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MiniMBA New Energy Realities - February 2017

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Upcoming presentation at the EDI executive energy training course: miniMBA New Energy Realities;

Typical example of an open conversation on Global Change, Energy Architecture & UN Sustainable Development

Published in: Leadership & Management
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MiniMBA New Energy Realities - February 2017

  1. 1. Founding partners Energy Architecture & UN Sustainable Development- opportunities and our personal leadership 16th February 2017, Berlin Adriaan Kamp Energy For One World MiniMBA New Energy Realities
  2. 2. Adriaan Kamp 2012 - Energy For One World A practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture, UN SDG’s and Leadership. Program Director Executive Energy (transition) & Leadership Education 20 years Industry/Shell International : Upstream ( 5 Countries and HQ).
  3. 3. Contents of Session 1. Year 2015-2017: Global Change, Energy Architecture, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030 2. Organising ourselves 3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Leadership
  4. 4. 2015 Year of Energy, Climate Change Agreement and the Sustainable Development 2030 Agenda
  5. 5. Prof. Jeffrey Sachs- Earth Institute: The Age of Sustainable Development 2/3/2017 Clickable Video Presentation
  6. 6. Clickable Presentation
  7. 7. BP Energy Outlook - 2017
  8. 8. 2017- BP Energy Outlook 9
  9. 9. BP Energy Outlook 2035 2/3/2017
  10. 10. BP Energy Statistics 2016
  11. 11. Exxon Mobile Analytical View of the World 12
  12. 12. BRIC: It’s our time. Let us grow our Economies and take care of our people You’ll fix whatever you want to fix! The West: “If you do as I have done it will be a mess.” Let us all change- rapidly Let’s secure our nation, people and planet Emerging: Will there be enough for us? Can i afford it? Who will deliver it to me? The poor: When will we see electricity and get mobility? Opec and GasPec: You need us! We can deliver your needs! What is all that fuzz about Availability and climate change?
  13. 13. 14 2014 2030-2050 7 Billion People 9 Billion People 90 trillion USD economy 180-210 trillion USD 225 million oil eq/day 500- 750 million oil eq/day 400 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget consumed for 2 degrees/ 21st century ??? ppm CO2 and Climate Change Effects
  14. 14. 2/1/2012 Energy For One World- All Rights Reserved
  15. 15. Founding partners 03.02.2017 Geopolitical shifts and re-alignments • Economic and finance system change and fundamentals • A new technological era: 4th Industrial Revolution. • Global production systems & the rise of new (multinational) corporations • Social Changes (network economies), and the quest for wealth justice • Planetary boundaries/ Resource Scarcities • Demographic change and migration/ Changing labour markets Global Change
  16. 16. PwC 1400 CEO Global View
  17. 17. G7 and the next 100 years
  18. 18. Pope Francis and his Encyclical Laudato Si! – on Poverty, People and the Environment: Care for Creation
  19. 19. Living Planet Reports
  20. 20. UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3) - Paris Climate Change Agreement
  21. 21. Year 2017 – A new styled President Trump with Executive Orders 22
  22. 22. Year 2017 – Re-balancing of Geopolitics and Emotions 23
  23. 23. Davos 2017- “Crisis in the Middle-Class” 24
  24. 24. www.energyandstuff.org 25 Clickable Go to Website
  25. 25. 26
  26. 26. Better Business- Better World 27
  27. 27. Contents of Session 1. Year 2015: Global Change, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030 2. Organising ourselves 3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Leadership
  28. 28. UN Regional Blocks Countries Cities Communities Companies and Institutes Co-alitions of the Willing
  29. 29. Sustainable Community Building
  30. 30. The Rise of a new middle-class ( 3 Billion) – in MegaCities and more people live in Greater Tokyo (35m) than in all of Canada The top 10 cities by population: 1. Tokyo, (34 million) 2. Seoul (24.4 million) 3. Guangzhou (24.2 million) 4. Mexico City (23.4 million) 5. Delhi (23.2 million) 6. Mumbai (22.8 million) 7. New York (22.2 million) 8. Sao Paolo (20.9 million) 9. Manila (19.6 million) 10. Shanghai (19.4 million) All above fit comfortably into the list Of Top-50 nations by population
  31. 31. Old and New Clickable Presentations Vs 250 Bn USD investment
  32. 32. Click to Go To Website Germany: An example how it works- in real
  33. 33. Clickable Access to Report
  34. 34. New Possibility Thinking (1)- Mission Innovation
  35. 35. New Possibility Thinking (3)- Largest Solar Farm (First Solar) 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr 5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr 3500 hectares 160,000 homes 1,5 Bn USD 550 MW 8 million panels
