CAR Email 6.6.02

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Climate Action Report
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Email 6.6.02

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CAR Email 6.6.02

  1. 1. ARIIS GP Mage Iof 12 RECORD TYPE: FEDERAL (NOTES MAIL) CREATOR:Phil Cooney C CN=Phil Cooney/OU=CEQ/O=EOP ( CEQ CREATION DATE/TIME: 6-JUN-2002 13:04:51.00 SUBJECT: : Key Quotes on Climate - 6/11/01 POTUS Speech and recent Climate Action Re TO:Scott McClellan ( CN=Scott McClellan/OU=WH-O/O=EOP@EOP [ WHO I READ :UNKNOWN TO:Richard M. Russell C CN=Richard M. Russell/OU=hOSTP/>=EOP@EOP (OSTPI READ :UNKNOWN TO:William A. Pizer C CNzzWilliam A. Pizer/OU=CEA/O=EOP@EOP [ CEAI READ :UNKNOWN TO:Samuel A. Thernstrom ( CN=Samuel A. Thernstrom/OU=CEQ/O=EOP@EOP CEQ I READ :UNKNOWN TO:Cafldida P. Wolff C CN=Candida P. Wolff/OU=OVP/O=EOP@EOP [ OVPI READ :UNKNOWN TO:Joel D. Kaplan CCN='Joel D). Kaplan/OU=WHO/O=EOP@EOP [ WHO I READ :UNKNOWN TO:Paul T. Anastas CCN=Paul T. Anastas/OU=OSrrP/O=EOP@EOP [ OSTP READ :UNKNOWN TO:Kamferan L. Bailey CCN=Kameran L. Bailey/OU=CEQ/O=EOP@EOP [ CEO READ :UNKNOWN TO:Karen Y. Knutson CCN=Karen Y. Knutson/OU=OVP/O=EOP@EOP £ OVPI READ :UNKNOWN TO:Robert C. McNally (CN=Robert C. McNally/OU=OPD/O=EOP@EOP [ OPD READ :UNKNOWN TEXT: -- --------- Forwarded by Phil Cooney/CEQ/EOP on 06/06/2002 01:11 PM -- - - - - - - - - - - - - Phil Cooney 06/06/2002 01:02:24 PM Record Type: Record To: See the distribution list at the bottom of this message CC: Subject: Group, Attached is a Key Quotes document, setting out the President's June 11 statement last year and several selected quotes from the Climate Action Report. Phil file://D:SEARCH_9_11_02_02_CEQF_OSDV7003_CEQ.TXT 7/10/2006
  2. 2. Page 2 of 12 Message Sent To: ________________________________ DebFiddelke~hagel.senate.gov 8 inet BryanHannegafl~efergy. senate. gay 8 met Andrew Wheeler~epw.senlate.gov 8 imet Keith_Yehle~roberts-senate.gov 8 mnet Elizabeth vandersarl~govt-aff.senate.gov 8 mnet JohnPeschke~rpc .senate. gov 8 mnet George.0' Connor~craig.seat.gov 8 mnet AloysiusjHogan~inhofe .senate. gay 8 met LouisRenjelginhofe.senate.gov 8 mnet Joseph.Stanko~mail.house.gov 8 mnet David R. Anderson/CEQ/EOP8EOP Grant.Erael~mail.house.gov 8 mnet Bob. Ferguson~mail .house. gay 8 iet Jack.victory~mfail .house.gov 8 mnet J7amnes.R.Mahoneygnoaa.gov 8 mnet Cibson.Tomn~epa.gov 8 mnet Krieger.Jackieaepa.gov 8 mnet Craig.montesano~noaa.gov 8 inet Margot.Anderson~hq.doe.gov 8 mnet Robert.Card~hq.doe.Qov 8 mnet whohenstgoce.usda~gov 8 mnet reifsnyderda~state.gov 8 mnet Scott.Rayder~noaa.gov 8 mnet watsonhl~state-gov 8 mnet - ~~~~~ATTACHMENT 1 ATT CREATION TIME/DATE: 0 00:00:00.00 TEXT: 7 Unable to convert NSREOP0102:[ATTACH.D3l]SREOP01300 VDSO.00 to ASCII, The following is a HEX DUMP: 000000 DOCF11E0AlB11AE1000000000000000000000000000000003E000300FEFF090006000000 2 800 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00010OO00O 2 9OOOOOOOOOOOOOOO010OOOO2BOO000001000000FEFFFFFFO0000000 OOOOFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFPFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFEFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFPFFFFFFFFFFFF FFFPFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFVFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFEF FF F FFF FF F FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFEFF FFFFFFFFF FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFPFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF 0 0 00 FFFFFFFFFFECA5C1007100090400000012BFOOOOOOOOOOOOIOOOOOO00000040000DA14 EOOE0 4 0 00 6 2 6A626A742B742B00000000000000000000000000000000000009041600lElE000016 1 1 1 4 1010OD81000000000O000010000000000O000000O000000000OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO00FFFFOFOO 0 0 00 0 OOOOOOOOOOOOO0000FFFF0F000000000000000000FFFFOFOOOOOO000000000000000000000 0 0 0 0 00 00 2 00 5 DO000000OA2000A0 0000000000A000A0000A00A0000000000000A2000000000000 A 6 0 00 0 OO 0 0 0 DA 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0000000A20000000140000000000000000000000B600000000000000B 0000000000 BE00000000000000 BE00000038000000 EE 0000000C 000000FAO 000000C 000000B 600 00000000000047020000 B600000012010000000000001201000000000000120100000000000012 0100000000000012010000000000001201000000000000120l000000000000120100000000000 02 0 0 0 0 0 0 OCO 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 000E020000000000000E020000000000000E020000000000000E 00 1500 OOOE0O 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 000E02000024000000FD020000F4010000F1040000A200000032020000 file://D:SEARCH_9_11_02_02_CEQF~_OSDV7003_CEQ.TXT 7/10/2006
