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1 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Straw to Gold :Public
Health Lessons from
Population Health
Research
Alan Katz MB ChB MSc CCFP
Director, Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Professor Family Medicine and Community Health Sciences
April 5 2017
2 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Overview
• Context of Health Care in Canada with a Public Health Focus
• Manitoba Centre for Health Policy (MCHP)
• Public health challenges in Canada/Manitoba
• MCHP and public health policy
3 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Canadian Population 36
million
Manitoba population 1.2
million
4 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
5 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Percent
Year
At Birth, Canada
At Birth, Bangladesh
At Age 60, Canada
At Age 60, Bangladesh
Change in Life Expectancy for Canada and Bangladesh, 2000 - 2015
Per capita
expenditure
31 vs 5292
US dollars
6 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Canadian Health Care System
• 11% ( 2.8-3.7%) of GDP spent on healthcare Bangladesh Med J. 2015 Jan; 44
70% (3.6%) of financing is public (single payer for medically necessary
services)
• Canada Health Act
7 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
8 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Provincial government has primary
responsibility for
• Health care
• Education
• Regulating professionals
• Managing the system
• Areas not included under Canada Health Act (e.g. public
health, home care, outpatient medications)
• Finances hospitals, physicians, other health care workers,
drug plans for seniors and those on public assistance
9 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Common themes for health reform
(Fooks and Lewis, CPRN, 2002)
• Population health/illness prevention
• Financing the health care system
• Primary care reform
• Regionalization of service delivery
• Pharmaceutical policy (costs and access)
• Health human resources (planning)
• Measuring quality (and information systems)
• Governance and accountability mechanisms
• Home care
• Mental health
• Wait times
10 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
11 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
To deliver our mission, we have
developed a strategic plan that
focuses on three pillars of work to
support our data Repository, our
Research, and Knowledge
Translation activities that require a
strong foundation of funds, skills,
and accountability
12 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
13 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Funding
• Academic unit in department of Community Health Sciences
• Series of 5 year contracts with government: ~50% of annual budget
– Repository maintenance and growth: Research ready
– 5 research studies/year
– Knowledge translation activities
• Investigator driven peer reviewed research grants
14 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
25+ years of building relationships with
• Governments
• System managers
• Regional health authorities
• Clinicians
• Researchers
15 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
16 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
17 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Public Health Definition
• … “the organized efforts of society to keep
people healthy and prevent injury, illness and
premature death. It is a combination of
programs, services and policies that protect
and promote the health of all Canadians”.
• Last, J. (2001). A Dictionary of epidemiology. 4th Edition. Oxford University Press
18 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Ten Great Public Heath Achievements of the
20th Century
• Vaccination
• Motor vehicle safety
• Safer workplaces
• Control of infectious disease
• Decline in death from cardiovascular disease
• Food safety
• Improvement in maternal and child health
• Family planning
• Fluoridation
• Reduction in tobacco use
https://www.cdc.gov/about/history/tengpha.htm
19 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
20 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Haddon Matrix
Host
(person affected)
Agent or vehicle
Physical
environment
Social environment
Pre-event
(→ primary
prevention)
Driving skill;
Time pressures
(in a rush to get
home?);
Inebriated?
Car design &
handling;
Anti-lock brakes,
etc;
Maintenance of car
Road design;
Speed limits
Reliance on private,
rather than public
transportation raises
traffic load;
Compliance with
seatbelt laws
During the event
(→ secondary
prevention)
Wearing seatbelt?
Air bags working?
Size of car & crash
resistance
Weather conditions;
ice on road?
Quality of emergency
assistance;
Assistance from
bystanders
Post-event
(→ tertiary
prevention)
Ability to call for
help
(phone available?);
Knows first aid?
