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Economic Impact of Asymmetric Paid Peering: Implications of the Netflix vs. SK Broadband Dispute

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Economic Impact of Asymmetric Paid Peering: Implications of the Netflix vs. SK Broadband Dispute

  1. 1. Economic Impact of Asymmetric Paid Peering Implications of the Netflix vs. SK Broadband Dispute Toshiya Jitsuzumi, Chuo University T. JITSUZUMI@TPRC50 (Washington D.C. , Sep. 17, 2022) 1
  2. 2. Summary and presentation agenda Summary ◦ Recently, in order to cope with the growing video traffic over the internet, network operators are required to expand their network capacity, and start requesting content providers to share part of their investment expenditures. ◦ In Korea, negotiations between SK Broadband and Netflix have been ongoing since 2018, and last year, in 2021, the Seoul Central District Court ruled in favor of such sharing. T. JITSUZUMI@TPRC50 (Washington D.C. , Sep. 17, 2022) 3 Presentation Agenda 1. SK Broadband vs. Netflix 2. Related issues 3. Model analysis 4. Policy implications 5. Conclusion SK vs. Netflix Case Related issues Model Implications Conclusion ◦ The results of the simple model analyses 1. Incentives to introduce paid peering is present when ISP’s behavior is constrained in some way, and that in many cases, the introduction of paid peering will harm economic welfare of the overall ecosystem, in a short- term framework. 2. If long-term externality is taken into account, it is possible that paid peering is beneficial and realize fair cost distribution among ecosystem players. ◦ Policy implications ◦ Once a decision is made to intervene in the ISP market, there is a need for continued involvement. ◦ Transparency on peering agreements should be improved. ◦ Paid peering may be a tool that can be used to maintain universal broadband service.
  3. 3. Development of the case T. JITSUZUMI@TPRC50 (Washington D.C. , Sep. 17, 2022) 4 Simply put, their dispute is over the eyeball ISP's demand for CAPs to bear the cost of expanded network infrastructure that was essential to guarantee smooth delivery of Netflix content to Korean subscribers. ◦ According to SK, there is a dramatic increase in Netflix usage by SK users (35Gbps inApril 2018, 523Gbps in April 2020, 900Gbps in May 2021, and 1,200Gbps in September 2021). Apr. 4, 2018 Netflix and SK Broadband have started interconnection at Tokyo. Oct. 22, 2018 SK Broadband demanded that Netflix pay for its network. Nov. 12, 2019 SK Broadband filed a ruling with the Korea Communications Commission (the proceedings for this ruling are currently suspended). Jan. 1, 2020 Netflix and SK Broadband began interconnection in Hong Kong. Apr. 2020 Netflix filed suit in the Seoul Central District Court seeking confirmation that they are not obligated to negotiate or pay. Jun. 25, 2021 Seoul Central District Court Decision 1. This case is not directly related to “net neutrality”. 2. The action for non-existence of obligation is dismissed. 3. The details of payment should be decided by negotiations. Nov. 5, 2021 Netflix appealed to the Seoul High Court. SK vs. Netflix Case Related issues Model Implications Conclusion Open Connect TOKYO Open Connect Hong Kong
  4. 4. Similar discussions in the US and in the EU T. JITSUZUMI@TPRC50 (Washington D.C. , Sep. 17, 2022) 5 Source: https://www.ft.com/content/1e99afea-acd4-4ee3-b655-ef60f8715f40, https://etno.eu/news/all-news/717-ceo-statement-2021.html, https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/exclusive-france-italy-spain-call-tech-firms-pay- telecoms-networks-2022-08-01/?fbclid=IwAR06gL0Loflt2sHx2Qor5jXmVhPKsEMfj9l2ByN- 5afiZBJG0P-02uGxM2I SK vs. Netflix Case Related issues Model Implications Conclusion Source: https://www.newsweek.com/ending-big-techs-free-ride-opinion- 1593696?fbclid=IwAR02HIsYNX7Fr-yfBAVYCzuIgtFM5HucGt5zAoJqwTKBKeaeupjeyxPp45g, https://www.nexttv.com/news/fcc-seeks-hill-authority-to-add-edge-to-usf- subsidies?utm_source=SmartBrief&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=14B53D24-35C5-41D4-B190- AC51C762248C&utm_content=D915256C-16A7-44F2-9C10-6D923D94695A&utm_term=8f67dc74- 788e-4218-8988-86a99224370f&fbclid=IwAR2JyPmodwxYkjxeAaA- U3oOs0U_6A0EJf5iBOHR8ADfr1YidU6IqBMs4HU
  5. 5. Related issues T. JITSUZUMI@TPRC50 (Washington D.C. , Sep. 17, 2022) 6 SK vs. Netflix Case Related issues Model Implications Conclusion Although not admitted in the district court decision, Netflix argued the following two issues as grounds for no obligation. Zero price rule (ZPR) ◦ ZPR prohibits network operators from charging content providers that are not their direct customers. ◦ While having no official legal basis, this “rule” is widely adopted in order to prevent dominant ISPs from abusing their superior bargaining power. ◦ Whether this zero price rule would improve economic welfare or not depends on the parameters of the market. (Easley et al., 2018 and and Briglauer, 2019). ◦ ZPR functions as a subsidy program from network operators to content providers. ◦ Lee and Wu (2009), Chettiar et al. (2010) and Chettiar and Holladay (2010). Paid peering ◦ Free peering (a settlement-free interconnection agreement) has been a norm in the past. However, with the recent proliferation of high-quality video, highly asymmetric traffic exchange patterns have emerged, making it difficult to maintain settlement-free arrangements. ◦ Some parties have begun requiring reasonable data transfer fees to be paid by traffic senders in the name of "paid peering." The agreement SK is seeking from Netflix is one of those examples. ◦ In theory, it remains undetermined whether such paid arrangements could improve welfare. ◦ Little and Wright (2000), Faratin et al (2008), Shrimali (2010), Besen and Israel (2013), and Coucheney et al. (2014) support paid peering, while Roson (2003), Choi and Kim (2010), and Economides and Hermalin (2012) are against it. Considering the existence of CDN firms, ZPR does not guarantee the level playing field. In this sense, ZPR effectively contributes to the maintenance of market dominance by large CAPs by narrowing the range of strategies that can be employed by smaller players.
