The Economic Crisis In 09

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The Economic Crisis In 09

  1. 1. Economic Crisis in ‘09 Sequel to What Next Analysis and Presentation by Jeev | Enhancing Business
  2. 2. Executive Summary <ul><li>World GDP shrunk by a percentage point </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Almost one of every two countries declined </li></ul></ul><ul><li>BRIC story fizzles out </li></ul><ul><li>14 countries in the ‘Star Quadrant’ </li></ul><ul><ul><li>China, India, Indonesia, Iran, Australia, Brazil, South Korea, Poland, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Pakistan, Colombia, Nigeria & Philippines </li></ul></ul>
  3. 3. Russia slips, Brazil almost didn't; BRIC hiccups to IC? Values in $1,000,000,000 Figures in brackets indicate the growth (-2.4) (8.4) (-5.7) (6.1) (-5.0) (-4.3) (-2.1) (-8.5) (-5.0) (0.1)
  4. 4. Winners and Losers <ul><li>Basis 09 GDP estimates, countries clustered </li></ul><ul><li>The top 5 clusters charted in the ensuing slides </li></ul>GDP ($1,000,000,000) Number of Countries <1 17 >=1 & <20 87 >=20 & <50 34 >=50 & <100 21 >=100 & <250 22 >=250 & <750 26 >=750 18
  5. 5. Asia Pacific countries dominated the growth story 18 countries with GDP (PPP) 09 estimate >= $750,000,000,000 X Axis: Contribution to World GDP Y Axis: GDP Growth Size of Bubble: GDP X cut off: 0.47% Y cut off: -1% China, India, Indonesia, Iran, Australia, Brazil and South Korea fared well whereas Russia slipped
  6. 6. Nigeria gains 3 Ranks Rank 35 (08 GDP estimates) to Rank 32 (09 GDP estimates) 26 countries with GDP (PPP) 09 estimate >= $250,000,000,000 & < $750,000,000,000 X Axis: Contribution to World GDP Y Axis: GDP Growth Size of Bubble: GDP X cut off: 0.47% Y cut off: -1% Poland, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Pakistan, Colombia, Nigeria & Philippines fared well whereas Ukraine slipped
  7. 7. Algeria gains 3 Ranks Rank 48 (08 GDP estimates) to Rank 45 (09 GDP estimates) 22 countries with GDP (PPP) 09 estimate >= $100,000,000,000 & < $250,000,000,000 X Axis: Contribution to World GDP Y Axis: GDP Growth Size of Bubble: GDP X cut off: 0.47% Y cut off: -1% Bangladesh, Algeria, Israel, Morocco, Kuwait, Qatar, Syria, Cuba and Angola fared well
  8. 8. Azerbaijan & Tanzania gain 3 Ranks each 21 countries with GDP (PPP) 09 estimate >= $ 50,000,000,000 & < $100,000,000,000 X Axis: Contribution to World GDP Y Axis: GDP Growth Size of Bubble: GDP X cut off: 0.47% Y cut off: -1% Azerbaijan: Rank 76 (08 GDP estimates) to Rank 73 (09 GDP estimates) Tanzania: Rank 87 (08 GDP estimates) to Rank 84 (09 GDP estimates)
  9. 9. Nepal gains 4 Ranks while Panama gains 3 34 countries with GDP (PPP) 09 estimate >= $20,000,000,000 & < $50,000,000,000 X Axis: Contribution to World GDP Y Axis: GDP Growth Size of Bubble: GDP X cut off: 0.47% Y cut off: -1% Nepal: Rank 103 (08 GDP estimates) to Rank 99 (09 GDP estimates) Panama: Rank 98 (08 GDP estimates) to Rank 95 (09 GDP estimates)
  10. 10. About Jeev <ul><li>Our aim </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Enhancing Business </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Product Suites </li></ul>Jeev | Extended Office Jeev | Market Research Services
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