1. TARUN GEHLOT (B.E, CIVIL) (HONOURS)
Describing and Exploring Data
Once a bunch of data has been collected, the raw numbers must be manipulated in
some fashion to make them more informative. Several options are available
including plotting the data or calculating descriptive statistics
Plotting Data
Often, the first thing one does with a set of raw data is to plot frequency distributions.
Usually this is done by first creating a table of the frequencies broken down by values of
the relevant variable, then the frequencies in the table are plotted in a histogram
Example: Your age as estimated by the questionnaire from the first class
TABLE 2.1
Age Frequency
18 3
19 10
20 14
21 10
22 5
23 2
24 1
25 1
26 2
Note: The frequencies in the above table were calculated by simply counting the number
of subjects having the specified value for the age variable
Histogram
2. TARUN GEHLOT (B.E, CIVIL) (HONOURS)
Grouping Data:
Plotting is easy when the variable of interest has a relatively small number of values (like
our age variable did). However, the values of a variable are sometimes more continuous,
resulting in uninformative frequency plots if done in the above manner. For example, our
weight variable ranges from 100 lb. to 200 lb. If we used the previously described
technique, we would end up with 100 bars, most of which with a frequency less than 2 or
3 (and many with a frequency of zero). We can get around this problem by grouping our
values into bins. Try for around 10 bins with natural splits
Example: Binning our weight variable
TABLE 2.2
Weight Bin Midpoint Frequency
100-109 104.5 6
110-119 114.5 10
120-129 124.5 6
130-139 134.5 10
140-149 144.5 5
150-159 154.5 3
160-169 164.5 4
170-179 174.5 1
3. TARUN GEHLOT (B.E, CIVIL) (HONOURS)
180-189 184.5 0
190-199 194.5 2
200-209 204.5 1
Histogram
Here's a live demonstration of binning
Stem & Leaf Plots
If values of a variable must be grouped prior to creating a frequency plot, then the
information related to the specific values becomes lost in the process (i.e., the resulting
graph depicts only the frequency values associated with the grouped values). However,
it is possible to obtain the graphical advantage of grouping and still keep all of the
information if stem & leaf plots are used....
These plots are created by splitting a data point into that part associated with the `group'
and that associated with the individual point. For example, the numbers 180, 180, 181,
182, 185, 186, 187, 187, 189 could be represented as:
18 001256779
Thus, we could represent our weight data in the following stem & leaf plot:
Stem & Leaf
10 057788
4. TARUN GEHLOT (B.E, CIVIL) (HONOURS)
11 0001235558
12 001555
13 0002244555
14 00005
15 005
16 2255
17 0
18
19 05
20 0
Stem & leaf plots are especially nice for comparing distributions:
Males Stem Females
8 10 05778
11 0001235558
12 001555
5440 13 002255
00 14 005
00 15 5
522 16 5
0 17
18
50 19
0 20
Terminology Related to Distributions:
Often, frequency histograms tend to have a roughly symetrical bell-shape and such
distributions are called normal or gaussion
Example: Our height distribution
5. TARUN GEHLOT (B.E, CIVIL) (HONOURS)
Sometimes, the bell shape is not semetrical
The term positive skew refers to the situation where the "tail" of the distribition is to the
right, negative skew is when the "tail" is to the left
Example: Pizza Data
See the text for other terminology
NOTATION
Variables
6. TARUN GEHLOT (B.E, CIVIL) (HONOURS)
When we describe a set of data corresponding to the values of some variable, we will
refer to that set using an uppercase letter such as X or Y
When we want to talk about specific data points within that set, we specify those points
by adding a subscript to the uppercase letter like X1
For example:
5, 8, 12, 3, 6, 8, 7
X1, X2, X3, X4, X5, X6, X7
Summation