  6. 6. Four assumptions for model building Two assumptions that may be unique to this study’s model: 1. CAPs rely on subscription fees rather than advertising revenues. ◦ Relying on subscription fees has the same effect as allowing side payments in the two-sided market model, allowing us to use a simpler combined goods model. ◦ Most of previous attempts (such as Shrimali and Kumar [2008] and D'Annunzio and Russo [2015]) assume that CAPs employ an advertising model and proceed the analysis following the wo-sided market structure. In contrast, in Gaivoronski et al. (2017) and Hau et al. (2011), CAPs are assumed to employ a SVOD model. 2. CAPs will not conduct price discrimination depending on the ISPs through which end-users watch their content. ◦ ISPs can set their own prices for their own users. T. JITSUZUMI@TPRC50 (Washington D.C. , Sep. 17, 2022) 7 SK vs. Netflix Case Related issues Model Implications Conclusion Additional assumptions for simplification: 3. Network size and content quality are treated as given in the short-term model. ◦ The decisions regarding capital investments themselves are already made and inoperable in the short term. 4. Content providers cannot exit from the market. ◦ The termination of the contract with SK would not be an option for Netflix, whose market valuation started declining as a result of declining subscriber growth.
  7. 7. Short-term model settings The analytical models treated in this study can be categorized into the following four. ◦ The situation where the payment from Netflix to SK (pa) is fixed at zero is the ZPR or free peering situation, and SK requested Netflix to set that level to a positive value during the debate. ◦ It is also considered the situations where there is regulation of broadband usage fees. T. JITSUZUMI@TPRC50 (Washington D.C. , Sep. 17, 2022) 12 SK vs. Netflix Case Related issues Model Implications Conclusion Hotelling model with hinterland Models (ii) and (iv) assume competition in the ISP market. For the retail market covered by two ISPs, each with market dominance, a Hotelling model with hinterland is employed, assuming two types of user sets. ◦ For competition in the ISP market, the example of Bourreau and Lestage (2019) is followed.
  8. 8. Short-term model settings in a simplified shape Models (iii) and (iv) can be simplified as follows: ◦ It is possible to treat the pricing related to the provision portion of the basic broadband service and the pricing related to the provision of Netflix content separately. ◦ The net neutrality constraint can be expressed as pSK=pot=0. T. JITSUZUMI@TPRC50 (Washington D.C. , Sep. 17, 2022) 17 SK vs. Netflix Case Related issues Model Implications Conclusion
  9. 9. Results of short-term model analyses T. JITSUZUMI@TPRC50 (Washington D.C. , Sep. 17, 2022) 18 SK vs. Netflix Case Related issues Model Implications Conclusion Ignore inter-CAP competition Consider inter-CAP competition Ignore inter-ISP competition i) Double Monopoly Model (DMM) In the absence of price regulation, the effect of introducing paid peering (PP) is neutral with respect to resource allocation. • SK's marginal cost is passed on to Netflix for the amount of 𝑝𝑝𝑎𝑎. The total price faced by users remains unchanged. When ISP rates are regulated, introduction of PP worsens resource allocation efficiency. • SK's profit increases, while Netflix and users' welfare worsens. iii) DMM with Netflix unsubscribers In the absence of price regulation, the effect of introducing PP is neutral with respect to resource allocation. Under net neutrality constraints, introduction of PP may worsen resource allocation efficiency. • SK's profit increases, while Netflix and users' welfare worsens. Consider inter-ISP competition ii) Duopoly Model (DM) In the absence of price regulation, PP is introduced symmetrically and is neutral in resource allocation. • If PP stays asymmetric, welfare of SK and SK users improves, but welfare of the rest worsens. • If PP adoption requires additional costs, social welfare deteriorates. When ISP rates are regulated, PP is introduced symmetrically, and resource allocation efficiency worsens. • If asymmetric PP stays, only SK's profit improves. • In symmetric PP, both ISPs' profits improve while Netflix and users’ welfare worsen. iv) DM with Netflix unsubscribers In the absence of price regulation, PP is introduced symmetrically and is neutral in resource allocation. • With asymmetric PP, only SK and its users benefit, and social welfare deteriorates. Under the net neutrality constraints, PP is introduced symmetrically, and resource allocation efficiency deteriorates. • Only SK and ISP2's profit improves under both asymmetric and symmetric PP. • Impact on total surplus under asymmetric PP cannot be determined.
