Australia’s role in efforts to achieve
global food security and
sustainability.
Mick Keogh
Australian Farm Institute

1
Future demand

Australian agricultural potential
Australia’s agricultural trade
performance
Optimising Australia’s
contrib...
Animal protein intake (Kcals/capita/day)

1400

1200

1000

Australia

China

USA

800

600

Japan
400

India
200

Indones...
Source: FAO

6
7
China’s projected agrifood consumption

Source: ABARES

8
Japan and Korea projected agrifood consumption

Source: ABARES

9
ASEAN projected agrifood consumption

Source: ABARES

10
India – projected agrifood consumption

Source: ABARES

11
Future demand
Australian agricultural
potential
Australia’s agricultural trade
performance
Optimising Australia’s chances....
14
Source: ABARES
Future Asian demand

Australian agricultural potential
Australia’s agricultural trade
performance
Optimising Australia’s
c...
Source: ABARES

17
Source: ABARES

18
Source: ABARES

19
Source: UN Comtrade
20
Source of agricultural imports, major Asian importers*
$140
$120
$100

Billions

$80

Thailand
Brazil

$60

USA
Canada

$4...
22
China

23
Indonesia

24
India

25
Future Asian demand

Australian agricultural potential
Australia’s agricultural trade
performance
Optimising Australia’s
c...
Freight costs – chilled/frozen beef

Houston

Shanghai

$0.44 / Kg

Buenos Aires

Shanghai

$0.39c/kg

Los Angeles

Shangh...
Source: ABARES

28
Source: AFI

29
Grains research capacity
1,600
1,400

Number of persons

1,200
1,000
800

2007

600

2012

400
200
0
Northern

Southern

W...
Minimum wages (International dollars)
$25,000

$20,000

$15,000

$10,000

$5,000

$0

Source: ILO
The consumer …
SelfActualisation

Esteem needs
(status)

Social needs
(sense of belonging)

Safety needs

Physiological ne...
Trade negotiations underway
•

WTO Doha Round (2001)

•

China (2005)

•

Japan (2007)

•

The Gulf Cooperation Council (S...
35
Australian agriculture’s role
• Supplier of high-quality food and fibre exports – grains,
red-meat, dairy, sugar, fibres.
...
UNAA Global Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture Seminar - Mick Keogh, Australian Farm Institute
UNAA Global Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture Seminar - Mick Keogh, Australian Farm Institute
UNAA Global Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture Seminar - Mick Keogh, Australian Farm Institute
UNAA Global Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture Seminar - Mick Keogh, Australian Farm Institute
UNAA Global Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture Seminar - Mick Keogh, Australian Farm Institute
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UNAA Global Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture Seminar - Mick Keogh, Australian Farm Institute

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Mick Keogh, Executive Director, Australian Farm Institute, presented at the UNAA Victoria Global Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture Seminar held on Tuesday 29 October in Melbourne.

Held in support of the United Nations Zero Hunger Challenge, in partnership with NAB and the University of Melbourne, this seminar was part of the UNAA Sustainability Leadership Series and sought to build momentum for collective action on food security and sustainable agriculture post Rio +20.

Bringing together experts and practitioners from government, business, civil society, farmers' organisations, research and academia, the seminar sought to provide a platform for shared learning and discussion on Australia's role in addressing the global food security challenge and advancing sustainable agricultural practices.

It highlighted the challenges and opportunities that Australian government, businesses, and NGOs face as they contribute to developing and promoting sustainable food supply chains that increase food production, preserve natural resources and fight hunger at the local, national and global level.

For more information about this seminar and the UNAA Sustainability Leadeship Series please visit www.unaavictoria.org.au/education-advocacy/masterclasses/

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UNAA Global Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture Seminar - Mick Keogh, Australian Farm Institute

  1. 1. Australia’s role in efforts to achieve global food security and sustainability. Mick Keogh Australian Farm Institute 1
  2. 2. Future demand Australian agricultural potential Australia’s agricultural trade performance Optimising Australia’s contribution. 2
  3. 3. Animal protein intake (Kcals/capita/day) 1400 1200 1000 Australia China USA 800 600 Japan 400 India 200 Indonesia 0 $0 Source: AFI $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 $35,000 GDP per capita ($ ppp ) $40,000 $45,000 $50,000
  4. 4. Source: FAO 6
  5. 5. 7
  6. 6. China’s projected agrifood consumption Source: ABARES 8
  7. 7. Japan and Korea projected agrifood consumption Source: ABARES 9
  8. 8. ASEAN projected agrifood consumption Source: ABARES 10
  9. 9. India – projected agrifood consumption Source: ABARES 11
  10. 10. Future demand Australian agricultural potential Australia’s agricultural trade performance Optimising Australia’s chances. 12
  11. 11. 14
  12. 12. Source: ABARES
  13. 13. Future Asian demand Australian agricultural potential Australia’s agricultural trade performance Optimising Australia’s contribution. 16
  14. 14. Source: ABARES 17
  15. 15. Source: ABARES 18
  16. 16. Source: ABARES 19
  17. 17. Source: UN Comtrade 20
  18. 18. Source of agricultural imports, major Asian importers* $140 $120 $100 Billions $80 Thailand Brazil $60 USA Canada $40 New Zealand Australia $20 China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 $- Source: UN Comtrade 21
  19. 19. 22
  20. 20. China 23
  21. 21. Indonesia 24
  22. 22. India 25
  23. 23. Future Asian demand Australian agricultural potential Australia’s agricultural trade performance Optimising Australia’s contribution. 26
  24. 24. Freight costs – chilled/frozen beef Houston Shanghai $0.44 / Kg Buenos Aires Shanghai $0.39c/kg Los Angeles Shanghai $0.32c/kg Santos (Brz) Shanghai $0.32c/kg San Antonio Shanghai $0.36c/kg Melbourne Shanghai $0.20c/kg
  25. 25. Source: ABARES 28
  26. 26. Source: AFI 29
  27. 27. Grains research capacity 1,600 1,400 Number of persons 1,200 1,000 800 2007 600 2012 400 200 0 Northern Southern Western Australia 30
  28. 28. Minimum wages (International dollars) $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 Source: ILO
  29. 29. The consumer … SelfActualisation Esteem needs (status) Social needs (sense of belonging) Safety needs Physiological needs (calories, protein, water) Maslow’s hierarchy of needs Doing good. Environment, animal welfare, Fair Trade Quality standard, luxury Country, region Food safety reassurance Food, shelter, clothing
  30. 30. Trade negotiations underway • WTO Doha Round (2001) • China (2005) • Japan (2007) • The Gulf Cooperation Council (Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates) (2007) • India (2011) • Indonesia (2012) • Republic of Korea (2009) • Trans-Pacific Partnership members (Brunei Darussalam, Canada, Chile, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, USA, Vietnam) (2008)
  31. 31. 35
  32. 32. Australian agriculture’s role • Supplier of high-quality food and fibre exports – grains, red-meat, dairy, sugar, fibres. • Expertise in sustainable, low-input, dryland crop and livestock production, and irrigation technologies and systems. • Expertise in food safety, biosecurity, risk management and traceability systems • Expertise in policy and institutional systems to foster productive and sustainable agricultural systems. 36

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