crore.
 Foreign fund flows may get all-clear to take cyprus
route.
 RBI grant to boost liquidity in MSME sector.
 The European Union has all but given up on a trade pact
with India in the near future.
SELL GODREJ IND BELOW 272 TGT 269/264 SL 277
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3. DAILY REPORT
FUTURE & OPTION
05th DECEMBER. 2013
STOCKS IN NEWS
 UCO Bank looks to life after Iran sanctions windfall
 Telecom department slams Rs 600-crore penalty on
Idea over Spice merger.
 Eicher Motors to invest Rs 700cr in next year.
 United Spirits to soon appoint investment bankers
for Whyte & Mackay sale.
 JSW, Essar, SAIL keep Dec steel prices unchanged,
JSPL hikes.
 Coal India misses output target by 15 million tone.
 Vodafone to invest $3bn in India networks over
next 2 years.
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY
PE
6,000
68.9
1,76,909
59,34,950
NIFTY
PE
6,100 100.30
1,59,289
43,08,350
NIFTY
PE
6,200 141.10
1,38,715
41,40,150
BANK NIFTY
PE
11,100
355
15,747
2,39,625
SBIN
PE
1,800
55.00
3,435
2,42,750
UNITECH
PE
15
1.00
2,927
50,88,00
POWERGRID
PE
90
1.20
2,856
73,40,000
DLF
PE
150
.7.00
1,950
4,81,000
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY FUTURE
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
NIFTY
CE
6,400
70.60
2,17,903
44,43,650
NIFTY
CE
6,500
43.25
1,86,976
54,49,700
NIFTY
CE
6,300
108.00
1,58,392
49,29,850
BANKNIFTY
CE
12,000
154.00
17,723
2,26,250
SBIN
CE
1,900
50.00
4,462
2,18,250
UNITECH
CE
17
0.70
7,629 1,91,60,000
DLF
CE
160
6.05
3,334
12,75,000
RELIANCE
CE
880
17.70
2,598
5,80,250
POWERGRID
CE
95
1.55
2,383
41,68,000
SELL NIFTY BELOW 6170 TGT 6150/6120 SL 6195
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
SELL
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in
No. of Amount in
No. of
Contracts
Crores Contracts
Crores Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
44238
1360.36
58693
1796.16
439476
13502.85
-435.80
INDEX OPTIONS
382606
11651.45
388242
11877.46
1665674
51105.83
-226.01
STOCK FUTURES
52496
1417.15
61108
1676.17
1078822
29635.55
-259.02
STOCK OPTIONS
29416
782.93
27858
758.83
38742
1019.99
24.10
TOTAL
-896.72
INDICES
NIFTY
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
6114.08
6137.51
6173.33
6196.76
6232.58
NIFTYJUNIOR
12228.41
12275.53
12359.41
12406.53
12490.41
BANK NIFTY
11051.88
11104.31
11160.18
11212.61
11268.48
YOUR MINTVISORY
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4. DAILY REPORT
05th DECEMBER. 2013
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
In International commodity market spot gold edged back to
$1,238, giving up some of Wednesday's 1.7 percent rally.
U.S. crude eased 9 cents to $97.11, but that followed a 1.2
percent rally on Wednesday after data showed domestic
crude stocks fell by 5.6 million barrels, snapping 10 straight
weeks of builds. Going the other way, Brent crude finished
down 97 cents on Wednesday at $111.65 a barrel after initially rising to the highest since September 12 at $113.02.
Gold prices dropped to a five month low in London on fears
that the signs of economic recovery in the United States
would result in US stimulus tapering. Gold futures for February delivery on Globex platform of Comex was seen trading with a loss of $5.8 at $1215 per troy ounce as of 15.59
IST on Wednesday. In the global market, the yellow metal is
all set for the first annual decline in 13 years. US Federal
Reserve may start to reduce its monetary stimulus at its
March meeting. MCX gold futures for February delivery was
seen trading neutral at Rs.29050 per 10 grams as of 15.56
IST on Wednesday.
