Mc energy 091211_final - copy

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  • 1. BHP Billtion acquires Petrohawk for $12.1B> Premium paid for Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) which is trading at roughly 60% of oil.2. Sunoco to sell loss-making refinery business> Company worth 53% more in pieces, killed by WTI-Brent spread.3. Exxon Mobil and Rosneft> The last frontier: investment needed to develop all the fields involved and associated infrastructure may reach $500 billion.4. Cnooc $1.3B investment in shale oil projects with Chesapeake energy, $2.1B acquisition of Opti Canada> Shale gas and oil sands: "unconventional resources" as growth drivers.
  • * US oil boom as fracking used for oil> Texas' Permian Basin, newer fields like North Dakota's Bakken shale and the Utica shale in Ohio as well as the recent Gulf discoveries opens up a new era spurred by hydrofracking and ultradeep drilling.* WTI, Brent doing funny stuff> WTI futures curve in contango while Brent futures curve in backwardation, pointing to lower spread after recent reversal in inventory trends.* The Low Hanging Fruit to Create Jobs> 1 million potential American jobs in the Oil and Gas industry just needing an expansion of offshore drilling in the Gulf of Mexico; opening up drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR); allowing companies to tap reserves in some sections of the Rocky Mountains; and embracing the vast natural gas deposits in the Marcellus Shale.* Profitable US refineries to feel pressure from narrowing WTI-Brent spread> Weak demand and unsustainable spread as economy slows and Brent "shortage" turns around.
  • Mc energy 091211_final - copy

    1. 1. Energy Mid Cap Summer Update<br /> XJ Teo<br />
    2. 2. Market Performance<br />
    3. 3. M&A Activity<br />Key drivers: <br />shale <br />midstream assets<br />foreign investors<br />* Exploration and production has led activity, with 26 deals in the second quarter. <br />* Eight of the top 10 deals by value were associated with shale plays.<br />* Chinese state-owned oil companies in the market for oil and natural gas acquisitions.<br />
    4. 4. Trends and opportunities<br />US oil boom as fracking used for oil<br />WTI, Brent doing funny stuff<br />O&G- The Low Hanging Fruit to Create Jobs<br />Profitable US refineries to feel pressure<br />
    5. 5. Energy Sector Outlook<br />Oil and gas upstream, midstream to outperform on M&A, earnings growth <br />Risks: environmentalists<br />Refiners to underperform on weak demand, narrowing WTI-Brent spread.<br />

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