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Growing smarter
An approach to intelligent spatial
planning using the evidence
How should Norfolk grow?
Norwich, 20th Nove...
Presence
Copresence
Communication
Interaction
Transaction
Introduction
Innovation
Broadcast
Underpinning policy with evidence
Short-term
 50 yearsThe right science
for emergencies
Current issues:
Well-being, healt...
Disconnected Layout
Spatial Accessibility Score = 35
Connected layout
Spatial Accessibility Score = 75
Disconnected Layout...
Suppressed movement
economy.
Enhanced movement
economy.
Main street, mixing global &
local movement.
Fast highways, separa...
Modelling the Spatial Layout Attraction
New Extension Area (NEA)
CBD area
2,000
3,000
750
2,500
1,500
1,000
500
250
2,000
750
2,500
1,500
1,000
500
250
0
to
to
to...
The Integrated Transport Network model examines the
employment impacts of rail infrastructure improvement
18
“Peak Ring No...
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?
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Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?

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Presentation at the "How should Norfolk grow?" seminar organised by Richard Bacon MP and held in Norwich on 20th November 2015.

Published in: Data & Analytics
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Tim Stonor_How should Norfolk grow?

  1. 1. Growing smarter An approach to intelligent spatial planning using the evidence How should Norfolk grow? Norwich, 20th November 2015 Tim Stonor t.stonor@spacesyntax.com @Tim_Stonor Space Syntax
  2. 2. Presence Copresence Communication Interaction Transaction Introduction Innovation Broadcast
  3. 3. Underpinning policy with evidence Short-term  50 yearsThe right science for emergencies Current issues: Well-being, health, security & resilience e.g. Ebola e.g. Cybersecurity e.g. Future of Cities Medium-term Long-term  Knowledge translated to economic advantage  Advocacy and leadership for science Government’s Chief Scientific Adviser
  4. 4. Disconnected Layout Spatial Accessibility Score = 35 Connected layout Spatial Accessibility Score = 75 Disconnected Layout Connected Layout Difference IRR 15% 18% 3% NPV USD 1.1 billion USD 1.6 billion USD 0.5 billion Real estate value analysis
  5. 5. Suppressed movement economy. Enhanced movement economy. Main street, mixing global & local movement. Fast highways, separating global & local movement. Urban challenge #1 Fast highways replacing main streets
  6. 6. Modelling the Spatial Layout Attraction
  7. 7. New Extension Area (NEA) CBD area 2,000 3,000 750 2,500 1,500 1,000 500 250 2,000 750 2,500 1,500 1,000 500 250 0 to to to to to to to to Unimproved Capital Value (UCV) $ per m² above3,000 to Existing land value The Land value Model predicts a total land value for the CBD and the New Extension Area of more than 3.7 billion Australian dollars. Forecasting land value
  8. 8. The Integrated Transport Network model examines the employment impacts of rail infrastructure improvement 18 “Peak Ring North” scenario “Peak Ring South” scenario Note: model incorporates planned improvements under HS2/HS3 Model links rail and road infrastructure to capture integrated commuting time

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