The greek letter sigma, which looks like , means "add up" or "sum" whatever follows
it. Thus, , means "add up all the Xi's". If we use the Xis from the previous example,
Xi = 49 (or just X)
Note, that sometimes the has number above and below it. These numbers specify the
range over which to sum. For example, if we again use the theXis from the previous
example, but now limit the summation: Xi = 34
Nasty Example:
Antic Real
TABLE 2.3
Student Mark #1 Mark #2
- X Y
1 82 84
2 66 51
3 70 72
4 81 56
5 61 73
Double Subscripts
Sometimes things are made more complicated because capital letters (e.g., X) are
sometimes used to refer to entire datasets (as opposed to single variables) and multiple
subscripts are used to specify specific data points
TABLE 2.4
Student Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5
7. TARUN GEHLOT (B.E, CIVIL) (HONOURS)
1 7 6 4 2 2
2 3 4 4 3 4
3 3 4 5 4 6
X24 = 3
X or Xij = 61
Measures of Central Tendency
While distributions provide an overall picture of some dataset, it is sometimes desirable
to represent the entire dataset using descriptive statistics
The first descriptive statistics we will discuss, are those used to indicate where the
centre of the distribution lies
There are, in fact, three different measures of central tendency
The first of these is called the mode
The mode is simply the value of the relevant variable that occurs most often (i.e., has the
highest frequency) in the sample
Note that if you have done a frequency histogram, you can often identify the mode
simply by finding the value with the highest bar
However, that will not work when grouping was performed prior to plotting the histogram
(although you can still use the histogram to identify the modal group, just not the modal
value).
Finding the mode:
Create a nongrouped frequency table as described previously, then identify the
value with the greatest frequency
For Example: Class Height
8. TARUN GEHLOT (B.E, CIVIL) (HONOURS)
TABLE 2.5
Value Frequency Value Frequency
61 3 69 3
62 4 70 2
63 4 71 4
64 4 72 4
65 3 73 0
66 7 74 0
67 5 75 0
68 4 76 1
A second measure of central tendency is called the median
The median is the point corresponding to the score that lies in the middle of the
distribution (i.e., there are as many data points above the median as there are below the
median)
To find the median, the data points must first be sorted into either ascending or
descending numerical order
The position of the median value can then be calculated using the following Formula:
For Examples:
If there are an odd number of data points:
(1, 3, 3, 4, 4, 5, 6, 7, 12)
If there are an even number of data points:
The median is the item in the fifth position of the ordered dataset, therefore the median
is 4
Finally, the most commonly used measure of central tendency is called
the mean (denoted for a sample, and for a population)
The mean is the same of what most of us call the average, and it is calculated in the
following manner:
9. TARUN GEHLOT (B.E, CIVIL) (HONOURS)
For example, given the dataset that we used to calculate the median (odd number
example), the corresponding mean would be:
Similarly, the mean height of our class, as indicated by our sample, is:
Mode vs. Median vs. Mean In our height example, the mode and median were the
same, and the mean was fairly close to the mode and median. This was the case
because the height distribution was fairly symetrical However, when the underlying
distribution is not symetrical, the three measures of central tendency can be quite
different
This raises the issue of which measure is best?
Example: Pizza Eating
TABLE 2.5
Value Frequency Value Frequency
0 4 8 5
1 2 10 2
2 8 15 1
3 6 16 1
4 6 20 1
5 6 40 1
6 5 - -
Mode = 2 slices per week
Median = 4 slices per week
Mean = 5.7 slices per week
Note that if you were calculating these values, you would show all your steps (it's good
to be prof!)
