Climate Action Report FOIA Email 6.6.02

1. ARIIS
GP Mage Iof 12
RECORD TYPE: FEDERAL (NOTES MAIL)
CREATOR:Phil Cooney C CN=Phil Cooney/OU=CEQ/O=EOP ( CEQ
CREATION DATE/TIME: 6-JUN-2002 13:04:51.00
SUBJECT: : Key Quotes on Climate - 6/11/01 POTUS Speech and recent Climate Action Re
TO:Scott McClellan ( CN=Scott McClellan/OU=WH-O/O=EOP@EOP [ WHO I
READ :UNKNOWN
TO:Richard M. Russell C CN=Richard M. Russell/OU=hOSTP/>=EOP@EOP (OSTPI
READ :UNKNOWN
TO:William A. Pizer C CNzzWilliam A. Pizer/OU=CEA/O=EOP@EOP [ CEAI
READ :UNKNOWN
TO:Samuel A. Thernstrom ( CN=Samuel A. Thernstrom/OU=CEQ/O=EOP@EOP CEQ I
READ :UNKNOWN
TO:Cafldida P. Wolff C CN=Candida P. Wolff/OU=OVP/O=EOP@EOP [ OVPI
READ :UNKNOWN
TO:Joel D. Kaplan CCN='Joel D). Kaplan/OU=WHO/O=EOP@EOP [ WHO I
READ :UNKNOWN
TO:Paul T. Anastas CCN=Paul T. Anastas/OU=OSrrP/O=EOP@EOP [ OSTP
READ :UNKNOWN
TO:Kamferan L. Bailey CCN=Kameran L. Bailey/OU=CEQ/O=EOP@EOP [ CEO
READ :UNKNOWN
TO:Karen Y. Knutson CCN=Karen Y. Knutson/OU=OVP/O=EOP@EOP £ OVPI
READ :UNKNOWN
TO:Robert C. McNally (CN=Robert C. McNally/OU=OPD/O=EOP@EOP [ OPD
READ :UNKNOWN
TEXT:
-- --------- Forwarded by Phil Cooney/CEQ/EOP on 06/06/2002
01:11 PM -- - - - - - - - - - - - -
Phil Cooney
06/06/2002 01:02:24 PM
Record Type: Record
To: See the distribution list at the bottom of this message
CC:
Subject:
Group, Attached is a Key Quotes document, setting out the President's June
11 statement last year and several selected quotes from the Climate Action
Report. Phil
file://D:SEARCH_9_11_02_02_CEQF_OSDV7003_CEQ.TXT 7/10/2006

2. Page 2 of 12
Message Sent
To: ________________________________
DebFiddelke~hagel.senate.gov 8 inet
BryanHannegafl~efergy. senate. gay 8 met
Andrew Wheeler~epw.senlate.gov 8 imet
Keith_Yehle~roberts-senate.gov 8 mnet
Elizabeth vandersarl~govt-aff.senate.gov 8 mnet
JohnPeschke~rpc .senate. gov 8 mnet
George.0' Connor~craig.seat.gov 8 mnet
AloysiusjHogan~inhofe .senate. gay 8 met
LouisRenjelginhofe.senate.gov 8 mnet
Joseph.Stanko~mail.house.gov 8 mnet
David R. Anderson/CEQ/EOP8EOP
Grant.Erael~mail.house.gov 8 mnet
Bob. Ferguson~mail .house. gay 8 iet
Jack.victory~mfail .house.gov 8 mnet
J7amnes.R.Mahoneygnoaa.gov 8 mnet
Cibson.Tomn~epa.gov 8 mnet
Krieger.Jackieaepa.gov 8 mnet
Craig.montesano~noaa.gov 8 inet
Margot.Anderson~hq.doe.gov 8 mnet
Robert.Card~hq.doe.Qov 8 mnet
whohenstgoce.usda~gov 8 mnet
reifsnyderda~state.gov 8 mnet
Scott.Rayder~noaa.gov 8 mnet
watsonhl~state-gov 8 mnet
- ~~~~~ATTACHMENT 1
ATT CREATION TIME/DATE: 0 00:00:00.00
TEXT:
7
Unable to convert NSREOP0102:[ATTACH.D3l]SREOP01300 VDSO.00 to ASCII,
The following is a HEX DUMP:
000000
DOCF11E0AlB11AE1000000000000000000000000000000003E000300FEFF090006000000 2
800
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00010OO00O 2 9OOOOOOOOOOOOOOO010OOOO2BOO000001000000FEFFFFFFO0000000
OOOOFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFPFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFEFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFPFFFFFFFFFFFF
FFFPFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFVFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFEF FF F FFF FF F FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFEFF FFFFFFFFF
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFPFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF 0 0 00
FFFFFFFFFFECA5C1007100090400000012BFOOOOOOOOOOOOIOOOOOO00000040000DA14 EOOE0
4 0 00
6 2 6A626A742B742B00000000000000000000000000000000000009041600lElE000016 1 1 1
4 1010OD81000000000O000010000000000O000000O000000000OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO00FFFFOFOO 0 0 00 0
OOOOOOOOOOOOO0000FFFF0F000000000000000000FFFFOFOOOOOO000000000000000000000 0 0 0 0 00
00 2
00 5 DO000000OA2000A0 0000000000A000A0000A00A0000000000000A2000000000000 A
6 0 00 0
OO 0 0 0 DA 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0000000A20000000140000000000000000000000B600000000000000B
0000000000 BE00000000000000 BE00000038000000 EE 0000000C 000000FAO 000000C 000000B 600
00000000000047020000 B600000012010000000000001201000000000000120100000000000012
0100000000000012010000000000001201000000000000120l000000000000120100000000000 02 0 0 0 0 0 0
OCO 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 000E020000000000000E020000000000000E020000000000000E 00
1500
OOOE0O 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 000E02000024000000FD020000F4010000F1040000A200000032020000
