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Special report by epic reseach 3 october 2013
1. DAILY REPORT
03rd
OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
European stocks climbed, rebounding from their biggest
decline in a month, as investors assessed the impact of a
partial shutdown of the U.S. government. U.S. index fu-
tures and Asian shares also advanced.
Asian stocks rose yesterday, as a report showed confi-
dence among large Japanese manufacturers increased be-
fore Prime Minister unveils plans for an economic-support
package. Key benchmark indices in Japan, South Korea,
Taiwan, Indonesia, and Singapore rose 0.08% to
1.4%.China's local markets are shut from today, 1 Septem-
ber 2013 till 7 October 2013 for National Day holidays.
U.S. S&P futures added 0.1 percent after the cash in-
dex .SPX advanced 0.8 percent on Tuesday as investors
viewed a pullback over the past week as a buying opportu-
nity. U.S. Treasury futures slipped 5-1/2 ticks.
Wall Street Update
The shutdown will have serious consequences for the
economy, including the more than 800,000 federal em-
ployees who will be sent home, and will jolt some of the
more unusual bits of life in the United States.
Previous day Roundup
Shares of state-run oil marketing companies (PSU OMCs)
fell after announcing revision in fuel prices on Monday.
The Sensex and the Nifty rose about 0.8% at the closing
session on Tuesday, led by realty, banking, capital goods
and auto stocks. The Sensex ended up 143.26 points (0.74
per cent) at 19,523.03 and the Nifty was trading up 50
points (0.87 per cent) at 5,785.30.
Index stats
Realty index was up 2.69%, followed by Bankex 2.67%,
Capital Goods 1.53% and Auto 0.9%. On the other hand,
Oil & Gas, Power, Metal and PSU indices lost investors'
support and were down 0.62%, 0.59%, 0.3%, 0.18%, re-
spectively. September auto sales numbers point to some
cheer. Maruti's sales rise 11.7% year-on-year to over 1 lakh
units, beating expectations. TVS Motor's sales also rise
about 16% Y-o-Y with a big boost coming in from exports.
M&M, though bucked the trend, as total sales fell 10.5%
but are better-than-expected. General Motors India sales
down over 4% in September. General Motors India sales
down over 4% in September
World Indices
Index Value % Change
D J l 15,133.14 -0.39
S&P 500 1,693.87 -0.07
NASDAQ 3,815.02 -0.08
EURO STO 2,918.31 -0.50
FTSE 100 6,437.50 -0.35
Nikkei 225 14,174.84 +0.03
Hong Kong 23,182.18 +0.86
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
DLF 137.00 +8.95 +6.99
RANBAXY 349.80 +19.50 +5.90
INDUSIND 385.95 +17.20 +4.66
AXISBANK 1,048.00 +40.15 +3.98
BHEL 141.55 +4.15 +3.02
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
TATAPOWER 78.00 3.15 -3.88
SESAGOA 175.00 5.75 -3.18
NTPC 143.60 3.85 -2.61
ONGC 262.00 5.85 -2.18
HUL 616.00 11.45 -1.82
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ARVINDREM 48.00 2.20 +4.80
AUROPHARMA 209.00 6.65 +3.29
BRITANIA 832.95 10.95 +1.33
INFOTECENT 216.75 3.95 +1.86
IPCALAB 719.00 3.60 +0.50
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 5,780.05 +44.75 +0.78
SENSEX 19,517.15 +137.38 +0.71
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
BALMLAWRIE 303.00 3.50 -1.14
KIRLOENG 146.00 1.55 -1.05
2. DAILY REPORT
03rd
OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. AUROPHARMA
AUROPHARMA is looking strong on charts, long build up has
been seen, we may see more upside, if it continues to sus-
tain above 210. We advise buying around 209-210 levels
with strict stop loss of 205 for targets of 214-218 levels.
2. TATA GLOBAL
TATA GLOBAL is looking strong on charts, long build up has
been seen, we may see more upside, if it continues to sus-
tain above 150. We advise buying around 150-151 levels
with strict stop loss of 147 for the targets of 154-155 levels.