Tendency of car to
catch on fire
Emergency vehicle
access to collision
site
Continued funding for
emergency services
Haddon W. A J. Trauma 1972;12:193-207
21 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
• The Obesity Epidemic:
A Misplaced Focus on Individual Risk Factors
http://www.bu.edu/sph/2017/01/14/avoiding-the-public-health-
triple-fail/
Sandro Galea, MD, DrPH
Dean and Professor, Boston University School of Public Health
22 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
slide curve
over 1/2 a
Standard
Deviation
50% less healthy (i.e., below the mean)
Only 31% less healthy
An approach for only
the very high risk –
limited overall
population effects
HEALTHIERLESS HEALTHY
The importance of a population-based approach: Rose 1981
MEAN
23 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Great Food
• Right Ingredients
• Combination of
ingredients
• Thoughtful Menu
• Creative Presentation
• Dining experience
• Interpretation
• Accessible data
• Data linkage
• Relevant questions
• Information
• Knowledge
• Wisdom
Great Research
24 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Great Food
• Right Ingredients
• Combination of
ingredients
• Thoughtful Menu
• Creative Presentation
• Dining experience
• Interpretation
• Accessible data
• Data linkage
• Relevant questions
• Information
• Knowledge
• Wisdom
Great Research
25 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Great Food
• Right Ingredients
• Combination of
ingredients
• Thoughtful Menu
• Creative Presentation
• Accessible data
• Data linkage
• Relevant questions
• Knowledge translation
Great Research
26 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
MCHP Houses the De-Identified
Population Health Research Data Repository
Hospital
Physician
Services
Nursing Home
Home Care
Immunization
Vital Statistics
Emergency
Department
Clinical
Health
Surveys
Medical
Laboratory
CancerCare
Education
Family
Services
Income
Assistance
Healthy Child
MB
Social
Housing
Justice
• Families First
• Healthy Baby
• EDI
• ICU
• FASD
• Pediatric
Diabetes
• Cardiac
Surgery
• K to Grade 12
• Post-Secondary
(UofM)
Census Data
at Area Level
Pharmaceuticals
Population-Based
Health Registry
27 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Great Food
• Right Ingredients
• Combination of
ingredients
• Thoughtful Menu
• Creative Presentation
• Accessible data
• Data linkage
• Relevant questions
• Knowledge translation
Great Research
28 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Lessons
• Determinants of Vaccination
• Cost of Smoking
• Social determinants of health
• Projecting personal care home (nursing home) and hospital bed requirements
• Social Housing
• Obesity
• SES (map)
29 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Hilderman, Katz et al 2011
30 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
31 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Martens, Nickel et al 2015
32 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Katz et al 2016
33 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Social Complexities
34 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Chartier et al 2015
Brownell 2010
35 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Projected
Growth of
Manitobans
With
ESKD
36 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
37 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Males:76 ,Females:82
Males:78.8 ,Females:83.7
Males:68.9 ,Females:77.1
Males:67.2 ,Females:70.5
Males:74.6 ,Females:82.8
Males:75.9 ,Females:80.4
Males:76.9 ,Females:83.2
Males:80.5 ,Females:86.7
Males:79.7 ,Females:83.5
Change in Male and Female Life Expectancy South-North
following Pembina Hwy (rte 42) and Main St (rte 52)
Legend
Premature Mortality
1.86 - 3.07
3.08 - 4.28
4.29 - 5.49
5.50 - 6.70
6.71 - 7.91Manitoba RHA Indicators Atlas 2009
Fransoo R, Martens P, Burland E, The Need to Know Team, Prior H, Burchill C
Life Expectancy at birth
(in years):
South Pembina Highway:
Males: 81 years
Females: 87 years
Downtown:
Males: 67 years
Females: 71 years
38 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
39 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
40 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Who is in Care?
Year First Nations Metis Non-Indigenous Total*
Count Percent Count Percent Count Percent
2002 4,083 74.3% 362 6.6% 1,046 19.0% 5,495
2014 7949 77.2% 988 9.6% 1,333 13.0% 10,293
Information taken from Manitoba Family Services Annual Reports, showing
count of children in care on March 31 of given year.