  3. 3. Key Statements on Climate Change Science President Bush, Rose Garden Speech, June 11, 2001: "Concentration of greenhouse gases, especially C02, have increased substantially since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution. And the National Academy of Sciences indicate that the increase is due in large part to human activity." Quotes from the U.S. Climate Action Report 2002: "One of the weakest links in our knowledge is the connection between global and regional predictions of climate change. The National Research Council's response to the President's request for a review of climate change policy specifically noted that fundamental scientific questions remain regarding the specifics of regional and local projections (NRC 2001). Predicting the potential impacts of climate change is compounded by a lack of understanding of the sensitivity of many environmental systems and resources -- both managed and unimanaged - to climate change." (page, 6) "While current analyses are unable to predict with confidence the timing, magnitude, or regional distribution of climate change, the best scientific information indicates that if greenhouse gas concentrations continue to increase, changes are likely to occur. The U.S. National Research Council has cautioned however, that "because there is considerable uncertainty in current understanding of how the climate system varies naturally and reacts to emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols, current estimates of the magnitude of future warnings should be regarded as tentative and subject to future adjustments (either upward or downward)." Moreover, there is perhaps even greater uncertainty regarding the social, environmental, and economic consequences of changes in climate." ("The Science" box, page, 4) "Greenhouse gases are accumulating in Earth's atmosphere as the result of human activities, causing global mean surface temperature and subsurface ocean temperature to rise. While the changes observed over the last several decades are due most likely to human activities, we cannot rule out that some significant part is also a reflection of natural variability." (page, 4). "In its June 2001 report, the Committee on the Science of Climate Change, which was convened by the National Research Council (NRC) of the National Academy of Sciences, concluded that "[h]uman-induced warming and associated sea level rises are expected to continue through the 21 st century." The Committee recognized that there remains considerable uncertainty in current understanding of how climate varies naturally and will respond to projected, but uncertain, changes in the emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols." (page, 8 1) "These assessment studies recognize that definitive prediction of potential outcomes is not yet feasible as a result of the wide range of possible future levels of greenhouse gas and aerosol emissions, the range of possible climatic responses to changes in atmospheric concentration, and the range of possible environmental and societal responses." (page, 82)
  4. 4. projecting potential "Because of these ranges and their uncertainties, and because of uncertainties probabilities of what is impacts, it is important to note that this chapter cannot present absolute plausibility of outcomes likely to occur. Instead, it can only present judgments about the relative do occur." (page, 82) in the event that the projected changes in climate that are being considered accurate predictions of the "Use of these model results is not meant to imply that they provide Rather, the models are specific changes in climate that will occut over the next hundred years. the 21 st century.... For considered to provide plausible projections of potential changes for models, including the some aspects of climate, the model results differ. For example, some and frequent drought in the Canadian model [used in this Assessment] project more extensive model used in the United States, while others, including the Hadley model [the other and drier Southeast Assessment] do not. As a result, the Canadian model suggests a hotter and wetter conditions. Where during the 21 st century, while the Hadley model suggests warmer but different such differences arise, the primary model scenarios provide two plausible, alternatives." (page, 84)

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