  10. 10. Long-term model In a long-term framework, taking into account investment decisions by each players, we need to evaluate the ripple effects of network quality and content variations to the entire ecosystem. ◦ Capital investment in ISP's networks will have a positive spillover effect on CAPs, and CAP's investment in content will have a positive spillover effect on ISPs. ◦ A paid peering can be used as a means to internalize the externality and restore the efficiency of resource allocation. T. JITSUZUMI@TPRC50 (Washington D.C. , Sep. 17, 2022) 22 SK vs. Netflix Case Related issues Model Implications Conclusion However, whether ISPs will be on the billing side depends on the magnitude of the externalities they exert on each other. pa>0 pa<0 Rich variation of content Better quality of network
  11. 11. Policy implications And, if we consider a long-term externality between network capacity and content quality/variety, the introduction of paid peering can be beneficial to the overall society, yielding fairer cost distribution among ecosystem players. ◦ Especially when a government wants to expand the scope of “universal service,”… T. JITSUZUMI@TPRC50 (Washington D.C. , Sep. 17, 2022) 23 SK vs. Netflix Case Related issues Model Implications Conclusion The model concluded that incentives to introduce paid peering arise when ISPs' free activity is constrained in some way, or when there is a market failure, and in many cases, the effect is to harm social welfare. Once a regulation on ISPs is initiated, additional rules are always required in order to prevent evading regulations. ◦ In order to maintain the welfare improvements that were realized as a result of rate regulation or net neutrality requirements, paid peering must also be prohibited. ◦ Given the limited resources which are available to regulators, it is prudent to first consider the use of the market mechanism as much as possible and to try to avoid regulation as long as possible. In Models (ii) and (iv), where the ISP market is in duopolistic, the model predicted a situation that ends up with welfare deterioration, as each ISP tries to outbid the other. How to resolve this bad–end scenario is best left to future studies, but it would be useful to disclose terms and conditions of the peering agreement and increase transparency of the deal. ◦ The greatest contribution that this lawsuit can make to academic research might be that it has revealed information about the mutual negotiations between Netflix and SK Broadband.
  12. 12. In order to expand the scope of universal service,… On June 13, 2022, an amendment to the Telecommunications Business Act was enacted in Japan to make fixed-line broadband newly eligible for universal service. ◦ In this case, the paid peering mechanism, discussed in this study, can be seen as a means of collecting the necessary contributions from OTT beneficiaries. T. JITSUZUMI@TPRC50 (Washington D.C. , Sep. 17, 2022) 27 SK vs. Netflix Case Related issues Model Implications Conclusion Universal service fund for broadband services Source: Created from https://www.soumu.go.jp/main_content/000821000.pdf, https://www.soumu.go.jp/main_content/000791565.pdf Fixed broadband provider Mobile broadband provider Eligible operator Operators providing fixed broadband services in unprofitable areas Part of the deficit in service provision (currently approximately 23B yen) will be covered by grants provided through the proposed USF. Approx. 8 yen per line per month (current estimate) OTT provider “OTT providers are also beneficiaries in the sense that the number of users of their services will increase as a result of ensuring the provision of broadband services throughout Japan including unprofitable areas. However, the possibility of beneficiary sharing from this perspective is still under debate in the overall discussion on how network costs should be borne.” (MIC’s report)
  13. 13. Conclusion T. JITSUZUMI@TPRC50 (Washington D.C. , Sep. 17, 2022) 28 SK vs. Netflix Case Related issues Model Implications Conclusion ◦ Recently, in order to cope with the growing video traffic over the internet, network operators are required to expand their network capacity, and start requesting content providers to share part of their investment expenditures. ◦ In Korea, negotiations between SK Broadband and Netflix have been ongoing since 2018, and last year, in 2021, the Seoul Central District Court ruled in favor of such sharing. ◦ The results of the simple model analyses 1. Incentives to introduce paid peering is present when ISP’s behavior is constrained in some way, and that in many cases, the introduction of paid peering will harm economic welfare of the overall ecosystem, in a short- term framework. 2. If long-term externality is taken into account, it is possible that paid peering is beneficial and realize fair cost distribution among ecosystem players. ◦ Policy implications ◦ Once a decision is made to intervene in the ISP market, there is a need for continued involvement. ◦ Transparency on peering agreements should be improved. ◦ Paid peering may be a tool that can be used to maintain universal broadband service.
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