2. Pop Quiz
•How much do Americans spend on
health care?
A)1 Trillion per year or 6% of GDP
B)2 Trillion per year or 12% of GDP
C)3 Trillion per year or 18% of GDP
D)4 Trillion per year or 24% of GDP
Pop Quiz
Tuesday, May 6, 14
3. Pop Quiz
•How much do Americans spend on
health care for their kids?
A)28 Billion per year or 1.3% of NHE
B)285 Billion per year or 13% of NHE
C)2.85 Trillion per year or all of NHE
Pop Quiz
http://www.cms.gov
Tuesday, May 6, 14
8. Pop Quiz
Child Health Costs
http://www.healthcostinstitute.org
17% of Commercial costs are out of pocket
Tuesday, May 6, 14
9. Pop Quiz
Child Health Costs
http://www.healthcostinstitute.org
Breakdown by Spending Category
Tuesday, May 6, 14
10. Pop Quiz
Cases
http://www.healthcostinstitute.org
1. In your primary care clinic you see
a 4mo baby who has conductive
hearing loss.
How would you counsel a family
about the costs of the hearing loss
and of cohlear implants?
Tuesday, May 6, 14
11. Pop Quiz
Cases
http://www.healthcostinstitute.org
A 9yo child in your clinic with spina
bifida and 3 co-morbid conditions,
who relies on 17 different health care
providers, GT fed, and hospitalized
5-10x per year
How would you reduce costs for this
kid?
Tuesday, May 6, 14
12. Costs to Whom?
•Patient or Family
•Provider or Physician
•Clinic or Hospital
•Health Network
•Insurer or Payor
•Employer or Business
•Community & Society
Tuesday, May 6, 14
13. Cost Accounting
Direct Cost
Expense of a specific product or process
Indirect Cost - Overhead
Expenses not related to a product/process
Charges to Payer/Patient
Bill insurers/patients get & gross revenue
Hospital/ClinicTotalCosts
Societal Cost
Incl. productivity costs, opportunity costs
Payer/PatientCharge
Payer/PatientPayment
Hospital/ClinicNet
Insurer/Payer Pt
Tuesday, May 6, 14
14. Pop Quiz
•Obese Children Obese Adults
•Greater acute & chronic dz (HTN, TIIDM,
CHD, hyperlipidemia, stroke)
•Obese children & adults cost more
Direct Costs Example -
Child Obesity
Incremental Risk Acute/Chronic Dz
Incremental Cost/Year of Dz
x Lifetime Years
Lifelong Cost of Child Obesity
The
Math
Tuesday, May 6, 14
15. Pop QuizThe Math
Child Obesity Costs
Incremental Risk Acute/Chronic Dz
Incremental Cost of Dz/Year of Dz
x Lifetime Years
Lifelong Cost of Child Obesity
(Finkelstein, Pediatrics 2014)
Tuesday, May 6, 14
16. Pop QuizThe Math
Child Obesity Costs
Incremental Cost of Dz/Year of Dz
x Lifetime Years
Lifelong Cost of Child Obesity
(Finkelstein, Pediatrics 2014)
2.3% Greater Risk per BMI unit >25
Tuesday, May 6, 14
17. Pop QuizThe Math
Child Obesity Costs
x Lifetime Years
Lifelong Cost of Child Obesity
(Finkelstein, Pediatrics 2014)
2.3% Greater Risk per BMI unit >25
10% Greater Cost with Disease/Yr
Tuesday, May 6, 14
18. Pop QuizThe Math
Child Obesity Costs
Lifelong Cost of Child Obesity
(Finkelstein, Pediatrics 2014)
2.3% Greater Risk per BMI unit >25
10% Greater Cost with Disease/Yr
x 70 Lifetime Years
Tuesday, May 6, 14
19. Pop QuizThe Math
Child Obesity Costs
(Finkelstein, Pediatrics 2014)
2.3% Greater Risk per BMI unit >25
10% Greater Cost with Disease/Yr
x 70 Lifetime Years
= $19K-$40K per Obese Child
= $4K-8K Cost to EVERY Child ($19K
x 1/5 children who are obese)
