This document is a weekly newsletter covering commodities markets from July 22-27, 2013. It provides analysis and trading strategies for various commodities, including gold, silver, crude oil, copper, and other base metals. Market commentary is provided on developments in these commodities as well as international currencies and the economic calendar. Pivot tables with technical support and resistance levels are also included.

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Weekly MCX Newsletter
22th TO27th JULY’2013
s
www.TheEquicom.com
+919200009266
GOLDGOLDGOLDGOLD
SILVERSILVERSILVERSILVER
CRUDEOILCRUDEOILCRUDEOILCRUDEOIL NATURAL GASNATURAL GASNATURAL GASNATURAL GAS
COPPERCOPPERCOPPERCOPPER LEADLEADLEADLEAD
ZINCZINCZINCZINC ALUMINUMALUMINUMALUMINUMALUMINUM
NICKELNICKELNICKELNICKEL

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BULLION:
Offset by an unprecedented and record breaking surge in physical demand for
silver, from silver coins to international demand. Yet, eerily, perhaps the worst
precious metals market sentiment currently exists that has been observed since
the early 1970's.
Bullion banks are currently long buyers by every indication, yet they are still
maintaining a concentrated short position in the futures market. This could be an
intentional effort to suppress physical metal prices by selling paper so that they
can accumulate real metal more cheaply.
In short, it is unfathomable how low the precious metals markets are by any
measure. Technically, the market could still go lower, but does this change the
likelihood that investors have now been presented with what seems to be the
precious metal buying opportunity of perhaps multiple lifetimes?
In addition, rising oil prices have been cutting in to already lofty equity
valuations, as fallout from the "Black Swan" in the Gulf of Mexico expands.
Gasoline prices are already rising.
The public has also been caught largely off guard by embroiling social unrest in
various parts of the world. This dissatisfaction is indirectly the result of exporting
inflation that is collateral damage from currency depreciation wars.
A dead precious metals mining sector has been cutting off any "perceptual" idea
of supply as paper metal prices are now well below the cost of production. New
supply matters little for gold. For silver, by the time the sector catches up with
demand, there will be no silver left.
MARKET WRAP

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ENERGY:
BASE METAL:
Carl Larry, crude oil expert and founder of Oil Outlooks based on technical and
fundamental analysis stated that WTI crude oil prices may touch 112.25 levels in the
near term.
Manufacturing firms responding to the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s
Business Outlook Survey reported increased business activity. The survey’s index of
current activity increased to 19.8 in July from 12.5 in June. In the special questions,
firms were asked about the effect of the Affordable Care Act on their health
insurance plans and workforce.
Meanwhile, in the United States, in the week ending July 13, the advance figure for
seasonally adjusted initial claims was 334,000, a decrease of 24,000 from the
previous week's revised figure of 358,000. The 4-week moving average was 346,000,
a decrease of 5,250 from the previous week's revised average of 351,250, according
to the data released by the US Department of Labor.
US Federal Reserve Chairman hinted in his recent statement that the central bank
still plans to withdraw its monetary stimulus if economy returns to its growth track.
Meanwhile, US commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic
Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 6.9 mn barrels from the previous week to 367.0
mn barrels, according to the weekly data released by the US Energy Information
Administration (EIA) on Wednesday.
Manufacturing firms responding to the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s Business
Outlook Survey reported increased business activity. The survey’s index of current
activity increased to 19.8 in July from 12.5 in June. In the special questions, firms were
asked about the effect of the Affordable Care Act on their health insurance plans and
workforce.
Meanwhile, in the United States, in the week ending July 13, the advance figure for
seasonally adjusted initial claims was 334,000, a decrease of 24,000 from the previous
week's revised figure of 358,000. The 4-week moving average was 346,000, a decrease
of 5,250 from the previous week's revised average of 351,250, according to the data
released by the US Department of Labor. US Federal Reserve Chairman hinted in its
recent statement that the central bank still plans to withdraw its monetary stimulus if
economy backs to its track.
Orders to withdraw copper stocks from London Metal Exchange (LME) accredited
warehouses increased 1,325 tons to 336,600 tons, when compared to the total
stockpiles of 640,600 tons, according to the Exchange data.

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GOLD (5 AUG.):
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 27050, 27450
SUPPORT : - 26180, 25550
STRATEGY : - SELL ON HIGHS
TECHNICAL
VIEW
BULLION

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SILVER (05 SEP.):
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 42000, 43350
SUPPORT : - 39800, 38550
STRATEGY : - SELL ON HIGHS

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CRUDEOIL (19 JULY):
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - BULLISH
RESISTANCE : - 6550, 6600
SUPPORT : - 6300, 6150
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS
ENERGY

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COPPER (30 AUG.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 428.00, 432.00
SUPPORT : - 405.00, 392.00
STRATEGY : - SELL ON HIGHS
BASE METAL

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GOLD 1289.81
SILVER 19.397
COPPER 3.140
CRUDE OIL 108.71
NATURAL GAS 3.774
PALLADIUM 742.50
PLATINUM 1420.00
USDINR 59.3300
EURUSD 01.3135
USDJPY 100.22
USDCHF 00.9413
GBPUSD 01.5262
USDCAD 01.0368
INTERNATIONAL
MARKET

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ECONOMIC
CALANDER

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SCRIPT R3 R2 R1 P S1 S2 S3
GOLD 27705 27315 27020 26630 26335 25945 25650
SILVER 43590 42776 42559 40745 39528 38714 37497
CRUDEOIL 6879 6707 6570 6398 6261 6089 5952
COPPER 432.10 427.20 420.90 416.00 409.70 404.80 398.50
LEAD 128.80 126.75 123.75 121.70 118.70 116.65 113.65
ZINC 116.50 114.75 112.05 110.30 107.60 105.90 103.15
ALIMINUM 113.45 111.30 108.80 106.65 104.15 102.00 99.50
NICKEL 903.80 873.50 856.40 826.10 809.00 778.70 761.60
NATURAL GAS 248.40 238.80 231.60 222.00 214.70 205.20 198.00
PIVOT TABLE

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