  36. 36. New Possibility Thinking (4)- Largest Offshore Wind Farm’s 4 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr 5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr An offshore area of 100km2 175 wind turbines Two offshore substations Nearly 450km of offshore cabling One onshore substation 630MW of electricity Enough power for nearly half a million homes
  37. 37. New Possibility Thinking (5): New distributed utility
  38. 38. New Possibility Thinking (6)- Solar City- A New Value Proposition
  39. 39. New Possibility Thinking (7)- Car-manufacturer, Carlos Ghosn Electric Vehicles sales are in direct correlation with the number and amount of charging stations installed in a city, region or nation. It's a public-private partnership. It's a matter of trust. It's a matter of convenience. But it surely the way to go into our Future. (Carlos doesnot believe in fuel-celled LPV's. He is truly committed to the electrification of self- driving and navigating new car concepts)
  40. 40. Uber Google
  41. 41. New Possibility Thinking(8) Smart Cities The vision of “Smart Cities” is the urban center of the future, made safe, secure environmentally green, and efficient because all structures - whether for power, water, transportation, etc. are designed, constructed, and maintained making use of advanced, integrated materials, sensors, electronics, and networks which are interfaced with computerized systems comprised of databases, tracking, and decision-making algorithms. - U.S. Dept. of Energy, “The Vision of a Smart City”, 2000 Examples of New, Smart or Sustainable Cities: • C40 – Vancouver, Oslo, New York, etc. • Masdar, Abu Dhabi, • New Songho City, South Korea, • Gujarat International Finance Tec-City, India • King Abdullah + Economic Cities Saudi Arabia • e.g. China Tianjin Development •PM Modi’s 100 smart cities •King Abdullah Economic City, Saudi Arabia
  42. 42. New Possibility Thinking (9) Better Architecture- Zero, Zero-Plus and more 2/3/2017
  43. 43. New Possibility Thinking (10) RE-100 Group
  44. 44. New Possibility Thinking (11) Energy Project Finance
  45. 45. New Possibility Thinking (12) Finance, Banks and Insurers
  46. 46. We are here- so mind the gap !
  47. 47. The Dutch New Energy Delta Plan
  48. 48. Roughly Equals Present Oil & Gas Company Jobs
  49. 49. Clean-Tech/ Renewables Oil & Gas
  50. 50. The Present Big Elephant in the Room: Budget Volatilities in Oil-Resource Economies
  51. 51. The Context We see Ourselves in
  52. 52. 56
  53. 53. From WEF/ Accenture: The energy architecture is an integrated physical system of energy sources, carriers and demand sectors shaped by government, industry and civil society. The energy architecture on location is a reflection of the socio- political, economic, ecological and business philosophies, leadership and interests exercised on location. The energy architecture in a country, region or global community is (ideally) to serve (the rise of, establishment of) thriving sustainable societies- making energy available, affordable and sustainable to all: balancing economic interests with that of society and nature. Here and there. Now and in the future. 57 Energy Architecture
  54. 54. Re-inventing Strategies/Relationships: “X-Factor of Integration, Transition and Transformation” Renewables Energy Efficiency Product Re- designs Energy Architectures Re-designs Fossil 1 2 3 4 5
  55. 55. Levels of Maturity of Change Integration- Transition- Transformation • Level 1 • Level 2 • Level 3 • Level 4 • Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy, Administrative and Derivative Change (CO2 tax, ETS, Accounting). Coal vs. Gas. Continued backroom lobbying • Full Integration of Renewables (clean-tech, energy conservations, smartness, etc.) in the Energy Architecture - but not with a system change. Retained regulations, ownership , revenue, tax and capital control structures • Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared socio-economic and corporate business models- also in international trade • Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New human consciousness
  56. 56. “Every Energy Company and Every Energy Architecture in this world can be improved upon in order to raise the availability, affordability and sustainability of energy to all”.- Adriaan Kamp, 2015 62
  57. 57. A New Business Worthiness Pledge The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals provide a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to end poverty, combat climate change and fight injustice and inequality. By applying innovation, resources and expertise, I will pursue the business opportunities inherent in building greener, more equitable and inclusive societies I am a business leader who knows that business cannot succeed in societies that fail. I will do my utmost to be businessworthy in all my efforts, and true to my business to support the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. I call on my peers to do the same.