*Inuit children included in total: 4 children in 2002; 23 children in 2014
41 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
<1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Percent of Children in Care by Age at First Care Episode
Children in care , 2009/10 to 2011/12
Age (Years)
42 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy

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Public Health Lessons from Population Health Research - Prof. Dr. Alan Katz, University of Manitoba

  • 1. 1 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Straw to Gold :Public Health Lessons from Population Health Research Alan Katz MB ChB MSc CCFP Director, Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Professor Family Medicine and Community Health Sciences April 5 2017
  • 2. 2 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Overview • Context of Health Care in Canada with a Public Health Focus • Manitoba Centre for Health Policy (MCHP) • Public health challenges in Canada/Manitoba • MCHP and public health policy
  • 3. 3 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Canadian Population 36 million Manitoba population 1.2 million
  • 4. 4 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
  • 5. 5 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Percent Year At Birth, Canada At Birth, Bangladesh At Age 60, Canada At Age 60, Bangladesh Change in Life Expectancy for Canada and Bangladesh, 2000 - 2015 Per capita expenditure 31 vs 5292 US dollars
  • 6. 6 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Canadian Health Care System • 11% ( 2.8-3.7%) of GDP spent on healthcare Bangladesh Med J. 2015 Jan; 44 70% (3.6%) of financing is public (single payer for medically necessary services) • Canada Health Act
  • 7. 7 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
  • 8. 8 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Provincial government has primary responsibility for • Health care • Education • Regulating professionals • Managing the system • Areas not included under Canada Health Act (e.g. public health, home care, outpatient medications) • Finances hospitals, physicians, other health care workers, drug plans for seniors and those on public assistance
  • 9. 9 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Common themes for health reform (Fooks and Lewis, CPRN, 2002) • Population health/illness prevention • Financing the health care system • Primary care reform • Regionalization of service delivery • Pharmaceutical policy (costs and access) • Health human resources (planning) • Measuring quality (and information systems) • Governance and accountability mechanisms • Home care • Mental health • Wait times
  • 10. 10 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
  • 11. 11 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy To deliver our mission, we have developed a strategic plan that focuses on three pillars of work to support our data Repository, our Research, and Knowledge Translation activities that require a strong foundation of funds, skills, and accountability
  • 12. 12 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
  • 13. 13 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Funding • Academic unit in department of Community Health Sciences • Series of 5 year contracts with government: ~50% of annual budget – Repository maintenance and growth: Research ready – 5 research studies/year – Knowledge translation activities • Investigator driven peer reviewed research grants
  • 14. 14 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Manitoba Centre for Health Policy 25+ years of building relationships with • Governments • System managers • Regional health authorities • Clinicians • Researchers
  • 15. 15 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
  • 16. 16 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
  • 17. 17 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Public Health Definition • … “the organized efforts of society to keep people healthy and prevent injury, illness and premature death. It is a combination of programs, services and policies that protect and promote the health of all Canadians”. • Last, J. (2001). A Dictionary of epidemiology. 4th Edition. Oxford University Press
  • 18. 18 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Ten Great Public Heath Achievements of the 20th Century • Vaccination • Motor vehicle safety • Safer workplaces • Control of infectious disease • Decline in death from cardiovascular disease • Food safety • Improvement in maternal and child health • Family planning • Fluoridation • Reduction in tobacco use https://www.cdc.gov/about/history/tengpha.htm
  • 19. 19 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
  • 20. 20 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Haddon Matrix Host (person affected) Agent or vehicle Physical environment Social environment Pre-event (→ primary prevention) Driving skill; Time pressures (in a rush to get home?); Inebriated? Car design & handling; Anti-lock brakes, etc; Maintenance of car Road design; Speed limits Reliance on private, rather than public transportation raises traffic load; Compliance with seatbelt laws During the event (→ secondary prevention) Wearing seatbelt? Air bags working? Size of car & crash resistance Weather conditions; ice on road? Quality of emergency assistance; Assistance from bystanders Post-event (→ tertiary prevention) Ability to call for help (phone available?); Knows first aid? Tendency of car to catch on fire Emergency vehicle access to collision site Continued funding for emergency services Haddon W. A J. Trauma 1972;12:193-207
