BEYONDMOORE’S LAWOleh Sniezko and Xiaolin Lu       Broadband
What is this all about? One-year-later      status report on the  mini Fiber Node (mFN) development and  implementation –...
MOORE’S LAW                         20# Components/IC (log2)                         15                         10        ...
VALIDATION                                                                                                             IA-...
NCTA Cable99: “HFC Architecture In The Making”             We’ll see
BEHIND MOORE’S LAW   Positive Feedback:                              IC          Software                        (Transis...
PHOTONICMOORE’S LAW
Photonic Unlimited: Geek’s Mission                  10K                          TDM Commercial                          W...
POSITIVE TREND                      DWDM Price Performance       1400                                                   $3...
DWDM IN CABLE                                  1.5 Xmod    EDFA   DWDM    HHP                 120                         ...
HFC IN THE MAKING                    HE        FNPrimary   Primary            Hub                         HE Ring         ...
HFC IN THE MAKING                          SH                  FNPrimary   Primary            Hub                         ...
MOVING FORWARD                 SH                                                   FN    PH                              ...
LightWire TM                     SH                                                                 mFN                   ...
520 Miles                                                 66K HHP   100% Design Completed, 100% Products Delivered   131...
OXiom             SH                                               mFN     mFNPHCMTS               SH                S    ...
Phase 1 mFN Platform   Fiber Tray      Spur l        RCV       DFB                               H    Daughter Card       ...
Digital Platform             SH                                                                    mFN           mFN PH   ...
Phase 2 mFN Platform   Fiber Tray    XTR     RCV          RCV                                    H                        ...
Phase 2 mFN Platform   Fiber Tray    XTR   RCV          RCV                                          H    l Add/Drop      ...
Passive Network          SH                                                    mFN     mFN PH             MuxRouter       ...
VALUES               SH                                                              mFN       mFN PH         DWDM        ...
MOORE’S LAW?                          BW     HHP          0.6                                    100000          0.5      ...
BEYONDMOORE’S LAW
Today’s ArchitecturePSTN       5ESS              SONET       PH                         HDT      DWDM                     ...
Transition:                            IP Digital TerminalPSTN        5ESS               SONET              PH            ...
End-to-  End-to-End IP Platform  PSTN             PSTN            Gateway        PH   IP                                  ...
BEYOND MOORE’S LAW                                          ServiceGrowth                                                 ...
… The wonderful thing aboutMoore’s Law is that it is not astatic law; it forces everyoneto live in a dynamic, evolvingworl...
We’ll see
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Beyond Moore's Law

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One-year report on mFN implementation and broadband network evolution. Presentation on NCTA 2000,