  58. 58. Country Categories • OECD- USA, Canada, Europe, Japan, Australia • (Richer, Resource based) OPEC/ GasPec • China Inc., India Inc. • Developing (without Resources) • Developing (with Resources) • Least developed. Poor.
  59. 59. Pathways for Jobs Energy & Non-Energy Mainstream • Governments (1) • Energy Corporates and Incumbents (2) • New Entrants/ Innovators/ Game-changers (3) • Non-Energy Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4) 1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system Bottoms-up • Community, Start-up Community (5)
  60. 60. No Jobs Plans DubaiUnderstanding our Ways
  61. 61. New Jobs in Non-Energy Economy
  62. 62. Prof. Kotter: Organize to Change
  63. 63. 197 countries need to change
  64. 64. Building New Bridges
  65. 65. Contents of Session 1. Year 2015-2017: Global Change, Energy Architecture Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030 2. Organising ourselves 3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Leadership
  66. 66. One World. Many Needs. Many Views
  67. 67. Founding partners “In Leadership- we are all students for life” Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  68. 68. Leadership Levels • Managing Yourself • Managing Others • Managing complex change & • Managing multi-stakeholders
  69. 69. Managing yourself Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  70. 70. Founding partners “Only good can come from good” Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  71. 71. How much do you know about (your) self? Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  72. 72. What happy people know Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  73. 73. Conquering the self Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  74. 74. 82
  75. 75. Managing others Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  76. 76. Founding partners “Manage others as you would like to be managed yourself” (golden rule) Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  77. 77. Organizing people 2/3/2017
  78. 78. Leadership and Vision: Opportunity Framing and Decision Based Delivery •The possibility for Value Creation is largest in the Early Stages of any opportunity How good is your Opportunity Framing ? Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  79. 79. Ram Charan- Execute Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  80. 80. Rex Tillerson (“Hi- I am the New Guy”) Plain Leadership talk – at US State Department Accountability Honesty Respect One TEAM, One Mission
  81. 81. Good is the enemy of Great
  82. 82. From Good to Great Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  83. 83. Servant Leadership • Compassionate love • Authenticity • Humbleness • Empowerment • Provide direction • Stewardship Here’s the essence of the gospel of Greenleaf. First and foremost, truly great managers want to serve the people they lead. They do this by supporting them rather than dictating to them, and by assigning top priority to employee well-being. Deceptively simple and deeply profound
  84. 84. Pope Francis and Laudato Si!
  85. 85. Managing complex change/ multi-stakeholders Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  86. 86. Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved “Resistance to change falls when the benefits are clear”
  87. 87. Kotter on Change and Organizations for Change
  88. 88. Can We Listen before Change?
  89. 89. Ernest Gundling: Understanding Cultures and Relationships. The way it works Energy For One World- 2017, All Rights Reserved
  90. 90. Core Values Cultural Dimensions Global People Skills CONSCIOUS UNCONSCIOUS
  91. 91. 031-6-20227364
  92. 92. Eco- Conscious  Moderated Consumerism  Limits to Growth  Cradle-to-Cradle, Bio-Mimicry  Zero emissions Nature First
  93. 93. Networked Society  Away with traditional country and/or corporate borders : City-Hubs.  Horizontal, cross-border collaborations  Cultural awareness and tolerance Power to the People
  94. 94.  Expansion of wealth, ownership and new growth  Continued Consumerism and Hedonistic life-styles.  Short-termism, Schumpeter, Ayn Rand, Resilience  A world of larger inequalities and divisions:  Rich and poor. Have’s and Have Not’s Money First Shared Capitalis m
  95. 95.  A world of Power , Principles and Politics  Polarisation between Beliefs and/or Power Blocks  The Geo-politics of Emotions Power to the Strongest, First Darwin
  96. 96. Techno Modernity  The world of Prof. Michio Kaku and  Kurz Weill Singularity  Game-changers and Disruptive Innovations  A world of Smart Cities, New Surprises , The Rule of Science & Technology
  97. 97.  Conscious Capitalism  The rise of new (global and business) leadership: Gandhi’s and Mandela’s  Neuroscience , psychology and spirituality  Gaia, Oneness and Global Mind-set. Transformative leadership Conscious Humanity

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