Wfi Co Presentation Press

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Wfi Co Presentation Press

  1. 1. The EFCA Debate In Colorado Key Findings From A Colorado Statewide Survey January 25, 2010 Thursday, January 28, 2010
  2. 2. Research Methodology On behalf of the Workforce Fairness Institute, Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to present the key findings of a Colorado statewide telephone survey among voters and union households. The study was completed December 12-15, 2009 among 500 registered voters (margin of error of +4.38%) and among 300 union households (margin of error of +5.66%) . Colorado WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  3. 3. Colorado 4 The Things You Need To Know Thursday, January 28, 2010
  4. 4. 4 The Things You Need To Know 1 While union leaders tout the importance of passing the Employee Free Choice Act, few union households are familiar with the proposal. When they hear what the proposed legislation will 2 do, solid majorities of union households and voters statewide oppose it. And, voters and union households say they are 3 more likely to support a candidate who will vote to oppose changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process. 4 This data shows that voters are very unhappy with Congress and Senator Michael Bennett has some significant political obstacles to overcome. WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  5. 5. Colorado A Look At The Key EFCA Metrics Thursday, January 28, 2010
  6. 6. Nearly four out of ten voters have heard something about EFCA; awareness is lower among current union households. “How much, if anything, have you seen, read, or heard about the Employee Free Choice Act, also known as “card check” – a proposal in Congress to change labor laws in this country?” 61% 63% 38% 36% 42% 40% Nothing Nothing At All At All All Voters Union Households Total A Lot/Some Total Not Much/Nothing WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  7. 7. What We Did We tested the two key components of EFCA: “As you may know, the United States Congress is debating legislation to change several key labor laws in this country. Because this legislation is long, we have divided it into two parts. After I read each part, please tell me if you FAVOR or OPPOSE this particular aspect of the legislation.” “Change the way unions are formed. Instead of holding a federally supervised secret ballot election to decide whether to unionize, union organizers would be allowed to ask employees to sign a card saying they support forming a union. Once a majority of employees sign these cards, the union would officially represent that company's entire workforce.” “Change the bargaining process. This legislation would give the newly formed union and the employer 90 days to reach a contract agreement or else the matter will be handed over to federal arbitrators. It would be those arbitrators who would determine the wages, benefits and other terms of the contract that employees would be required to work under for two years.” WFI Colorado Statewide Survey January 2010 Slide 7 Thursday, January 28, 2010
  8. 8. Solid majorities of Colorado voters oppose both aspect of EFCA (and, do so strongly). Among All Voters -37% -33% 66% 64% 50% 48% 29% Strongly 31% Strongly Oppose Oppose Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process Total Favor Total Oppose WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  9. 9. Interestingly, the voters most familiar with EFCA are also the voters most opposed to EFCA. Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process 89% 79% 72% 67% 23% 26% 17% 9% A Lot A Lot/Some A Lot A Lot/Some (12%) (38%) (12%) (38%) Total Favor Total Oppose WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  10. 10. Democratic voters oppose the two main parts of the proposed legislation. Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process 81% 78% 65% 63% 49% 49% 45% 43% 32% 28% 15% 18% Republicans Independents Democrats Republicans Independents Democrats (38%) (23%) (37%) (38%) (23%) (37%) Total Favor Total Oppose WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  11. 11. Union households also oppose these key tenants of EFCA – and do so by large margins. Among Union Households -23% -26% 60% 59% 37% 43% 33% 43% Strongly Strongly Oppose Oppose 14% Strongly Favor 11% Strongly Favor Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process Total Favor Total Oppose WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  12. 12. And, union households say they are more likely to back a candidate who opposes EFCA. “Thinking ahead to the next election, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who... FAVORS changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process … or … OPPOSES changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process?” 48% 48% 34% 36% All Voters Union Households Favors Opposes WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  13. 13. What We Did We also tested: “In addition to the two parts of this proposal we have already discussed, the legislation would also require union elections to take place within 10 days after the union presents business owners with signed cards from 30 per cent of the employees AND it would require business owners to allow union organizers to talk to employees about unionization at the workplace during company time.” “Some people say that business owners often drag out the union election process, making union campaigns long and costly, discouraging union efforts.” …While… “Other people say that according to the federal agency in charge of overseeing labor relations, 90 percent of union elections take place within 60 days and that the process in place now is working.” WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  14. 14. Weak case for making change: Even current union households are split on whether or not the current process is working. 56% 49% 49% 45% 44% 39% 34% 33% All Voters Union Households Current Union Former Union Households Households Owners Drag Out Process Is Working WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  15. 15. Nearly three-fourths of union households are uncomfortable with government arbitrators determining final contracts. “If the Employee Free Choice Act becomes law, federal government arbitrators would have the final say in determining contract terms. Are you comfortable or uncomfortable giving government arbitrators the right to set the wages and benefits that workers would be forced to accept?” 80% 73% 24% 17% All Voters Union Households Comfortable Uncomfortable WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  16. 16. Nearly all agree that employees should have the right to accept or reject a final contract offer. “And, when it comes to who has the final say on an employee contract agreement, which one would you prefer: That government arbitrators have the ability to determine the terms of a contract and require employees to accept it …or… That employees have the right to accept a final contract offer or renegotiate for a fairer deal?” 88% 88% 9% 9% All Voters Union Households Government Arbitrators Employees WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  17. 17. Colorado The Political Landscape Thursday, January 28, 2010
  18. 18. The President’s job approval ratings are down, though they look good compared to Congress’. Comparison Of Job Approval Ratings Among All Voters Among Union Households -8% -53% +6% -43% 74% 68% 51% 50% 43% 44% 25% 21% President Obama Congressional President Obama Congressional Job Approval Job Approval Job Approval Job Approval Approve Disapprove WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  19. 19. Senator Michael Bennett is largely undefined, even among union voters in the state. Michael Bennett’s Image Rating +3% +11% 30% 26% 23% 19% All Voters Union Households Favorable Unfavorable WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  20. 20. And, this is clearly reflected in Senator Bennett’s weak generic re-elect levels. “And, do you think Michael Bennett has performed his job as U.S. Senator well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance to do a better job?” -25% -18% 45% 40% 20% 31% 22% Definitely 25% New Person Definitely New Person All Voters Union Households Total Re-Elect Total New Person WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  21. 21. Even union households don’t see labor laws as an issue the President and Congress should address. “Which of the following would you say are the two most important issues or problems facing the nation today that you would like to see President Obama and Congress address?” Among Union Households The economy and jobs First Choice - 28% 49% Health care 15% 30% The situation in Iraq and Afghanistan 12% 30% Taxes and spending 12% 19% Education 10% 18% Illegal immigration 5% 15% Social Security and Medicare 5% 11% Terrorism and national security 9% Energy-related issues 7% Moral values 5% Ranked By Labor laws 3% Combined Choice WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  22. 22. A majority of voters and a plurality of union voters think the health care plan is a bad idea. “On the issue of health care...From what you have heard about the health care reform plan being considered by Congress, do you think this plan is a good idea or a bad idea? If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so.” -26% -13% 53% 45% 32% 27% All Voters Union Households Good Idea Bad Idea WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  23. 23. Voters and union households advise their Member of Congress to vote against the reform plan. “And, thinking some more about health care reform plan now being considered by Congress...Would you advise your member of Congress to vote for or against the currently proposed health care bill?” 57% 51% 39% 33% All Voters Union Households For It Against It WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  24. 24. Thursday, January 28, 2010

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