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NHS finances outside
the EU
Health Foundation analysis of the impact on NHS
finances of the UK leaving the European Union
...
Annual change in NHS spend per head in England, real terms,
2010/11–2020/21
July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
OBR projections for economic growth, March 2016
July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
GDP real te...
Forecasts of change to GDP in 2030/31 following UK
leaving the EU
July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
Estimated fall in budget for the Department of Health
July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
Impact of NIESR forecast on planned budget surplus,
and impact of £100m a week increase
July 2016 NHS finances outside the...
Recent spending against the Department of Health budget,
2010/11–2014/15 (cash terms)
July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
NHS provider surplus/deficit, 2013/13–2015/16
July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
Agency staff cost 2013/14–2015/16
July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
Annual change in hospital productivity, 2009/10–2014/15
July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
NHS England cash increase for 2016/17 – the impact of cost
and demand pressures and efficiency savings
July 2016 NHS finan...
NHS funding gap scenarios
July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
Funding gap in 2019/20 (£bn, 2016/17 prices)
Efficiency
gr...
NHS funding gap scenarios, 2015/16–2019/20
July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
Potential funding gap for the Department of Health in 2030/31
July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
About us
We shine a light on
how to make successful
change happen
The Health Foundation is an
independent charity committe...
Stay in touch
@Healthfdn
health.org.uk
• Subscribe to our email
newsletter
• Register for email alerts
to be notified abou...
Thank you
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NHS finances outside the EU

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These are the charts and figures from our briefing on what the UK leaving the EU might mean for funding of the NHS in England. We outline the current state of finances for NHS providers in 2015/16, what this implies for the total Department of Health budget, and the scale of the financial challenge facing the health service for the near future.

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NHS finances outside the EU

  1. 1. NHS finances outside the EU Health Foundation analysis of the impact on NHS finances of the UK leaving the European Union July 2016
  2. 2. Annual change in NHS spend per head in England, real terms, 2010/11–2020/21 July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
  3. 3. OBR projections for economic growth, March 2016 July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 GDP real terms annual growth 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.1 Public sector net borrowing as % GDP 3.8 2.9 1.9 1.0 -0.5 Inflation (CPI) 0 0.7 1.6 2 2.1 GDP deflator 0.3 1.1 1.9 2.0 1.9
  4. 4. Forecasts of change to GDP in 2030/31 following UK leaving the EU July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
  5. 5. Estimated fall in budget for the Department of Health July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
  6. 6. Impact of NIESR forecast on planned budget surplus, and impact of £100m a week increase July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
  7. 7. Recent spending against the Department of Health budget, 2010/11–2014/15 (cash terms) July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
  8. 8. NHS provider surplus/deficit, 2013/13–2015/16 July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
  9. 9. Agency staff cost 2013/14–2015/16 July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
  10. 10. Annual change in hospital productivity, 2009/10–2014/15 July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
  11. 11. NHS England cash increase for 2016/17 – the impact of cost and demand pressures and efficiency savings July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
  12. 12. NHS funding gap scenarios July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU Funding gap in 2019/20 (£bn, 2016/17 prices) Efficiency growth Gap based on current budget Gap based on possible new budget if the UK leaves the EU 0.0% £11.9 £14.7 1.0% £7.2 £10.0 1.5% £5.0 £7.8 2–3% £0.5 £3.3
  13. 13. NHS funding gap scenarios, 2015/16–2019/20 July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
  14. 14. Potential funding gap for the Department of Health in 2030/31 July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
  15. 15. About us We shine a light on how to make successful change happen The Health Foundation is an independent charity committed to bringing about better health and health care for people in the UK. We connect what works on the ground with effective policymaking and vice versa. July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
  16. 16. Stay in touch @Healthfdn health.org.uk • Subscribe to our email newsletter • Register for email alerts to be notified about our latest work • Follow us on Twitter, Facebook, youTube or Linkedin July 2016 NHS finances outside the EU
  17. 17. Thank you

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