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER MAR ABOVE 45450 TGT 45650/45950 SL 45150
SELL SILVER MAR BELOW 44300 TGT 44100/43800 SL 44600
GOLD
Meanwhile, UBS Investment Research has trimmed its silver
price forecasts for next year from $25 previously to $20.50
an ounce while it cut its gold price forecast from $1325 to
$1,200 an ounce. Swiss bank also cut its average silver price
forecast for 2015 from $24 previously to $21per ounce and
they left the 2015 and more distant gold forecasts unchanged from previous calls.
India crude oil futures continued its upside movement on
Wednesday tracking an up-trend on NYMEX crude oil futures. US crude oil futures recorded an up-tick yesterday
and continued its upside movement on Wednesday due to a
surprise decline in US crude oil inventories. Crude oil futures on India's Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) for December delivery was seen trading with a gain of 0.85% at
Rs.6066 per barrel as of 16.42 IST on Wednesday. NYMEX
crude oil futures for January delivery was seen trading with
a gain of $1.25 at $97.29 per barrel as of 17.30 IST on
Wednesday.
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD FEB ABOVE 29790 TGT 29870/29970 SL 29690
SELL GOLD FEB BELOW 29280 TGT 29200/29100 SL 29380
YOUR MINTVISORY
MCX copper was seen trading sideways on Wednesday.
Support for MCX copper February delivery is seen at 443.5
and 441 levels while resistance is seen at 448. MCX copper
for February delivery was seen trading with a loss of 0.30%
at Rs.444.15 per kilogram as of 17.09 IST on Wednesday.
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5. DAILY REPORT
05th DECEMBER. 2013
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
CASTORSEED
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
Barley
1345
+1.66
Castor Seed
4358
+0.25
Chana
2942
+0.34
Chilli
6530
-3.03
Coriander
7515
+0.43
Cotton Seed Oilcake
1406
+0.64
12450
+0.91
Mustard seed
3743
+1.74
Ref Soya Oil
708.5
+0.60
Turmeric
5058
+1.40
Jeera
SELL CASTORSEED BELOW 4340 TGTS 4310/4260 SL 4390
BUY CASTORSEED ABOVE 4425 TGTS 4455/4495 SL 4485
NCDEX ROUNDUP
DHANIYA
Coffee exports have registered a 29 per cent rise in the first
two months of the crop year (October 2013 to September
2014). The country exported 39,800 tonnes, compared to
30,859 tonnes a year ago. The rise is significant as the previous year (October 2012-September 2013) had seen a decline of 5.24 per cent to 299,582 tonnes. India exports coffee mostly to Italy, Germany, Russia, Belgium and
Spain. Robusta variety is mainly used in the preparation of
instant drinks and espressos worldwide.
BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 7550 TGTS 7580/7630 SL 7500
SELL DHANIYA BELOW 7460 TGTS 7430/7380 SL 7510
YOUR MINTVISORY
Chilli prices fell further by 2.35% to Rs 6,576 per quintal in
futures trade yesday as speculators offloaded positions
amid slump in demand in the spot market against adequate
stocks position. At the National Commodity and Derivatives
Exchange, chilli for delivery in December fell further by Rs
158, or 2.35% to Rs 6,676 per quintal with an open interest
of 3745 lots. Offloading of positions by speculators driven
by weak spot demand against adequate stocks position
mainly kept pressure on chilli prices at futures trade.
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6. DAILY REPORT
05th DECEMBER. 2013
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate Currency
Rupee- $
62.3330 Yen-100
Euro
84.6848 GBP
USD/INR
Rate
60.7700
102.1825
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The rupee was trading marginally higher to the US dollar at
Rs 62.30 compared with yesterday's close of Rs 62.36 as the
dollar flows from banks is seen helping offset dollar demand
from oil marketing companies.
The yen held off a five-year trough on the euro and a sixmonth low versus the dollar on Thursday following a whippy
session overnight that lacked conviction as key event risks
including U.S. jobs data loomed.
SELL USD/INR BELOW 62.42 TGTS 62.30, 62.16 SL 62.82.
BUY USD/INR ABOVE 62.95 TGTS 63.12, 63.28 SL 62.55.
EUR/INR
The lift in yields helped the U.S. dollar regain ground on the
yen to stand at 102.37 early Thursday, up from a low of
101.82. It may get further support if U.S. gross domestic
product data get revised up later Thursday. A major mover
was the Canadian dollar which sagged to 3-1/2-year lows
after the Bank of Canada issued a dovish policy statement,
highlighting the risks of undesirably weak inflation.
