Drupalcon keynote: Open Source and Open Data in the age of the cloud

Tim O'Reilly
Tim O'ReillyFounder and CEO, O'Reilly Media at O'Reilly Media
Open Source and Open Data
                              in the Age of the Cloud

                                           Tim O’Reilly

                                            DrupalCon
                                     San Francisco, CA
                                         April 20, 2010



Tuesday, April 20, 2010
“Major Strasser has been shot...
        Round up the usual suspects”




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Open Source            Web 2.0   Cloud Computing

        “You keep using that word. I do not think it
        means what you think it means.”




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Just what does it mean?




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
“I’m an inventor.
                           I became interested in
                           long term trends
                           because an invention
                           has to make sense in the
                           world in which it is
                           finished, not the world in
                           which it is started.”
                                       -Ray Kurzweil




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
You may think of me as a book publisher




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
What We Really Do At O'Reilly




                          Change the world by spreading the
                              knowledge of innovators




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
O’Reilly Radar Methodology
    “The future is here. It’s just not evenly distributed
     yet.” - William Gibson
    We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the
     futures they are living in
    We then look for trend data that tells us that a
     particular future is becoming mainstream

    I’m going to tell you some seemingly unconnected
     technology stories from the front lines of
     innovation. Then we’re going to connect the dots.




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
<1>




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Innovation in Action
    Hackers build devices that show off possible
     futures
    Entrepreneurs and innovative companies take
     these futures and push them to the mainstream




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
The cloud future includes...
    Devices acting as sensors for intelligent data
     collection
    Devices whose UI is on the web rather than the
     device
    Feeding data into multiple online services that will
     turn into a full-on sensor web
    Setting the stage for robotics, augmented reality,
     and the next generation of personal electronics




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<2>




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What we see here
    Peer-to-peer credit card payments
    Social networks used for risk evaluation

    The PC is out of the loop
    The phone is a sensor platform
          – Hardware add-on innovation
          – Location based sensing
          – Touch screen UI
    Processing is done in real time in the cloud
          – Allowing processing that can’t be done on the device
          – Big data analysis
          – Building new networks on the back of existing ones
    Reinventing a major industry


Tuesday, April 20, 2010
<3>




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
The Yelp Monocle
    Find cafes nearby.




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<4>




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Crowdsourcing includes the use of
                                humans as sensors




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Tuesday, April 20, 2010
AMEE - the world’s energy meter




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
We’re moving to a world in which every device
        generates useful data, in which every action
        creates “information shadows” on the net.




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
<5>




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
The smart phone plus local search. Today pizza,




                              Pazzia, 337 3rd Street
                              California Pizza Kitchen, 53 3rd Street
                              Blondie’s Pizza. 63 Powell Street




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
An application running on a
                 mobile device whose user
                 interface is driven by sensors:

                 - Touch screen
                 - Motion and proximity sensors
                 - Microphone
                 - GPS or cell tower triangulation



Tuesday, April 20, 2010
An application that depends on
                 cooperating cloud data services:

                 - Speech recognition
                 - Search
                 - Location data




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
An application that applies
                 context-sensitive filters to give
                 users just the information they
                 need.




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
In real time




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
<6>




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
•Search in plain English
                          •Search by voice
                          •Traffic view
                          •Search along route
                          •Satellite view
                          •Street view




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
An application that
                 depends on cooperating
                 cloud data services:

                 - Location
                 - Search
                 - Speech recognition
                 - Live Traffic
                 - Imagery

Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Cloud Computing

        “You keep using that word. I do not think it
        means what you think it means.”




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
The Internet Operating System is
                      A Data Operating System




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
The Internet Operating System is a Data Operating System
    It helps applications find out about
          –    People
          –    Places
          –    Things
          –    Prices
          –    Documents
          –    Images
          –    Sounds
          –    Relationships
          –    ...

    and helps people interact with them through services
          –    Search
          –    Payment
          –    Matching and Recognition
          –    ...