file://D:SEARCH_9_11_02_02_CEQF~_OSDV7003_CEQ.TXT 7/10/2006

3. Key Statements on Climate Change Science
President Bush, Rose Garden Speech, June 11, 2001:
"Concentration of greenhouse gases, especially C02, have increased substantially since the
beginning of the Industrial Revolution. And the National Academy of Sciences indicate that the
increase is due in large part to human activity."
Quotes from the U.S. Climate Action Report 2002:
"One of the weakest links in our knowledge is the connection between global and regional
predictions of climate change. The National Research Council's response to the President's
request for a review of climate change policy specifically noted that fundamental scientific
questions remain regarding the specifics of regional and local projections (NRC 2001).
Predicting the potential impacts of climate change is compounded by a lack of understanding of
the sensitivity of many environmental systems and resources -- both managed and unimanaged -
to climate change." (page, 6)
"While current analyses are unable to predict with confidence the timing, magnitude, or regional
distribution of climate change, the best scientific information indicates that if greenhouse gas
concentrations continue to increase, changes are likely to occur. The U.S. National Research
Council has cautioned however, that "because there is considerable uncertainty in current
understanding of how the climate system varies naturally and reacts to emissions of greenhouse
gases and aerosols, current estimates of the magnitude of future warnings should be regarded as
tentative and subject to future adjustments (either upward or downward)." Moreover, there is
perhaps even greater uncertainty regarding the social, environmental, and economic
consequences of changes in climate." ("The Science" box, page, 4)
"Greenhouse gases are accumulating in Earth's atmosphere as the result of human activities,
causing global mean surface temperature and subsurface ocean temperature to rise. While the
changes observed over the last several decades are due most likely to human activities, we
cannot rule out that some significant part is also a reflection of natural variability." (page, 4).
"In its June 2001 report, the Committee on the Science of Climate Change, which was convened
by the National Research Council (NRC) of the National Academy of Sciences, concluded that
"[h]uman-induced warming and associated sea level rises are expected to continue through the
21 st century." The Committee recognized that there remains considerable uncertainty in current
understanding of how climate varies naturally and will respond to projected, but uncertain,
changes in the emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols." (page, 8 1)
"These assessment studies recognize that definitive prediction of potential outcomes is not yet
feasible as a result of the wide range of possible future levels of greenhouse gas and aerosol
emissions, the range of possible climatic responses to changes in atmospheric concentration, and
the range of possible environmental and societal responses." (page, 82)

4. projecting potential
"Because of these ranges and their uncertainties, and because of uncertainties
probabilities of what is
impacts, it is important to note that this chapter cannot present absolute
plausibility of outcomes
likely to occur. Instead, it can only present judgments about the relative
do occur." (page, 82)
in the event that the projected changes in climate that are being considered
accurate predictions of the
"Use of these model results is not meant to imply that they provide
Rather, the models are
specific changes in climate that will occut over the next hundred years.
the 21 st century.... For
considered to provide plausible projections of potential changes for
models, including the
some aspects of climate, the model results differ. For example, some
and frequent drought in the
Canadian model [used in this Assessment] project more extensive
model used in the
United States, while others, including the Hadley model [the other
and drier Southeast
Assessment] do not. As a result, the Canadian model suggests a hotter
and wetter conditions. Where
during the 21 st century, while the Hadley model suggests warmer
but different
such differences arise, the primary model scenarios provide two plausible,
alternatives." (page, 84)