  • 21. 21 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy • The Obesity Epidemic: A Misplaced Focus on Individual Risk Factors http://www.bu.edu/sph/2017/01/14/avoiding-the-public-health- triple-fail/ Sandro Galea, MD, DrPH Dean and Professor, Boston University School of Public Health
  • 22. 22 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy slide curve over 1/2 a Standard Deviation 50% less healthy (i.e., below the mean) Only 31% less healthy An approach for only the very high risk – limited overall population effects HEALTHIERLESS HEALTHY The importance of a population-based approach: Rose 1981 MEAN
  • 23. 23 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Great Food • Right Ingredients • Combination of ingredients • Thoughtful Menu • Creative Presentation • Dining experience • Interpretation • Accessible data • Data linkage • Relevant questions • Information • Knowledge • Wisdom Great Research
  • 24. 24 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Great Food • Right Ingredients • Combination of ingredients • Thoughtful Menu • Creative Presentation • Dining experience • Interpretation • Accessible data • Data linkage • Relevant questions • Information • Knowledge • Wisdom Great Research
  • 25. 25 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Great Food • Right Ingredients • Combination of ingredients • Thoughtful Menu • Creative Presentation • Accessible data • Data linkage • Relevant questions • Knowledge translation Great Research
  • 26. 26 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy MCHP Houses the De-Identified Population Health Research Data Repository Hospital Physician Services Nursing Home Home Care Immunization Vital Statistics Emergency Department Clinical Health Surveys Medical Laboratory CancerCare Education Family Services Income Assistance Healthy Child MB Social Housing Justice • Families First • Healthy Baby • EDI • ICU • FASD • Pediatric Diabetes • Cardiac Surgery • K to Grade 12 • Post-Secondary (UofM) Census Data at Area Level Pharmaceuticals Population-Based Health Registry
  • 27. 27 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Great Food • Right Ingredients • Combination of ingredients • Thoughtful Menu • Creative Presentation • Accessible data • Data linkage • Relevant questions • Knowledge translation Great Research
  • 28. 28 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Lessons • Determinants of Vaccination • Cost of Smoking • Social determinants of health • Projecting personal care home (nursing home) and hospital bed requirements • Social Housing • Obesity • SES (map)
  • 29. 29 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Hilderman, Katz et al 2011
  • 30. 30 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
  • 31. 31 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Martens, Nickel et al 2015
  • 32. 32 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Katz et al 2016
  • 33. 33 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Social Complexities
  • 34. 34 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Chartier et al 2015 Brownell 2010
  • 35. 35 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Projected Growth of Manitobans With ESKD
  • 36. 36 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
  • 37. 37 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Males:76 ,Females:82 Males:78.8 ,Females:83.7 Males:68.9 ,Females:77.1 Males:67.2 ,Females:70.5 Males:74.6 ,Females:82.8 Males:75.9 ,Females:80.4 Males:76.9 ,Females:83.2 Males:80.5 ,Females:86.7 Males:79.7 ,Females:83.5 Change in Male and Female Life Expectancy South-North following Pembina Hwy (rte 42) and Main St (rte 52) Legend Premature Mortality 1.86 - 3.07 3.08 - 4.28 4.29 - 5.49 5.50 - 6.70 6.71 - 7.91Manitoba RHA Indicators Atlas 2009 Fransoo R, Martens P, Burland E, The Need to Know Team, Prior H, Burchill C Life Expectancy at birth (in years): South Pembina Highway: Males: 81 years Females: 87 years Downtown: Males: 67 years Females: 71 years
  • 38. 38 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
  • 39. 39 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
  • 40. 40 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Who is in Care? Year First Nations Metis Non-Indigenous Total* Count Percent Count Percent Count Percent 2002 4,083 74.3% 362 6.6% 1,046 19.0% 5,495 2014 7949 77.2% 988 9.6% 1,333 13.0% 10,293 Information taken from Manitoba Family Services Annual Reports, showing count of children in care on March 31 of given year. *Inuit children included in total: 4 children in 2002; 23 children in 2014
  • 41. 41 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% <1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Percent of Children in Care by Age at First Care Episode Children in care , 2009/10 to 2011/12 Age (Years)
  • 42. 42 Manitoba Centre for Health Policy