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Is a mobile phone more dangerous than an AK47?


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Lezing door Andy Black
3 maart 2016, VOGIN-IP-lezing, Amsterdam

Published in: Internet
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Is a mobile phone more dangerous than an AK47?

  1. 1. Is a mobile phone more dangerous than an AK47?
  2. 2. In 2010 the Arab Spring started and surprised us all. It provided a stark example of how the simultaneous convergence of cloud computing, mobile devices, social media, Millennials and collaborative tools can enable and empower self- organising networks to overthrow hierarchical structures. But by 2015 the promise of less corrupt and more representative government across the region was instead replaced by instability and chaos. The removal of hierarchical structures had created a power vacuum. The same type of revolution is now sweeping across the business world. Digital transformation enables Amazon or Alibaba to compete with high street retailers, ecommerce or bitcoin to challenge the dollar and robots or artificial intelligence to replace middle-class managerial jobs. What do the latest statistics and trends indicate? How are governments across the world reacting to these challenges? Why is social media so crucial in international diplomacy and foreign affairs?
  3. 3. 3 2010: Middle East And Africa Has The Fastest Growing Online Population Source: ComScore Feb 2011 Tunisia 17 Dec 2010 - Mohamed Bouazizi self –immolates due to humiliation from Govt officials – images and news spreads across Twitter, Facebook and mobile phones. Food inflation, unemployment and Govt corruption mobilises Tunisians to protest London 7 Dec 2010 – The Guardian publish The US Embassy Cables – US Ambassador to Tunisia says “country is troubled by nepotism, corruption, and the 'sclerotic' regime of ageing president Ben Ali.” This information spreads across Twitter
  4. 4. 4 2011: Across The World Younger Citizens Actively Use Mobile Devices And Social Networks Source: McKinsey Jan 2012 In emerging markets the 18-35 demographic is rapidly adopting mobile devices and the use of social networks
  5. 5. 5 2012: Social Media and Political Instability Source: Dubai School of Government March 2012 The adoption and use of social networks is increasing political instability
  6. 6. 6 2012: Social Media Challenges The Rules Source: Dubai School of Government March 2012 Social tools like Twitter, Facebook, YouTube and the availability of mobile phones and Internet access allow groups to self organise and share information - circumnavigating traditional structures
  7. 7. 7 2012: 2.4 Billion Global Internet Users Source: Kleiner, Perkins, Caulfield, Byers Dec 2012 Online populations are rapidly growing and are using social networks to access and share news and information
  8. 8. 8 2012: Social Network Participation Leads Online Behaviour Source: McKinsey 2012 Brazilians main online activity is accessing social networks – and 60% of Brazilians find out about news stories via social networks
  9. 9. 9 2012: Social Media For Business (LinkedIn) Source: Amerdio Verde Jan 2012 Rapid rise in business people using LinkedIn In 2010 YoY growth was 72% for Africa, 85% for Latin America and 62% in Middle East
  10. 10. 10 2013: Internet Challenges Traditional Information Sources Source: NW University Qatar 2013 Reuters Digital News Survey 2013 Across the world online is replacing TV as the main source of news for the 18-35 demographic
  11. 11. 11 2012: Young People Get Politically Active On Social Networks
  12. 12. 12 2013: Influencers Can Suddenly Appear From Nowhere & Be Amplified Globally
  13. 13. 13 Why Did The Arab Spring Fail? • Uprisings created power vacuums • Male tribal hierarchies still dominated • Endemic corruption • Lack of professional middle class • Lack of female empowerment • Lack of low cost, collaborative and open technology to transform business, society and government
  14. 14. 14 How Did Some Governments Initially React? • Monitoring • Surveillance • Shutting down social media and IM services • Wanting back doors to access data • Astroturfing
  15. 15. “Closed” To “Open” Simultaneous impact of: • Social networks • Cloud computing • Mobility • Generation Y • Globalisation • Collaborative technology • Open technologies
  16. 16. World Is Changing
  17. 17. World Is Changing – Year-On-Year Growth
  18. 18. Time Spent On The Internet
  19. 19. Social Media Use – By Country
  20. 20. Mobile’s Share Of Web Traffic
  21. 21. Social Networks
  22. 22. 22 What Are The Impacts Of These Changes
  23. 23. Media Has Changed
  24. 24. Media Consumption Has Changed Source: Reuters News Global Survey 2013
  25. 25. Society Is Changing
  26. 26. Power Is Changing
  27. 27. Organisations Are Changing
  28. 28. Brands Are Changing
  29. 29. Marketing Is Changing
  30. 30. 30 Advocacy & The Network Effect Click here to see geotagged tweets showing #bringbackourgirls
  31. 31. 31 Project Loon & Low Cost Solar Powered Smartphones
  32. 32. 32 Demographic Change Projections To 2100
  33. 33. 33 Opening Up Government - Encourage Civic Society, Innovation And Collaboration Open standards Open source Open data Open government
  34. 34. 34 Open Source Everything Source: David Steele
  35. 35. 35 Thank You Andy Black My Experience Includes Working With: