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Week Thirteen - What\'s Next

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Week Thirteen - What\'s Next

  1. 1. Week Thirteen What’s Next? Wayne MacPhail
  2. 2. The future is here. It’s just unevenly distributed. -William Gibson
  3. 3. We drive into the future using only our rearview mirror. - Marshall McLuhan
  4. 4. The best way to predict the future, is to invent it. - Alan Kay
  5. 5. 1955 This ball is really important!
  6. 6. 1955 It says, be sure to plug in the keyboard and monitor! WTF? Oh, nice use of an anacronistic acronym for a cheap laugh Gladys, you skank.
  7. 7. 1969 34,000 bytes of memory 4,000,000,000 G of memory 43,000 Hz 2.600,000,000 GHz $46 million <$1000
  8. 8. 1970 Flammable Pants
  9. 9. 1977
  10. 10. 1980 Not a hairpiece
  11. 11. 2008 2010 = 2006 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1992 1994
  12. 12. 2012 Four Years From Now
  13. 13. 1980-2008 4 million times more memory
  14. 14. Cost per megabyte of storage by year 50.0 1986 48 1990 13.6 37.5 1994 1.3 25.0 1998 0.066 2002 0.039 12.5 2006 0.0064 0 2008 0.0034 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2008
  15. 15. Watch the trends Expect disruptive innovation Imagine zero
  16. 16. Disruptive Innovation
  17. 17. Disruptive Innovations Digital vs Film Photography Desktop vs. Press Publishing LEDs vs. Light Bulbs Twitter vs Newsrooms
  18. 18. Batteries Due
  19. 19. Analytical Engine 1837 Charles Babbage
  20. 20. Memex, 1945 Vannevar Bush
  21. 21. Home Computer, 1954 Rand Corporation
  22. 22. Knowledge Navigator, 1987 Apple Computer
  23. 23. Apple Lisa, 1984 Apple Computer
  24. 24. Macintosh 1984
  25. 25. The Trend to Zero Cost Time Storage Bandwidth Monitors Memory Processors Newspaper Readership
  26. 26. How to Think About the Future
  27. 27. Past Present Future Always concurrent
  28. 28. What’s next? First, what used to be next.
  29. 29. We’ve passed that now.
  30. 30. Multi-modal input with context awareness
  31. 31. Geo-location Geo-location Geo-location
  32. 32. OLED 100,000:1 ratio .002 inches thick Flaps in the breeze Will show up in photo IDs and cellphones
  33. 33. Wireless, location-aware silicon is the new wood pulp.
  34. 34. And the news? Granularity melts. Newsrooms unify. Curation rules. Newspaper thinking dies.
  35. 35. Online Journalism Blog
  36. 36. And the you? You get to make this all true.
  37. 37. Thanks for your kind attention.

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