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  • Beyond Moore's Law

    1. 1. BEYONDMOORE’S LAWOleh Sniezko and Xiaolin Lu Broadband
    2. 2. What is this all about? One-year-later status report on the mini Fiber Node (mFN) development and implementation – presented on NCTA Cable Show 2000 It is all about the Moore’s Law
    3. 3. MOORE’S LAW 20# Components/IC (log2) 15 10 5 0 60 65 70 75 Year
    4. 4. VALIDATION IA-64 10M (est) 1000 Pentium# Transistors per chip (log) Performance in MIPS (log) II Pentium Pro Pentium 1M 100 80486 100K 80386 10 80286 8086/ 8088 10K 1 8085 8080 Legend 8008 Chip density 1K 4004 MIPS .1 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Year
    5. 5. NCTA Cable99: “HFC Architecture In The Making” We’ll see
    6. 6. BEHIND MOORE’S LAW Positive Feedback: IC Software (Transistors) (Basic) 65K 4K lines 20 Years 7.5M 500K lines (Pentium II) Rule of Unlimited: “People are really limited by their belief, they limited themselves by what they allow themselves to believe is possible” -- Carver Mead
    7. 7. PHOTONICMOORE’S LAW
    8. 8. Photonic Unlimited: Geek’s Mission 10K TDM Commercial WDM Commercial 1K TDM ResearchCapacity (Gb/s) WDM Research 100 10 1 0.1 1985 1990 1995 2000 Year
    9. 9. POSITIVE TREND DWDM Price Performance 1400 $350 1200 $300 1000 $250 $/Gbps/Km 800 $200Gbps 600 $150 400 $100 200 $50 0 $0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Year Capacity Cost
    10. 10. DWDM IN CABLE 1.5 Xmod EDFA DWDM HHP 120 100000 100 HHP/Wavelength 10000Cost Decline % 80 1000 60 100 40 10 20 0 1 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 Year
    11. 11. HFC IN THE MAKING HE FNPrimary Primary Hub HE Ring HE FN Segmentation 4X capacity
    12. 12. HFC IN THE MAKING SH FNPrimary Primary Hub SH Ring SH FN DWDM Transport Segmentation End-to-end Transparency 4X capacity
    13. 13. MOVING FORWARD SH FN PH SH CMTS FN SH Simple PH/HE  Flexible and scalable  Reduce actives operation and digital platform  Less maintenance provisioning  Simple fiber handling  Increase capacity Highly reliable and  Easy to grow efficient networking
    14. 14. LightWire TM SH mFN MxN PH mFN SH CMTS mFN MxN SH mFN  Passive coax plant with fiber termination/70HHP  Reduced actives (61%), power consumption, & maintenance  Increased capacity and flexibility Salt Lake Trial, other markets, further migration
    15. 15. 520 Miles 66K HHP 100% Design Completed, 100% Products Delivered 131+ Miles (15 K HHP) Construction Completed  269 mFNs installed, 196 mFNs in service  28 MuxNodes installed, 21 MuxNodes in service Cost structure verified, operation data analysis in progress
    16. 16. OXiom SH mFN mFNPHCMTS SH S mFN mFN SH XTR XTR XTR Spur WDM PON Daisy Chaining mFNs  Distributed optical add/drop  Reduced fiber management & labor  Provisioning for growth
    17. 17. Phase 1 mFN Platform Fiber Tray Spur l RCV DFB H Daughter Card L Provision for RF Section digital processing
    18. 18. Digital Platform SH mFN mFN PH MuxRouter Demux S mFN mFN SH Packetizing Ethernet Packets Demod 5 45 Digital Processing Digitizing FilteringSimplified PH/HE Digital Platform for Target Services RF (&MAC)operation demarcation
    19. 19. Phase 2 mFN Platform Fiber Tray XTR RCV RCV H L  Digitization RF Section  Distributed processing
    20. 20. Phase 2 mFN Platform Fiber Tray XTR RCV RCV H l Add/Drop Low-cost ITU L LED Slicing  Digitization RF Section  Distributed FP processing
    21. 21. Passive Network SH mFN mFN PH MuxRouter Demux S mFN mFN SH XTR XTR XTR l Add/Drop DWDM and /or TDM PON Passive Coax Digital Platform for TSD
    22. 22. VALUES SH mFN mFN PH DWDM Mux 3 fiberRouter Networking Demux S mFN mFN SH Passive DWDM Passive Coax Digital Platform for TSD Simplified PH/HE  Flexible and scalable  Less actives operation and digital platform  Less maintenance provisioning  Simple fiber handling  Increased capacity Highly reliable and  Easy to grow efficient networking
    23. 23. MOORE’S LAW? BW HHP 0.6 100000 0.5 HHP/Wavelength 10000MHz/HHP 0.4 1000 0.3 100 0.2 10 0.1 0 1 96 97 98 99 00 Year
    24. 24. BEYONDMOORE’S LAW
    25. 25. Today’s ArchitecturePSTN 5ESS SONET PH HDT DWDM Networking SH HFC mFN CMTS Local IP NetworkInternet NIU CM  Separatevoice and data platforms sharing the same HFC network
    26. 26. Transition: IP Digital TerminalPSTN 5ESS SONET PH IPDT DWDM HFC Router CMTS Networking SH mFN Local IP NetworkInternet BTI  Integrated voice and data over HFC network  Utilize 5ESS platform for voice interconnect & features
    27. 27. End-to- End-to-End IP Platform PSTN PSTN Gateway PH IP DWDM HFC Router CMTS Networking SHBackbone mFN Local IP NetworkInternet BTI HPNA  Cost reduction through common IP infrastructure  New revenue with emerging IP-based services  Flexible user interfaces stimulate more creativities
    28. 28. BEYOND MOORE’S LAW ServiceGrowth Time Network Platform Time Has Been Moving to Service Delivery Enabling Platform Service specific Open Interface Network One-dimension pipe Multi-dimension infrastructure
    29. 29. … The wonderful thing aboutMoore’s Law is that it is not astatic law; it forces everyoneto live in a dynamic, evolvingworld. -- Carver Mead
    30. 30. We’ll see

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