The euro was steady at $1.3585, having bounced from a
trough of $1.3527 on Wednesday. Service sector data had
showed activity in Italy and France shrinking in November
but expanding in Spain and Germany, highlighting the divergence in the bloc.
There was more good news for Spain as Moody's upgraded
its credit outlook to stable from negative, citing a rebalancing of and a brighter medium-term view for the country's
economy.
SELL EUR/INR BELOW 84.80 TGTS 84.67, 84.50 SL 85.25.
BUY EUR/INR ABOVE 85.52 TGTS 85.65, 85.84 SL 85.10.
YOUR MINTVISORY
The Reserve Bank of India said on Wednesday it accepted all
8 bids for 10.26 billion rupees at its one-day reverse repo
auction through which it absorbs excess liquidity from the
banking system. It had accepted all 4 bids for 8.74 billion
rupees at its one-day repo auction through which it injects
liquidity into the banking system. Indian banks' refinancing
with RBI falls to 169.75 billion rupees. Indian banks' cash
balances with RBI rise to 3.28 trillion rupees.
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7. DAILY REPORT
05th DECEMBER. 2013
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Contract
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
04/12/13
MCX GOLD
FEB
BUY
29290
29370-29470
29190
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
04/12/13
MCX GOLD
FEB
SELL
28870
28790-28690
28970
NOT EXECUTED
04/12/13
MCX SILVER
MAR
BUY
44550
44750-45050
44150
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
04/12/13
MCX SILVER
MAR
SELL
43750
43550-43150
44050
SL TRIGGERED
04/12/13
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
JAN.
SELL
4330
4300-4260
4380
SL TRIGGERED
04/12/13
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
JAN.
BUY
4365
4395-4435
4325
BOOKED PROFIT
04/12/13
NCDEX DHANIYA
DEC.
BUY
7550
7580-7620
7500
NOT EXECUTED
04/12/13
NCDEX DHANIYA
DEC.
SELL
7440
7410-7370
7490
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
04/12/13
GBP/INR
DEC.
SELL
102.21
102.02-101.77
102.76
NO PROFIT NO LOSS
04/12/13
GBP/INR
DEC.
BUY
103.02
103.18-103.48
102.50
SL TRIGGERED
04/12/13
JPY/INR
DEC.
SELL
60.74
60.55-60.26
61.30
NOT EXECUTED
04/12/13
JPYINR
DEC.
BUY
61.27
61.42-61.57
60.81
BOOKED PROFIT
Date
Scrip
CASH/FUTURE Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
04/12/13
NIFTY
FUTURE
BUY
6240-6250
6280-6300
6210
SL TRIGGERED
04/12/13
MCLOED RUSSEL
FUTURE
BUY
300-302
308-314
294
CLOSED AT LOSS
04/12/13
PETRONET
FUTURE
BUY
134-136
138-140
132
NO PROFIT NO LOSS
04/12/13
PATEL ENG.
CASH
BUY
54
58-62
50
BOOKED PROFIT
03/12/13
NIFTY
FUTURE
BUY
6240-6250
6280-6300
6210
SL TRIGGERED
02/12/13
NIFTY
FUTURE
BUY
6240
6280-6350
6170
BOOKED PROFIT
US ECONOMIC REPORT
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUSFORECAST
PREVIOUS
THURSDAY, DEC. 05
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
8:30 AM
GDP REVISION
10 AM
FACTORY ORDERS
11/30
N/A
N/A
3Q
3.1%
2.8%
OCT.
-0.7%
1.7%
FRIDAY, DEC. 06
8:30 AM
NONFARM PAYROLLS
NOV.
180,000
204,000
8:30 AM
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
NOV.
7.2%
7.3%
8:30 AM
PERSONAL INCOME
OCT.
0.3%
0.5%
8:30 AM
CONSUMER SPENDING
OCT.
0.2%
0.2%
8:30 AM
CORE PCE PRICE INDEX
OCT.
0.1%
0.1%
9:55 AM
UMICH CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX
DEC.
74.0
72.0
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