Tuesday, April 20, 2010
In Real Time




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
This is the 21st century data challenge
       Not transactions
       Not data warehouses and business intelligence
       Not database-backed web sites
       Not even NoSQL-backed web services

    Real time cloud-based intelligence delivered to
     mobile applications

    Algorithmic intelligence




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
This is the world that Drupal
                          must be designed to support




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A good start, but is it enough?




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Who will own the Internet Operating System?




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Do we want anyone to own it?




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
If not, we’d better get busy!




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Who Owns What
         Chart Title?

                                                            Other

         Infrastructure As a Service
         Storage                            —   —
         Computation                        —   —
         Hosted SaaS Apps                   —
         Media access
         Music                                  —
         Video                                  —
         Books                          —   —   —   —   —
         Web Content                            —
         Photos                         —   —                —
         Monetization
         Advertising                    —   —
         Payment
         Location
         Maps & Directions              —   —   —
         Real Time Location Detection   —   —
         Calendaring/Scheduling         —
         Social Graph                   —   —
         Communications
         Email                          —       —
         Voice                          —       —
         Chat                           —       —
         Video                          —       —
         Sensor Management
         Speech Recognition             —       —
         Image Recognition                      —   —   —
         Mobile Device OS                       —
         Mobile Device Hardware                 —
         Web Browser                    —       —

           Strong o ering
           Medium o ering
           Getting started
         — Not on the board yet




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
“In the future, being a developer on
                   someone’s platform will mean being hosted
                   on their infrastructure.”

                   - Debra Chrapaty, VP Windows Live (2006)




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Who Owns What
         Chart Title?

                                                             Other

          Infrastructure As a Service
          Storage                            —   —
          Computation                        —   —
          Hosted SaaS Apps                   —
          Media access
          Music                                  —
          Video                                  —
          Books                          —   —   —   —   —
          Web Content                            —
          Photos                         —   —                —
          Monetization
          Advertising                    —   —
          Payment
          Location
          Maps & Directions              —   —   —
          Real Time Location Detection   —   —
          Calendaring/Scheduling         —
          Social Graph                   —   —
          Communications
          Email                          —       —
          Voice                          —       —
          Chat                           —       —
          Video                          —       —
          Sensor Management
          Speech Recognition             —       —
          Image Recognition                      —   —   —
          Mobile Device OS                       —
          Mobile Device Hardware                 —
          Web Browser                    —       —

            Strong o ering
            Medium o ering
            Getting started
          — Not on the board yet
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Interoperable web services, open data, and
        standard protocols are at least as important as
        open source




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
The underdog is the ally of open source




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Potential open source supporters
       Search: Microsoft
       Maps: Microsoft, Nokia,Yelp, Foursquare
       Speech: Nuance, Microsoft
       Social Graph: Google
       Payment: Paypal
       Cloud infrastructure: VMware
       Smartphones: Google
       Device Operating Systems: Google




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Tuesday, April 20, 2010
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Corporate data sharing
    There’s a lot of data in the world




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Switching tracks (a bit)...




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
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Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
What’s wrong with Government today




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Vending Machine Government




                                        Vending Machine Gov concept from Donald Kettl:
                                        The Next Government of the United States


Tuesday, April 20, 2010
We Need to Do More Than Shake
                          the Vending Machine!




                             http://image06.webshots.com/6/2/57/50/190125750NgQXwu_ph.jpg


Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Drupal is a DIY tool! But so is Arduino.
                          Keep rediscovering the DIY spirit.




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Work on stuff that matters!




Tuesday, April 20, 2010
For more information
   The Open Source Paradigm Shift (2003)
    http://bit.ly/cKLSUP
   What is Web 2.0? (2005)
    http://oreil.ly/a0zT65
   Web Squared: Web 2.0 Five Years On (2009)
    http://bit.ly/kEKgs
   Government as a Platform (2010)
    http://opengovernment.labs.oreilly.com/
   Ongoing commentary
    http://radar.oreilly.com
    http://twitter.com/timoreilly
    http://buzz.google.com/timoreilly


Tuesday, April 20, 2010
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