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. AMARAJA BATTARIES LTD
AMARAJA BATTARIES LTD is looking strong on charts . We
advice buying above 315 with strict stop loss of 305 for the
targets of 320-330 levels.
MACRO NEWS
Factory activity in India shrank for a second month in
September, albeit not as sharply as in August, on a
dearth of new orders which pushed firms to cut staff.
The HSBC Manufacturing PMI, compiled by Markit, rose
to 49.6 in September from 48.5 in August, but remain-
ing below the watershed 50 mark that separates growth
from contraction; Manufacturing activity continued to
shrink in September. Order flows remain weak, espe-
cially export orders, and employment fell.
PSU OMCs reduced petrol price by a sharp Rs 3.05 per
litre, the first reduction in rates in over five months and
raised diesel prices by 50 paisa a liter. The price change
by oil companies are excluding local sales tax or VAT
and are effective from Tuesday, 1 October 2013. Along-
side, oil firms also raised rates of non-subsidized do-
mestic cooking gas (LPG).
Indian shares are likely to be influenced by the result of
a monthly survey on the performance of India's services
sector for September 2013 on October 4 (Friday).
Inflation for factory workers slips to 10.75 pct in August.
TRAI is likely to implement the 12-minute per hour cap
on advertisements for non-news TV channels from to-
morrow as the deadline.
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
3. DAILY REPORT
03rd
OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 5,700 109.30 1,57,081 45,99,950
NIFTY PE 5,600 61.00 1,44,629 34,53,250
NIFTY PE 5,500 59.20 1,36,757 37,59,100
BANK NIFTY PE 9,000 130.00 13,465 2,24,900
SBIN PE 1,600 59.80 2,824 1,71,500
DLF PE 130 7.15 1,381 1,65,250
RELIANCE PE 820 25.00 1,044 1,80,750
MCDOWELL-N PE 2,500 93.05 1,180 1,11,250
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 6,000 83.40 1,98,587 37,15,250
NIFTY CE 5,900 126.00 1,44,127 30,10,400
NIFTY CE 6,100 51.50 1,43,997 33,18,050
BANKNIFTY CE 10,000 415.00 12,975 2,12,275
SBIN CE 1,700 53.80 3,580 1,91,500
RELIANCE CE 840 25.75 1,878 4,47,500
DLF CE 150 6.10 2,279 15,92,000
MCDOWELL-N CE 2,600 80.05 2,179 1,02,625
YESBANK CE 300 27.15 1,755 3,86,500
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 44920 1279.05 57153 1631.92 413704 11795.69 -352.87
INDEX OPTIONS 372742 10593.19 375434 10667.62 1603583 46236.92 -74.44
STOCK FUTURES 52267 1368.92 54091 1433.68 896727 24494.58 -64.76
STOCK OPTIONS 20835 513.96 21712 545.48 37490 978.79 -31.51
TOTAL -523.58
INDICES S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2
NIFTY 5670.31 5725.18 5755.81 5810.68 5841.31
NIFTYJUNIOR 11023.75 11156.85 11226.35 11359.45 11428.95
STOCKS IN NEWS
JSW Steel, Marubeni Itochu of Japan to set up steel
processing centre for auto drive.
Vedanta Resources eyes Kolar mining, may bid for
Bharat Gold Mines.
NHPC enters into thermal power arena.
DHL Express to hike rates by nearly 10% in India
from January.
Airtel in Africa's top 10 most admired global
brands
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future as expected closed in the green in the last
trading session. We advice buying on dips around 5800
-5825 with strict stop loss of 5750 for the targets of
5850-5880 levels.