Measures of Variability
In addition to knowing where the centre of the distribution is, it is often helpful to know
the degree to which individual values cluster around the centre. This is known as
variability. There are various measures of variability, the most straightforward
beingthe range of the sample:
Highest value minus lowest value
While range provides a good first pass at variance, it is not the best measure because of
its sensitivity to extreme scores (see section in text)
The Average Deviation
10. TARUN GEHLOT (B.E, CIVIL) (HONOURS)
Another approach to estimating variance is to directly measure the degree to which
individual datapoints differ from the mean and then average those deviations
That is:
However, if we try to do this with real data, the result will always be zero:
Example: (2,3,4,4,4,5,6,12)
The Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)
One way to get around the problem with the average deviation is to use the absolute
value of the differences, instead of the differences themselves
The absolute value of some number is just the number without any sign:
For Example,
Thus, we could re-write and solve our average deviation question as follows:
The dataset in question has a mean of 5 and a mean absolute deviation of 2
The Variance
Although the MAD is an acceptable measure of variability, the most commonly used
measure is variance (denoted s2
for a sample and for a population) and its square
root termed the standard deviation (denoted s for a sample and for a population)
The computation of variance is also based on the basic notion of the average deviation
however, instead of getting around the "zero problem" by using absolute deviations (as
in MAD), the "zero problem" is eliminating by squaring the differences from the mean
Specifically:
11. TARUN GEHLOT (B.E, CIVIL) (HONOURS)
Example: Same old numbers
(2,3,4,4,4,5,6,12)
Alternate formula for s2
and s
The definitional formula of variance just presented was:
An equivalent formula that is easier to work with when calculating variances by hand is:
Although this second formula may look more intimidating, a few examples will show you
that it is actually easier to work with (as you'll See in assignment 2)
Estimating Population Parameters
So, the mean and variance (s2
) are the descriptive statistics that are most commonly
used to represent the datapoints of some sample
The real reason that they are the preferred measures of central tendency and variance
12. TARUN GEHLOT (B.E, CIVIL) (HONOURS)
is because of certain properties they have as estimators of their corresponding
population parameters; and
Four properties are considered desirable in a population estimator; sufficiency,
unbiasedness, efficiency, & resistance
Both the mean and the variance are the best estimators in their class in terms of the first
three of these four properties
Sufficiency
A sufficient statistic is one that makes use of all of the information in the sample to
estimate its corresponding parameter
Unbiasedness
A statistic is said to be an unbiased estimator if its expected value (i.e., the mean of a
number of sample means) is equal to the population parameter
Explanation of N-1 in s2
formula
Efficiency
The efficiency of a statistic is reflected in the variance that is observed when one
examines the means of a bunch of independently chosen samples
Assessing the Bias of an Estimator
The bias of a statistic as an estimator of some population parameter can be assessed by
defining some population with measurable parameters
taking a number of independent samples from that population
calculating the relevant statistic for each sample
averaging that statistic across the samples
comparing the "average of the sample statistics" with the population parameter
Using the procedure, the mean can be shown to be an unbiased estimator (see pp 47)
However, if the more intuitive formula for s2
is used:
it turns out to underestimate
This bias to underestimate is caused by the act of sampling and it can be shown that this
bias can be eliminated if N-1 is used in the denominator instead of N
Note that this is only true when calculating s2
, if you have a measurable population and
you want to calculate , you use N in the denominator, not N-1
Degrees of Freedom
13. TARUN GEHLOT (B.E, CIVIL) (HONOURS)
The mean of 6, 8, & 10 is 8
If I allow you to change as many of these numbers as you want BUT the mean must stay
8, how many of the numbers are you free to vary?
The point of this exercise is that when the mean is fixed, it removes a degree of freedom
from your sample -- this is like actually subtracting 1 from the number of observations in
your sample
It is for exactly this reason that we use N-1 in the denominator when we calculate s2
(i.e., the calculation requires that the mean be fixed first which effectively removes --
fixes -- one of the data points)
Resistance
The resistance of an estimator refers to the degree to which that estimate is effected by
extreme values
As mentioned previously, both and s2
are highly sensitive to extreme values
Despite this, they are still the most commonly used estimates of the corresponding
population parameters, mostly because of their superiority over other measures in terms
sufficiency, unbiasedness, & efficiency