Tuesday, May 6, 14
20. Pop Quiz
•Costs Roll Up By Category
•Variable Costs - Vary directly with
volume of patient services provided
•Fixed Costs - Do not vary by volume
& incurred regardless of throughput
Hospital Costs
Tuesday, May 6, 14
25. Pop QuizWho Pays?
Patients & Insurers
•Cost Sharing (AKA Co-Pay)
Insurance Pays X%
0%X%
Tuesday, May 6, 14
26. Pop QuizWho Pays?
Patients & Insurers
•Cost Sharing (AKA Co-Pay)
Patient Pays 1-X%
0%X%100%
Insurance Pays X%
Tuesday, May 6, 14
27. Pop QuizWho Pays?
Patients & Insurers
•Cost Sharing (AKA Co-Pay)
•Def: Percent of Charges Paid by Patient
•Inversely Related to Premium/Deductible
•Higher in Low-Cost Plans (AAP Statement)
•Higher for Out-of-Network Services in HMO
•Patient-Level Deterrent to Over-Use,
providing “skin in the game”
Tuesday, May 6, 14
28. Pop QuizWho Pays?
Patients’ Premiums or Taxes
Where Health Insurance $ Goes
Payer Margin
(Commercial)
(Less for Public Plans)
Tuesday, May 6, 14
29. Pop QuizWho Pays?
Insurers
•Reimbursement Structures
•Fee-For-Service vs. Managed Care vs.
Capitated vs. Integrated Care Systems
•Types of Insurers (AKA Payers)
•Public (Medicaid/CHIP) vs. Private
•HMO vs. PPO vs. CDHP/HSA
•Among Private: For-Profit vs. Nonprofit
Tuesday, May 6, 14
30. Pop QuizWho Pays?
Why Does It Matter?
•Fee For Service vs. Salaried Reimbursement
•FFS creates perverse incentives to
maximize intervention & minimize
prevention. Encourages “Sick Care”.
•RCT: Peds Resident Clinic Assignments
•FFS residents booked excess visits
•No difference in outcomes
•UCSF is largely FFS, SFGH Capitated
(Hickson, Pediatrics 1987)
Tuesday, May 6, 14
31. Pop QuizWho Pays?
Why Does It Matter?
•Commercial Plans Reimburse at Higher Rates
•Per Member Per Month Estimates from AAP
•Medicaid: $29/mo Commercial: $58/mo
•Often Benchmarked against Medicare
•“Medicaid pays ~%70 of Medicare
rate & Commercial plans pay ~120%”
•BUT Medicaid serves most complex
pediatric patients (AAP Cost Model, 2011)
Tuesday, May 6, 14
32. Pop QuizWho Pays?
Why Does It Matter?
•Commercial Plans Reimburse at Higher Rates
•Per Member Per Month Estimates from AAP
•Medicaid: $29/mo Commercial: $58/mo
•Often Benchmarked against Medicare
•“Medicaid pays ~%70 of Medicare
rate & Commercial plans pay ~120%”
•BUT Medicaid serves two thirds of complex
pediatric patients with highest costs(AAP Cost Model, 2011)
Tuesday, May 6, 14
33. Pop Quiz
Peds Cost Drivers
•15% of Patients 60% of Costs
• Incl. Significant Acute Dz (5%), Chronic Dz (10%),
Catastrophic Dz (0.4%), & Malignancy (<0.1%)
(Neff, 2004 HSR)
CostsPatient %
50%
0%
100%
Well
Kids
Complex
Text
Tuesday, May 6, 14
34. Pop Quiz
Peds Cost Drivers
•15% of Patients 60% of Costs
• Incl. Significant Acute Dz (5%), Chronic Dz (10%),
Catastrophic Dz (0.4%), & Malignancy (<0.1%)
(Neff, 2004 HSR)
CostsPatient %
50%
0%
100%
Well
Kids
Complex
This top decile is 10x more
likely to remain in the top
decile year -to-year
Tuesday, May 6, 14
35. Pop Quiz
Peds Cost Drivers
•15% of Patients 60% of Costs
• Includes Significant Acute Dz (5%), Chronic Dz (10%),
Catastrophic Dz (0.4%), & Malignancy (<0.1%).
Tuesday, May 6, 14
36. Pop Quiz
Who is Complex?
UCSF has 3rd
highest Case Mix
Index among
comparable U.S.
children’s
hospitals
Tuesday, May 6, 14
37. Pop Quiz
Who is Complex?
