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Scenario Planning 2020

What is Scenario Planning, and how do you do it? Check out futurist Anders Sorman-Nilsson's slide deck for a structured yet imaginative process for Scenario Planning.

For more information, visit www.thinquetank.com

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Scenario Planning 2020

  1. 1. Scenario Planning by Anders Sorman-Nilsson of Thinque
  2. 2. Scenario Planning - 2020 Vision Anders Sorman-Nilsson (LLB MBA) is the founder of Thinque - a strategy think tank that helps executives and leaders convert disruptive questions into proactive, future strategies. As an Australian-Swedish futurist and innovation strategist he has helped executives and leaders on 4 continents map, prepare for, and strategise for foreseeable and unpredictable futures. www.thinquetank.com
  3. 3. What are the certainties for the future? What are the uncertainties for the future? How confident are we? Certainties v Uncertainties
  4. 4. Certainties v Uncertainties
  5. 5. Define the Question What is the of in the next years?
  6. 6. List the Driving Forces What are the key uncertainties and forces that will shape the future in predictable and unpredictable ways? Look at variables, trends and events that impact it. Think about your question from STEEP perspectives: Socio-Cultural Technological Environmental Economic Political
  7. 7. List the Driving Forces 1 2 List Driving Forces 3 4 5 eg. 6 • pace of change 7 • new entrants 8 • state of the economy • digitisation 9 • industry consolidation 10
  8. 8. List the Driving Forces Highest 1 2 List Driving Forces 3 Importance 4 5 6 7 Prioritise 8 the Top 2 9 Lowest 10
  9. 9. Top 2 Uncertainty High Dimensions Narrow Wide Low
  10. 10. Top 2 Uncertainty Dimensions
  11. 11. High Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Narrow Wide Scenario 4 Scenario 3 Low
  12. 12. Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Name Newsflash Dynamics Recommendations Scenario 4 Scenario 3
  13. 13. Our Scenario 1. Create imaginary, but believable news stories 2. Newsflash 2018 3. Title 4. Story 5. Dynamics 6. Themes 7. Recommendations
  14. 14. Our Scenario Questions: • What events led to this scenario? • Looking back from the future, how did this scenario come to be? • Are you stories relevant, surprising, divergent, yet plausible? • What could happen over the next 5 years?
  15. 15. Our Scenario Implications
  16. 16. Our Scenario Themes
  17. 17. Our Scenario Actions
  18. 18. Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Implications Themes Actions Scenario 4 Scenario 3
  19. 19. Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Track Research Rank Scenario 4 Scenario 3
  20. 20. Emergent Themes
  21. 21. Who is Anders? Anders Sorman-Nilsson (LLB MBA) is the founder of Thinque - a strategy think tank that helps executives and leaders convert disruptive questions into proactive, future strategies. As an Australian-Swedish futurist and innovation strategist he has helped executives and leaders on 4 continents map, prepare for, and strategise for both foreseeable and unpredictable futures. Since founding Thinque in 2005, he has worked with and spoken to clients like Xerox, Apple, Johnson & Johnson, Cisco, Eli Lilly, SAP, IBM, ABN Amro Bank, Commonwealth Bank, McCann Erickson and BAE Systems, across diverse cultural and geographic contexts.  Anders is an active member of TEDGlobal (Oxford 2009 / Edinburgh 2011), has keynoted at TEDx, guest lectured at University of Technology Sydney Business School, and Anders is on the prestigious 2013 Million Dollar Roundtable roster. He is a member of the University of Sydney Global Executive MBA cohort, and has completed executive education at Stanford University and the Indian Institute of Management, Bangalore.
  22. 22. Enquire now www.anderssorman-nilsson.com
  23. 23. Testimonials “There are those special moments when the right ideas and the right people collide to make magic. This is one of those times. I want to say a HUGE THANK YOU for all your work to make the Senior Director Conference both an engaging experience, and a catalyst for change.” CMO Asia, Fortune 500, Pharmaceutical Industry “Anders provided an engaging and energetic presentation of real and relevant information to the business that could be used in all areas across the business both now and moving into the future.“ Head of Regional Portfolio Management Asia, Fortune 500, FMCG  “Anders' presentation style and fresh content were an excellent and inspirational start to our Summit. It resulted in only positive feedback from the audience. Anders is very professional and a brilliant thinker and communicator!” Management Consultant, Fortune 1000, Banking Industry
  • PerdhanaAri

    Jun. 13, 2021
  • AbdulAzizMohd

    Feb. 26, 2018
  • budiwetmansilaban

    Feb. 15, 2016
  • ananinslides

    Oct. 10, 2015
  • jenskris

    Jul. 21, 2015
  • jindianalee

    May. 1, 2014

What is Scenario Planning, and how do you do it? Check out futurist Anders Sorman-Nilsson's slide deck for a structured yet imaginative process for Scenario Planning. For more information, visit www.thinquetank.com

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