Finally there is a light at the end of the TunnelDream Chasers Presents
A hairsplitting study of thoroughbred racing in IndiaThis is an automated presentation, press “up” or “down” key if you ar...
Mission Statement• Making Racing an Exciting Experience• Wealth Creation for all stake holders• Promoting Horse Racing as ...
Market Summary• Racing Industry existed 600 years before Christ – (Reference in “The    Richest Man in Babylon”)•   More t...
Business Concept• Analisi is a Horse Race Prediction System  – Analysis through the use of a structured    frame work  – P...
Business Concept• Divided into Four Parts  1. Data Collection     • 150+ direct data points & 3000+ indirect data points  ...
Analisi – Data Collection 1                                       ClassBasic details      Distance       All common parame...
Analisi – Data Collection 2                                             Draw Number &                                     ...
Analisi – Data Collection 3     Horses in  finished order                                                     Presently th...
Analisi – Data Collection 4   TV (Track Variant) per race basis. Multiple   factors affect the final time of the race, lik...
Analisi - Preprocess• Captain’s Rating  –   Similar to Bayer’s rating for international viewers  –    Optimized for Indian...
Analisi – Preprocess• Various Factors : Using Analytics Technology to  unearth more and more Winning Patterns   – On Job F...
Preprocess – Example (Trainer Factor)This is based on Game Theory: Very useful mathematical model forconflict situations l...
AI – Decision Tree making its PredicationDecision Tree as a predictive model that take the inputs and predict theout come ...
AI – Neural Network making its PredicationIt is a mathematical model inspired by biological neuralnetworks. Please refer t...
AI – Bayesian Network making its PredicationBayesian networks can solve decision problems underuncertainty by using influe...
Opportunities – Owners –Unbiased opinion on their ward
Opportunities – Trainers – Entering horses for right Distance and Class   hence increasing the win chance – Possible views...
Opportunities - Jockeys – Accepting mounts with realistic chance to win
Opportunities – Investors – Well informed decision on investment – Avoiding high risk investments
Opportunities – Bookies – Knowing the real potential of all runners so   profitable book making
Risks - AccidentsRacing Accidents :- Nothing much can be done about it.Still we may avoid races with too many runners
Risks - FitnessTo some extent this problem can be overcome by trainingyour eyes for paddock look.      - A Picture perfect...
Risks - MalpracticesWe may overcome this problem by    - avoiding races/horses with certain unreliable connectionsCrookedn...
Our Thanks & Contact Details• Artificial Intelligence   – IIT Kharagpur, India   – Stanford University, California Predica...
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Analisi 121212

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Analisi Racing

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Analisi 121212

  1. 1. Finally there is a light at the end of the TunnelDream Chasers Presents
  2. 2. A hairsplitting study of thoroughbred racing in IndiaThis is an automated presentation, press “up” or “down” key if you are in a hurry
  3. 3. Mission Statement• Making Racing an Exciting Experience• Wealth Creation for all stake holders• Promoting Horse Racing as an Investment Option – Without much information wagering of money on an event with an uncertain outcome is called “Gambling” – With Scientifically analyzed information wagering of money on an event with an uncertain outcome is called “Investment”The Team• Members from the winning team of the highest possible technology award in India• Gold Medalist in all India Software Programming competition• Gold medalist from IIM• NSG Commando• Achievers in their respective fields
  4. 4. Market Summary• Racing Industry existed 600 years before Christ – (Reference in “The Richest Man in Babylon”)• More than a century old Industry in India - Introduced by the British• More than 3000 horses in training• More than 4000 mares in breeding• 85+ breeding establishments & 9 Racing Centers• 200+ racing days & 1600+ races in a year• Multi-Billion INR Industry• A Royal Sport with lot of feel of achievement and excitement for all involved
  5. 5. Business Concept• Analisi is a Horse Race Prediction System – Analysis through the use of a structured frame work – Power of Analytics – Highly Dynamic & Based on Artificial Intelligence – Inbuilt Feed-Forward Mechanism – Based on measurable parameters – More than 7,000 races and 60,000 runners analyzed
  6. 6. Business Concept• Divided into Four Parts 1. Data Collection • 150+ direct data points & 3000+ indirect data points 2. Preprocessing • Converting the various data to useful information 3. Machine Learning & Predication • Supervised Learning & Unsupervised Learning – Neural Networks – Classification – Logic – Automated Reasoning – Decision Tree & Regression 4. Action for Investment • Need to observe the race time developments
  7. 7. Analisi – Data Collection 1 ClassBasic details Distance All common parameters for a particular Race is captured through this user interface
  8. 8. Analisi – Data Collection 2 Draw Number & EquipmentsDam & Sire,its all in the blood Owner, avoid Track works,gambling owners Indication for Foal Date, fitness of the Astrology? horse Numerology? RunnersTrainer & Jockey, better jockeysget good mounts Track Preparations, indication to Trainer habits All specific parameters for the particular Horse is captured through this user interface, this is done prior to the race
  9. 9. Analisi – Data Collection 3 Horses in finished order Presently these info not available. Hope Odds at various clubs will do stage something about this. Final position & timing Various trip issues Steward’s view about the running Pace of the Race of the horsea major contributor for the final time. Pole position, clear indication for running style Was it a & trainer instructions genuine effort or preparation? What Happened during the race ? - Even very minute details of all the runners are made available to Analisi through this user interface, this is done after the Race with the help of video
  10. 10. Analisi – Data Collection 4 TV (Track Variant) per race basis. Multiple factors affect the final time of the race, like 1. Underfoot conditions 2. Wind direction during the race 3. Humidity 4. Caliber of the jockey 5. Pace of the Race 6. Weight carried – (Studies shows not much importance) TV helps to bring all race time to same platform for comparison. Studies shows that generalizing TV for a day is not suited for Indian turf conditions.Track Variant for all the races are calculated and adjusted with final timeusing this interface. This is an automated process with some human touch
  11. 11. Analisi - Preprocess• Captain’s Rating – Similar to Bayer’s rating for international viewers – Optimized for Indian Turf and Indian race practices – “Par Time” and “Machine like” reference horses method – Predicative method • Predicated rating for every race • Horses with rating close to the predicated rating are contenders Captain’s Rating doesnt rely on miracles
  12. 12. Analisi – Preprocess• Various Factors : Using Analytics Technology to unearth more and more Winning Patterns – On Job Factor • Whether a particular Horse will be on job or not – Jockey Factor • Based on jockey’s present form, business & personal relationship with Trainer and Owner – Odds Factor • India have most strike rate for favorite winning, it also represent majority’s opinion – Trainer, Pedigree, Distance, Track, Class & Form Factors • Based on multiples of proven theories
  13. 13. Preprocess – Example (Trainer Factor)This is based on Game Theory: Very useful mathematical model forconflict situations like trainers strategy in running his horses. Pleaserefer to link below for more details.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Game_theory
  14. 14. AI – Decision Tree making its PredicationDecision Tree as a predictive model that take the inputs and predict theout come of the race. Different Decision Trees like Classification andRegression Trees employed for Analisi. Please refer to link below for moredetails.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decision_tree_learning
  15. 15. AI – Neural Network making its PredicationIt is a mathematical model inspired by biological neuralnetworks. Please refer to link below for more details.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_neural_network
  16. 16. AI – Bayesian Network making its PredicationBayesian networks can solve decision problems underuncertainty by using influence diagrams. Please refer to linkbelow for more details.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_network
  17. 17. Opportunities – Owners –Unbiased opinion on their ward
  18. 18. Opportunities – Trainers – Entering horses for right Distance and Class hence increasing the win chance – Possible views to other trainers race strategy
  19. 19. Opportunities - Jockeys – Accepting mounts with realistic chance to win
  20. 20. Opportunities – Investors – Well informed decision on investment – Avoiding high risk investments
  21. 21. Opportunities – Bookies – Knowing the real potential of all runners so profitable book making
  22. 22. Risks - AccidentsRacing Accidents :- Nothing much can be done about it.Still we may avoid races with too many runners
  23. 23. Risks - FitnessTo some extent this problem can be overcome by trainingyour eyes for paddock look. - A Picture perfect horse performs to itsInformation on veterinarythe time true of horses on - A restless horse fails most of problem potentialrace day are not generally known. weight is a bad sign - Increase/Decrease of more than 4% of its - We have video tutorial coming-up to help you.
  24. 24. Risks - MalpracticesWe may overcome this problem by - avoiding races/horses with certain unreliable connectionsCrookedness by much fluctuating odds - races with too certain Professionals - races with many interconnected professionals/owners
  25. 25. Our Thanks & Contact Details• Artificial Intelligence – IIT Kharagpur, India – Stanford University, California Predication done at Mid-Stage are published at• www.analisiracing.blogspot.com Web Sites – www.rwitc.com – www.bangaloreraces.com For www.indiarace.com – more info please contact us at analisiracing@gmail.com – www.racingpulse.in – www.bolrace.com• Inspiration Adios Captain – Book "Bringing Down the House" by Ben Mezrich – Book "The Richest Man in Babylon" by George Samuel Clason• Our Family & Friends

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