4. DAILY REPORT
03rd
OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 48150 TGTS 48450/48750 SL 47850
SELL SILVER BELOW 47750 TGTS 47450/47150 SL 48150
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 29200 TGTS 29300/29400 SL 29080
SELL GOLD BELOW 28880 TGTS 28780/ 28680 SL 29000
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold imports into India, the world's biggest buyer of the
metal, rose to 7.24 tonnes in over three weeks in Septem-
ber, up from 3.38 tonnes in August. Gold prices declined
by 0.38% to Rs 29,760 per ten grams in futures trade today
as speculators trimmed their positions on weakening
global trend. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, gold for
delivery in December fell by Rs 114, or 0.38%, to Rs 29,760
per ten grams in business turnover of 1,472 lots. Similarly,
gold for delivery in October traded lower by Rs 101, or
0.33%, to Rs 30,324 per ten grams in 355 lots. At 16:28 hrs
MCX GOLDGUINEA October contract was trading at Rs
24262 up Rs 11, or 0.05 percent. The GOLDGUINEA rate
touched an intraday high of Rs 24280 and an intraday low
of Rs 24100. MCX GOLDGUINEA November contract was
trading at Rs 24165 up Rs 13, or 0.05 percent. The GOLD-
GUINEA rate touched an intraday high of Rs 24185 and an
intraday low of Rs 24026.
Comex copper futures recorded a down trend amid the
United States Government started to shut some of its op-
erations in 17 years after US law makers failed to give their
consent on a spending bill. However, hopes on immediate
solution to the issue limited further decline in the base
metal prices to certain extent in the global market. Copper
futures for December delivery on Globex platform of
Comex was seen trading down by 0.33% at $3.312 per troy
ounce as of 16.06 IST on Tuesday. London Metal Exchange
(LME) copper for delivery in three months was seen trad-
ing down by 0.19% at $7270 a metric ton as of 15.42 IST.
In the Euro area (EA17) seasonally-adjusted unemploy-
ment rate was 12.0% in August 2013, stable compared
with July. The EU28 unemployment rate was 10.9%, also
stable compared with July4. Final Markit Euro zone Manu-
facturing PMI posts 51.1 in September, unchanged from
flash estimates. Recovery remains broad-based, with out-
COMMODITY MCX
5. DAILY REPORT
03rd
OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
CASTORSEED
BUY CASTORSEED ABOVE 3560 TG 3590,3620 SL 3520
SELL CASTORSEED BELOW 3500 TG 3470,3440 SL 3530
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 6055 TG 6085,6115 SL 6005
SELL DHANIYA BELOW 5760 TG 5735,5700 SL 5800
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Oil prices eased in the Asian trade today as the US Govern-
ment today shut down. India crude oil futures continued
its bearish trend.
Wheat prices increased on Tuesday on rising domestic de-
mand and limited arrivals. Following good demand for
flour, interest in dara wheat was firm. The upcoming festi-
val season will support wheat prices. November contracts
fluctuated sideways and traded at Rs 1,565. Wheat futures
have been ruling in a tight-range and market may continue
to witness a range-bound movement in the coming days
Despite a marginal uptrend in wheat, flour continued to
rule firm and quoted at Rs 1,750 a quintal. On the other
hand, Chokar moved up by Rs 15 to Rs 1,290 a quintal.
The six per cent excess monsoon rainfall, which has
boosted reservoir levels across the country, has raised the
prospect for good rabi plantings, set to start in the next 10
days. The live storage in these reservoirs is estimated at
130 billion cubic meters (BCM) against the full capacity of
155 BCM. The Government is targeting wheat output of
92.5 mt, almost same as last year. However, with the Gov-
ernment planning to step up the production of sorghum to
offset the decline in kharif, the rabi area under the coarse
cereals may increase.
The Government is targeting maize output of 5.5 mt
against 6.19 mt achieved last rabi. Similarly, the rice pro-
duction target is set at 14 mt, marginally higher than 11.64
achieved last rabi.
NCDEX
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1258.5 +0.52
Castor Seed 3531 -1.04
Chana 2888 -0.03
Chilli 5814 +3.97
Coriander 6023 +3.99
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1490 +1.36
Jeera 12867.5 +0.23
Mustard seed 3556 -0.70
Ref Soya Oil 694.9 +1.27
Turmeric 4710 +1.68
6. DAILY REPORT
03rd
OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
USD/INR
USD/INR has closed @63.0450. If it breaks the level of
62.80, it can touch the level of 62.65 & 62.25. If it sustains
above 63.25 it can touch the level of 63.42 & 63.61.
