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09.10.2011 Mongolia’s short and medium term investment advantages with a focus on non resource based sectors, Paulius Kuncinas

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Paulius Kuncinas, Regional Editor for Asia, Oxford Business Group

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09.10.2011 Mongolia’s short and medium term investment advantages with a focus on non resource based sectors, Paulius Kuncinas

  1. 1. Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE Mongolia’s Short and Medium Term Investment Advantages Paulius Kuncinas, Regional Editor, Asia
  2. 2. •Compelling Investment Proposition •Extremely Risk Averse Investment Environment Key Findings: Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE •Extremely Risk Averse Investment Environment •Key Risk is Dutch Disease – Overeliance on Resources •Risk is manageable •Diversification – an urgent priority
  3. 3. What sets Mongolia Apart? • Late Blossom Commodity Story • Strong Regional Demand • Democratic Institutions Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE • Democratic Institutions • Fast Income Growth • Pent Up Domestic Demand
  4. 4. Downside Risks • Boom-Bust Cycles • Procyclical policies • Commodity Price Volatility • Inflation is the main Risk • Mongolia’s politicians are entering into a new social contract with its population Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE • Commodity Price Volatility • Inflation • Geopolitics Challenges • The risk is of repeating the mistakes of crowding out private sector and creating a paternalist state
  5. 5. Lessons from Asia • Mongolia - Unique Asian Growth Story • Brunei bears some resemblence Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE • Malaysia offers some lessons • Papua New Guinea (PNG) same cycle
  6. 6. Diversify Where? Low Hanging Fruits • Play to Strengths – Agriculture • Tourism – Vast Potential • Land intensive industries Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE • Land intensive industries • Renewable Energy • Data Storage • Transit logistics
  7. 7. Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE Mongolia: Report 2012 Launch March 1st, 2012, Ulaanbaatar
  8. 8. Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE THANK YOU!

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