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GOLD PRICE
     FLUCTUATION




VIPUL SACHAN       BBA – 3rd
ABHISHEK MATHUR                1
                    2012
AGENDA



• Introduction

• Gold in the investment portfolio

• Price history of gold

• Factors affecting gold price in India

• Effects of gold price in economy


                                          2
INTRODUCTION


• Precious & finite natural commodity

• 60% jewellery

• India & China at the forefront of consumption

• World Gold Council's GDT

• Toppers: South Africa, United States, Australia &
  Indonesia.

                                                  3
TYPES OF INVESTMENT



• Physical Metal

• Gold ETF's

• Gold Mining Stock




                          4
PHYSICAL METAL



 • Jewellery

 • Gold Coins

 • Tola Bars

 • Kilo Bars




                 5
GOLD ETF’s



• Open Ended Index funds that are listed and traded
  through exchanges.

• ETF are mainly in Gold, Silver, Platinum and Palladium
  besides others .

• They are listed in major stock exchanges.




                                                      6
GOLD IN THE INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO



  • Hedge against inflation

  • Hedge against a declining dollar

  • Gold as a safe haven

  • Supply and demand

  • Store of value

  • Portfolio diversifier
                                       7
GOLD INVESTMENT PRACTICES IN INDIA



      • Physical gold.

      • 25,000 tonnes jewellery, Coins and Bars.

      • Form of storing wealth

      • At past jewellery investment




                                                   8
Contd…



• Investment in the Bars, Coins.

• Fluctuations in gold prices

• Investment:Wedding,Children,Property,Purchase,
  & Emergency




                                            9
WORLD SCENARIO




                 10
GOLD PRICE FLUCTUATION


Average annual gold price in USD and GBP since 1900
US$/oz, GB£/oz
 1,400

 1,200

 1,000

   800

   600

   400

   200

      0
       1900    1910    1920    1930    1940      1950   1960   1970   1980    1990   2000   2010
                                      USD                                    GBP

Source: Reuters Datastream, World Gold Council


                                                                                                   11
GOLD PRICE:LAST DECADE




                         12
CURRENT GOLD PRICE




                     13
FACTORS AFFECTING GOLD PRICE



    • Integral part of Indian culture

    • Largest consumer of gold

    • Rise in population

    • Gold investment



                                        14
Contd…



• Effect of U.S dollar

• Change in world’s gold supply

• Parallel economy

• Global economic situation




                                  15
AN OVERVIEW OF HOW GOLD PRICE
     AFFECTS THE ECONOMY



           • Inflation

           • Electronic Industry

           • Health Sector

           • Aerospace Industry

           • Glass Industry

                                   16
Contd…




• Gold Mining Industry

• Commodity Market




                         17
CONCLUSION




“Be innovative and stop the run for easy money”



                                                  18
19

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India’s Gold Rush: Its Impact on economy

  • 1. GOLD PRICE FLUCTUATION VIPUL SACHAN BBA – 3rd ABHISHEK MATHUR 1 2012
  • 2. AGENDA • Introduction • Gold in the investment portfolio • Price history of gold • Factors affecting gold price in India • Effects of gold price in economy 2
  • 3. INTRODUCTION • Precious & finite natural commodity • 60% jewellery • India & China at the forefront of consumption • World Gold Council's GDT • Toppers: South Africa, United States, Australia & Indonesia. 3
  • 4. TYPES OF INVESTMENT • Physical Metal • Gold ETF's • Gold Mining Stock 4
  • 5. PHYSICAL METAL • Jewellery • Gold Coins • Tola Bars • Kilo Bars 5
  • 6. GOLD ETF’s • Open Ended Index funds that are listed and traded through exchanges. • ETF are mainly in Gold, Silver, Platinum and Palladium besides others . • They are listed in major stock exchanges. 6
  • 7. GOLD IN THE INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO • Hedge against inflation • Hedge against a declining dollar • Gold as a safe haven • Supply and demand • Store of value • Portfolio diversifier 7
  • 8. GOLD INVESTMENT PRACTICES IN INDIA • Physical gold. • 25,000 tonnes jewellery, Coins and Bars. • Form of storing wealth • At past jewellery investment 8
  • 9. Contd… • Investment in the Bars, Coins. • Fluctuations in gold prices • Investment:Wedding,Children,Property,Purchase, & Emergency 9
  • 11. GOLD PRICE FLUCTUATION Average annual gold price in USD and GBP since 1900 US$/oz, GB£/oz 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 USD GBP Source: Reuters Datastream, World Gold Council 11
  • 14. FACTORS AFFECTING GOLD PRICE • Integral part of Indian culture • Largest consumer of gold • Rise in population • Gold investment 14
  • 15. Contd… • Effect of U.S dollar • Change in world’s gold supply • Parallel economy • Global economic situation 15
  • 16. AN OVERVIEW OF HOW GOLD PRICE AFFECTS THE ECONOMY • Inflation • Electronic Industry • Health Sector • Aerospace Industry • Glass Industry 16
  • 17. Contd… • Gold Mining Industry • Commodity Market 17
  • 18. CONCLUSION “Be innovative and stop the run for easy money” 18
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