•Children with Medical Complexity (CMC)
About 1-3% of Children, Defined by
•1) chronic/severe health conditions
•2) Substantial health service needs
•3) Major functional limitations
•4) High resource utilization
•5) Most have neuro impairment or a
gastrostomy tube
Tuesday, May 6, 14
38. Pop Quiz
CMC Care Costs
•Those 1-3%
•10-20 % of admissions (doubled in ~20yrs)
•26-49% of all inpatient bed days
•41-53% of all hospital charges
•Care is highly fragmented, reactive
•80% of CMC costs are for inpatient care
Tuesday, May 6, 14
39. Pop Quiz
CMC Care Costs
•Readmission Accounts for Large Costs
•30 Day Readmission Rate is 20-25%
•Often aspiration, equipment failure,
surgery, seizures, feeding troubles
•To Minimize Admissions NACHRI Recs...
•Care Coordination to Reduce Costs
•Ensure Access & Timeliness of Care
Tuesday, May 6, 14
40. Pop Quiz
CMC Care Costs
•Care Coordination Reduces Costs
•Other Effective Steps: Longer visit times,
case managers, social workers, primary care
NPs, family notebooks, individualized plans
Intensive Coordination for 230 CMCs
$400,000 program costs/yr
$3.3 million reduction in
hospital resource utilization
Tuesday, May 6, 14
41. Pop Quiz
CMC Care Costs
•Cost per CMC child: $6K-70K/yr
•Out of Pocket Costs to Families: 1/6th
•2/3 CMCs on Medicaid (c/w ~40% all kids)
•In Part Due to Low Income from Chronic
Health Care Costs
•In Part Because Medicaid Covers a Wider
Range of Services than Commercial
Tuesday, May 6, 14
42. Costs to Society
17%
35%
11%
8%
27%
2%
Medicaid
1˙ & 2˙ Education
Higher Ed
Corrections
Other
Public Assistance
State Spending - $600B
- Medicaid costs grew 3% in 5 yrs
- Crowding out other spending
priorities
Medicaid
1˙&
2˙
EducationOther
Corrections
HigherEd
Tuesday, May 6, 14
43. Costs to Society
30%
29%
9%
6%
23%
2%
Medicaid
1˙ & 2˙ Education
Higher Ed
Corrections
Other
Public Assistance
State Spending - $600B
- Medicaid costs grew 3% 2008-2013
- Crowding out other spending
priorities
- With Federal $$$, Medicaid
is Largest Single Cost (>$200B)
Medicaid
1˙& 2˙
Education
Other
Corrections
Higher Ed
Tuesday, May 6, 14
44. • Direct & Indirect Medical Costs & Charges – 6%
– Medical Visits, Hearing Aids, Cochlear Implants
• Education & Support Costs – 2%
– Special Education, Interpreters, Captioning
• Caregiver Costs – 27%
– Employment of informal caregivers
• Deadweight Costs – 9%
– Loss of tax revenue, deficit of funds for health/welfare
• Loss of Productivity – 56%
– Lost earnings to those with hearing impairment ($55k/yr less)
– Cochlear Implants double chances of having paid work
compared to moderate hearing loss
– 42% of the deaf ages 18-44yo are not working in the U.S.
Costs - Hearing Loss Example
Societal-Level
Costs
Patient-Level
Costs
Tuesday, May 6, 14
45. Costs - Cochlear Implants
Societal-
Level
Savings
Patient-Level
Costs
• Direct Medical Costs – $60,228
– Cochlear Implant $19, 153, Surgery Admission $4,612
– Audiology Visits $5,148, Rehabilitation Visits $8,984
– Device Failure, Insurance, Upgrades, Batteries $11,417
• Indirect Costs – negative/savings $111,090
– Time Off Work $4,623, Travel & Parking Expenses $5,419
– Change in Educational Costs negative $65,558
– Change in Future Earnings negative $55,574
• Net Costs (Direct+Indirect) - savings $50,862
• 12 QALYs: Hearing, Speech, Overall Well-Being
Tuesday, May 6, 14
47. Incremental Cost-Effectiveness
Ratio (ICER)
• Change in Cost Per Change in Benefit
• Incremental Benefit for Incremental
Change in Resources Used
Costintervention - Costbaseline
Effectivenessintervention - Effectivenessbaseline
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48. Quality Adjusted Life Years
(QALYs)
Full Health
No Health (Dead)
0.8
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.4
0
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50. Costs Example – Cochlear
Cost Utility = Costs/QALYs
= Costs/(Years x Quality)
To Medical System
• Cost Utility = Direct Costs/QALYs
= $60,228/12 QALYs = $5019/QALY
To Patient & Society
• Cost Utility = Net Costs/QALYs
= SAVINGS $50,862/12 QALYs
= SAVINGS of $4,238/QALY
Cheng, JAMA August
20000
Tuesday, May 6, 14