EUR/INR
EUR/INR has closed @85.4100. If it breaks the level of
85.00, it can touch the level of 84.75 & 84.20.If it sustains
above 85.65, it can touch the level of 85.95 & 86.35.
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The rupee edged higher against the dollar, with the Indian
currency finding support from data showing a lower-than-
expected current account deficit in Q1 June 2013. The par-
tially convertible rupee was hovering at 62.39, compared
with its close of 62.60/61 on Monday. The Indian rupee
gained on Tuesday, a day after data showed a lower-than-
expected current account deficit, while the dollar fell
broadly following the first U.S. government shutdown in 17
years.
Data late on Monday showed the current account deficit
widened to $21.8 billion in the June quarter from $18.1
billion in the previous quarter, but still came in below
economist estimates and is expected to ease further in the
coming quarters on the back of falling gold imports and
rising merchandise exports.
The improvement in the current account deficit is ex-
pected to provide a major reprieve to the government and
the central bank which have been battling to prop up the
rupee. The local currency plummeted as much as 20 per-
cent to 68.85 to the dollar in late August.
The rupee may trade in a band for now before another
bout of dollar buying emerges The partially convertible
rupee closed at 62.46/47 per dollar compared with
62.60/61 on Monday after two sessions of losses. Indian
markets were closed on Wednesday for a national holiday.
Still, a continued uncertainty over the shutdown could
weigh on risk assets such as the rupee given that U.S. law-
makers face a more critical deadline for global markets in
mid-October when the Congress would need to lift the
debt ceiling.
In the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month
contract was at 63.06 while the three-month was at 64.17.
In the currency futures market, the most-traded near-
month dollar/rupee contracts on the National Stock Ex-
change, the MCX-SX and the United Stock Exchange all
closed at around 63.02 with a total traded volume of $1.95
billion.
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 62.3555 Yen-100 63.5100
Euro 84.5365 GBP 101.2030
7. DAILY REPORT
03rd
OCTOBER. 2013
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
CALL REPORT
Disclaimer
US ECONOMIC REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target
Stop
Loss
Remark
01/10/13 MCX GOLD OCT. BUY 30550 30650-30750 30450 NOT EXECUTED
01/10/13 MCX GOLD DEC. SELL 30350 30250-30150 30450 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
01/10/13 MCX SILVER OCT. BUY 49600 49900-50200 49300 NOT EXECUTED
01/10/13 MCX SILVER DEC. SELL 49100 48800-48500 49500 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
01/10/13 NCDEX CASTOR SEED OCT. SELL 3535 3510-3470 3570 BOOKED PROFIT
01/10/13 NCDEX CASTOR SEED OCT. BUY 3575 3600-3640 3530 SL TTRIGGERED
01/10/13 NCDEX DHANIYA OCT. BUY 5835 5860-5900 5800 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
01/10/13 NCDEX DHANIYA OCT. SELL 5760 5735-5700 5800 SL TRIGGERED
01/10/13 USD/INR OCT. SELL 63.00 62.88-62.49 BOOKED PROFIT
01/10/13 EUR/INR OCT. SELL 84.95 84.78-84.20 BOOKED PROFIT
01/10/13 USD/INR OCT. BUY 63.65 63.95-64.25 NOT EXECUTED
01/10/13 EUR/INR OCT. BUY 85.75 86.00-86.35 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target
Stop
Loss
Remark
01/10/13 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 5800-5825 5750-5720 5880 BOOKED PROFIT
01/10/13 FINANCIAL TECH FUTURE SELL 135-140 125-115 150 CALL OPEN
01/10/13 LT FUTURE SELL 795-800 780-765 820 BOOKED PROFIT
01/10/13 ESS DEE CASH SELL 515 500-475 535 NOT XECUTED
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TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS FORECAST PREVIOUS
THURSDAY, OCT. 3
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 9/28 N/A 305,000
10 am ISM nonmanufacturing Sept. 56.9% 58.6%
10 am Factory orders Aug. 0.3% -2.4%
FRIDAY, OCT. 4
8:30 am Nonfarm payrolls Sept. 180,000 169,000
8:30 am Unemployment rate Sept. 7.3% 7.3%